GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1203
This
is a much stronger performance from HL2 than I was expecting, because
yes, it's only logical to assume that DeS is bigger now than it was
during the last contest. Couple this with the original HL's great
performance, and one can make the argument that the growth in Steam
might have helped these games (maybe?). I was extremely confident in Prime yesterday but am less so now - though I'd still call it the favorite. --- http://i.imgur.com/gByqgPg.gif |
KamikazePotato posted... I think the most accurate form of results we'll get from this is if we wait until 24 hours have passed and then remove the first 4 hours from that when considering percentages. Not perfect but yeah I think Skyrim would get about 71% without Tumblr votes. There is a clear boost in this match and it's sustained past the first 4 hours. --- http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza "This is all we have... when we die.." |
creativename posted... 1337gamerpr0 posted...I don't know much about tumblr gaming preferences other than generalities, but:ok, seriously http://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/sales/software/3ds.html Animal Crossing: New Leaf has sold 9.44 million copies. It also got very respectable gamerankings and metacritic scores and for that matter has done very well in both gamefaqs rating and number of raters. http://www.metacritic.com/game/3ds/animal-crossing-new-leaf http://www.gamerankings.com/3ds/997811-animal-crossing-new-leaf/index.html http://www.gamefaqs.com/3ds/997811-animal-crossing-new-leaf The type of game is simply unappealing to most people at gamefaqs and it probably wouldn't doesn't jive much with an AAA gamer either but given the absurd sales combined with the high scores, you would think there would have to be a large group somewhere out there that likes it. If it seems almost too bizarre to contemplate that there are large communities for which New Leaf is one of their top games, just imagine how gamefaqs' love of Chrono Trigger probably looks to most other sites. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
Is
Chrono Trigger, one of the most beloved games of all time and on many
people's top 20 lists throughout the internet, really the one you want
to cite. --- Hello, I'm Chris! https://media.giphy.com/media/2ZtIpjwFFjLHLNREpCU/giphy.gif |
LinkMarioSamus posted... TheCodeisBosco posted...Demon's Souls is undoubtedly stronger now than it was in 2010... but it was also "lost to Mega Man 9"-level weak back then. I definitely wouldn't take it over Morrowind even now, and as a result, I can't see HL2 beating Prime. I don't think you are remembering the Demon's Souls-Okami-Prime % correctly. --- Hello, I'm Chris! https://media.giphy.com/media/2ZtIpjwFFjLHLNREpCU/giphy.gif |
Achromatic posted... Is Chrono Trigger, one of the most beloved games of all time and on many people's top 20 lists throughout the internet, really the one you want to cite. To a group of casual gamers (not saying that's Tumblr) it probably is a ""huh?" choice. --- "What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!" This is Yesmar. Congrats to CBIX Guru Winner *Raytan*! |
Actually, let's just do that right now! Current Score: Skyrim: 65.73% Phoenix Wright: 34.27% Score with First 4 Hours Removed: Skyrim: 69% Phoenix Wright: 31% --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Like many people have said, Skyrim is doing fine unless you expected it to defeat SM64. --- BGE3: Today's Matches Skyrim>PW, GE007>Diablo II, MP>Morrowind, HL2>DS Points 20/24 |
Speaking of wacky bracket predictions that in no way are going to come true: I have Twilight Princess beating SM64. 'let's do it' --- Hello, I'm Chris! https://media.giphy.com/media/2ZtIpjwFFjLHLNREpCU/giphy.gif |
I remember Ulti thinking Dark Souls would be fodder. Oops. I have to imagine that Dark Souls would probably be stronger than Half-Life 2 and Metroid Prime based on all this, which probably means it has the strength to deal with MGSV. Only problem is that games from Dark Souls's timeframe have consistently bombed while games from MGSV's timeframe have largely impressed (e.g. The Last of Us, Undertale). --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
Votals
today are awesome, by the way. A large part is spillover. But I think
the rally yesterday legit added some return voters to the contest. That
might not be a bad thing at all. EDIT: Awesome is a relative term. --- Raytan7585 is better than me at redditFAQs (edited 11/11/2015 11:09:06 AM)report |
KamikazePotato posted... Actually, let's just do that right now! the problem with this method is that PW is naturally at its best then. go do the same exercise with Melee/Portal and see what you get. --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
actually,
without looking I bet the Melee/Portal stuff would be more like the
first two hours. Phoenix Wright is more extreme than Melee though. --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
After some quick estimations and calculations, it looks like Undertale got about 80% of the ~20k rallied votes. Apologies if this has been posted already. |
transcience posted... the problem with this method is that PW is naturally at its best then. go do the same exercise with Melee/Portal and see what you get. I just did another projection where I only threw out the first 2 hours of votes from Skyrim/PW and that puts Skyrim exactly at 68% instead. We had 4 hours of spill over rally votes in this match, so only throwing the first 2 hours allows for the number of spill over votes from the third and fourth hours to somewhat represent PW's strong Power Hour. tennisboy213 posted... After some quick estimations and calculations, it looks like Undertale got about 80% of the ~20k rallied votes. This has been calculated already. You can check out this post instead: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/72800044/836297403 --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! (edited 11/11/2015 11:24:28 AM)report |
Achromatic posted... LinkMarioSamus posted...TheCodeisBosco posted...Demon's Souls is undoubtedly stronger now than it was in 2010... but it was also "lost to Mega Man 9"-level weak back then. I definitely wouldn't take it over Morrowind even now, and as a result, I can't see HL2 beating Prime. Dumb me meant to say 41%, ack! --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
transcience posted... KamikazePotato posted...Actually, let's just do that right now! This was talking about the rally. Everyone's favorite lawyer would probably only have a % extra at best, surely the board vote can't account for THAT much? --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
Achromatic posted... Speaking of wacky bracket predictions that in no way are going to come true: I have Twilight Princess beating SM64. Lol. Tp has no chance at this point. It's a weaker game now. Go and look at recent zelda console polls. Its behind even wind water. Theres no way anyone would take wind water over mario 64 --- http://k09.kn3.net/1256263BF.gif |
Yuri_LowelI posted... Achromatic posted...Speaking of wacky bracket predictions that in no way are going to come true: I have Twilight Princess beating SM64. Toilet Paper is stronger than Wind Water --- Your signature is automatically appended to the bottom of every post you make. Your 'About Me' message is displayed on your profile page. You can include any in |
My bracket is a living monument to "LAW" --- Hello, I'm Chris! https://media.giphy.com/media/2ZtIpjwFFjLHLNREpCU/giphy.gif |
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Oh, I didn't think the votals were projected to be that high (41k) without the rally. I had done my calculation based on around 36k votes. (edited 11/11/2015 11:34:09 AM)report |
I
just wanna say Demon's Souls is nowhere near as poised for growth as
Dark Souls. One is exclusive to the PS3, the other was on every notable
console and PC. Not sure how much more popular I'd say Demon's Souls
would be. Maybe a bit, but at the same time, those games have never been
all that impressive here. --- satoru iwata |
I just checked the results for SMW/AC and Fallout/LiS WTF the Undertale rally affected them THAT much? --- 3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066 |
tennisboy213 posted... Oh, I didn't think the votals were projected to be that high (41k) without the rally. I had done my calculation based on around 36k votes. You did your calculations based on the average vote totals we had been getting before yesterday's matches, rather than looking at what yesterday's matches were on track to finish with. Looking at the vote totals from the 12 hour mark in yesterday's match, I can certainly see them finishing with about 41000 votes without the rally. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! (edited 11/11/2015 11:37:50 AM)report |
The votals are garbage tbh. I Miss the mid 2000 when we had zelda vs final Fantasy with 180k votes. --- http://k09.kn3.net/1256263BF.gif |
-LusterSoldier- posted... tennisboy213 posted...Oh, I didn't think the votals were projected to be that high (41k) without the rally. I had done my calculation based on around 36k votes. Hmm, I wonder if there were already some rally votes coming in before then. The initial rally was started at the beginning of the match. --- "What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!" This is Yesmar. Congrats to CBIX Guru Winner *Raytan*! |
And Metroid Prime is at its lowest % of the match. The caveat is that Half-Life 2 isn't doing much better. The winner of that is likely dead meat against the Skyrim/Goldeneye winner. --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
creativename posted... 1337gamerpr0 posted...ok, seriously Animal Crossing pretty much hits tumblr demographics perfectly, and iirc it's one of the most popular games on the site so yeah edit: yeah it was #3 behind...wait for it....Pokemon and Zelda (edited 11/11/2015 11:55:42 AM)report |
LOLContests posted... Hmm, I wonder if there were already some rally votes coming in before then. The initial rally was started at the beginning of the match. There probably were some rally votes coming in before then. Probably couldn't be more than 1000 at the most. Removing 1000 votes from the 12 hour total still puts the match at 23251 votes, which is still more votes after 12 hours than all of the previous matches that came before yesterday. 23251 votes at the 12 hour mark would put the match on track to finish just a little bit short of 40000 votes. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
I created an ugly excel graph to show Undertale and ME3 votes per update http://i.imgur.com/TxX9FP1.jpg I tried to make it around 5 minute updates, it was hard as the updater is sometimes f***ed up so sometimes there are weird negative spikes (is there even a word for "negative spike"?) --- 3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066 |
If Undertale does become a thing, GameFAQs will once again turn to Zelda. Twilight Princess boosts, SM64 ded. Maybe. But really, once the floodgates are open, anything can happen. --- http://i.imgur.com/yrqRzHJ.gif |
transience posted... we get TP vs. PW3 in a couple days. that'll help clarify your thoughts, though it is Zelda and nothing blows out matches like Zelda. TP is facing Skies of Arcadia! SOTN has T&T. TheCodeisBosco posted... Demon's Souls is undoubtedly stronger now than it was in 2010 we said the same thing about Persona 3! I kinda doubt Demon's Souls has retroactively boosted as a result of Dark Souls's popularity. --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif |
oh yeah. I even wrote that match up today! my bad --- xyzzy |
hey
Leon, if Undertale does end up losing in r2, I'd recommend using the
4:40 update to calculate animal crossing/gta/life is strange. --- xyzzy |
Yeah, adjustments are fairly easy to make since the rally was so easy to detect when it began. I mean, it'll still screw up other matches, too, but these things happen! --- http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif (edited 11/11/2015 12:34:11 PM)report |
Finished reading 1201, man why did I went to sleep? I would have enjoyed it so much But still, waking up, reading like 10 messages after I went to sleep and one of them was "Undertale cut 200 votes in 20 minutes" and see that the entire topic exploded made me wonder what happened Then I checked the updater and it was 50% for Undertale and I was so surprised Good feeling --- 3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066 |
transience posted... hey Leon, if Undertale does end up losing in r2, I'd recommend using the 4:40 update to calculate animal crossing/gta/life is strange. The 3:15 update might be worth considering as well, since ME3 went from 65.05% to 64.50% between 3:15 and 4:40. There's probably a good handful of rallied votes between 3:15 and 4:40, but the rally didn't blow up large enough for Undertale to start getting consistent cuts until after 4:40. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
-LusterSoldier- posted... transience posted...hey Leon, if Undertale does end up losing in r2, I'd recommend using the 4:40 update to calculate animal crossing/gta/life is strange. I would argue there was a degree of rallying in the entire match but it didn't really pick up till 3 pm --- http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza "This is all we have... when we die.." |
well,
we're not worried about being perfect with these games. anything works.
of course, if Undertale goes on a run then it's not going to matter. --- xyzzy |
I wish PW: AA got matched up against GTA V. That could have been glorious. --- 9/2/13-The Hero of GameFAQs fought bravely but fell to an unrelenting horde supported by a corrupt tyranny. R.I.P. Hero of Time, 7 time CB Champion, Link |
1337gamerpr0 posted... Animal Crossing pretty much hits tumblr demographics perfectly, and iirc it's one of the most popular games on the site What are these rankings based on? LeonhartFour posted... Yeah, adjustments are fairly easy to make since the rally was so easy to detect when it began. I hope next round the rally doesn't get going right away so we at least have some pre-rally numbers, even if a bit Power Hour distorted. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
JJH777 posted... I wish PW: AA got matched up against GTA V. That could have been glorious. I wanted OoT with FFVII in round 1. That way if theres some huge rally crap going on we've had our final. |
I am sad that PW is dropping so much Would have wanted it to finish with 40% --- 3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066 |
creativename posted... 1337gamerpr0 posted...Animal Crossing pretty much hits tumblr demographics perfectly, and iirc it's one of the most popular games on the site most discussed games in 2014, with Happy Home Designer recently releasing it probably hasn't fallen off either |
OK, found it. Thanks :) http://www.gamezone.com/news/tumblr-reveals-the-video-games-people-reblogged-about-the-most-6312-jrbv --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery (edited 11/11/2015 1:38:41 PM)report |
It's obvious Phoenix Wright has boosted. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5229-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-2-phoenix-vs-vincent-vs Indisputable proof that Phoenix Wright > Final Fantasy VII. This result obviously means Skyrim will score 60%+ on Ocarina of Time. --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy IX - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3729662 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
We should consider ourselves lucky Mario World actually took Animal Crossing out early --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png LongLiveraytan |
We've seen what Animal Crossing did to FF7. Dodged a huge bullet there. --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy IX - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3729662 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Vote with your heart. --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy IX - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3729662 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
And your penis. --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy IX - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3729662 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
