LeonhartFour posted...
keep in mind that if Planescape and Journey are equal FFVII wins with 62%

so even if Planescape wins it wouldn't be by enough to make that a close match


This is good. Yeah, I think Smash would need an anti-vote / rally situation to win that, and I'm not sure FF7 today is the same magnet it used to be for either.
---
satoru iwata
Journey would probably 60/40 Planescape
---
Your signature is automatically appended to the bottom of every post you make. Your 'About Me' message is displayed on your profile page. You can include any in
pjbasis posted...
so infamous = life is strange huh


truly another shocker

(Infamous is probably worse off today than years ago, Fallout 3 might have some extra push to it)
---
satoru iwata
#355
(message deleted)
Fallout 3 might be benefiting from FO4 hype.

Not that it really matters. We'll probably never see inFamous or Life is Strange in a contest again.
---
http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Yuri_LowelI posted...
machinegungeek posted...
Yeah, I would take Journey > Planescape in a heartbeat. I think the best sign for FFVII though is that it looked VERY stable trend-wise throughout the day. So it doesn't seem to be getting terribly anti-voted anymore.


Yeah its not as antivoted but its also not as strong as it was. Certainly not strong enough to even have any hope against Oot.

---
http://k09.kn3.net/1256263BF.gif
machinegungeek posted...
I think the best sign for FFVII though is that it looked VERY stable trend-wise throughout the day. So it doesn't seem to be getting terribly anti-voted anymore.


FFVII also faced a really weak game in Journey, so there probably wasn't any reason to be anti-voting it at this point in the contest. Next round, FFVII faces Halo 1, a game that should get anti-voted pretty good. It seems like Halo 1 is getting anti-voted more than it has back in 2008-2010 when it seemed like Halo in general was far less anti-voted compared to 2007 and earlier. Microsoft's major screw-up with the Xbox One and their horrible PR back in 2013 really seemed to kickstart the whole "Microsoft hate train" again and Halo 1 seems like the perfect lightning rod to receive that hate.

We're not going get a reliable read on the extent of FFVII's anti-vote strength until round 3 when it faces Smash 4.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
LeonhartFour posted...
Fallout 3 might be benefiting from FO4 hype.

Not that it really matters. We'll probably never see inFamous or Life is Strange in a contest again.


Its definitely benifiting. You wont get a heavier traffic of fallout fans visiting this site than today.
---
http://k09.kn3.net/1256263BF.gif
The Fallout 3 poll has the worst votes out of all of them, so I don't really buy that Fallout 4 is a factor. Not yet, anyway.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
Smash 4 is going to be weak. Like, really weak. Like I picked it to lose to Mass Effect just for the principle of things weak. The odds of FFVII making the finals are long indeed, but losing to SSB4 just isn't in the cards.
---
Welcome to the League of Stickies.
Well, I'm not saying it'll generate extra traffic for FO3 or anything.

Not that it really needs a boost to lay waste to Life is Strange.

Or ME3 next round.

If Life is Strange = Undertale, then FO3 is gonna triple ME3 next round.
---
http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
The people coming to GameFAQs looking for help on Fallout 4 aren't going to be voting in this contest because the large majority of those visitors are coming off Google and bypassing the homepage, so they won't be seeing the matches.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
-LusterSoldier- posted...
machinegungeek posted...
I think the best sign for FFVII though is that it looked VERY stable trend-wise throughout the day. So it doesn't seem to be getting terribly anti-voted anymore.


FFVII also faced a really weak game in Journey, so there probably wasn't any reason to be anti-voting it at this point in the contest. Next round, FFVII faces Halo 1, a game that should get anti-voted pretty good. It seems like Halo 1 is getting anti-voted more than it has back in 2008-2010 when it seemed like Halo in general was far less anti-voted compared to 2007 and earlier. Microsoft's major screw-up with the Xbox One and their horrible PR back in 2013 really seemed to kickstart the whole "Microsoft hate train" again and Halo 1 seems like the perfect lightning rod to receive that hate.

We're not going get a reliable read on the extent of FFVII's anti-vote strength until round 3 when it faces Smash 4.


I could honestly see Smash 4 getting a bit anti-voted too. I mean, dat WiiU backlash and the fact that it's Brawl2.0, etc. At least, I will be anti-voting it.
If you set ME3=ME1 (disclaimer: ME1 is stronger than ME3), then according to the GotD stats Undertale is about as strong as these games:

Skies of Arcadia 26.51%
Perfect Dark 26.45%
Tales of Vesperia 25.89%
ICO 25.79%
Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 25.73%
Mario Kart Wii 25.67%

Yeeeeeeah
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
LeonhartFour posted...

Not that it really matters. We'll probably never see inFamous or Life is Strange in a contest again.


Cole Macgrath beat Ragna the Bloodedge man

respect
---
http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
LongLiveraytan
Smash 4 could get some anti-votes for being associated with the Wii U, but far less than what should be expected from Halo 1.

Smash 4's strength is difficult to read into, because people who have played the game generally agree the game is better than Brawl. And yet, that might not even translate into actual contest strength, so Brawl could still be stronger than Smash 4 despite being not being as well-liked compared to Smash 4.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
Yeah, ME2 > ME1 > ME3 is definitely the pecking order. And the gap between 1 and 3 is probably bigger than the gap between 1 and 2.

If there's ever a game for which anti-voting is a legitimate factor, ME3 is it.
---
http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
No way, the gap between 2 and 1 is definitely bigger than 1 and 3. ME2 is the absolute standout of that series.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
Based on today, the only Round 2 match I'm worried about so far is putting FF8 over SMW. Probably a mistake.
---
-_-...-_-
...-_-...
Well, I'm thinking ME3 is going to end up being pretty weak. I think FO3 is going to thrash it next round. ME1 is decently strong.

(not really a good sign for Borderlands 2 or Xenoblade either)
---
http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Mannequin Depressive posted...
Based on today, the only Round 2 match I'm worried about so far is putting FF8 over SMW. Probably a mistake.


"Probably"
Mannequin Depressive posted...
Based on today, the only Round 2 match I'm worried about so far is putting FF8 over SMW. Probably a mistake.


Keep on believing, man.
---
http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Mannequin Depressive posted...
Based on today, the only Round 2 match I'm worried about so far is putting FF8 over SMW. Probably a mistake.


Nah man, you good.


"Final Fantasy ALWAYS wins".

Someday upstarts like LoZ, Mario, and Pokemon will get a chance.
Well, my ultimate Division III faceoff is Pokemon RBY vs Fallout 3 anyway, so the whole thing is a gamble
---
-_-...-_-
...-_-...
Brawl was a cultural phenomenon on this site for years before it even came out. A 15 second clip was enough to turn Solid Snake from nearly losing to Frog and Bowser to one of the most elite characters in the contest. Some Dudes announced on the site were winning or nearly winning matches on that pedigree alone. The hype, especially as far as GameFAQs was concerned, really has no true point of comparison.

SSB4 is nothing compared to Brawl. It's a game on a system too many people don't own/care about (or possibly even worse, a handheld game), and it's going to have significant antivotes on top of that (in part because of Brawl backlash, ironically enough).
---
Welcome to the League of Stickies.
I dunno if Smash 4 really gets antivoted much, I don't think people care enough to do that in the first place
If Smash 4 does get anti-voted, it's because the game is associated with the Wii U, not because of Brawl backlash. The big knock against Smash 4 is the sub-par playrate in comparison to earlier games in the series, which does limit its potential strength. I would certainly pick Melee to outperform what Smash 4 got on Planescape.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
Look people can we please just stop poking gigantic holes in the plan for SSB4 to lose to ME next round
---
Welcome to the League of Stickies.
I'm all for ME1 > Smash 4

let's do it
---
http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Wow Life is Strange you suck
I know that Fallout 4 and all that but I still expected a respected performance
Not GTA VC level but still an 27% would be nice
---
3DS FC : 3411-1762-0066
Surprised by the lack of Undertale rally.

Seemed like a big rally target. It seems the normal Undertale General thread got archived two days ago. So I guess hype for the game has gone down.
---
Video Games are pretty cool.
Undertale hasn't really gotten close to winning an update yet. ME3's worst update was a 55.93% update at 1:00 AM.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Undertale hasn't really gotten close to winning an update yet. ME3's worst update was a 55.93% update at 1:00 AM.


maybe not, but the constant % cutting is making ME3 look terrible!

edit: well not any more
(edited 11/9/2015 11:31:24 PM)report
Somehow I feel like today's matches have a more exciting choice of games. Probably helps that I can actually call SMW one of my favorite games.
---
"Nothing I could do!"
-Darksydephil
LeonhartFour posted...
Angry nerds never forgive and forget


What were they thinking?
---
"Nothing I could do!"
-Darksydephil
That was a reference to the AVGN, since you mentioned "angry nerds."
---
"Nothing I could do!"
-Darksydephil
Oh right, trend charts. Forgot about those.

Time | SMB3 | AoEII | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 85.38% | 14.62% | 684 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 85.25% | 14.75% | 4109 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 81.91% | 18.09% | 7922 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 84.05% | 15.95% | 5117 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 84.38% | 15.62% | 9602 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 85.10% | 14.90% | 9801 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 85.63% | 14.37% | 1921 | (22:00-24:00)

A noticeable drop off for Mario 3 at night, but it's pretty steady in all other timeframes.

Time | R/B/Y | Tetris | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 69.62% | 30.38% | 688 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 68.91% | 31.09% | 4156 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 68.69% | 31.31% | 8024 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 66.25% | 33.75% | 5185 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 67.41% | 32.59% | 9748 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 69.57% | 30.43% | 9912 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 69.69% | 30.31% | 1927 | (22:00-24:00)

Pokemon does well with the ASV, although it can't quite hit 70%. Its worst time was when the kiddies wake up. Who'd have figured!

Time | Portal 2 | Sonic 2 | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 51.40% | 48.60% | 679 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 49.08% | 50.92% | 4081 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 47.19% | 52.81% | 7841 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 48.07% | 51.93% | 5090 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 47.06% | 52.94% | 9547 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 45.13% | 54.87% | 9644 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 44.57% | 55.43% | 1896 | (22:00-24:00)

Portal flops with the day vote again, as it lets Sonic 2 hit around 55% from the ASV to the end of the match. The morning vote and the first hour were the only times it was able to hold Sonic 2 in check a bit.

Time | UC2 | TWD | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 69.25% | 30.75% | 644 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 66.60% | 33.40% | 3877 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 65.45% | 34.55% | 7368 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 67.28% | 32.72% | 4814 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 68.16% | 31.84% | 8975 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 66.60% | 33.40% | 9108 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 67.26% | 32.74% | 1796 | (22:00-24:00)

Huh, UC2 is more day oriented than I would have expected, or maybe Walking Dead is just good at night.
---
http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Undertale embarassing an AAA game.

The two blowouts I predicted on spread betting happening confortably.

4 points won.

Good day.
Was Vice City predicted to go this well? I am honestly surprised myself.

It could be more to do with FFVIII weakness than Vice City strength however?
General_Zimbad posted...
Was Vice City predicted to go this well? I am honestly surprised myself.

It could be more to do with FFVIII weakness than Vice City strength however?


General consensus seems to be that the battle is a bit closer than expected. Whether this is due to GTA:VC retaining more strength than expected/getting a GTA V boost and/or due to FFVIII aging poorly/all PS1-era FF's weakening is unknown. Given that Xenogears did ok and FFVII looked super stable, the last one is a little less likely but still in play. Mainly, this gives us some stuff to watch for, especially with SMRPG v. GTA:V and KH v. FFIX (though FFVIII and FFIX are probably not the most correlated FF games) coming up.
machinegungeek posted...
-LusterSoldier- posted...
machinegungeek posted...
I think the best sign for FFVII though is that it looked VERY stable trend-wise throughout the day. So it doesn't seem to be getting terribly anti-voted anymore.


FFVII also faced a really weak game in Journey, so there probably wasn't any reason to be anti-voting it at this point in the contest. Next round, FFVII faces Halo 1, a game that should get anti-voted pretty good. It seems like Halo 1 is getting anti-voted more than it has back in 2008-2010 when it seemed like Halo in general was far less anti-voted compared to 2007 and earlier. Microsoft's major screw-up with the Xbox One and their horrible PR back in 2013 really seemed to kickstart the whole "Microsoft hate train" again and Halo 1 seems like the perfect lightning rod to receive that hate.

We're not going get a reliable read on the extent of FFVII's anti-vote strength until round 3 when it faces Smash 4.


I could honestly see Smash 4 getting a bit anti-voted too. I mean, dat WiiU backlash and the fact that it's Brawl2.0, etc. At least, I will be anti-voting it.


Why are you anti-voting Smash 4?
---
Ole, ole, ole, ole. Ole! Ole! (Accents and inverted !-marks missing)
On a bet with three other users on if a certain girl genie will be in Smash; I say no.
I was going to be voting for Super Mario Galaxy 2 against Smash 4....but RIP that's not happening, so Smash 4 it is
And speaking of anti-votes, how much percent of Undertale's votes are really votes against ME3?
---
Ole, ole, ole, ole. Ole! Ole! (Accents and inverted !-marks missing)
On a bet with three other users on if a certain girl genie will be in Smash; I say no.
_Dog posted...
machinegungeek posted...
-LusterSoldier- posted...
machinegungeek posted...
I think the best sign for FFVII though is that it looked VERY stable trend-wise throughout the day. So it doesn't seem to be getting terribly anti-voted anymore.


FFVII also faced a really weak game in Journey, so there probably wasn't any reason to be anti-voting it at this point in the contest. Next round, FFVII faces Halo 1, a game that should get anti-voted pretty good. It seems like Halo 1 is getting anti-voted more than it has back in 2008-2010 when it seemed like Halo in general was far less anti-voted compared to 2007 and earlier. Microsoft's major screw-up with the Xbox One and their horrible PR back in 2013 really seemed to kickstart the whole "Microsoft hate train" again and Halo 1 seems like the perfect lightning rod to receive that hate.

We're not going get a reliable read on the extent of FFVII's anti-vote strength until round 3 when it faces Smash 4.


I could honestly see Smash 4 getting a bit anti-voted too. I mean, dat WiiU backlash and the fact that it's Brawl2.0, etc. At least, I will be anti-voting it.


Why are you anti-voting Smash 4?


Because I'm one of those crazy Melee fans. Seeing Brawl/Smash 4 reminds me of how the series' potential has been squandered. Mind you, I believe both Brawl and Smash 4 are fine games and have their place, I'm just greatly disappointed in the series' direction. So anti-vote it is.
11/10/2015 12:32:52 AM#398
I know ME3 is getting anti-voted, but I wanted it to win. I love the game, and LOVED the multiplayer. That s*** was so intense and addictive.

Job system really does make any game better.
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
....this is the part where I wonder if I was asleep when I made my bracket, because for some reason I had Undertale winning???? I didn't consider rallies for the most part when making it either, so uh
Out of curiosity since I'm no stats dude and you guys can probably do this in twelve seconds in your head, where do you think Life is Strange will end up overall in the stats, roughly speaking? Like, bottom ten? Bottom five?
---
**R.O.B.A.Z.O.I.D**

Report Message

Terms of Use Violations:

Etiquette Issues:

Notes (optional; required for "Other"):
Add user to Ignore List after reporting

Topic Sticky

You are not allowed to request a sticky.