https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G4jd0UWGPgY


~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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Oh man I didn't even see you posted that video

A++
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satoru iwata
11/8/2015 6:44:40 PM#3
Blue streak speeds by
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If there was to be a comeback this round it should have been Persona 3 not ME1 against the greatest platformer in history :(
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The devil is never the maker. The less that you give, you're a taker.
11/8/2015 6:48:06 PM#5
Yes, Galaxy 2 losing is a shame, but I accepted it was never going to be appreciated for being as great as it is when I picked ME1 to win!
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Axl_Rose_85 posted...
If there was to be a comeback this round it should have been Persona 3 not ME1 against the greatest platformer in history :(

Nah. This is better. <3 you, Mass Effect.

I would have taken both though if I could've.
My bracket's already completely gone, so...

TO DISCUSSION PART 1200!
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*Alarm goes off*
"What's that?" "It's the none-of-ya-d*mn-business alarm." - Cyborg, "Injustice: Gods Among Us"
(edited 11/8/2015 6:53:33 PM)report
LeonhartFour posted...
Yes, Galaxy 2 losing is a shame, but I accepted it was never going to be appreciated for being as great as it is when I picked ME1 to win!


Nice humblebrag, bro.
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"What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!"
This is Yesmar. Congrats to CBIX Guru Winner *Raytan*!
11/8/2015 6:54:51 PM#10
it's not like I was the only one who picked it, bro

I'm just stating a fact
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Mass Effect pulled it off...not bad. Still not so worried about ME2 upsetting MGS3, but it should do well.

Predicting SMG > SMG2 too, so I don't think this is a big opening for Super Metroid to take advantage of either.
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M E N: nominate Metal Man in 20XX!
http://i.imgur.com/Dr4NAeq.png
11/8/2015 9:06:22 PM#13
Eh, MMX was the heavy bracket favorite and almost certainly stronger than Sonic 2. I'd take Portal 2 > Arkham City at this point, too.
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Portal 2 has brackets, but not by much. this isn't P3/DQ8.
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Feels like Sonic 2 can come back and win this. Hope not though.
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"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
raytan: Champ without picking the champ
How does Age of Empires 2 hold up today? I haven't played too many strategy game, and that one is a classic.
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FC: 3866-9130-9664
PM me if you add me for Pkmn XY
11/8/2015 9:07:30 PM#17
Already down to only 18 perfect brackets.

...Mass Effect 1 was the bracket favorite.

...As was Minecraft.
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oh I don't think Sonic's going to lose based on the MMX match trends or anything. I just think that Sonic should have blown this poll away with everything else we've seen and, well, Sonic.
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xyzzy
Im very worried about Portals chances. It needed to start with a strong lead.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
PSN ID - Kudaark Steam Name : skaalfa
Its always crazy to me just how weak Sonics games are compared to his character popularity
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Portal 2 is the guru favorite and higher seed, it should be quite favored, I could see Sonic 2 taking this in similar fasion to DQ8/P3.
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My old signature was really outdated. I haven't thought of a proper new one yet.
Sonic was behind by 4 votes at one point that I saw.

19 now. And bracket support surely for Portal 2. Not feeling good about it right now. I went back and forth on it numerous times though so I know it would be a coinflip and not something I could really overanalyze...
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http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza
"This is all we have... when we die.."
alienfreaks04 posted...
How does Age of Empires 2 hold up today? I haven't played too many strategy game, and that one is a classic.


it's still really fun
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Started from the bottom now we here
Sonic 2 probably wins this but considering the insane amount of advantages it has going into this match, it shouldn't be losing to start with
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
11/8/2015 9:09:34 PM#26
man people love to crap on Sonic whenever they get a chance huh
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I would likely say that Sonic 2 likely wins this match. The dead zone and morning vote is going to favor Sonic 2 here.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
LeonhartFour posted...
man people love to crap on Sonic whenever they get a chance huh


Yes
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
wait damn it, I thought I picked Halo but I picked Minecraft!

RIP 1 point
Mario > Samus, Mario/Bowser > Trainers, Majora > GSC, every Pokemon game after GSC being weak, every Pokemon character after RBY being weak, GSC only putting up 76% against TWEWY, and today RBY might not break 70% on Tetris when Zelda 1 was able to easily do it.

RBY benefits from nostalgia votes above all else, but no game on the planet benefits from this more than Mario 3 does. Mario 3 will thoroughly destroy RBY without a rally.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
after years of picking Chief and losing, the casuals finally learned their lesson

...oops
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LeonhartFour posted...
Already down to only 18 perfect brackets.

...Mass Effect 1 was the bracket favorite.

...As was Minecraft.


Minecraft doesn't surprise me, a lot of the casuals probably had the same fears as us about rallying and it has sold a gazillion copies.
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http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza
"This is all we have... when we die.."
Almost there Sonic 2
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BGE3: Today's Matches SSBWiiU>Planescape, SMG2>ME, Halo>Minecraft, FFVII>Journey
Points 10/12
LOL THE CLASSIC ULTI REVERSE JINX

Sonic 2, son. Always was and still is my favorite Sonic game.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
almost

if this were Sonic 1 I probably would've felt a lot better about Sonic
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sig
pssssssssssst - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/568795-soccer-challenge
11/8/2015 9:11:10 PM#37
UltimaterializerX posted...
today RBY might not break 70% on Tetris when Zelda 1 was able to easily do it.


this is literally the only evidence that actually matters toward Mario 3 > R/B/Y

you've seen enough contests to know better than to try to tout all that other stuff as "strong evidence"
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Portal 2 could lose this and prove the people right who said look at Wheatley, but I've figured it would win by looking at GLaDOS's boost. Wonderful game, but Sonic 2 was classic too.

SMB3 was always going to get a blow-out here -- seems like it gets one of the biggest each contest -- but I didn't expect Tetris to try resisting Pokemon RBY too much.
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M E N: nominate Metal Man in 20XX!
http://i.imgur.com/Dr4NAeq.png
Yeah, this over. I'm really having a s*** start.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
PSN ID - Kudaark Steam Name : skaalfa
2Dover3D posted...
Its always crazy to me just how weak Sonics games are compared to his character popularity


Kirby is even worse with that.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
Welp, there goes the leaderboard for me.
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"What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!"
This is Yesmar. Congrats to CBIX Guru Winner *Raytan*!
I should have believed in Sonic.
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raytan is the guru champ, yo yo yo
He won it in the year of the draggy crow
LeonhartFour posted...
UltimaterializerX posted...
today RBY might not break 70% on Tetris when Zelda 1 was able to easily do it.


this is literally the only evidence that actually matters toward Mario 3 > R/B/Y

you've seen enough contests to know better than to try to tout all that other stuff as "strong evidence"


Dude Mario/Bowser beating the bandwagoned trainers to death is the best evidence there is. Like this is one of those matches Board 8 overthought while every casual went "Mario 3, easy" without thinking twice, and the casuals are going to embarrass you guys.

Not saying I'm immune to it. I picked Galaxy 2 and MGS4 to win twice!
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
70% on tetris yes this is the game going to the finals suck it mario
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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
11/8/2015 9:13:40 PM#46
Characters =/= Games

Again, you're smarter than this.
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Yeah, I don't think GSC's showings matters much for RBY's chances really.
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My old signature was really outdated. I haven't thought of a proper new one yet.
I still say that Melee/GSC is a better glimpse into Mario 3/RBY than any of these matches. it's so hard to really gauge what might be going on here. Mario 3's match is pointless and RBY/Tetris, who really knows? but I would sure feel better if RBY was up at Zelda 1's level.
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xyzzy
Oh woah, the actual leaderboard isn't filled with perfects anymore. It feels earlier than usual although I guess 4 matches a day will do that.
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This was my signature, but Raytan, 2013 Guru champion, took it away.
(edited 11/8/2015 9:14:07 PM)report
I mean I know games aren't characters but man I could not back Portal 2 after seeing this nonsense happen: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5169-character-battle-ix-division-3-round-1-wheatley-vs-crash-vs
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen

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