Yeah, pretty sure this is over.
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
That would be awesome, but I kinda doubt it. I'd have almost considered ME2 > Smash 4, but I don't think ME1 can do it.
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swirIdude posted...
A lot of people assumed Planescape would be crushed worse than this. What if those people are still right about Planescape's weakness and Smash Wii U is actually in danger of losing to Mass Effect?


It's certainly a possibility at least.
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swirIdude posted...
A lot of people assumed Planescape would be crushed worse than this. What if those people are still right about Planescape's weakness and Smash Wii U is actually in danger of losing to Mass Effect?


Galaxy 2 >= Smash Wii U?

Huh?
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Agent Triple Zero at your service!
Future 2015 Guru Contest winner.
ME2/Smash 4 could be fun but I do not think ME1 gives it a run.

Emphasis on "think".
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pssssssssssst - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/568795-soccer-challenge
I think Smash is decisively stronger than SMG2. Mass Effect needs to really increase the lead overnight for that match to be in question.
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Oh yea, I guess raytan won.
...you really think Smash 4 is roughly around SMG2's level? I'd think it would be a step above
Smash will definitely be a step ahead of SMG, and ME only barely beat SMG here. I can't see it getting beyond Smash.
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bring on Mario 3
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satoru iwata
you ready for the 90% beatdown

(by Pokemon that is)
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Was SMG2 vs. ME mentioned on The Show?

Wondering if The Show Curse had anything to do with this, lol.
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Oh yea, I guess raytan won.
So far almost every debatable(close-ish) match has not gone my way. Ughgg
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whatisurnameplz posted...
Was SMG2 vs. ME mentioned on The Show?

Wondering if The Show Curse had anything to do with this, lol.


I mentioned ME1 > Galaxy 2 as one of my upset specials on the first episode!
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Sorozone posted...
So far almost every debatable(close-ish) match has not gone my way. Ughgg


Me too :(
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ZFS posted...
Well, Galaxy is way more popular in general than it is on GameFAQs.


I don't think this is true. In general Mario is not as popular outside of GameFAQs as it is on GameFAQs, we venerate that series more than anything but a straight Nintendo fansite would. We also undervalue the super-popular WRPGs; I don't think that Mass Effect 1 and 2 would have any trouble beating SMG1/2 on some other site's popularity contest.

A lot of people have moved on from the Mario series as they get older and just haven't cared about the series as much since 64. The Galaxy series just isn't really that cared about, at least not as much as its reception would leave you to believe it should be. it's very respected and it'll make a lot of site's Best Games lists, but it just doesn't bring the voter hype that you need to do well in a contest setting.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
(edited 11/8/2015 3:41:24 PM)report
I dunno, Galaxy would probably crush even Mass Effect 2 on NeoGAF
swirIdude posted...
A lot of people assumed Planescape would be crushed worse than this. What if those people are still right about Planescape's weakness and Smash Wii U is actually in danger of losing to Mass Effect?


the return of that crazy user Karma Hunter was right
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Welcome to the League of Stickies.
ME>Smash 4 is in the bag.
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eek, looks like todays my day to drop to the middle of the pack. Probably tomorrow I'll drop below it, I picked Sonic and walking dead
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Don't mind me. I'm just here for the contest.
LOL i have ME>SMW. Oops.
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KamikazePotato posted...
I don't think this is true. In general Mario is not as popular outside of GameFAQs as it is on GameFAQs, we venerate that series more than anything but a straight Nintendo fansite would. We also undervalue the super-popular WRPGs; I don't think that Mass Effect 1 and 2 would have any trouble beating SMG1/2 on some other site's popularity contest.

I agree that WRPGs would be stronger elsewhere, but GameFAQs isn't the outlier you think it is for good Nintendo games. What has always been unusual about GameFAQs is it's love for Square games disproportionately to others, not Nintendo. Don't get me wrong -- we love Nintendo more than the average site, but not to the wide degree you think we do.

I said before this match, even, but Galaxy definitely carries more weight out of this site than in it. Why? Who knows, but people absolutely like Mario Galaxy a whole lot. Other modern Mario games? Maybe not, but Galaxy is a beloved game. I mean, Mass Effect is, too, but I would pick the original over ME1 for sure. ME2 would be a more heated match.

Naturally, proving that is difficult, but I've never known people to be apathetic about Mario Galaxy away from this site.
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satoru iwata
The only hope for Galaxy here is another five power hours
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
new Nintendo is largely ignored in the general gaming community. Galaxy is highly respected but very few people really talk about it or consider it among their faves. that goes to stuff like Red Dead, Skyrim, Fallout, GTA, etc.
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xyzzy
LordoftheMorons posted...
The only hope for Galaxy here is another five power hours


Mass Effect has this in the bag, there's no hope.
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12/12 pts - GameFAQs' 20th Anniversary Best. Game. Ever. Contest!
NP: Smash Bros. Wii U/Super Mario Galaxy 2/Halo/Final Fantasy VII
Yeah I know, what I said was its only hope is a thing that's definitely not going to happen
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AOE2 getting 20%
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Formerly known as Dilated Chemist
If we're being honest, people don't talk about Mario games in general. They aren't part of extensive marketing campaigns, they don't have stories and characters to argue over, or DLC drama, but they still make lists and come up in any kind of 'best game ___' discussion. Who knows, maybe I'm in the wrong places or segregated from the general gaming audience in 2015 that people have moved away from Mario!
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satoru iwata
Age of Empires II vs Planescape: Torment, who wins?
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SwiftyDC posted...
Age of Empires II vs Planescape: Torment, who wins?


Age of empires 2
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SwiftyDC posted...
AOE2 getting 20%


http://i.imgur.com/WOopkHh.png

Hype
SwiftyDC posted...
Age of Empires II vs Planescape: Torment, who wins?


I'd take Planescape. It has more "Greatest of All Time" hype and GameFAQs loves its RPGs way more than RTS games.
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charmander6000 posted...
That 28 vote gain, looks like Mario is up to his old tricks

>_>


Mario doesn't exist, there's no way he can cheat. Do you believe in a sky old man too?
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ZFS posted...
If we're being honest, people don't talk about Mario games in general. They aren't part of extensive marketing campaigns, they don't have stories and characters to argue over, or DLC drama, but they still make lists and come up in any kind of 'best game ___' discussion. Who knows, maybe I'm in the wrong places or segregated from the general gaming audience in 2015 that people have moved away from Mario!


Current gaming favorites are definitely not in Nintendo's favor. Low play rates, they don't have the cultural impact that things like Halo had. Streaming policy hurts them...

But no company has the same level of "golden age" nostalgia with the general American public that Nintendo does.

If you took a poll of all Americans, Mario would hold up much better than Sephiroth.

People don't talk about James Bond that much any more in terms of actual movie discussion (except this week), and nobody's listing Bond films in the "best films of the year", but they're still gonna list James Bond as one of their favorite characters and proclaim their love of various movies.
MegaWentEvil posted...
charmander6000 posted...
That 28 vote gain, looks like Mario is up to his old tricks

>_>


Mario doesn't exist, there's no way he can cheat. Do you believe in a sky old man too?


It's-a me, Mario, and I'm-a gonna smite you.
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~In Memory of Captain Lou Albano~
Crack theory: Age of Mythology expansion hype will make AoE overperform and get a higher percentage than most people think.
Takfloyd_mkII__ posted...
It's pretty funny that Board 8 still thinks Nintendo stuff is likely to have a strong day vote because that's when kids are voting.

Kids don't vote for Nintendo on GameFAQs in 2015, guys. Kids don't even know GameFAQs exists, and those that do are far more likely to be playing the realistic "hardcore" games that are mainstream these days. It's the night vote you should be watching out for, when the mid twenties nostalgia nerds that make up most of this site's regular userbase are active.


A strong day vote could still exist these days even without any kids voting on this site. If you had a game that is really big in the US, but weak in Europe, the game would have a bad night vote because Europe dominates the later part of the night vote when a lot of the US voters would be sleeping. Once those US voters wake up and slowly reduce Europe's total chunk of the incoming votes, that game would recover from its bad night vote. That's one way in which a game could then have a good day vote.

Most of the trends that do still exist these days are the regional trends associated with certain continents/countries voting in larger numbers or smaller numbers based on the time of the day.
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-LusterSoldier- posted...
Takfloyd_mkII__ posted...
It's pretty funny that Board 8 still thinks Nintendo stuff is likely to have a strong day vote because that's when kids are voting.

Kids don't vote for Nintendo on GameFAQs in 2015, guys. Kids don't even know GameFAQs exists, and those that do are far more likely to be playing the realistic "hardcore" games that are mainstream these days. It's the night vote you should be watching out for, when the mid twenties nostalgia nerds that make up most of this site's regular userbase are active.


A strong day vote could still exist these days even without any kids voting on this site. If you had a game that is really big in the US, but weak in Europe, the game would have a bad night vote because Europe dominates the later part of the night vote when a lot of the US voters would be sleeping. Once those US voters wake up and slowly reduce Europe's total chunk of the incoming votes, that game would recover from its bad night vote. That's one way in which a game could then have a good day vote.

Most of the trends that do still exist these days are the regional trends associated with certain continents/countries voting in larger numbers or smaller numbers based on the time of the day.


Our 2015 day vote champion, Chrono Trigger!
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Future 2015 Guru Contest winner.
Big drops by ME and modest gains by Mario leads to two decent cuts.
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"This is all we have... when we die.."
Mario comeback X-Factor activated!
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#UnitedAgainstBronyism #BringBackBatista
Aaaaannnnddd small gain for ME, right on cue
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(edited 11/8/2015 4:47:30 PM)report
Mario has still effectively stalled for the past 35 minutes. The next two updates are crucial to finish the hour strong.
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"This is all we have... when we die.."
LordoftheMorons posted...
Yeah, pretty sure this is over.


Been over for awhile. f*** Galaxy 2. f*** the Wiimote.
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen
SMG2's percentage by hour

1:00 | 53.61%
2:00 | 48.05%
3:00 | 50.74%
4:00 | 47.56%
5:00 | 49.64%
6:00 | 48.83%
7:00 | 48.16%
8:00 | 48.70%
9:00 | 49.61%
10:00 | 49.08%
11:00 | 50.56%
12:00 | 50.62%
13:00 | 49.87%
14:00 | 48.33%
15:00 | 49.19%
16:00 | 44.72%
17:00 | 47.29%
18:00 | 47.60%
19:00 | 48.22%
20:00 | 48.32%

Steadily getting better and the last 45 minutes were a wash. But it needs to turn around ASAP and start crushing it by at least 57% now which it couldn't even do with bracket voting.This match is effectively done.
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"This is all we have... when we die.."
Saw Not_Wylvane compare SMB in importance to Adventure.

Literally SMB. Literally Adventure.

Come on now. You're a smart poster, you're better than that :)

Ultimaphazon posted...
I'm just not sure why anyone would take a FFVII match at face value. FFVII will never be capable of the same kinds of blowouts as unhated games like Chrono Trigger or Mario 3.

FF7 has never shown non-linearity vs. weak opponents that I can recall. I think it was Luster who said something about expecting FF7 to underperform here due to anti-votes, and if others think this way it might explain why so many predicted under 80% in the Oracle, which surprised me.

But it's elite opponents FF7 is non-linear against, not weak ones. No one rallies against weak opponents. But if FF7 is in the "beatable" range for a game, watch out. CT, FF6, Melee can all potentially beat it with rallies. R/B can too, though that one may need less rallies than the others.
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Sonic vs Portal is tomorrow! Forgot about that. Not sure where people are on that one, but that should be good.
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satoru iwata
pyresword posted...
I'm curious if anyone has an explanation for this. Is that sudden drop at 16:00 just an outlier or is there actually something going on there?


red sox 777 posted...
It's probably just random variation, which should be larger with these low votals. I was actually quite surprised how steady the trends were this morning- its surprising that the hours all kept falling pretty much right on the trendline without much variance!


These lower vote totals probably do result in more random variation. I looked at the poll updates for all 3 continent polls I have tracked (all weekend polls) and here's what I noticed:

2010 continent poll (89223 votes) - North America reaches maximum lead of 16645 over Europe at 5:06 AM and loses every single update from 5:11 AM to 7:22 AM. There was a back and forth affair between North America and Europe from 7:22 AM to 7:52 AM as the trends were slowly shifting back in North America's favor again. Europe managed to get North America's lead down to 15774 at 7:52 AM and then Europe never won a single update for the rest of the poll.

2012 continent poll (51039 votes) - North America reaches maximum lead of 8832 at 5:12 AM and Europe gets that lead all the way down to 8375 at 7:28 AM. During that time period, North America randomly won a single update by 2 votes at 6:48 AM, which is probably from the random variation associated with this poll having lower vote totals than the 2010 poll.

2013 continent poll (38571 votes) - North America reaches maximum lead of 6549 at 4:25 AM. Europe gets that lead down to 6215 at 7:00 AM. During that time period, there was even more random variation compared to the 2012 poll, with North America winning a total of 4 updates over Europe. The vote totals of the 2013 continent poll are much more similar to what this contest is bringing in.
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ZFS posted...
Sonic vs Portal is tomorrow! Forgot about that. Not sure where people are on that one, but that should be good.


Portal 2 is the guru favorite, and it's what I have. Not confident in the slightest. Could Portal 2 avoid an FFVI doubling? I think it will be close.
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Conformity and rebellion...both ways are simple-minded--they are only for people who cannot cope with contradiction and ambiguity.
tough to go against classic games after the first four days of this contest, but if one game can underwhelm, it's Sonic 2.
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xyzzy
Sonic's reputation has become so tarnished that even the good games have retroactively been tainted. I think Portal 2 will be the first modern game to beat out a classic.
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Video game companies don't care about you, so stop kissing their asses
This one is probably officially over. Not enough votes coming in to come back from losing by almost 500.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
"F*** Draven." -SBAllen

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