GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1197
This
may be TOTALLY misguided, but I just don't see Mario choking a close
match away. Don't think SMG2 is losing here, though it will definitely
by skinny jeans tight. |
Electoral Vote Status: Super Mario Galaxy 2 - 319 Mass Effect - 219 --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
LeonhartFour posted... He's referring to the rally topic earlier and someone saying they're not going to bother voting because Smash Bros. is beating two games he likes. Thus the rally has become ineffective because of Smash domination and his bracket suffers for it. Ah I see. Thanks. Is he someone's alt? UltimaterializerX posted... creative what's up with the random updates that have like -5 total votes? The updater pulls data every minute. (My server's IP once got banned by the site's automated security, Allen was kind enough to manually add me as an exemption) The polls sometimes have extra updates, which the updater will catch. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery (edited 11/8/2015 12:14:57 AM)report |
nah, nameplz has played in a few mafia games. --- Welcome to the League of raytan, CBIX Guru winner! http://backloggery.com/articuno2001/sig.gif |
creativename posted... The updater pulls data every minute. (My server's IP once got banned by the site's automated security, Allen was kind enough to manually add me as an exemption) Pretty cool of Allen --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
Hmm, seems like Shepard has reloaded... |
Hope the day vote can keep Galaxy alive! --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
6 consecutive cuts brings us through the 49% mark, 1 hour and 40 minutes after we crossed 48%. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
FFVII still quietly cruising, now above 84%. It's going to give CT a run for blowout of the round, I dunno if it'll make it. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
LordoftheMorons posted... Hope the day vote can keep Galaxy alive! Hasn't SMG1 shown itself to do pretty badly during the day? --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
SMG2
dying here... hmm, if ME2 has say another 3 hours at this rate and day
vote trends are muted, it could well pull it off. I would still put SMG2
as the favourite though. |
I
mostly lurked here for the past few years, haven't been on board 8
since the last contest. Also I'm #1 in the Oracle rn but that can change
if ME doesn't win here. Hoping ME takes the lead when I wake up! --- http://img.imgcake.com/whatisurnameplz/kermitgifre.gif Oh yea, I guess raytan won. (edited 11/8/2015 12:36:53 AM)report |
Little stall for SMG2. Halo is really cruising now too. 1000 vote barrier reached. Considering a rally will not happen during the night it could be up 2000 by daytime and Minecraft lovers would probably be less motivated. --- http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza "This is all we have... when we die.." |
I think I'd still rather have SMG in my bracket and Oracle, but I am concerned. I think the day vote (due to the US) should save SMG, but ME should have a decent day vote itself, and trends are so little now. At any rate it is good to have a close match. And once again I'm very grateful for four polls a day. 24 hours of FF7 and Smash destroying would suck. whatisurnameplz posted... I mostly lurked here for the past few years, haven't been on board 8 since the last contest. Also I'm #1 in the Oracle rn but that can change if ME doesn't win here. Well it's great to have you then :) What's your picks for the debates matches? Like Sonic 2 vs Portal coming up. And what's your final four look like? --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
UltimaterializerX posted... creative what's up with the random updates that have like -5 total votes? Team Rocket Elite posted... GameFAQs sometimes shows vote results outside of the typical 5 minute update cycle. If the automatic update collector hits one of these, it will still record it. The poll results pages are a little glitchy sometimes and has been acting this way for about 2 years. I first noticed this wonky behavior on a poll that I tracked on 10/31/2013. The large majority (95% or more) of the time you visit the results page in between the regular 5 minute update cycle, you will see the correct vote totals. But in some rare cases, you will see vote totals that are slightly different from what would normally be shown on the large majority of the time you visit the results page. As a way to test this out, I ran a script in between the 3:45 AM and 3:50 AM update for the Smash 4 match. I had a script rapidly fetch the vote totals on that match a total of 200 times. The Smash 4 match normally has 8826 votes as of the 3:45 AM update. Out of the 200 times I fetched the vote totals on that match, there were only 7 instances where I fetched an overall vote total other than 8826 votes. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
I'd be annoyed at ME winning here since I had that until the moment I submitted my guru. >_> --- http://i.imgur.com/l7xxLh1.jpg |
Super Mario Galaxy 2 by the hour: 1:00 | 53.61% 2:00 | 48.05% 3:00 | 50.74% 4:00 | 47.56% ME gets back to winning hours. The heart of the night vote is up next, though SMG is holding up alright so far going into this hour. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
For what it's worth Halo was only 12 spots ahead of Minecraft on that top 100 from last year. Just saying since it seems quite a few expected Halo to score a blowout win. As if. Halo couldn't even double Ninja Gaiden, was Minecraft supposed to be THAT weak? --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
Electoral College Update Super Mario Galaxy 2 - 282 Mass Effect - 256 SMG still has a fair amount of popular vote lead left in the US, it's looking like it might relinquish the Electoral College before the popular vote. Florida swung into ME's column in the last hour. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
Hourly trends from the 2010 GotY poll: Time | GoW III | ME2 | Galaxy 2 1:00 | 20.62% | 45.59% | 33.79% 2:00 | 21.28% | 44.86% | 33.86% 3:00 | 21.76% | 47.22% | 31.02% 4:00 | 22.02% | 46.52% | 31.46% 5:00 | 24.65% | 44.81% | 30.54% 6:00 | 22.97% | 46.36% | 30.68% 7:00 | 23.94% | 46.55% | 29.51% 8:00 | 24.39% | 43.92% | 31.69% 9:00 | 23.64% | 42.99% | 33.37% 10:00 | 22.23% | 42.11% | 35.66% 11:00 | 22.17% | 43.98% | 33.85% 12:00 | 21.91% | 43.71% | 34.37% 13:00 | 23.92% | 43.65% | 32.43% 14:00 | 24.05% | 43.38% | 32.57% 15:00 | 24.17% | 43.53% | 32.30% 16:00 | 22.86% | 44.24% | 32.90% 17:00 | 23.39% | 44.09% | 32.53% 18:00 | 24.29% | 43.63% | 32.08% 19:00 | 25.29% | 43.87% | 30.83% 20:00 | 23.91% | 44.58% | 31.51% 21:00 | 22.64% | 44.88% | 32.48% 22:00 | 24.37% | 45.66% | 29.97% 23:00 | 24.10% | 44.09% | 31.81% 24:00 | 22.67% | 45.16% | 32.17% The 2010 GotY poll took place on a weekend, which enables a direct comparison to the trends of today's poll. I'm sure if red sox wanted to, he could use those trends to project a winner by treating Mass Effect 2's trends exactly like those of Mass Effect. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Thanks Luster! I didn't know that poll existed. Do you happen to have the overall percentage at each hour saved? --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
Methinks Mario will be fine in the end even if Mass Effect takes the lead for a good while. Though at least I get points in my bracket if Mario loses. --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
red sox 777 posted... Thanks Luster! I didn't know that poll existed. Do you happen to have the overall percentage at each hour saved? Yeah, I have the poll updates right here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PJT6Wl7rKxEGi62xzSsu1VujjgRI9m3EvIy2w1hYBII/pub --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Just
to ask, during the bracketmaking phase it seemed like Halo was a pretty
decisive favorite over Minecraft on this board. Was it because of Halo
at least being a proven midcarder? The Minecraft characters' bad
performances in the character battle? B8 being snakebitten by betting
against Halo in GOTD? Question: Minecraft vs. Sonic Adventure 2 or Super Mario Sunshine who wins? I'd probably go Sunshine > Minecraft > Sonic by now, though I will admit that picking Sunshine to win that match would be a fanboy pick. And maybe not the best idea given how well it did in GOTD lol. Also C/D: Mass Effect will never take the lead. --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil (edited 11/8/2015 1:42:25 AM)report |
Well,
based on those, SMG2 wins with 51.10%. But that would require the day
vote to still exist, and so far this contest it appears to be a flicker
of its former strength, so.......I'm still fairly optimistic about Mass
Effect. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
i told myself i would not go to bed until mass effect gets the lead under 100 votes this might be a poor decision I took Halo because I thought Minecraft would be pathetic, i looked at a few polls for it and they imply its play rate on this site isnot good, and Creeper got crushed by Wario who is as weak as Nintendo gets in these days --- sig pssssssssssst - http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/568795-soccer-challenge (edited 11/8/2015 1:48:12 AM)report |
LinkMarioSamus posted... Just to ask, during the bracketmaking phase it seemed like Halo was a pretty decisive favorite over Minecraft on this board. Was it because of Halo at least being a proven midcarder? The Minecraft characters' bad performances in the character battle? B8 being snakebitten by betting against Halo in GOTD? I picked, at least, picked Halo mostly due to thinking that Minecraft would be really weak and less that Halo would be strong, but I did assume that Halo would be around a weak mid-cardder, due to likely being the strongest in the series. I also agree w/ Sunshine > Minecraft > SA2. I am sort of predicting that GameCube stuff (esp. Sunshine and WW) will be a bit stronger than in the past. |
Blargh, this hour has been a stallfest. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
machinegungeek posted... LinkMarioSamus posted...Just to ask, during the bracketmaking phase it seemed like Halo was a pretty decisive favorite over Minecraft on this board. Was it because of Halo at least being a proven midcarder? The Minecraft characters' bad performances in the character battle? B8 being snakebitten by betting against Halo in GOTD? Well Sunshine and WW get lots more good word of mouth now than they used to, though it probably helps that I replayed both last year and had lots of fun (but after those two + Metroid Prime, well, I'm all GameCube'd out). Minecraft would probably beat SA2 because lol 3D Sonic. Anyway the Minecraft characters probably did poorly in the contest because Minecraft is not a character-oriented game, however Master Chief has also shown to be weaker than his games in a contest setting so forget it. --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil |
Red, how do you calculate your electoral college numbers? --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Super Mario Galaxy 2 by the hour: 1:00 | 53.61% 2:00 | 48.05% 3:00 | 50.74% 4:00 | 47.56% 5:00 | 49.64% Stallfest hour. ME2 needs to do better than that this late at night. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
I just look at the US map and give each state's electoral votes to the game winning there. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 NEVER FORGET. |
creativename posted... Red, how do you calculate your electoral college numbers? To elaborate on Red's answer, you can click the US in the map to see the state-level results. |
machinegungeek posted... creativename posted...Red, how do you calculate your electoral college numbers? Yes I know. I was thinking he couldn't crunch all those numbers manually though. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Magmortar75 posted... i told myself i would not go to bed until mass effect gets the lead under 100 votes lol that 100 vote barrier feels like 1000 with low votals and muted trends. |
creativename posted... machinegungeek posted...creativename posted...Red, how do you calculate your electoral college numbers? He's probably just using one of those interactive electoral college maps and changing states as they change, which wouldn't be too often or too much work. --- **R.O.B.A.Z.O.I.D** |
100 vote barrier shattered though much later than i would have thought given how this was looking before --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? |
If ME loses it'll be really because of the early bracket votes. |
Well that was certainly a cut. At this rate, ME takes the lead in 3-4 updates. |
Veryyyy stallyyyy match. I hope Mario doesn't clutch like the old days. |
red sox 777 posted... Well, based on those, SMG2 wins with 51.10%. But that would require the day vote to still exist, and so far this contest it appears to be a flicker of its former strength, so.......I'm still fairly optimistic about Mass Effect. Hmm, interesting. It's still possible for the day vote to exist in some capacity. In the past, the day vote results from the younger voters getting home from school in the US/Canada and showing their presence in a match. With the younger voters almost non-existent these days, it's more difficult to get an actual day vote in a match. It is the younger voters that generally have different taste in video games compared to older voters, which results in the ASV. The day vote can still exist when a game performs very well in the US and there is very little disparity in the game's popularity among different age groups. The day vote for Kingdom Hearts II was nowhere to be found in its match against MGS4, which suggests it's fairly popular among the younger voters and has very little popularity with the older voters. Wind Waker on the other hand showed a better day vote and it even managed to gain a total of 0.74% after reaching its low point of 72.04% against Pokemon X/Y. I see Zelda as a series with less disparity in the game's popularity among different age groups, so it can actually show an actual day vote from the US voting in larger numbers to counter the European/Asian voters that result in Zelda's weak night vote. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Yeah, if a game is more popular in some continents than others trends are going to continue to exist to some extent. Someone else (I forget who) mentioned that cell phones having internet now should smooth out the trends since people can vote pretty much whenever (but still only while they're awake!) --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
I've been on a damn phone this entire contest. What a pain. |
I woke up and I checked the results. I have to say. 1st match=Of course Smash would win by a lot. 2nd match=The first comeback of the contest! 3rd match=Guess we don't have rallies for Mine Craft. 4th match=FF 7 is doing very well. Nice! --- Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing? |
What are the series with the best and worst day/night votes traditionally? |
B8 heavily going against critic opinions in this round, with ME > SMG 2 and FF 7 > Journey being major upsets. EDIT: And SMG 2 fixes it! (edited 11/8/2015 3:02:45 AM)report |
tennisboy213 posted... What are the series with the best and worst day/night votes traditionally? KH day vote king, Crono Trigger best night vote. --- www.wizards.com/mtg/images/daily/arcana/388_final.jpg |
Lead
under 50 now after two fairly massive cuts for this time of day. Kind
of expect more stalls to come, but if not we could have a lead change in
15-20 minutes. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? (edited 11/8/2015 3:12:02 AM)report |
That's a monatrous cut. ME's closing in. |
I
wouldn't rate Chrono Trigger as having the best night vote out there.
It's true that Chrono Trigger has a good night vote, but that's only
true up until we reach the dead zone (4:00 AM to 6:00 AM EST) where the
UK voters really start making their presence visible. Chrono Trigger is
very weak in the UK. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
