Well that canceled out the last cut. And then some.
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Raytan7585 is better than me at redditFAQs
Big push back by DQ8, hope this is still interesting by morning.
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BGE3: Today's Matches CT>R&C, P3>DQ8, Batman>MMX, FFX>HL
Points 0/0
I tried to dig through DQ match trends earlier but there isn't much that's conclusive. it went about even with Chrono Cross so it's probably a night game. Persona.. is probably slightly more day vote oriented if I had to guess, but not by much.

cn's site is down for me right now so I can't dig into that Civ match. I forget how that went.
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xyzzy
11/4/2015 10:14:49 PM#154
transience posted...
I tried to dig through DQ match trends earlier but there isn't much that's conclusive. it went about even with Chrono Cross so it's probably a night game. Persona.. is probably slightly more day vote oriented if I had to guess, but not by much.

cn's site is down for me right now so I can't dig into that Civ match. I forget how that went.


P3 did really well during the night and died during the morning. It outright lost a couple of hours to Civ IV.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Pretty sure Civ gained during the day.
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Ctesjbuvf posting on his phone.
I meant in comparison to DQ8. going even with Chrono Cross doesn't give me much hope with a day vote. those old Square games are as night oriented as anything.
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xyzzy
11/4/2015 10:17:04 PM#157
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

You can see my old trend charts here if you can't bring up cn's site.

I have to keep in mind that these GOTD matches were 12 hour things. DQ8 definitely did better with the day vote than CC did.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Alucard also did better with the day vote than Falcon
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
LongLiveraytan
it looks like Chrono Cross's best time was the morning vs. DQ8? or I guess that was a day match?
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xyzzy
Something I've always wondered, do CN and NGamer accept donations to support their sites?
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy -trancer1
lol xstats
Batman's starting to gain little by little. I really think the day vote will give him a big enough push.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kRZAk2rfESU
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Tangy's Quest to beat the Final Fantasies: I, II, III, IV, V, VI, VII, VIII, IX, X, XII, XIII
11/4/2015 10:22:24 PM#162
transience posted...
it looks like Chrono Cross's best time was the morning vs. DQ8? or I guess that was a day match?


It was a day match, yeah.

So CC's best time was the night, and DQ8 did better with the ASV.

Not surprising considering how awful CT (and Square in general) is with the day vote.

(Yes, I know DQ8 is technically Square, too)
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
for what it's worth, Persona is winning NA while DQ8 is winning Europe. this match is a total tossup, I think.

edit: I suck. Persona is winning Canada, not the US.
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xyzzy
(edited 11/4/2015 10:23:34 PM)report
11/4/2015 10:23:57 PM#164
Yeah, I expect DQ8 to build up a decent lead once we hit dead of night in a couple of hours. It'll just be a matter of how big of a lead it gets to see if P3 comes back.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
Personally, I've got this theme on the background instead:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zJM_DPqV50c

...It's still Persona! Just a fluffier version.
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Currently watching: Avatar: The Last Airbender
11/4/2015 10:26:29 PM#166
Also, Batman is outright winning in the UK right now, so I expect it to get over the 40% mark once the Euro vote hits full swing.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
LeonhartFour posted...
Also, Batman is outright winning in the UK right now, so I expect it to get over the 40% mark once the Euro vote hits full swing.


Is Mega Man X one of those series that never made a real splash in Europe, like CT?
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Agent Triple Zero at your service!
Future 2015 Guru Contest winner.
Well, that's because Mega Man in general is weak in the UK, so expect Mega Man X to collapse during the night vote.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
11/4/2015 10:27:49 PM#170
Pretty sure a lot of Mega Man games (if not all?) were never released in Europe.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
LeonhartFour posted...
Pretty sure a lot of Mega Man games (if not all?) were never released in Europe.


I think Mega Man's weakness in Europe is almost 100% because of the UK. If you look at the poll maps for various Mega Man matches, you'll see that Mega Man does well in various European countries, but really bad in the UK.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
I expect MMX to finish at around 57-58%. it had a hell of a start but it's going to fall fairly close to expectations when all is said and done.

Chrono Trigger is the only one so far that's really breaking my pre-contest perception.
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xyzzy
-LusterSoldier- posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
Pretty sure a lot of Mega Man games (if not all?) were never released in Europe.


I think Mega Man's weakness in Europe is almost 100% because of the UK. If you look at the poll maps for various Mega Man matches, you'll see that Mega Man does well in various European countries, but really bad in the UK.


AKA the 'The UK has terrible taste' factor
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy -trancer1
lol xstats
The Arkham series is huge in the UK.

Just look at Arkham Knights sales there.
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Video Games are pretty cool.
(edited 11/4/2015 10:30:10 PM)report
11/4/2015 10:30:18 PM#175
Yeah, I don't think anyone realistically expected this from CT, even accounting for R&C being one of the weakest games in the bracket.

Wonder if Mario 3 can break 90% on AoE2.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
DQVIII possibly benefiting from Dragon Quest Heroes? it seemed well liked and came out just few weeks ago.
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...
LeonhartFour posted...
Yeah, I don't think anyone realistically expected this from CT, even accounting for R&C being one of the weakest games in the bracket.

Wonder if Mario 3 can break 90% on AoE2.


I'd take AoE2 over R&C easily, especially since it got the HD remaster.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy -trancer1
lol xstats
11/4/2015 10:31:32 PM#178
R&C got an HD remaster, too!
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
100 VOTE BARRIER for Dragon Quest
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http://i.imgur.com/M1heX2g.jpg
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
the first thing I thought when I saw CT was 'oh god what's going to happen to aoe2'

I had been banking on CT being the #2 blowout and Mario 3 the #1.
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xyzzy
transience posted...
Chrono Trigger is the only one so far that's really breaking my pre-contest perception.


I had Chrono Trigger at 81.36% and even that's on the high end for the Oracle predictions on this match. I had a feeling Chrono Trigger was going big in this match because even Golden Sun was able to put up about 68% on Ratchet & Clank.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
LeonhartFour posted...
R&C got an HD remaster, too!


But noone cares about crappy 3-D platformers!
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy -trancer1
lol xstats
999 vs R&C

who you got
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Your signature is automatically appended to the bottom of every post you make. Your 'About Me' message is displayed on your profile page. You can include any in
11/4/2015 10:32:27 PM#184
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
R&C got an HD remaster, too!


But noone cares about crappy 3-D platformers!


who cares about...

whatever genre AoE2 is
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
GranzonEx posted...
999 vs R&C

who you got

Ratchet and Clank... without even thinking too. >_>
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
abdou posted...
DQVIII possibly benefiting from Dragon Quest Heroes? it seemed well liked and came out just few weeks ago.


It may have been SFF'd by Chrono Cross harder than we thought.

Or the Akira Toriyama factor, given Chrono Trigger.

Finally, the last possibility is simply that the X-stats were right about this match and persona did not get any stronger over the last 5 years.
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http://www.wwe.com/f/wysiwyg/image/2015/04/20150408_gameofthrones_cena.jpg
http://i.imgur.com/chXIw06.jpg
transience posted...
the first thing I thought when I saw CT was 'oh god what's going to happen to aoe2'

I had been banking on CT being the #2 blowout and Mario 3 the #1.


I'll put money on LttP scoring the biggest blowout. Wouldn't be shocked if OoT breaks 90% on Hearthstone as well.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy -trancer1
lol xstats
i figured the absolute best CT could do was around 83%, and i have it losing in the semi-finals (could it still get as low as 83%?).
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http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif
11/4/2015 10:33:27 PM#189
Whoa, nearly a 60% update for DQ8 there.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
999

It's fanbase I think is generally stronger than R&C's, plus has cooler box art.
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Tangy's Quest to beat the Final Fantasies: I, II, III, IV, V, VI, VII, VIII, IX, X, XII, XIII
LeonhartFour posted...
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
R&C got an HD remaster, too!


But noone cares about crappy 3-D platformers!


who cares about...

whatever genre AoE2 is


RTS > 3-D platformers not named Mario
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy -trancer1
lol xstats
Hearthstone is definitely rallyable. I would not be surprised if it overperforms. Unless all the players know it's dead in the water anyway against OOT and don't bother trying. If there's no rally, OOT is scoring well over 90%.
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Raytan7585 is better than me at redditFAQs
It's taken me over 90 minutes but I just discovered the matches are on the boards page... but at the very bottom.

...huh.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
11/4/2015 10:36:51 PM#194
xp1337 posted...
It's taken me over 90 minutes but I just discovered the matches are on the boards page... but at the very bottom.

...huh.


Ha, so they are.
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http://i.imgur.com/3DwCNLJ.gif
xp1337 posted...
It's taken me over 90 minutes but I just discovered the matches are on the boards page... but at the very bottom.

...huh.

not for me

edit: oh, you mean the board list page, not board 8. yeah it's there.
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http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif
(edited 11/4/2015 10:39:21 PM)report
Huh, you're right. The matches are on the boards page at the bottom. I don't think that's going to hurt vote totals at all since I imagine most people are voting from the homepage anyways.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
TheOneAboveAll posted...
Hearthstone is definitely rallyable. I would not be surprised if it overperforms. Unless all the players know it's dead in the water anyway against OOT and don't bother trying. If there's no rally, OOT is scoring well over 90%.


Hearthstone is missing the one thing that a rally candidate needs: a rabid no-life fanbase. I don't think anyone cares about card battle games.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy -trancer1
lol xstats
TheOneAboveAll posted...
Hearthstone is definitely rallyable. I would not be surprised if it overperforms. Unless all the players know it's dead in the water anyway against OOT and don't bother trying. If there's no rally, OOT is scoring well over 90%.


I do plan to vote Hearthstone - but that's because OoT is a really whatever game to me.
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http://www.wwe.com/f/wysiwyg/image/2015/04/20150408_gameofthrones_cena.jpg
http://i.imgur.com/chXIw06.jpg
I'm not THAT impressed with CT's performance here. It's good, but it's mostly to be expected.

Golden Sun of all games nearly broke 70% against Ratchet: UYA during GOTD.

I love the Ratchet & Clank series, but it's nothing but fodder in these contests.
BT, you're wrong. Hearthstone has a pretty rabid fanbase. Small, but very devoted.
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Raytan7585 is better than me at redditFAQs

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