GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1191
LeonhartFour posted... yeah I'm sure it'll tell us a lot about the upcoming contest Well, I like seeing extreme trends in any form, even if the poll isn't relevant to the contests. I didn't track this poll when we had it last year since I assumed the trends would be boring. And they probably would have been boring if it wasn't for Allen including a gap between the "4-12 hours" and "1-7 days" options by forgetting to include the "12-24 hours" option. So I concluded the extreme trends were caused because last year's poll forgot to include the "12-24 hours" option. This poll caught me by surprise last year when it turned out to have extreme trends. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Poll updates and trend charts for yesterday's poll: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19Wn_J5VmJMGmloMT2PG1_tmShofhXX-Jm0tvJaR6CMM/pub?gid=868782136 I also included the poll updates from the 2014 poll, most of which was obtained from the same data GameFAQs uses for their poll graphs. I won't be focusing on the 2014 poll, as I will be discussing the trends of the 2015 poll instead. The "Paused game" option performed best during the board vote, Power Hour, and SNV. It dropped off a bit during the night vote, but even that time period was above average for it. It hits rock bottom during the early morning vote, which was its worst time period. The late morning vote was slightly better than the early morning vote, but still fairly bad. It does much better during the ASV, where it comes close to making a return to its Power Hour strength. The SNV ended up being similar to its Power Hour. Starting from the 1:00 AM update where it had 18.31%, the "Paused game" option lost a total of 5.62% to reach its lowest percentage of 12.69% at 2:40 PM. After that point in time, it gained a total of 1.44% over the remainder of the poll to finish with its final percentage of 14.13%. "Less than 1 hour" had a strong board vote and Power Hour. It continued to remain strong during the night vote, but even that doesn't tell the whole story as it started dropping off pretty hard during the final hour of the night vote. It performed worst during the early morning vote and even the late morning vote wasn't much better either. It does much better during the ASV, but even that was a fairly average time period for "Less than 1 hour". The SNV was even better than the ASV, but it fails to regain the same strength it had during the Power Hour. "Less than 1 hour" reached its maximum percentage of 24.66% at 1:05 AM. After that point in time, it lost a total of 8.54% to reach its lowest percentage of 16.12% at 7:05 PM. After reaching its lowest percentage, it only gained a total of 0.39% over the remainder of the poll to finish with a final percentage of 16.51%. At one point, "Less than 1 hour" had a maximum vote lead of 185 over "4-12 hours" at 1:40 AM before "4-12 hours" started making a comeback. This 185 vote lead was wiped out in less than 3 hours, with the lead change happening at 4:25 AM. "4-12 hours" would then go on to reach a maximum vote lead of 3613 at 7:20 PM before "Less than 1 hour" started stalling out "4-12 hours" for the rest of the poll. "4-12 hours" ultimately finished the poll with a 3580 vote lead over "Less than 1 hour". "Less than 1 hour" also reached a maximum vote lead of 422 over "1-7 days" at 5:00 AM. However, this vote lead took longer to wipe out, with the lead change happening at 10:05 AM. Once this lead was wiped out, "1-7 days" would go on to reach a maximum vote lead of 1122 at 10:35 PM before the 2 options stalled each other out for the remainder of the poll. The final lead for "1-7 days" was 1115 at the end of the poll. "1-4 hours" had a strong board vote and Power Hour. It dropped somewhat during the night vote, but even that was easily above average for it. It hit rock bottom during the morning vote and had a very terrible morning vote as a whole. It started doing better during the ASV, but even that was a fairly average time period as a whole. It does even better during the SNV, but fails to regain the same strength it had during the Power Hour. Starting from the 1:00 AM update where it had 20.51%, "1-4 hours" lost a total of 9.65% to reach its lowest percentage of 10.86% at 5:45 PM. After that point in time, it gained a total of 0.60% to finish with a final percentage of 11.46%. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
"4-12
hours" had the most extreme trends in this poll. It had a really
terrible board vote and Power Hour. When the night vote started, it was
slowly gaining strength every hour before reaching its maximum strength
during the morning vote. Overall, the night vote was fairly average if
you look at its performance as a whole. It performed best during the
morning vote as a whole, although its best hours were concentrated
during the earlier part of the morning vote. It started dropping off
during the later part of the morning vote and was slowly losing strength
every hour before hitting rock bottom for the last 4 hours of the poll.
Overall, it had a terrible ASV and a very terrible SNV that was only
slightly better than its Power Hour. Starting from the 1:00 AM update
where it had 17.30%, "4-12 hours" gained a total of 18.68% to reach its
highest percentage of 35.98% at 1:30 PM. After that point in time, it
lost a total of 4.34% over the remainder of the poll to finish with a
final percentage of 4.34% "1-7 days" had a terrible board vote and Power Hour. The night vote was also pretty bad, although it was slightly better than the Power Hour. It performed even better during the morning vote, but even that was a fairly average time period as a whole. It performed best during the ASV before dropping off somewhat during the SNV. The SNV was a fairly average time period for "1-7 days", but it was still much better than its terrible Power Hour. Starting from the 1:00 AM update where it had 14.92%, "1-7 days" gained a total of 6.36% to reach its highest percentage of 21.28% at 10:35 PM. After that point in time, it lost only 0.06% to finish with a final percentage of 21.22%. "More than a week" had the least noticeable trends in this poll. The Power Hour and night vote was the worst time period for "More than a week". The morning vote was fairly average as a whole, while the ASV and SNV were slightly above average. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Yay, new contest. Now I have a reason to post --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog |
-LusterSoldier- posted... "Starting from the 1:00 AM update where it had 17.30%, "4-12 hours" gained a total of 18.68% to reach its highest percentage of 35.98% at 1:30 PM. After that point in time, it lost a total of 4.34% over the remainder of the poll to finish with a final percentage of 4.34% Whoops, that second 4.34% should actually say 31.64% instead. Anyways, I emailed creativename about the nomination form and he responded back to me already. I told him that the first match will begin on November 5th. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
No Man's Sky is totally not coming in October lol |
While WWE 2K16 gets snubbed from the poll entirely! --- Nominate your favorites for the GameFAQs 20th Anniversary Best. Game. Ever. Contest: http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/bge20_nominate |
I like Tales games and all but its sad when no other games matter so much itll even win against Nintendo games --- http://myvideogamelist.com/mylist/superange128 http://myanimelist.net/profile/superange http://vndb.org/u6633/votes |
Tales
games have generally gotten destroyed in hype polls in the past, but
today's poll is the first time a Tales game is actually winning the
poll. I guess this October is just really weak for video games. In
most years, October tends to have a good line-up of games (not as good
as November, which is generally the strongest month on average for
games). --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Whoa,
that new Zelda game is next month? I don't think I've ever seen so
much apathy for a Zelda game, and frankly it's warranted. --- Courage is the magic that turns dreams into reality |
OrangeCrush980 posted... Whoa, that new Zelda game is next month? I don't think I've ever seen so much apathy for a Zelda game, and frankly it's warranted. It's really not warranted, that game is fun with 3 players, as is intended. --- "The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima raytan: Champ without picking the champ |
nominate Solitaire --- sharp. distance. |
Have we seen Minecraft in a contest before? --- Formerly known as Dilated Chemist |
Was Mincecraft even that popular in 2010? We had Steve and Creeper in the character battle, they did horribly. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Congrats to raytan for winning the Guru Contest |
charmander6000 posted... Was Mincecraft even that popular in 2010? When I hear people talk about Minecraft IRL I never heard anyone talk of these characters --- http://myvideogamelist.com/mylist/superange128 http://myanimelist.net/profile/superange http://vndb.org/u6633/votes |
While true, I don't expect Minecraft to be too strong. Maybe World of Warcraft level at best... --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Congrats to raytan for winning the Guru Contest |
Minecraft probably won't be too strong, but it'd be worth seeing. It could give us an interesting bracket debate. Minecraft vs Persona 4? --- "The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima raytan: Champ without picking the champ |
Um.... Persona 4, I guess. The casuals will probably predict a Minecraft vs. World of Warcraft final. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
I'm
curious to see how Persona 4 will do in general. It should be the
strongest non-Kingdom Hearts JRPG since 2002 if nothing else. --- Courage is the magic that turns dreams into reality |
When
the site alert for the nomination form goes up tomorrow, there are 2
possible site alerts that could be used. There is a generic site alert,
where the color of the site alert matches the GameFAQs layout color
that you are currently using to browse the site. So if you have the
default blue color, the generic site alert will also be blue. Then you
have the more important site alert, which shows up in yellow no matter
what color setting you are currently using. You can compare the 2 different site alerts by checking these archived pages out: http://web.archive.org/web/20130704212910/http://www.gamefaqs.com/ http://web.archive.org/web/20130708080357/http://www.gamefaqs.com/ I am expecting just a generic site alert to promote the nomination form. I wouldn't bet on a yellow site alert going up tomorrow. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
OrangeCrush980 posted... I'm curious to see how Persona 4 will do in general. It should be the strongest non-Kingdom Hearts JRPG since 2002 if nothing else. I might take Paper Mario: The Thousand Year Door over it. Also Dark So-*sniped.* --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
Here
is my random recommended list that I sorta put about 3 minutes into.
I'd prolly rank a few games in my personal list above Threads of Fate
but I figured the ones I'd recommend (Prolly FFX, Mass Effect 2, or
Assassin's Creed 2 are sure things to get in) so I didn't bother. Ace Combat 04: Shattered Skies Ace Combat 5: The Unsung War Front Mission 3 Gran Turismo 3: A-Spec Hearthstone: Heroes of Warcraft Metal Gear Solid Metal Gear Solid 2: Sons of Liberty Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater Sonic 3 & Knuckles Threads of Fate =P --- This life is just a game we play, that we can never win. But don't give up, no don't give up. |
Brave Fencer Musashi Metal Gear Solid Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater Sonic 3 & Knuckles Super Mario World The Legend of Dragoon Xenogears Breath of Fire III NIER Tony Hawk's Pro Skater So many memories. --- Formerly known as Dilated Chemist |
AxemRedRanger posted... OrangeCrush980 posted...I'm curious to see how Persona 4 will do in general. It should be the strongest non-Kingdom Hearts JRPG since 2002 if nothing else. You should definitely take TTYD > P4 if such a match happens. --- https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CJxwtAuWwAAbmea.jpg |
TTYD > P4 is a Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week. I hope P4 gets a more debatable matchup. --- "The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima raytan: Champ without picking the champ |
The
site alert for the nomination form is now up and running. As I was
most likely expecting, we got the generic site alert whose color matches
whatever color setting you use for GameFAQs. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! (edited 10/2/2015 11:04:04 AM)report |
Huh, the new contest is starting up. Guess it's time to get back to posting and get ready for the inevitable meltdowns. Don't suppose the guru pick has been made yet? Also, any good rallies going on? --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy IX - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3729662 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
raytan has a Guru pick yes, see here for deets http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/72549820 --- board8.wikia.com | thengamer.com/xstats Whoops, accidentally interviewed Zen instead of raytan on The Show, but congrats! |
Thanks for the link! Went ahead and made the nom. Now to think of other games to nominate. --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy IX - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3729662 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Hopefully, the phrasing of the site alert means we get a bracket on Monday. --- "What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!" This is Yesmar. Congrats to CBIX Guru Winner *Raytan*! |
There is still a possibility of getting Vote-In polls, which would take about 3 to 4 days. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Even
if nominations close by the end of the weekend, it doesn't seem likely
to me that he'd have the entire bracket done within a day. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
When I think about it, I really like the idea of four matches at a time in round 1. A problem with round 1 in most contests has been the fact that it takes up half of the time span of the total contest (though there are certainly reasons to consider that a good thing). If there are 128 1-on-1 matches, round 1 takes 16 days, round 2 takes 32 days (16 days if two matches are done per day), round 3 takes 16 days, round 4 takes 8 days, etc.... I like the thought of that. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
I
like the longer pacing. I won't be too bummed about it, but I'm not
particularly excited for shoehorning a crankton of matches for the sole
purpose of "yo gotta get these done before holidays". --- KeepinItFresh since uhh... hell I don't know. Pkmn Y: Banco // FC 4038-7387-9954 |
KeepinItFresh posted... I like the longer pacing. I won't be too bummed about it, but I'm not particularly excited for shoehorning a crankton of matches for the sole purpose of "yo gotta get these done before holidays". Indeed, I wish the contest had started sooner. But maybe the legal stuff was still in the works. --- "The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima raytan: Champ without picking the champ |
The
contest probably won't start earlier than October 19th That gives us
31+30+5 days = 66 days to complete the contest before Christmas. Still
not enough time if we wanted to run the contest like the 2010 character
battle.... If four matches were done per day in round 1, and two matches per day in round 2, then.... R1 = 16 days, R2 = 16 days, R3 = 16 days, R4 = 8 days, R5 = 4 days, R6 = 2 days, R7 = 1 day.... the contest will be 63 days long. So if the contest was designed this way, and if it needed to finish by December 24th, then the game contest will need to start by October 22nd. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." (edited 10/3/2015 10:46:14 AM)report |
Haste_2 posted... When I think about it, I really like the idea of four matches at a time in round 1. For reference, here is how each round is set up: Round 1 - 4 matches per day (16 days) Round 2 - 4 matches per day (8 days) Round 3 - 2 matches per day (8 days) Round 4 - 1 match per day (8 days) Round 5 - 1 match per day (4 days) Round 6 - 1 match per day (2 days) Round 7 - 1 match per day (1 day) However, some of the more serious stats topic posters have shown some concern for reduced vote totals as a result of running multiple matches at the same time. We already suffer from reduced vote totals from the 12-hour format, so even if we get reduced vote totals from running multiple matches at the same time, at least it will be neutralized by the fact all the matches are 24 hours. Although the bigger concern would be that some matches are expected to be hurt more than others, since the matches farther down on the homepage should get less votes than the ones near the top of the page. We're not sure what kind of layout Allen has in mind for displaying the matches on the homepage and this could be very important in terms of reducing the severity of the vote total reduction from running multiple matches at the same time. Allen should also consider simplifying the voting process by allowing people to vote in multiple matches at the same time with one click of the "Vote" button. Haste_2 posted... The contest probably won't start earlier than October 19th That gives us 31+30+5 days = 66 days to complete the contest before Christmas. Still not enough time if we wanted to run the contest like the 2010 character battle.... The contest starts on November 5th. It will be a 47 day contest. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! (edited 10/3/2015 10:47:29 AM)report |
The contest starts on November 5th. It will be a 47 day contest. Ah. Darn. I've been so behind on the latest contest news this year. I wish we didn't have to wait that long. So it ends December 22nd, then, if my math was correct. Because I have a hard time believing we'll have four weeks between the bracket being posted and the contest starting, we'll probably have to wait at least another week for the bracket to be created then? Hopefully there will be some vote-in polls shortly, though. ;) --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
Assuming
nominations close next Friday, we will probably get about 3 to 4 days
of Vote-In polls. After that, I would expect the bracket to be revealed
on October 13th or 14th. That would give us a solid 3 weeks to fill out
a bracket. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
swirIdude posted... KeepinItFresh posted...I like the longer pacing. I won't be too bummed about it, but I'm not particularly excited for shoehorning a crankton of matches for the sole purpose of "yo gotta get these done before holidays". I'm not sure how much the legalities mattered here since SB was planning a different contest earlier this summer and this contest next year. Scrapping the worst-character contest and moving this up probably did change some legal paperwork, but it seems from my outsider-POV like that wouldn't be reason enough. I suspect SB planned it like this, or had some other snag along the way. --- M E N: nominate Metal Man in 20XX! http://i.imgur.com/Dr4NAeq.png |
I'm
also not sure why, unless Bacon/the site workers are going on vacation
for more than 1-2 weeks post Christmas, the contest wasn't just set up
to take a break for Christmas and then resume afterwards instead of
being all jammed together like it is. This can't be easier for Bacon. --- "What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!" This is Yesmar. Congrats to CBIX Guru Winner *Raytan*! |
Yeah,
and there's really nothing he can do if there's a weird glitch one day
(like what happened with Ryu Hayabusa and Jill back in 2004, for
instance). He's basically backed himself into a corner if something goes
wrong. --- https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CJxwtAuWwAAbmea.jpg |
LeonhartFour posted... Yeah, and there's really nothing he can do if there's a weird glitch one day (like what happened with Ryu Hayabusa and Jill back in 2004, for instance). He's basically backed himself into a corner if something goes wrong. I was thinking the same thing, since with the weird new formatting a glitch might be more likely, and with possibly low votals due to all the matches going on at once, an otherwise minor event might have more of an effect. He does have some built in failsafes, since I believe the contest is set to end on the 21st, so the 22nd and 23rd can be used if necessary. --- "What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!" This is Yesmar. Congrats to CBIX Guru Winner *Raytan*! |
Bump. |
We want the damn bracket! --- "The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima raytan: Champ without picking the champ |
We want the darrn bracket! --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
When do nominations actually close? |
From the first post of the sticky: SBAllen posted... Nominations will be open until... well, whenever we don't need them anymore I suppose. --- https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CJxwtAuWwAAbmea.jpg |
