GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1189
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"Hey, we may possibly have a contest announced during this topic's existence but probably not" edition. ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Oh, good. Allen was smart enough to combine both versions of Smash into one option. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Smash Bros. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Apparently we needed that handicap to make things interesting though. --- Hope Dream Discovery Adventure Awaits For You and Your Pokemon |
I
would how close to second place the 3DS version would have gotten. Also
I guess there's no reason to have a final poll. No System of the Year
poll is unfortunate, though. --- No amount of rallying would let me beat raytan7585. Congrats to raytan7585 for winning the CB9 Guru Contest! |
Although
given how bad Smash Bros. is destroying this poll, there probably
wasn't a need to run a 3-way GotY poll. Although I'm still disappointed
that we aren't getting a System of the Year poll. With the top 2 games
being on Wii U, I'd be interested in seeing where the Wii U currently
stands on this site compared to the PS3, PS4, and 3DS. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Smash Bros. 3DS might have gotten second. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Congrats to raytan for winning the Guru Contest |
tag |
charmander6000 posted... Smash Bros. 3DS might have gotten second. it turns out that the answer to this question really doesn't matter in regards to top 2 being Wii U! |
2004
votes at the end of the first hour. So this poll will finish somewhere
between 19000 and 22000 votes. It's still too early to tell if this
one is going to break 20000 votes. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
I wonder if this site cares about Dark Souls at all. Then I remembered that Dark Souls was somehow 12th in that recent top 100, while Brawl was 54th and even polls and character battle performances seem to indicate Brawl losing steam on the site. And yet here Smash is beasting the poll again. I'd blame this on name value, but if Dark Souls is as popular on this site as the top 100 suggests, that shouldn't be the case. Then again, Chrono Trigger was #1 there and yet all other info we have suggests that CT has been dropping like a rock over the past few years. Who knows? --- Play Pac-Man World 2. |
LinkMarioSamus posted... I wonder if this site cares about Dark Souls at all. I'm sure Dark Souls would be a fairly strong game, but in a contest setting Brawl would have absolutely no problem in beating it. This era has blind love for Pokemon R/B, OoT and Smash games. Chrono Trigger I think can beat FF X or VI or VII because of how low vote totals have been.The game for me to watch out would be Skyrim, as it has the potential to be the 3rd to 15th strongest game >_> As more years pass pass, seems like more people appreciate Majora's Mask. I would expect other games like Lttp, TP and WW to be slightly stronger. |
Actually polls and the top 100 indicate that TP has been getting weaker if anything. Also RBY was only #35 in the top 100, and the highest-ranked Pokemon game was GSC at #28. So that's another place where the top 100 goes against the trends we can infer, as for how Poke-crazy this site seems to be otherwise nothing from that series was in the top 25 somehow. On the other hand, a certain other Nintendo series that Pokemon has smoked in past polls got two games into the top 20, I am of course referring to Metroid. Although those were the only two Metroid games in the top 100 at all and given the series has had two huge gaps between the release of any games I would not be surprised if the series' strength in a contest setting would still be suspect regardless of how strong Super Metroid, Metroid Prime, and Samus herself are. Skyrim was 13th on the list in case you're curious. I'd take FFVI > FFX now. FFVI > FFVII is a risky prospect given FFVII was still #3 in the top 100 (only one spot aghad of VI though), very impressive if I do say so myself. Again that does seem to go a little against the "FFVII is going down" trend we've seen otherwise. Perhaps Squaresoft games just performed well on that list due to the rules, and they're real problem is more lack of playrate than anything else. --- Play Pac-Man World 2. |
Aw yeah Bayonetta 2. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Raytan > Me |
That is unfair. Why are 2 different games on 2 different systems count as one? --- Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing? |
Safer_777 posted... That is unfair. Why are 2 different games on 2 different systems count as one? Probably because they came out around the same time and have the same roster (though I agree with you that they're different enough games to warrant being separate games). I really wonder how Mario Kart 8 would've done in this field if Smash wasn't in. --- Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
LinkMarioSamus posted... Actually polls and the top 100 indicate that TP has been getting weaker if anything. RBY was probably a victim of the format. Pokemon LFF (D/P are the only bad main series Pokemon games), combined with FR/LG being meh remakes while G/S/C got the excellent HG/SS, and most importantly... RBY is a huge game that almost everyone on this site played, but it is really old and glitchy and user-unfriendly nowadays. Not exactly top 5 material, but many people would put it in their top 20. It's also possible that RBY's strength is more in its characters than the games themselves. I know they did well in 2009, but 2010-2013 was when they really went nuts and those were character battles (+GotD). It makes sense, since the RBY mons have the anime, TCG, and most of the games propping them up, and the trainers at least have RBY, GSC, and maybe the anime. I don't really trust Final Fantasy X nowadays. Too many people hate that game. The HD rerelease helps, but the new PS4 version and people whining about rehashing might throw that boost away. I'd definitely take VI > X and CT > X. VII is weird and I don't know what to think of it. I think I'd risk the VI and CT upsets, but I wouldn't recommend it. Then again I'm a contest noob so take all this with a grain of salt. --- Hope Dream Discovery Adventure Awaits For You and Your Pokemon |
But but FFX was #10 in that list! I also just remember that Persona 4 made the top 20 despite having proven itself to be fodder in two contests. Wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the re-release made a difference...oh wait that was on PS Vita, whoops. Lol Sony can't make good handhelds. EDIT: While it's highly unlikely that P4 is *that* strong, it has gotten a lot more exposure in the past few years no? So it's probably fodderline at absolutely worst. --- Play Pac-Man World 2. |
Wait someone seriously thinks Wind Waker would beat Majora's Mask after GOTD? Ugh. --- Play Pac-Man World 2. |
LinkMarioSamus posted... I wonder if this site cares about Dark Souls at all. isn't Dark Souls 2 considered worse than the original that's your answer |
If anything, I'd be somewhat tempted to take X over VII in a games contest at this point. --- Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
1337gamerpr0 posted... LinkMarioSamus posted...I wonder if this site cares about Dark Souls at all. Sure maybe it is, doesn't stop it from being considered one of the best games this year. --- Play Pac-Man World 2. |
LinkMarioSamus posted... 1337gamerpr0 posted...LinkMarioSamus posted...I wonder if this site cares about Dark Souls at all. two things 1. games like Dark Souls fare much better in the top 100 because they have a dedicated but smaller fanbase (basically the inverse of RBY) 2. Dark Souls 2 being considered a disappointment definitely matters, even on a site like GAF where half the members think Dark Souls is the best thing ever, Dark Souls 2 isn't even gonna crack top 4 for the year |
Okay watchmojo.com picked DS2 for GOTY, so I was assuming. --- Play Pac-Man World 2. |
In
the overall GotY poll, Dragon Age: Inquisition just barely manages to
avoid being doubled by Smash Bros. In fact, if both versions were
separate options in this poll, they would have to split the votes almost
50/50 just for Dragon Age: Inquisition to win the GotY poll. Which
would be almost impossible, as one version of the game would have done
well enough to avoid losing the GotY poll. This year's GotY poll just barely surpassed 21000 votes. If there had been a 3-way GotY poll, that one might have gotten around 24000-25000 votes based on the increase in vote totals going from the 10-way poll to the 3-way poll. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
I am still suprised that core Nintendo games dominate so much. --- Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing? |
For no reason I feel like asking if SOTC's strength from GOTD would be expected to stay. Going by the top 100 the answer is that SOTC might be a bit weaker. --- Play Pac-Man World 2. |
Zelda winning, of course....there are so many better series on that list </opinion> --- ... |
Disappointed at the lack of Persona 5 in the poll |
swordz9 posted... Disappointed at the lack of Persona 5 in the poll Yeah, thats an easy #1 for me. I went for Tales since its not there. --- http://i.imgur.com/UaAgTdD.gif http://i.imgur.com/wfKV5gG.gif http://i.imgur.com/KsJP9Rv.gif http://raptr.com/badge/RyanSaotome/fs_lastplayed.png |
Probably
would've voted for Phantom Pain regardless because we at least have a
lot of info on it. Hard to get hyped about Persona 5 off of one trailer
that didn't show or tell us much of anything. --- http://i848.photobucket.com/albums/ab48/Leonhart4/giphy_zps1fe99c19.gif |
abdou posted... Zelda winning, of course....there are so many better series on that list </opinion> Methinks Zelda would be winning by a lot more in this site's heyday. --- Play Pac-Man World 2. |
Nintendofaqs what you expect? Anyway KH 3 is second at least. --- Why do we exist?What happens when we stop existing? |
Because Kingdom Hearts doing well is SO much better than Zelda doing well, personal tastes aside. --- Play Pac-Man World 2. |
KH
III doing well in today's poll is definitely quite unexpected.
Considering how long it has been since the last console KH, that this
site would just lose any hope of ever getting another console KH ever
again. As for what this means for Sora, it's possible that KH III could replenish some of the strength that Sora has lost over the past several years. I don't think it will take him back to his 2006 level, though. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Kingdom Hearts 3 was almost on Half-Life 3 levels of most wanted sequels before it was announced. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Congrats to raytan for winning the Guru Contest |
FF
really seems to be on the decline on this site. Never thought FFX HD
would lose to KH2.5HD. I'm not surprised to see KH3 doing well since
people have wanted it for a while. More people might be growing tired of
FFXV taking forever to come out. This is like year 9 since it was
announced. |
Final
Fantasy has lost much of its relevance since the PS2 era, while Kingdom
Hearts was born on the PS2 and has expanded since then. It makes sense. --- "The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima raytan: Champ without picking the champ |
LinkMarioSamus posted... abdou posted...Zelda winning, of course....there are so many better series on that list </opinion> would it though? Final Fantasy would be significantly stronger |
Zelda winning (again) also it's sad we have so many 'remasters' that we get a poll like this... --- ... |
Yesterday's
poll did very well in vote totals, managing to get over 27000 votes.
The original title poll got really bad vote totals (although this is
normal for that poll). And it looks like the upcoming remake/remaster
poll will end up getting slightly higher vote totals than the original
title poll. Today's poll had 2036 votes at the end of the first hour, putting it on track for 19000 to 22000 votes. Definitely better than the original title poll, but well behind the upcoming sequel poll. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
When is the contest, i can't wait for Zelda dominance, baby. 5 or 6 Zelda games making into the top 15 would be so sweet. /sarcasm --- This person is a well-known troll, please don't take his words too seriously. http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/user.php?=2426382 |
swordz9 posted... Never thought FFX HD would lose to KH2.5HD I'm not really surprised. The KH fanbase is a lot more hardcore, plus these Final Mix editions are definitely a bigger deal in the community than the International versions. Then you have Birth By Sleep being playable for the first time on consoles, versus X-2 which...is not very popular. --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png LongLiveraytan |
This
poll could really use a "maybe when it has more exclusives" or
something else along those lines, but it's not surprising to see most
people satisfied with their current model or not wanting one at all. |
Why put the non-XL option when there are currently no announcements for it --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png LongLiveraytan |
It's available in non-NA regions. --- Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Oh I thought it was just exclusive to Japan --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png LongLiveraytan |
Bump --- No amount of rallying would let me beat raytan7585. Congrats to raytan7585 for winning the CB9 Guru Contest! |
pjbasis posted... Why put the non-XL option when there are currently no announcements for it The funny thing is that the non-XL option has a US and Canada percentage only slightly lower than the worldwide average despite the non-XL version being unavailable in those 2 countries. I didn't track poll updates for that poll, but it seems like there weren't any noticeable trends in the New 3DS poll (based on the poll graphs) despite the non-XL version of the New 3DS being unavailable in North America. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
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