#1 | Whiskey_Nick | Posted 9/30/2014 8:27:35 PM | message detail
I was told to stop Ulti. Did I do good Ngamer?

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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Not changing this sig until the Bengals, Bills, Lions and Redskins win the Super Bowl (10/10/10)
Because. -SBAllen
#2 | WiggumFan267 | Posted 9/30/2014 9:40:37 PM | message detail
first
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~Wigs~ R.A. Dickey: 2012 NL Cy Young Winner
Johan Santana: Pitcher of the New York Mets First No-Hitter
#3 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/30/2014 11:47:45 PM | message detail
#4 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/2/2014 7:51:49 PM | message detail
Bump
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No amount of rallying would let me beat raytan7585.
Congrats to raytan7585 for winning the CB9 Guru Contest!
#5 | tennisboy213 | Posted 10/3/2014 6:06:48 AM | message detail
the topic that almost didn't happen
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Because. -SBAllen
#6 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/4/2014 10:20:30 PM | message detail
Bump
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No amount of rallying would let me beat raytan7585.
Congrats to raytan7585 for winning the CB9 Guru Contest!
#7 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/6/2014 9:59:09 PM | message detail
Bump again.
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No amount of rallying would let me beat raytan7585.
Congrats to raytan7585 for winning the CB9 Guru Contest!
#8 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/8/2014 6:51:50 PM | message detail
This topic was probably made a bit too early.
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No amount of rallying would let me beat raytan7585.
Congrats to raytan7585 for winning the CB9 Guru Contest!
#9 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/10/2014 6:32:21 PM | message detail
Yeah, it was. The topic was made very early as a direct result of this conversation in the AIM chatroom "board8chat":

Im Ngamer (12:22:49 AM): yes Wigs very exciting, 1187 will be the last Stats Topic ever
Luster Reloaded (12:23:17 AM): Ngamer, no it won't be. There will be a new stats topic created after the current one reaches 500.
WoodwindWhrlwind (12:23:31 AM): oh luster, never change
Im Ngamer (12:23:43 AM): yes Wigs very exciting, 1188 will be the last Stats Topic ever
Im Ngamer (12:25:34 AM): Luster I'm counting on you to make the topic so it's not Ulti telling people to play LoL for the rest of my life
Luster Reloaded (12:26:18 AM): I will try to make the next topic before anyone else can. But it's still a little too early to make the next topic.
theRPGlord95 (12:28:50 AM): Ngamer I made a topic
WoodwindWhrlwind (12:28:51 AM): nick already did
theRPGlord95 (12:28:55 AM): before Luster could
theRPGlord95 (12:28:56 AM): I am Nick
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
#10 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/10/2014 6:46:36 PM | message detail
That's a load off my mind.
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Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#11 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 10/12/2014 11:14:09 AM | message detail
worth it?
#12 | Whiskey_Nick (Topic Creator) | Posted 10/12/2014 11:23:20 AM | message detail
so worth it
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Not changing this sig until the Bengals, Bills, Lions and Redskins win the Super Bowl (10/10/10)
Because. -SBAllen
#13 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/13/2014 7:29:08 PM | message detail
Bump
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No amount of rallying would let me beat raytan7585.
Congrats to raytan7585 for winning the CB9 Guru Contest!
#14 | swirIdude | Posted 10/14/2014 3:49:48 PM | message detail
2 weeks later, we can finally use this topic.
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"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
raytan: Champ without picking the champ
#15 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/14/2014 3:56:10 PM | message detail
What percentage of this topic's posts will be Luster's?

Hell, what percentage will be TRE bumping it?
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Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#16 | 2Dover3D | Posted 10/14/2014 4:40:57 PM | message detail
first time I've stopped around here in a while but I'm wondering if theres been any talk at all about another contest? The last one was over a year ago
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#17 | Magmortar75 | Posted 10/14/2014 5:18:12 PM | message detail
Allen has said there are plans to get a contest going in 2015. That's...about all we know.
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I'm this guy who may or may not actually be a table. I am mostly definitely not a Magmortar. That username has not reflected my tastes for years.
#18 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/14/2014 6:32:17 PM | message detail
Tomorrow's poll will be "Got Vita?". I have no idea why we are having a "Got Vita?" poll tomorrow. It's not like a new Vita model is being released tomorrow.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
#19 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/14/2014 8:13:31 PM | message detail
Alright, so the release of PlayStation TV is the reason why we are having "Got Vita?" today. That clears up the reason behind running "Got Vita?" for today.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
#20 | LeonhartFour | Posted 10/15/2014 2:19:57 AM | message detail
swirIdude posted...
2 weeks later, we can finally use this topic.


You mean Luster can finally use this topic.
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#21 | swirIdude | Posted 10/15/2014 6:17:37 AM | message detail
Luster used this topic even before it was time!
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"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
raytan: Champ without picking the champ
#22 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/15/2014 2:31:08 PM | message detail
I only posted here once before the previous topic reached 500 and that was to respond to TRE's post (and bump this topic).
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
#23 | LeonhartFour | Posted 10/15/2014 5:59:44 PM | message detail
#24 | MysticBrohan | Posted 10/15/2014 6:01:10 PM | message detail
what even is this topic why were there 1200 of them we've had like 9 contests
#25 | LeonhartFour | Posted 10/15/2014 6:02:44 PM | message detail
#26 | swirIdude | Posted 10/17/2014 6:55:30 AM | message detail
Your reaction when SBAllen announces an all-fictional characters contest for 2015?
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"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
raytan: Champ without picking the champ
#27 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/17/2014 12:25:00 PM | message detail
Dread for the inevitable Twilight Sparkle/Doge final.
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Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#28 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/17/2014 9:05:42 PM | message detail | (edited)
Today's poll is in the running to finish with under 20000 votes. With 2023 votes at the end of the first hour, this poll is on track to finish between 19000 and 21000 votes. If this poll does finish with under 20000 votes, it would be the 4th poll just in the last 3 months to finish under 20000 votes.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
#29 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/18/2014 4:31:22 PM | message detail
With 3 1/2 hours left in this poll, it looks like it will definitely reach 20000 posts. So this poll can avoid becoming the 4th non-GotY poll this year to finish under 20000 votes.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
#30 | LeonhartFour | Posted 10/18/2014 4:31:39 PM | message detail
#31 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/18/2014 9:18:22 PM | message detail
Yesterday's poll just barely reached 20000 votes, but now today's poll is also in the running to possibly finish under 20000 votes. Today's poll is at 2021 votes at the end of the first hour.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
#32 | spooky96 | Posted 10/19/2014 9:05:35 AM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
That's a lot of posts.


I laughed way too much than I should have <_<
#33 | OrangeCrush980 | Posted 10/19/2014 9:08:41 AM | message detail
By next contest, sub-20000 vote polls will be the norm.
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http://i.imgur.com/0Xtvv3Y.png
#34 | Magmortar75 | Posted 10/19/2014 11:02:23 AM | message detail
And that's a scary thought. How long is it going to be until 5k, 4k, 3k, 1k votes is going to be needed to turn a match on its head?
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I'm this guy who may or may not actually be a table. I am mostly definitely not a Magmortar. That username has not reflected my tastes for years.
#35 | LeonhartFour | Posted 10/19/2014 11:03:23 AM | message detail
Which is why I'm getting less and less enthusiastic about the prospects of a new contest.
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http://i848.photobucket.com/albums/ab48/Leonhart4/giphy_zps1fe99c19.gif
#36 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/19/2014 1:07:21 PM | message detail
Now imagine how stupid a Fictional Character contest would get with these votals.
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Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#37 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/19/2014 8:01:09 PM | message detail
And today's poll easily had no problems surpassing 20000 votes.

Also, time for an FFVI playrate poll. This should get much better vote totals than the previous 2 polls.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
#38 | LeonhartFour | Posted 10/19/2014 8:01:10 PM | message detail
#39 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/20/2014 2:54:55 AM | message detail
As of right now, FFVI has a playrate of 62.42%. For reference, FFVIII had a playrate of 69.70% in a poll about 1 1/2 months ago.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
#40 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/20/2014 11:33:59 AM | message detail
That partly explains Kefka randomly beasting the past two contests.
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Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#41 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/20/2014 2:16:55 PM | message detail
I don't think we can say with any certainty as to whether Kefka has been beasting lately because the playrate of FFVI has also gone up during the same time period. This is our first FFVI playrate poll, so we don't know what playrate FFVI would have gotten in a poll several years ago.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
#42 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/20/2014 3:46:40 PM | message detail
Do we have anything for FF7 or FFX play rates?
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#43 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 10/20/2014 4:02:11 PM | message detail
FFVII's most recent playrate in 2009 was 70.83% but vote totals were around their peak back then. It'd be higher now due to gamefaqs' retreat into its core demographic.
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
[NO raytan NO PEACE]
#44 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/20/2014 8:13:45 PM | message detail
FFVI finished with a playrate of 63.17% in yesterday's poll. The vote totals weren't quite as good as the FFVIII playrate poll, with this poll getting about 2000 votes less than the FFVIII poll.

The playrate page has been updated: http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Have_You_Played
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
#45 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2014 10:45:03 PM | message detail
Whiskey_Nick posted...
I was told to stop Ulti. Did I do good Ngamer?


People still don't have that dude on ignore?
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Main_Page, Rest in peace Kazbar :(
#46 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/22/2014 7:20:33 PM | message detail
Bump
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No amount of rallying would let me beat raytan7585.
Congrats to raytan7585 for winning the CB9 Guru Contest!
#47 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/23/2014 6:46:58 AM | message detail
Luster, what is your analysis so far on GameFAQs users' piss habits?
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Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#48 | OrangeCrush980 | Posted 10/23/2014 6:48:17 AM | message detail
Luster, surely you're tracking this? We need to know the trends for "Yes, I usually keep a bottle or other container beside me during long play sessions"
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Courage is the magic that turns dreams into reality
#49 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/23/2014 10:59:41 AM | message detail
I am not tracking this poll.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
#50 | LeonhartFour | Posted 10/24/2014 11:03:19 AM | message detail
UltimaterializerX posted...
Whiskey_Nick posted...
I was told to stop Ulti. Did I do good Ngamer?


People still don't have that dude on ignore?


Ignore him for what reason? He posts even less than you do.
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