GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1187
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Today's
poll will help to reinforce the idea that 2 consecutive polls with an
identical set of options will result in the second poll getting much
lower vote totals than you would normally expect. Today's poll has 294
votes at the freeze, which is lower than the 301 votes for the EA Access
poll at the freeze. And the EA Access poll got under 20000 votes. I
still think it's unlikely today's poll will get under 20000 votes. Over the past 4 days (including today's poll), we have had 2 sets of polls with an identical set of options: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5588 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5589 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5590 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5591 The second poll in each set got much lower vote totals than usual, because people who voted in the first poll of each set (Poll 5588 and 5590) are less likely to notice Poll 5589 and 5591. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
basically these polls suck. --- ... |
While
I agree that Poll 5589 and 5591 suck, Poll 5588 is historically known
for having a history of pulling in vote totals well above the average.
Even Poll 5590 had above average vote totals. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
1900
votes at the end of the first hour for today's poll. For reference,
the EA Access poll from 4 days ago had 2044 votes at the end of the
first hour and finished with 19193 votes. Today's poll is most likely
finishing under 20000 votes and this is a poll that anyone could have
answered. Yesterday's poll is clearly having an effect on vote totals
in today's poll, as people voting in yesterday's poll have no idea a new
poll just went up today, thanks to the identical set of poll options in
both polls. Today's poll should finish between 18000 and 21000 votes. I'm not completely ruling out the possibility that this poll will reach 20000 votes, but it's definitely bad news when this poll is already behind the awful EA Access poll in vote totals at this point in time. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Today's
poll has managed to beat my prediction of 18000 to 21000 votes, so it
seems like today's poll also got off to a slow start in vote totals. If
it wasn't for yesterday's poll, I think today's poll could have gotten
between 24000 and 27000 votes. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
I am totally going to track poll updates for today's poll. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
These
new poll URLs suck. After Bacon made the poll URLs shorter last year
before the start of the Character Battle, he now goes and makes them
even longer. If you want to see what the new poll URLs look like, check out this poll: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5593 It will redirect you to the new poll URL. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Considering you can put whatever and it still works, I'm fine with it. See: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5593-i-do-not-have-anything-witty-to-put-here-because-i-am-not-clever So you can still use the old URLs fine, and the new ones will actually be more descriptive. --- Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
235-pantera-discussion-board --- Donny: Are they gonna hurt us, Walter? Walter: No, Donny. These men are cowards. |
Not_Wylvane posted... Considering you can put whatever and it still works, I'm fine with it. See: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5593-i-do-not-have-anything-witty-to-put-here-because-i-am-not-clever If I am going to link to any poll URLs in the future, I will be using the following format: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5593- Of course, the "5593" may be replaced with a different Poll ID depending on what poll I decide to link to. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
-LusterSoldier- posted... Of course, the "5593" may be replaced with a different Poll ID depending on what poll I decide to link to. On the other hand, every poll I link to from now on will be to 5593, regardless of whether it's actually relevant to the conversation. --- Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
It
appears that the new poll URLs have introduced a different way of being
able to figure out what tomorrow's poll will be, even if the poll is a
completely original poll idea. Previously, I could only figure out the poll question for future polls only if they had the same poll question as a poll that happened in the past. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
let's just rename this to "POTD Stats and Discussion" and get it over with --- http://i848.photobucket.com/albums/ab48/Leonhart4/giphy_zps1fe99c19.gif |
Poll updates and trend charts for yesterday's poll: https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgBWiYjlMLwYdGlvVk04ekY0QlNDaHliMmNnbmVlNkE&gid=1 "Blizzards" and "Hurricanes" had the most balanced trends over the course of the entire poll. "Earthquakes" had an average board vote, but ended up having a below average Power Hour. "Earthquakes" performed best during the night vote, because of Asia. To a smaller extent, the western US could have also contributed to the good night vote for "Earthquakes" since they are 3 hours behind the eastern US (where voting would drop to an all-time low during the deep night vote). "Earthquakes" even managed to win an entire hour over "Tornadoes". "Earthquakes" reached a maximum percentage of 22.28% at 7:00 AM before losing 1.62% over the remainder of the poll. The morning vote was below average, but after the first 4 hours of the morning vote, "Earthquakes" remained fairly consistent until around 7:00 PM when it started performing better over the last 5 hours of the poll. "Floods / Tsunamis" had a below average board vote and a bad Power Hour. It started doing better when the night vote started and slowly gained strength as we headed deeper into the night vote. It performed best from 4:00 AM to 6:00 AM. "Floods / Tsunamis" also managed to win 2 whole hours against "Tornadoes". "Floods / Tsunamis" dropped off when the morning vote started and remained fairly consistent from 7:00 AM to 6:00 PM. Due to Europe still having a strong presence in the poll during the day vote, "Floods / Tsunamis" continued to gain percentage until 1:30 PM, where it had its maximum percentage of 24.81%. Although it was mostly struggling to gain percentage after 10:00 AM. After 6:00 PM, "Floods / Tsunamis" started dropping off even more as a result of Europe going to sleep. In addition to the first hour of the poll, "Floods / Tsunamis" also performed terribly during the last 6 hours. "Tornadoes" had an above average board vote, but finished the Power Hour looking much better than its board vote percentage. Then the night vote kicks in and "Tornadoes" starts dropping off harshly. It performed worst from 4:00 AM to 6:00 AM. "Tornadoes" lost its first update to "Floods / Tsunamis" at 1:55 AM and reached its maximum lead of 673 at 3:20 AM. "Floods / Tsunamis" managed to cut off a total of 98 votes to bring the lead down to 575 (at 6:10 AM). The largest cut was only 17 votes. But after 6:10 AM, "Tornadoes" starts increasing its lead again. "Tornadoes" reached its lowest percentage of 31.39% at 7:00 AM. After that point in time, it gained a total of 2.37% over the remainder of the poll. "Wildfires" performed worst during the board vote and Power Hour. It performed best during the night vote and early morning vote because of Australia. After the early morning vote, it dropped off slightly and remained consistent for the rest of the poll. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Are
you tracking trends for today's screen-punching poll? I want to see how
salty various peoples of the world get at video games. --- Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Nope, I am not tracking trends for today's poll. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
I just rage-punched my monitor after reading that post. --- Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Polls for the next 3 days: 8/9/2014 - Do you download all of the free games offered each month with Xbox Live or PlayStation Plus? 8/10/2014 - Who do you live with? 8/11/2014 - Have you ever created a level or stage for a video game? The current trick that allows me to see the poll question for future polls did not reveal the entire question for tomorrow's poll, so I assumed the full question also includes "PlayStation Plus" (I saw most of the question up to the "or" part. The only poll worth tracking poll updates for is the 8/10/2014 poll. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
bump --- Congratulation to raytan. Guru Champ of Reddit's Character Battle IX |
Poll updates and trend charts for yesterday's poll: https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgBWiYjlMLwYdE9BTnYtVEdvR19TemJBS0tacURUaGc&gid=3 With this poll happening on a weekend (and during the summer), the trends were slightly different compared to the previous 2 times we had this poll. The polls from 10/12/2012 and 2/10/2011 were both on a weekday during the school year. "My parents" performed best during the board vote and Power Hour. In fact, "My parents" actually had a much better board vote and Power Hour in this poll compared to the 10/12/2012 poll. This could easily be explained by the fact this poll happened on a weekend, so the kiddies and college students were more likely to be online when this poll went up, not having to worry about going to school/college on this day. "My parents" continued to remain strong during the night vote, getting over 51% in every hour of the night vote. Despite performing very well during the night vote, "My parents" still lost slightly over 3% during the night vote. "My parents" began to drop off after one hour into the morning vote. The morning vote on the weekend typically starts after 7:00 AM instead of 6:00 AM for weekday polls. At 7:00 AM, "My parents" had 53.64% and lost a total of 4.57% over the rest of the poll. This is a far more severe drop compared to the same time period in the 10/12/2012 poll. This type of severe drop was attributed to the stronger board vote and Power Hour for "My parents" as a result of the weekend poll, allowing "My parents" to have a higher percentage at 7:00 AM in this poll compared to 7:00 AM in the 10/12/2012 poll. Also, "My parents" did not lose a single update to "My significant other" during this poll, although it came within 2 votes of a tied update (at 7:10 AM). Because this poll was on a weekend, there wasn't any real ASV in this poll. At least in the 10/12/2012 poll and 2/10/2011 poll, "My parents" could take advantage of the ASV to reclaim of the percentage it lost during the morning vote. However, this poll did not have an ASV. So once "My parents" dropped off severely during the morning vote, it pretty much flatlined for the rest of the poll and made no attempt to show off any trends resembling an ASV. This was somewhat surprising because in the age polls that have happened on a weekend, "9-12" and "13-16" actually had ASV trends during the morning vote and day vote (the hours from roughly 6:00 AM to 6:00 PM). "Other family members" had a slightly above average board vote, but a good Power Hour overall. It remained strong during the night vote. Just like "My parents", it began dropping off after 7:00 AM (one hour into the morning vote). After 7:00 AM, "Other family members" was performing slightly below average for the rest of the poll. The trends were fairly similar to "My parents", but they were less extreme. "My significant other" had a very awful board vote and Power Hour. Even during the night vote, it was still performing pretty badly. "My significant other" never had any hour over 17% during the first 7 hours of this poll. After 7:00 AM, it did not have a single hour below 18% for the rest of the poll. "My significant other" started performing much better at the same time that "My parents" dropped off during the morning vote. "My significant other" had 14.72% at 7:00 AM and gained 4.15% over the rest of the poll. Once it began performing much better during the morning vote, "My significant other" remained pretty consistent for the rest of the poll. It performed best during the SNV. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
"One
roommate" had an bad board vote and Power Hour. It performed slightly
better during the night vote, but even that was below average. It also
performed badly during the early morning vote. It performed best during
the late morning vote, day vote, aned SNV. "Multiple roommates" had an average board vote and slightly below average Power Hour. The night vote was slightly above average. It performed worst during the early morning vote. It was slightly below average in the late morning vote. The day vote was fairly average, but it performed best during the SNV. "Just my pet(s)" had the most consistent trends overall. "Nobody at all" had an awful board vote and Power Hour. It performed better during the night vote. But it was the early morning vote where it performed best. It dropped off slightly during the late morning vote and day vote. Near the end of the poll, it went back to performing badly during the SNV. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Wonder
how guys like Vegh, Saxon, Luster, etc actually keep up with their
gimmicks in the past decade. They are extremely consistent and never
seem to break characters. --- Man is not the creature of circumstances. Circumstances are the creatures of man. |
-Zelmor- posted... Wonder how guys like Vegh, Saxon, Luster, etc actually keep up with their gimmicks in the past decade. They are extremely consistent and never seem to break characters. Have you seen Luster's videos? --- Donny: Are they gonna hurt us, Walter? Walter: No, Donny. These men are cowards. |
Nope, anything i am missing out? --- Man is not the creature of circumstances. Circumstances are the creatures of man. |
-Zelmor- posted... Nope, anything i am missing out? Luster is no gimmick --- Donny: Are they gonna hurt us, Walter? Walter: No, Donny. These men are cowards. |
So
did he ever reveal why he is so obsessive and concerned about the daily
poll, i mean not even Bacon himself would give a damn about the trend
of the polls. Regardless, at least he's keeping the contest stats topic alive, so no complaint from me. --- Man is not the creature of circumstances. Circumstances are the creatures of man. |
-Zelmor- posted... So did he ever reveal why he is so obsessive and concerned about the daily poll, i mean not even Bacon himself would give a damn about the trend of the polls. This is none of your concern. Besides, most polls aren't worth tracking in the first place. On average, there might be around 3 or 4 polls per month that I will track poll updates and trends for. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Just mercy kill this topic, Ulti. Please. --- http://i848.photobucket.com/albums/ab48/Leonhart4/giphy_zps1fe99c19.gif |
Just
make a Luster Stats and Discussion topic while we use this one to post
"bump" over and over since we've apparently discussed every single
possible scenario there is to discuss with these contests. --- Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
I for one thoroughly enjoy Luster's analyses I wish he'd analyse every single poll --- Metroid Prime, Super Meat Boy speed runs: http://www.youtube.com/user/wgtan01 |
Rank the following non-Nintendo/Square midcarders in order of strength: Mega Man X Big Boss Ryu Dante Zero GLaDOS Leon Kennedy Sub-Zero Commander Shepard (listed them by my ranking of them) --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] [NO raytan NO PEACE] |
Mega Man X Big Boss Ryu Dante Zero Shepard Leon Sub-Zero GlaDOS Might consider Zero over Dante and Ryu though. Coming up for a year since the last contest ended. --- We are living our lives Abound with so much information |
Zero Zero beats everyone. |
Mega Man X Big Boss Ryu Shepard Zero Dante Leon Sub-Zero GLaDOS |
Tomorrow's poll: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5601-25-years-after-the-us-launch-did-you-ever-own-a-sega-genesis-mega-drive-and-its I couldn't see the full question, but I have a general idea of what tomorrow's poll will be about. I'm guessing the word "add-ons" will appear in the poll question after the word "its". --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
Here was the last time we had a poll similar to today's poll: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3576- In the above poll, 46.27% never owned a Genesis. As of 12:30 AM in today's poll, 49.02% have never owned a Genesis (combined percentage for the last 2 options). I expect that overall percentage to drop overnight because of Europe. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
fun fact: as of this post Luster is responsible for exactly 1/3 of all posts in here |
Only 1/3? Gotta step it up, Luster! --- Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
*decreases ratio of Luster:Not Luster posts* --- Metroid Prime, Super Meat Boy speed runs: http://www.youtube.com/user/wgtan01 |
Luster Solider Stats and Discussion --- "The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima raytan: Champ without picking the champ |
at least he keeps the topic going... I really hope we get a contest announcement soon. A games contest would be great. --- ... |
-LusterSoldier- posted... It appears that the new poll URLs have introduced a different way of being able to figure out what tomorrow's poll will be, even if the poll is a completely original poll idea. And that trick has been fixed already, so I can no longer use it anymore. I did figure out tomorrow's poll before it got fixed. Several minutes after tomorrow's poll was inputted into the database, the trick I used to figure out tomorrow's poll got fixed. I wouldn't be surprised if tomorrow's poll was replaced by something else instead. Tomorrow's poll - How many of the eight home releases of the Mario Kart series have you owned? There's still an alternative way of figuring the poll question of a future poll, but it only works on polls that have the same exact question as a poll that happened in the past. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ! |
I'm tempted to return to this topic and take over like Euron Greyjoy returned to Pyke. *looks for flunky to blow dragon horn* |
NO GODLESS MAN MAY SIT THE STATS TOPIC CHAIR! --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog |
And here we see part of why Kefka's suddenly become hilariously strong. He also clearly got rSFFed by GlaDOS. Now watch him completely bomb against L-Block or something if we ever get another contest. --- Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Wow, The Boss being rather decent despite being the least favored archetype by today poll. --- Man is not the creature of circumstances. Circumstances are the creatures of man. |
Bump --- No amount of rallying would let me beat raytan7585. Congrats to raytan7585 for winning the CB9 Guru Contest! |
Rank the following in a console contest in order of strength: NES Genesis Gamecube Dreamcast Xbox Wii PS3 Xbox 360 Wii U --- http://i.imgur.com/0Xtvv3Y.png |
NES PS3 Xbox 360 Gamecube Genesis Wii Dreamcast Wii U Xbox --- Current Let's Play: Mother 3 - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652080 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
NES PS3 Gamecube Wii (I think the Wii might be able to outperform the Gamecube indirectly though it gets rSFFd in a 1v1 match) Genesis Xbox 360 Wii U Dreamcast Xbox --- "What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!" This is Yesmar. Congrats to CBIX Guru Winner *Raytan*! |
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