Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1186

#51 | abdou | Posted 2/13/2014 10:08:49 PM | message detail
Vincent can't even beat Jill now ..
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#52 | Big Bob | Posted 2/13/2014 10:14:02 PM | message detail
Hah.
#53 | superange128 | Posted 2/13/2014 10:59:54 PM | message detail
abdou posted...
Vincent can't even beat Jill now ..


he can't even double Ivy Valentine
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#54 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 2/14/2014 12:13:50 AM | message detail
guys, Vincent probably sucks now but I think you're overreacting just a little here
#55 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 2/14/2014 12:17:08 AM | message detail
This just makes Suit Vincent's presence even more irritating, because Phoenix Wright could have totally scored a legit win.
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#56 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 2/14/2014 12:34:30 AM | message detail
Vincent/Magus, who wins?
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#57 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/14/2014 12:46:57 AM | message detail
Hahaha, Vincent sucks.
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#58 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/14/2014 12:56:19 AM | message detail
I get the feeling that Jill may have boosted between contests. Only reasons I can think of are Resident Evil: Revelations and the possibility that she gets some sort of nostalgia boost (similar to Crash and Spyro?).

Of course, new games generally seemed to do jack squat for boosting their characters' popularity and Jill did worse against Mega Man than she did against Samus in '10, which looks especially damning considering who Mega Man lost to later on. So who knows?
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#59 | red sox 777 | Posted 2/14/2014 1:20:37 AM | message detail
Crono > Cloud

Forget Sephiroth, FFVII has fallen and it's time to attack for maximum damage.
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#60 | JJH777 | Posted 2/14/2014 1:45:07 AM | message detail
Wow what is this poll. Vincent is so horrible now. I don't understand how he dropped so much.
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#61 | Nanis23 | Posted 2/14/2014 1:45:45 AM | message detail
Pic factor is a thing
#62 | -Zelmor- | Posted 2/14/2014 2:19:51 AM | message detail
Pics probably do matter abit but this poll f***ing outright stated that he's Vincent Valentine from FF7.

From being near elite to getting wrecked by a midcarder Jill Valentine, LOL FF7.
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#63 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 2/14/2014 3:10:45 AM | message detail
AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

So it wasn't just Vincent getting a horrible pic that caused him to suck hard. He would've choked to Phoenix F***ing Wright anyway.
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#64 | Safer_777 | Posted 2/14/2014 6:05:06 AM | message detail
Come on now people choose Jill because it is Valentine's day. You would pick the dude over the girl?
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#65 | charmander6000 | Posted 2/14/2014 6:27:31 AM | message detail
Pretty much, I would've been surprised if Jill wasn't winning
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#66 | HaRRicH | Posted 2/14/2014 8:20:15 AM | message detail
Santa would beat Link on Christmas Eve, too...ahem.


We've seen Vincent drop awhile and just refused to believe it. Today aside, he did lose to Phoenix Wright and not impress against KOS-MOS in the last contest (with a good pic). Tifa also did significantly better against Sephiroth than Vincent too. Since he has FF7 in his option here, there's no confusion.

Vincent VS Phoenix, one-on-one, normal pics and post-Dual Destinies...I'll take Phoenix. Vincent has changed and it's not like the rest of FF7's crew is looking impressive lately.
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#67 | Surskit | Posted 2/14/2014 8:36:26 AM | message detail
The question is tricky since it says "who is your favorite Valentine?", which could be understood as "which of these would you prefer for a date?". Which Jill wins, easily.
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#68 | Luis_Sera89 | Posted 2/14/2014 8:50:50 AM | message detail
#69 | pjbasis | Posted 2/14/2014 8:57:20 AM | message detail
#70 | superange128 | Posted 2/14/2014 10:57:54 AM | message detail
Surskit posted...
The question is tricky since it says "who is your favorite Valentine?", which could be understood as "which of these would you prefer for a date?". Which Jill wins, easily.


So then on a site with 90%+ male population, 30%+ would date a guy?

not that I deny there are homosexual people here but 30% would seem a bit much
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#71 | JustForFun1988 | Posted 2/14/2014 1:36:36 PM | message detail
The minority defending Vincent again, lol. Just accept it, Vincent sucks now.

It's like every time Cloud/Sephiroth/Zack/Vincent embarrass themselves, the same delusional fanboys would come out and defend them with some fallacious and poorly formed logic.

K idiotic fanboys, Cloud/Sephiroth/Zack/Vincent all haven't dropped one single bit, Cloud and Sephiroth would totally annihilate every non-Link character, Vincent is still the strongest near elite. GET REAL already guys.
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#72 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 2/14/2014 1:39:16 PM | message detail
Surskit posted...
The question is tricky since it says "who is your favorite Valentine?", which could be understood as "which of these would you prefer for a date?". Which Jill wins, easily.


This is a good point, it probably plays a role. Yes, Vincent is a lot weaker, but this affects a lot.
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#73 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 2/14/2014 1:39:50 PM | message detail
Pfft, how dare you not want to live in a world where Jill Valentine beats every non-Clinkeroth character!
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#74 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/14/2014 1:48:31 PM | message detail
Well...I've never interpreted "valentine" to mean that, plus the poll answers clearly indicate the question.

Still, Vincent is getting destroyed. It can probably account for Jill's overperformance, especially seeing how Jill herself wasn't all that impressive last contest (well, she was in her individual matches, but doing worse against Mega Man than against Samus in '10, when Mega Man lost to Samus later that contest, plus the only thing Samus getting between contests being...that), but man.
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#75 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 2/14/2014 5:14:26 PM | message detail
If you take this poll seriously, it and KOS-MOS/Vincent imply Jill would get around a doubling on KOS-MOS.

Reasonable at this point?
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#76 | Surskit | Posted 2/14/2014 5:26:48 PM | message detail
superange128 posted...
Surskit posted...
The question is tricky since it says "who is your favorite Valentine?", which could be understood as "which of these would you prefer for a date?". Which Jill wins, easily.


So then on a site with 90%+ male population, 30%+ would date a guy?

not that I deny there are homosexual people here but 30% would seem a bit much


I'm not saying everyone considers this, I'm just saying many could think of it this way. Casual voters, especially, may not be familiar with all these characters' full names and it could be a random poll to them.
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#77 | superange128 | Posted 2/14/2014 5:29:45 PM | message detail
even if at least 15%+ people voted for Jill on the basis of "being their valentine" Vincent would still look pretty terrible
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#78 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/14/2014 9:29:06 PM | message detail | (edited)
Polls for the next several days:

2/15/2014 - I don't know. Probably an original poll idea.
2/16/2014 - Do you still own a GameCube?
2/17/2014 - Do you still own a Dreamcast?
2/18/2014 - Do you still own a PlayStation?
2/19/2014 - Do you still own a Nintendo 64?
2/20/2014 - Do you still own a Saturn?
2/21/2014 - Do you still own an Xbox?
2/22/2014 - Do you still own a Super Nintendo?
2/23/2014 - Do you still own a Sega Genesis?
2/24/2014 - Do you still own a Nintendo Entertainment System?
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#79 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 2/14/2014 9:58:30 PM | message detail
superange128 posted...
even if at least 15%+ people voted for Jill on the basis of "being their valentine" Vincent would still look pretty terrible


I don't think any people here are denying that he sucks now
just that he doesn't suck that badly
#80 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/14/2014 10:01:46 PM | message detail
Whoa, high vote totals so far in this poll.
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#81 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/14/2014 11:53:55 PM | message detail
AxemRedRanger posted...
If you take this poll seriously, it and KOS-MOS/Vincent imply Jill would get around a doubling on KOS-MOS.

Reasonable at this point?


Probably, considering that KOS-MOS hasn't had a new game of her own in years, and her games were never very popular or even all that highly-regarded.
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#82 | MegaWentEvil | Posted 2/15/2014 12:30:09 AM | message detail
Come on now people choose Jill because it is Valentine's day. You would pick the dude over the girl?


Saying as if all men were straight.
#83 | Responder | Posted 2/15/2014 4:28:33 PM | message detail
MegaWentEvil posted...
Come on now people choose Jill because it is Valentine's day. You would pick the dude over the girl?


Saying as if all men were straight.


Do you want a moral/political/religious debate?
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#84 | swirIdude | Posted 2/16/2014 4:53:37 PM | message detail
Responder posted...
MegaWentEvil posted...
Come on now people choose Jill because it is Valentine's day. You would pick the dude over the girl?


Saying as if all men were straight.


Do you want a moral/political/religious debate?


Only if you're debating which moral/political/religious figure can beat another in the X-Stats.
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#85 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 2/16/2014 8:41:12 PM | message detail
Gamecube ownership is pretty much the same as it was 5 years ago.
Huh.
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#86 | spooky96 | Posted 2/16/2014 10:36:21 PM | message detail
AxemRedRanger posted...
Gamecube ownership is pretty much the same as it was 5 years ago.
Huh.


Wait, why would you expect people to buy a GameCube in 2008 or 2009? Now if we were talking about the PS2, that would have been surprising if the ownership rate was the same.
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#87 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 2/16/2014 10:47:11 PM | message detail
Eh? I didn't say I expected people to buy a Gamecube in 2008 or 2009 or anything of the sort.

I was surprised so many people kept theirs. In fact, a slightly higher percentage has a Gamecube now than did then.
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#88 | spooky96 | Posted 2/17/2014 5:16:58 AM | message detail
AxemRedRanger posted...
Eh? I didn't say I expected people to buy a Gamecube in 2008 or 2009 or anything of the sort.

I was surprised so many people kept theirs. In fact, a slightly higher percentage has a Gamecube now than did then.


Oh, my bad. For some reason I assumed you meant it hasn't increased.
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#89 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 2/17/2014 10:15:22 AM | message detail
bahaha the top 100 thing fell out of this board entirely
good job!
#90 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 2/17/2014 12:37:37 PM | message detail
damnit
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#91 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 2/18/2014 8:32:47 PM | message detail
PS1 ownership has notably increased since 2009.

Wonder if we'll be seeing some other increases for dead systems due to the votal reductions. Probably.
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#92 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 2/19/2014 2:29:24 PM | message detail
So I think I finally figured out a way to prove that, yes, a character actually can be hurt by getting a new game. I know that the common wisdom is that no matter how much a game ends up being reviled, it still can't actively weaken a character's contest strength. I don't think this is true.

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/(1)Mario_vs_(9)Shadow_the_Hedgehog_2003

Remember how everyone was wondering how this match ended up as close at it was? And while it was surprising at the time, it became even more surprising in retrospect when Shadow " "underperformed" in numerous future matches. Since this was his first contest, people's baseline expectations of him were set based on his performance in it. Frankly, the only times since then that he's performed up to expectations were 2004, the very next contest, and 2013, by which point people's expectations of him had lowered to suit his new status. Only here's the thing: 2003 and 2004 were both when Sonic Adventure 2 was Shadow's only game. Shadow was awesome in SA2, but unfortunately, he was too awesome, so Sega decided that they had to find some way to bring him back despite him ostensibly dying at the end of that game, and it was only after they grossly mishandled this that Shadow became a hated character. Granted, as a one-game character he probably never would've gone on to great heights (although it didn't seem to hurt Crono too much at first, with the fact that said game is nearly two decades old being the biggest reason why it couldn't last), but I really think that his return from the dead actively weakened him as a character in these contests.

Just a random thought.
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#93 | swirIdude | Posted 2/19/2014 3:03:46 PM | message detail
Shadow had to be some kind of weird Mario/Sonic series rSFF, as I doubt Shadow was ever worth 45% on Mario indirectly. His appearances becoming terrible from there probably did weaken him, but not nearly as much as simply not facing Mario weakened him.

A better example is Lightning. Before her game came out, she was worth 36% on Sonic. Then it came out, disappointment with it and the later releases lingered, and she lost to LFFed Donkey Kong three years later.
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#94 | LOLContests | Posted 2/19/2014 3:31:59 PM | message detail | (edited)
Mario might have still been getting anti-voted somewhat in 2003. It would be really helpful if we had some clue how popular Wario was at the time. If you set Wario at 22 on BL that puts Shadow at 31 which is still pretty high. That's probably Wario's floor in 2008, but that's with Brawl in his corner.
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#95 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 2/19/2014 4:55:39 PM | message detail
After narrowly beating Shadow in 2004, Tidus got 35% on Mega Man.

Assume that stays constant for 2003 (Tidus's 2003 value being junk thanks to Magus) and you get Tidus and Shadow being worth 27% on base Link. Also puts Wario around 19%.

Then Shadow was still at least in the low 20's as of 2010. Not too bad considering that's 8 years removed from Sonic Adventure 2 Battle, which even if it had been strong at some point was not worth much by Game of the Decade later that year.
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#96 | HaRRicH | Posted 2/20/2014 10:17:03 AM | message detail
Lightning's the best example, though she didn't really have a game that gave her much strength; the only time she impressed was off of pure hype. At least you can argue Shadow got his 2003-strength from SA2:B, though I'd rather bet on Mario/Sonic-funkiness.
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#97 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/20/2014 12:53:46 PM | message detail
Increased hate for Square Enix overall may have played a part in Lightning declining in strength between years. Plus we've seen that hype generally does more for a character than an actual release.
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#98 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 2/21/2014 10:58:21 AM | message detail
This poll was only a month ago:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5397

61% of the site only owned an Xbox 360 or no Microsoft consoles at all. And then an additional percent or two likely owned only an Xbox One or only a 360 and a One.

And now today that's dropped to 57% so far.

I'm going to guess a notable amount of voters derped and answered yes to the poll because they have a 360. In their defense, today's poll doesn't specify "original Xbox" when it probably should have. Similar thing probably happened in the recent Playstation poll; it increasing back to 2005 levels of lifetime ownership after dipping significantly in 2009 sounds dumb, radically decreased votals or not.
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#99 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/22/2014 9:11:23 AM | message detail
The vote totals for these "Do you still own" polls have dropped off over the past several days. I blame the people who are either tired of seeing a string of similar polls, or they don't realize that a new poll has been going up each day. The same thing happened when we had these polls back in 2009. The first "Do you still own" poll from 2009 had the highest vote totals, while the last 2 polls had the lowest vote totals.

Vote totals from the 2009 polls:

103811 - Do you still own a GameCube?
93461 - Do you still own an Xbox?
88062 - Do you still own a Dreamcast?
89831 - Do you still own a PlayStation?
81251 - Do you still own a Saturn?
84674 - Do you still own a Nintendo 64?
81729 - Do you still own a Super Nintendo?
75265 - Do you still own a Sega Genesis?
75877 - Do you still own a Nintendo Entertainment System?

Out of the polls above, the lowest vote total had 27.50% less votes than the highest vote total. If that trend remains true for the current string of polls, the lowest vote total for this year's "Do you still own" polls should be 26480 votes, which is definitely possible if the vote totals drop off even more for the last 2 polls.
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#100 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 2/23/2014 8:55:13 PM | message detail
Bump.
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