Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1185

#251 | -LusterSoldier- (Topic Creator) | Posted 1/9/2014 9:55:01 PM | message detail
Dilated Chemist posted...
Ugh, why is TLOU losing here?

I'm sure the new Zelda game is good but TLOU is amazing.


Removing Mario really helped out Zelda here. Also, not having Phoenix Wright helps Zelda as well, because it means that Zelda is the only 3DS game in the poll.
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#252 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 1/9/2014 9:58:36 PM | message detail
Zelda still gobbling %s. Could be a close match all day like with the 8-way.
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#253 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 1/9/2014 10:06:36 PM | message detail
huh, first update out of the power hour and Zelda's still holding
let's see how this goes
#254 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 1/9/2014 10:15:11 PM | message detail
Wow.

Last of Us Power Hour is over.
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#255 | Zylothewolf | Posted 1/9/2014 11:35:58 PM | message detail
The law.
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#256 | HaRRicH | Posted 1/9/2014 11:45:27 PM | message detail
We've got a close one after all! How did TLoU/LoZ:LBW compare trend-wise yesterday?
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#257 | -LusterSoldier- (Topic Creator) | Posted 1/9/2014 11:49:28 PM | message detail
I'll post trend charts for yesterday's poll later on, but not right now.
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#258 | JJH777 | Posted 1/9/2014 11:59:47 PM | message detail
Wow what a turnaround. I guess it's not too surprising if you think about this site though. Zelda probably overlaps with literally everything to a large extent.
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#259 | Nanis23 | Posted 1/10/2014 12:10:20 AM | message detail
LBW having a shot here was obvious
The LFF of GTA V is really brutal,it feels kinda unfair
#260 | -LusterSoldier- (Topic Creator) | Posted 1/10/2014 12:15:57 AM | message detail
The LFF between GTA V and TLoU is pretty minimal at best. The LFF between Zelda/Mario is much greater than that of GTA/TLoU. The biggest thing that helped out Zelda was getting Mario out of the poll. Removing Phoenix Wright also helped out Zelda, making it the only 3DS game here.
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#261 | Nanis23 | Posted 1/10/2014 12:18:14 AM | message detail
And yet if you remove GTA V im sure it would be 60-40 in TLOU favor
#262 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 1/10/2014 12:23:45 AM | message detail
Nanis23 posted...
And yet if you remove GTA V im sure it would be 60-40 in TLOU favor

I'm having trouble seeing GTAV and LoU having 100% overlap. LBW vs LoU would be a reasonably close match 1v1.
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Harmony is peace. Peace is unity. Unity is harmony. I tell this to the King Nook. He ask me to leave.
#263 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 1/10/2014 12:27:45 AM | message detail
Well if LBW wins this it should meet the conditions for a 1-on-1 final-final between it and TLoU so we'll get to put the alleged overlap to the test.
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#264 | Nanis23 | Posted 1/10/2014 12:34:13 AM | message detail
The poll already has (final) in the title so I doubt there would be 1v1
Oh and my bad,55-45 sounds more likely (as 60% does mean 100% overlap)
#265 | TVontheRadio | Posted 1/10/2014 12:35:46 AM | message detail
The poll does say (Final) so we might not get the 1v1 we all want. Gonna have to push Allen to make it happen for a definitive GOTY for GameFAQs.
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#266 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 1/10/2014 12:50:19 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3363
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3364
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3365

Just because it's the "final" poll doesn't mean it's the final poll!
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#267 | TVontheRadio | Posted 1/10/2014 12:55:17 AM | message detail
Haha, I should have checked that! I do think that if Zelda collapses and TLOU comes back to win it, Allen won't bother with a final, final vote.

So uh... go Zelda?
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#268 | HaRRicH | Posted 1/10/2014 1:21:55 AM | message detail
I don't know if LoZ:LBW can hold on, but I like its chances tomorrow if it can win today. Even if GTAV/TLoU have stronger overlap, Nintendo generally does better with fewer options...so that overlap better be significant.

Also, if LoZ:LBW pulls this off, there'll be a fine argument that Pokemon X/Y could beat TLoU too. Win or lose, the 3DS has made major headway for a handheld system; it'll have two of the three strongest games this year for sure, and maybe even three of the top four if FE:A > GTAV. To this point, no handheld games have looked better in GotY-polls than Mario Kart DS barely getting second place in 2005 or Pokemon Black/White 2 narrowly losing to Xenoblade which took second last year.

To TLoU's credit, not many new IPs get this far either. Xenoblade took second last year, plus four other games have placed third: Dragon Age: Origins in 2009, Gears of War in 2006, God of War in 2005, and Kingdom Hearts in 2002.
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M E N: nominate Metal Man in 20XX!
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#269 | -LusterSoldier- (Topic Creator) | Posted 1/10/2014 1:24:32 AM | message detail
I just got the poll update spreadsheet back up to date again. Poll updates for today's poll so far:

https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgBWiYjlMLwYdGEwVlRnV3FIUC05SjQ2VWpNVHQzN2c

Now I can work on doing trend charts for yesterday's poll to see how TLoU and LBW did yesterday.
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#270 | -LusterSoldier- (Topic Creator) | Posted 1/10/2014 1:50:39 AM | message detail
Trends for yesterday's poll:

Time | GTA V | TLoU | LoZ:LBW
1:00 | 19.34% | 29.23% | 20.85%
2:00 | 17.50% | 31.13% | 20.52%
3:00 | 19.45% | 29.81% | 19.38%
4:00 | 19.64% | 28.18% | 20.87%
5:00 | 22.81% | 27.36% | 19.98%
6:00 | 20.93% | 31.98% | 17.21%
7:00 | 22.58% | 28.90% | 20.51%
8:00 | 21.61% | 29.13% | 21.17%
9:00 | 20.19% | 29.81% | 21.14%
10:00 | 21.52% | 27.88% | 20.68%
11:00 | 20.47% | 30.49% | 23.27%
12:00 | 19.53% | 28.52% | 22.25%
13:00 | 22.06% | 27.83% | 21.23%
14:00 | 22.85% | 28.97% | 19.03%
15:00 | 23.18% | 28.00% | 20.05%
16:00 | 21.15% | 28.20% | 20.64%
17:00 | 21.23% | 29.67% | 19.35%
18:00 | 19.75% | 25.65% | 20.22%
19:00 | 20.29% | 25.91% | 20.59%
20:00 | 20.89% | 31.56% | 21.16%
21:00 | 22.89% | 29.64% | 20.04%
22:00 | 20.42% | 28.35% | 21.54%
23:00 | 20.46% | 31.30% | 20.22%
24:00 | 22.77% | 29.84% | 19.24%

Time | GTA V | TLoU | LoZ:LBW
EBV | 21.26% | 24.67% | 20.73%
PHV | 19.34% | 29.23% | 20.85%
FNV | 19.62% | 29.86% | 19.76%
BSV | 21.37% | 29.31% | 20.96%
DSV | 21.47% | 28.68% | 21.04%
ASV | 20.98% | 28.25% | 20.62%
SNV | 21.58% | 30.60% | 19.75%

It's tough to read into those trends because all 3 games had very consistent trends over the course of the day. So yesterday's trends of are no use here when predicting what will happen in today's poll.
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#271 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/10/2014 3:08:03 AM | message detail
Hahaha, wow. Surprised Zelda was getting leeched that bad. Still think TLoU will gain more from GTAV than Zelda if we get a final final GotY tomorrow though.

Either winner is pretty cool. Either we get our first handheld GotY, or our first original IP GotY. Original IP winning a GotY would be much cooler, but TLoU is already sweeping GotY at most other sites so I'm cool with either winning.
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#272 | Safer_777 | Posted 1/10/2014 3:10:58 AM | message detail
GTA V managed again to finish 2nd in the previous poll. 2nd time that does that,it barely finished 2nd in the PS3 poll too. As for today Nintendofaqs.
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#273 | lightning-02 | Posted 1/10/2014 3:14:09 AM | message detail
lol zelda wins. This site is a farce, I liked albw a lot but it draws so heavily on lttp to the point where several elements and entire bosses are actual copy paste jobs.

But then this is the site that considers Skyward Sword the 2nd best game of 2011 and Majora's Mask the greatest game of the last decade so it seems you've really got to be a huge amount better than a Zelda game to get superior recognition here.

For people celebrating a handheld game doing well, don't kid yourself. There's a probable majority on this site (which is stuck in the 90's) who haven't played any game in the poll and are gravitating purely towards the Zelda name.
#274 | Safer_777 | Posted 1/10/2014 4:29:44 AM | message detail
Haven't all contests shown that Zelda games are dominating here? But a Zelda game on a handheld console beating GTA V and Last that goes too far. Anyway Zeldafaqs! But seriously now no matter how good this Zelda game is it doesn't deserve to win. Eh.
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#275 | ProfitProphet | Posted 1/10/2014 4:40:08 AM | message detail
i love zeldafaqs
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#276 | paulg235 | Posted 1/10/2014 5:08:42 AM | message detail
It'll be no match for DravenFAQs though, should LoL ever make it in the Best Game Ever 3 contest.
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#277 | charmander6000 | Posted 1/10/2014 5:49:26 AM | message detail
Also, if LoZ:LBW pulls this off, there'll be a fine argument that Pokemon X/Y could beat TLoU too. Win or lose, the 3DS has made major headway for a handheld system; it'll have two of the three strongest games this year for sure, and maybe even three of the top four if FE:A > GTAV.

Even taking GTAV's weaker performance today the game is performing better than FE:A, then again the game had to contend with both Zelda and Pokemon in the poll. Regardless an excellent performance from the 3DS.
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#278 | lightning-02 | Posted 1/10/2014 5:58:49 AM | message detail
It'll be interesting to see what depths a great, original 3DS game like Bravely Default sinks to on here when it doesn't have the Zelda and Pokemon names to draw from.
#279 | -LusterSoldier- (Topic Creator) | Posted 1/10/2014 6:11:16 AM | message detail
Trend charts for today's poll so far:

Time | GTA V | TLoU | LoZ:LBW
1:00 | 22.82% | 37.47% | 39.71%
2:00 | 22.07% | 37.62% | 40.31%
3:00 | 23.34% | 37.08% | 39.57%
4:00 | 21.82% | 38.54% | 39.64%
5:00 | 23.45% | 41.00% | 35.55%
6:00 | 23.76% | 39.86% | 36.37%
7:00 | 23.37% | 38.23% | 38.40%
8:00 | 23.09% | 38.12% | 38.78%
9:00 | 24.45% | 36.10% | 39.46%

Time | GTA V | TLoU | LoZ:LBW
EBV | 26.23% | 34.54% | 39.23%
PHV | 22.82% | 37.47% | 39.71%
FNV | 22.75% | 38.48% | 38.77%
BSV | 23.69% | 37.38% | 38.93%
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Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
#280 | The Mana Sword | Posted 1/10/2014 6:24:27 AM | message detail
This'll probably be rerun with just Zelda and TLoU tomorrow, and I think that's a tall order for Zelda to win.
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#281 | KamikazePotato | Posted 1/10/2014 6:59:38 AM | message detail
MGS4 actually did worse against Brawl when Fallout 3 was removed. We'll see if TLOU actually overlaps with GTAV at all.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#282 | -LusterSoldier- (Topic Creator) | Posted 1/10/2014 7:04:05 AM | message detail
Zelda just went nuclear on those last 2 updates, gaining 40 votes with 2 straight updates of 47%+
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#283 | ZFS | Posted 1/10/2014 7:05:16 AM | message detail
this is what happens when Link loses

zelda
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#284 | -LusterSoldier- (Topic Creator) | Posted 1/10/2014 7:07:43 AM | message detail
Zelda also has the lead above 200 for the first time since the 3:40 AM update. The odds are pretty good that Zelda wins today.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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#285 | -LusterSoldier- (Topic Creator) | Posted 1/10/2014 7:34:59 AM | message detail
This match is starting to get out of reach by now.

Also, I finally sent in a feedback ticket requesting the 1v1 poll for tomorrow. This is mostly to remind Bacon that he has done this before in the past and I wanted to make sure that he puts up a tiebreaker poll.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!
#286 | Safer_777 | Posted 1/10/2014 7:36:42 AM | message detail
Another match? For what? Zelda wins with like 55-45. Why have another match?
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#287 | -LusterSoldier- (Topic Creator) | Posted 1/10/2014 7:37:30 AM | message detail
We need another poll for tiebreaker purposes, since The Last of Us won the first poll and now Zelda is on track to win the second poll.
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#288 | lightsout06 | Posted 1/10/2014 7:41:08 AM | message detail
Disappointing. Zelda always has to get in the way of my favorite games
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#289 | Nanis23 | Posted 1/10/2014 7:44:31 AM | message detail
I agree with another poll and I want Zelda to win
This match doesn't feel fair

I would say the same if it was Mario 3D World instead of GTA V and I hope everyone else would agree
#290 | -LusterSoldier- (Topic Creator) | Posted 1/10/2014 7:45:52 AM | message detail
Lead over 300 now.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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#291 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 1/10/2014 7:50:09 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
MGS4 actually did worse against Brawl when Fallout 3 was removed. We'll see if TLOU actually overlaps with GTAV at all.


Fallout 3 fanbase overlaps with Brawl more than MGS4 confirmed
#292 | Safer_777 | Posted 1/10/2014 7:58:05 AM | message detail
I am pretty sure most votes from GTA 5 will go to Last but still Zelda wins easily. Also is this the first time that a handheld game wins GOTY?
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#293 | -LusterSoldier- (Topic Creator) | Posted 1/10/2014 8:07:38 AM | message detail
Correct, it would be the first time that a handheld game wins GotY.

Also, Zelda has gone on the warpath lately, as it just pulled in 5 straight updates with a gain of 24 votes or higher. Current poll updates so far:

https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgBWiYjlMLwYdGEwVlRnV3FIUC05SjQ2VWpNVHQzN2c
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#294 | -Zelmor- | Posted 1/10/2014 8:10:19 AM | message detail | (edited)
Bacon, please give us the game contest soon. Watching those 8-9 Zelda games annihlating everything in their path should be fun.



Top 10 games on gamefaqs:

1. Zelda: OoT

2. Zelda: Lttp

3. Pokemon:RBY

4. FF7

5. Zelda: Majora Mask

6. Some random Mario game

7. Zelda: Twilight Princess

8. Zelda: A Link Between World

9. One of the Smash game or something

10. Zelda: Wind Waker

Honorable Mention. Zelda: Skyward Sword
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#295 | Nanis23 | Posted 1/10/2014 8:09:36 AM | message detail
Where the hell all those votes are coming from
Is this the Zelda morning vote? I think so,it's 8AM/11AM over there in USA right?
#296 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 1/10/2014 8:10:50 AM | message detail
If we get a Games Contest with OoT not removed I think I might die of laughter.
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#297 | -LusterSoldier- (Topic Creator) | Posted 1/10/2014 8:11:28 AM | message detail
Zelda morning vote is in full swing now.

Updated trend chart:

Time | GTA V | TLoU | LoZ:LBW
1:00 | 22.82% | 37.47% | 39.71%
2:00 | 22.07% | 37.62% | 40.31%
3:00 | 23.34% | 37.08% | 39.57%
4:00 | 21.82% | 38.54% | 39.64%
5:00 | 23.45% | 41.00% | 35.55%
6:00 | 23.76% | 39.86% | 36.37%
7:00 | 23.37% | 38.23% | 38.40%
8:00 | 23.09% | 38.12% | 38.78%
9:00 | 24.45% | 36.10% | 39.46%
10:00 | 21.01% | 37.94% | 41.05%
11:00 | 20.01% | 35.23% | 44.76%
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#298 | Nanis23 | Posted 1/10/2014 8:35:07 AM | message detail | (edited)
Come to think of it,3 way final poll is kinda stupid and I want to believe the only reason he did this is because Zelda got third place
GTA V lost to TLOU in both polls so there was no reason to include it here,as it wouldn't beat TLOU
But because it got second place yesterday...it couldn't be thrown away and Zelda slip instead
Shame

edit-no "both polls"...three polls
#299 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 1/10/2014 8:34:57 AM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
KamikazePotato posted...
MGS4 actually did worse against Brawl when Fallout 3 was removed. We'll see if TLOU actually overlaps with GTAV at all.


Fallout 3 fanbase overlaps with Brawl more than MGS4 confirmed


For all you know Brawl/Fallout 3 during GOTD was like Mario/Shadow. Perhaps Fallout 3 was rSFFing Brawl due to people trying to prevent Brawl from winning the entire contest.
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#300 | Nanis23 | Posted 1/10/2014 8:35:54 AM | message detail
LMS post that makes sense
Congrats