GameFAQs Contests

Who was the guy that we figured out was Smurf again?
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"What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!"
This is Yesmar.

What was the correct prediction percentage for Draven?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

0.73%
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Congrats to raytan for winning the Guru Contest

L-Block winning was 0.27%, for reference

http://i.imgur.com/jfWRrlv.png

Well
Now we need to ask-why? we did Allen change his mind? why did he lie?

So L-Block's record will never be beaten.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

FranzyvonKarma posted...

Yeah claiming Solid Snake will get weaker depsite new games is a tough sell because the main part of the name is "Snake", and a guy called "Snake" all the time who looks like Solid Snake is going to be the star for the near-future.

It'd be like if a guy named Strife who looked exactly like Cloud (except with an eyepatch) was the star of every post-FFVII Final Fantasy. There's no way that wouldn't help Cloud.

you can still make it happen square
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Welcome to the League of Stickies.

IF the we had the original final match Link-Snake-Mario I think Snake would do it. Amazing.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

The Draven victory thread (that links to the Gamefaqs front page) is now #9 on the League of Legends subreddit.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.

red sox 777 posted...

The Draven victory thread (that links to the Gamefaqs front page) is now #9 on the League of Legends subreddit.

Does anyone still care?

Scarlettail posted...

red sox 777 posted...

The Draven victory thread (that links to the Gamefaqs front page) is now #9 on the League of Legends subreddit.

Does anyone still care?

I care.
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Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner!
Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....

Actually it links to the bracket.
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
[NO raytan NO PEACE]

Well, I'm curious as to if they can increase our votals. Doesn't look like it's doing anything so far though. But I don't know how long it's been on the front page. If it only just got there, then there's still potential for some chaos in this match if they anti-vote Link.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.

Nanis23 posted...

http://i.imgur.com/jfWRrlv.png

Well
Now we need to ask-why? we did Allen change his mind? why did he lie?

I highly doubt Allen lied here. That mod's already proven himself to be a gullible doof.

Oh, that bracket. Well, that'll put a kibosh on the Link anti-votes.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.

Nanis23 posted...

http://i.imgur.com/jfWRrlv.png

Well
Now we need to ask-why? we did Allen change his mind? why did he lie?

(note: this is only my interpretation of their wording, so don't take it as scripture)

I'm believing Allen before a reddit mod, to be fair. Besides, Allen told us that he specifically asked for the "verified staff member" identity. He didn't get a reply. This mod's post makes no mention of that.
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Kept you waiting, huh? congrats to raytan, Guru Champ!

LOLContests posted...

Who was the guy that we figured out was Smurf again?

XIII claimed that "lightning-02" was Smurf and using some emails I got from Smurf, I can definitely prove that XIII was correct all along.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!

Snake needs to get a run through Samus and Cloud next time.
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0

Man, the morning vote kicked in right on time today. Kind of uncanny considering we haven't seen it act like that all contest!
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http://gifsoup.com/view/874243/big-boss-o.gif

Link hits 53% at last. 54% isn't happening. I'll give Link a 40% chance of beating his percentage on 2010 Cloud.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.

Thanks Luster! Nice to know that one of the people claiming to have verification from this lol mod is a liar/cheat. Is that pic from lighting Nanis or did you send the guy a message himself?

All that aside, I think the lol mod is just confused. If someone was trying to frame Bacon, I doubt they'd beat around the bush like this.
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"What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!"
This is Yesmar.

The morning vote kicked in pretty early in both the Link and Snake matches against Draven.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.

Snake making a run through Cloud/Samus would probably result in matches with wider margins than this one ends up at. Samus has never been close to being worth this much indirectly on Link and Cloud fell off the face of the Planet.

Setting Cloud and Samus up against each other I think would end in a significantly closer match.
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Welcome to the League of Stickies.

Snake currently winning in Wyoming and Delaware.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as raytan7585, Guru Champ!

Wyoming holding down the fort 'til the end.

What a trooper.
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http://i.imgur.com/fe05x.png
http://i.imgur.com/stNJf.png

At least now we know that picking Snake to beat a leeched Link in the final wasn't a bad move pre-contest.
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I just beat Metroid: Other M, and while I loved the game it turned out to be completely not worth thinking over it for years.

I'm so proud of my home state (not Wyoming).
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.

Is adding Mario enough to make up 6%? It might be, but I don't think it's a given. Remember that a lot of Snake's Brawl support could go to Mario as well.
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
Congrats to Raytan, CBIX Guru champion

There's a lot of variables involved now. If you put Mario in today, Snake has a good chance to win. Separated from this contest a bit? I think Link still takes with either Mario or Samus there.
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ZELDA

Snake would be a decisive favorite putting Mario in the match today. Based on previous matches when he's leeched Link this would be a trivial swing.

Also, Snake getting his SSBB support sapped is just... not a valid theory anymore. Unless you want to strenuously argue he's our #1 indirectly, which I suppose I can get behind.
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Welcome to the League of Stickies.

It is not trivial. Link/Mario is pretty light LFF, and hurts Mario much more than Link. Zack went from 30% to 34% when we added both Mario and MMX, and Mario was the one fighting for his life. 4% around 33% is probably 6% around 50%. But then you take out MMX (probably worth at least 1% of LFF), and you just know Link will crush Mario much worse in a Link/Snake/Mario final than in a poll where he's in first by a mile and Mario is 50/50 with Zack. 53.5/46.5......honestly I'd give them both a 50% chance of winning.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.

Also Snake definitely loses some Link antivotes to Mario
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
Congrats to Raytan, CBIX Guru champion

The Zack match is a bit of a strike, I was considering more Link/Sephiroth/Mario/Vincent and the Battle Royale, where Mario obviously hurt Link a lot more than that. Link was the one being 'threatened' in both of those matches to boot, for kicks.
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Welcome to the League of Stickies.

Also this happens to be pure, rallyless strength against a Link who's probably the strongest we've seen since 2008 thanks to Draven. If you introduce Mario to cripple Link and Snake fans sense blood in the water...

...I'm not willing to not decisively favor MGS fans in that scenario!
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Welcome to the League of Stickies.

Link/Sephiroth/Mario/Vincent looked normal. Quite possible Vincent drained Sephiroth just as much as Mario drained Link despite the lower percentage for Square in that match, because FFVII is a less broad fanbase.

Now the Battle Royale......wow. That is quite the jump from taking out Mario and his 11%. It's super strange.....maybe too strange. Cloud actually lost percentage when Mario exited the poll. That result is just so out of line with everything else we've seen that I'm tempted to ascribe it to the unique properties of the Battle Royale.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.

Yeah, I will say the SSBB stuff doesn't matter anymore. I had said I didn't think it mattered much at this point before the contest. It's just a natural part of his strength now. Today and the match against Pokemon should show that, I think.

But let's also not try to pretend Snake isn't also a beneficiary from Draven yesterday and the hype he had there. That was also probably the strongest Snake has ever been, this contest included, and some of that is naturally going o be present today.
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ZELDA

Snake is the beneficiary of some goodwill, sure, but it's nothing compared to Link no longer having the same level of anti-votes dogging him as he did starting out this contest. Like red sox said, the Link Always Wins hatred found a release valve - heck, you can see it on the front page right now as you're voting in this match. Link Did Not Win.

That's ridiculously important, because the gap between Link and The Field has shrunk dramatically almost entirely on Link's weakness. If this had been a 1v1 contest without Draven and Link had dominated his way up to a Link/Snake finals taking place today there's a nonzero chance Snake would be in the lead right now.
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Welcome to the League of Stickies.

Yes, Snake probably boosted as much as Link from fighting Draven, because Link is probably not still at his Draven match level today. He can't get back there unless he's the genuine underdog in a poll.

Maybe the votals tell the story of the strangeness of the BR:

6-way: 159,347
5-way (Samus out): 141,969
4-way (Mario out): 135,555
3-way (Sephiroth out): 151,369
1v1 (Snake out): 152,360

I really want to chalk the weirdness up to running the matches successively like that. Link was getting an unbelievable percentage of Mario and Samus votes....like 75% of Mario's and 100% of Samus's.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.

I'd say Link is just as much a beneficiary of all the Draven stuff, if not more. Imagine a contest without all the Draven stuff - Link is once again viewed as the undisputed king that people are sick of. Losing to Draven, an unwanted outside force, in a dramatic and 'heroic' fashion probably did more to reverse Link's decline than anything else possibly could have.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.

I kind of doubt that much of the antivoting went away. I could buy maybe like 25% less, but it's not going to be like "oh Link lost, guess I'll vote for him now even though I totally wanted him to lose just a few weeks ago"
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
Congrats to Raytan, CBIX Guru champion

LordoftheMorons posted...

I kind of doubt that much of the antivoting went away. I could buy maybe like 25% less, but it's not going to be like "oh Link lost, guess I'll vote for him now even though I totally wanted him to lose just a few weeks ago"

But we already saw a lot of that happen just a little while ago - and Link hadn't even lost yet. He galvanized the site against Draven and became a hero in the process. The jump from tyrant to hero benefits Link a lot more than Snake's jump from plucky underdog to pluckier underdog.
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Welcome to the League of Stickies.

I mean, let's get real now. Just take a glance outside the topic for a second and look at the board. The usual "Link Always Wins" hatred and b****ing and moaning that typically accompanies him winning his last match in a contest?

Nonexistent.
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Welcome to the League of Stickies.

It's still a big benefit for Snake to come into the match, the next day, riding on all the support he had before. David Hayter, Twitter, almost taking the lead - he had everyone in his corner, maybe more than Link around here. Obviously that's just board 8, but we're a bit removed from Link's match with Draven and fresh off Snake's. That matters a lot. I mean, so does losing anti-votes, but at the same time, people are still certainly interested in another winner that comes through this site. Both of them benefited from Draven is all I'm saying. This isn't regular ol' Snake strength against super Link or anything.
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ZELDA

Karma Hunter posted...

I mean, let's get real now. Just take a glance outside the topic for a second and look at the board. The usual "Link Always Wins" hatred and b****ing and moaning that typically accompanies him winning his last match in a contest?

Nonexistent.

people just found something new to complain about
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League of Legends username = superange
WELCOME TO THE LEAGUE OF RAYTAN

But without Draven, Link is the tyrant again. He probably gave back much of his gains the moment Bacon announced he wasn't fighting Draven today.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.

But that's because Link was the underdog in that match, and Draven was this foreign force. When it's Snake, a character who, unlike Draven, tons of people from this site like, and Link is the favorite, they still expect Link to win and don't like that status quo.
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
Congrats to Raytan, CBIX Guru champion

Yeah, but how many people care at this point? It's a bonus match after Draven dashed all hopes yesterday. I don't think the usual caring is there today. People are kind of over it.
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ZELDA

Also wow I used way too many commas in that sentence
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
Congrats to Raytan, CBIX Guru champion

1:00 | 51.47%
2:00 | 53.56%

That says a lot about the anti-voting. A full 2% better with the 2nd hour, whereas the traditional trends go the other way.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
NEVER FORGET.

Well, I wouldn't call that anti-voting. That's more like Snake getting bandwagon support.
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ZELDA