Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1180

#1 | GloriousSweater | Posted 9/15/2013 10:51:08 AM | message detail
Draven
42.21%
38691 Votes
Your Pick

Solid Snake
38.31%
35117 Votes

Samus Aran
19.49%
17863 Votes

Hey Snake... stay the f*** out of Link's territory. =)

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/NQTthNf.jpg
#2 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/15/2013 10:55:54 AM | message detail
So when are we going to learn that a Board 8er has murdered a random reddit mod out of Draven rage?
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Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#3 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 10:56:32 AM | message detail
lmao

but yo.

can even the hero of time stand up to this?
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#4 | tpoyoy | Posted 9/15/2013 10:57:54 AM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
lmao

but yo.

can even the hero of time stand up to this?


nope complete bloodbath for link LoL
#5 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/15/2013 10:59:19 AM | message detail
I won't beat anyone up, but I know a few LoL nerds out at my campus.

I think I'mma make this week rough for them.
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#6 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/15/2013 11:00:04 AM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
I won't beat anyone up, but I know a few LoL nerds out at my campus.

I think I'mma make this week rough for them.


Quoting this so people can see this ridiculous statement after it gets deleted.
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Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#7 | Takfloyd_mkII__ | Posted 9/15/2013 11:00:10 AM | message detail
Where are all these votes even coming from? Snake has a MASSIVE lead in North America, the UK and Russia, plus most of South America, India, Japan...

How the hell is he still in the lead when the countries that make out 90% of GameFAQs' traffic all vote for Snake?
#8 | elitewarrior500 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:00:31 AM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
I won't beat anyone up, but I know a few LoL nerds out at my campus.

I think I'mma make this week rough for them.


do it

also whatever happened to the idea of getting cena and aj into this
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GT: LegendaryFalco
oh ok
#9 | BlackDra90n | Posted 9/15/2013 11:00:37 AM | message detail
Europe.
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Roooaaaarrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr
#10 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:01:03 AM | message detail
Takfloyd_mkII__ posted...
Where are all these votes even coming from? Snake has a MASSIVE lead in North America, the UK and Russia, plus most of South America, India, Japan...

How the hell is he still in the lead when the countries that make out 90% of GameFAQs' traffic all vote for Snake?

The map lags behind. Not sure by how much though.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#11 | hylianknight3 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:05:37 AM | message detail
elitewarrior500 posted...
also whatever happened to the idea of getting cena and aj into this


Jennifer Hale contacting AJ Lee is now our only hope! :o
#12 | Genoard | Posted 9/15/2013 11:07:53 AM | message detail
I'm in tears at all this, Reddit moderators are so unbelievably inept. Getting caught with a fake "GameFAQs staff member" was one thing but this? AH HAHAHA
#13 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/15/2013 11:09:09 AM | message detail
Not_Wylvane posted...
ExThaNemesis posted...
I won't beat anyone up, but I know a few LoL nerds out at my campus.

I think I'mma make this week rough for them.


Quoting this so people can see this ridiculous statement after it gets deleted.


I'm coming for 'em!
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#14 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:09:29 AM | message detail
Bacon is letting us choose our destiny:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/67248557
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#15 | LOLContests | Posted 9/15/2013 11:09:43 AM | message detail
I don't know why we're just dismissing out of hand the possibility of Bacon banning all future LoL entrants. I mean he's banned Dark Link for even more specious reasons.
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"What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!"
This is Yesmar.
#16 | ZFS | Posted 9/15/2013 11:15:22 AM | message detail
TheOneAboveAll posted...
Honestly, if we could get an official Sony or Facebook rally this might not be over yet. But we're not going to get either of those.


Yep. That could turn it around, but even though Sony is really approachable on social media, getting them to throw a Link up would be hard. Unless you showed them that Kojima did it, too!
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#17 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 9/15/2013 11:17:04 AM | message detail
This is the problem with Draven's run. This could have easily been a good thing for the contests: helping our anemic vote totals, representing the current generation of gaming, getting more people talking. But the guy's high-profile matches just have no legitimacy to them whatsoever.

In Link/Draven, he got the biggest "coincidence" of his goddamn life when the site went down for 90 minutes of Link's best timeframe. Especially since - in another wacky coincidence - /r/leagueoflegends was able to build steam for a newer Draven rally to replace the old one during that downtime.

Now it's Draven/Snake, and we have a mod of the subreddit flagrantly ignoring the sub's own repost rule by stickying a thread that is, for all intents and purposes, a repost. All because of a kneejerk reaction to murmurs of a conspiracy theory. A theory that homsar just outed as hogwash.

All of this satisfies the Buttmad Brigade and nobody else. I mean, who else wants to see the final match turn into a boring blowout built up through illegitimate means? I think even many of the Draven fans would have rather seen a fun, heated wire-to-wire match between titans instead.

This match was a blast for the first half though. Good looking out y'all. David Hayter is my new hero.
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#18 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:17:06 AM | message detail
Waiting for Karma Hunter reaction

I really feel bad for him,really
Like,his favorite character ever got his most hated character holding him down,he tried to do anything to give Snake victory and he disappeared when things started to look good for Snake
If he wakes up to this...then..I don't know what is going to be his reaction
#19 | Qwaar | Posted 9/15/2013 11:17:13 AM | message detail
At this rate, I'm not sure tweets supporting Snake from all 5 members of One Direction could save Snake. I really didn't expect to wake up to this.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#20 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:17:14 AM | message detail
Stopped paying attention for a few updates and Snake fell behind another 3000 and now trails by more than Link ever did.

lol
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#21 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:17:26 AM | message detail
Damn right when I finished writing my analysis the bonus poll may change.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 179/324 Today's Pick: Link
#22 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:17:36 AM | message detail
Genoard posted...
I'm in tears at all this, Reddit moderators are so unbelievably inept. Getting caught with a fake "GameFAQs staff member" was one thing but this? AH HAHAHA


I don't know who you are but you must be happy you ruined this contest
#23 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 9/15/2013 11:18:19 AM | message detail
We never asked for this!
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
May have jumped the gun on signature line two.
#24 | Dabrikishaw15 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:18:41 AM | message detail
Draven
44.56%
44371 Votes
Your Pick

Solid Snake
36.78%
36619 Votes

Samus Aran
18.66%
18584 Votes
Total Votes: 99574
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http://i.imgur.com/GUtJDs7.jpg
Official Jiminy Cricket of the Kingdom Hearts III Boards
#25 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/15/2013 11:18:48 AM | message detail
I asked for this.
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Congratulation to the 2013 CB9 Guru winner, raytan! But hey, at least I'm #4!
Previous Let's Plays: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#26 | ItGetsWorse | Posted 9/15/2013 11:19:30 AM | message detail
This was a total bummer... At least the Link comeback lasted till the end =(
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SephirothG
Don't let 'em fool ya
#27 | Sonic_Druid | Posted 9/15/2013 11:19:43 AM | message detail
I know this may be a shameful thing to say, but we could pull a Chris Benoit and make sure Draven never existed or won/wins anything in the long run.

Anyway, I'm going to pretend Snake and Samus are battling it out in the finals and Snake is pulling off the upset in getting his first character battle contest.
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BFC: 2492-6375-2047
#28 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:19:45 AM | message detail
Heh,I actually asked for "ingame rally" for Draven

But close enough
#29 | Grey_Asakura | Posted 9/15/2013 11:19:46 AM | message detail
Not_Wylvane posted...
I asked for this.

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Delicious Erza
#30 | Averia | Posted 9/15/2013 11:20:04 AM | message detail
Next update, Snake will be projected under the greatness that is Jak.
#31 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:20:12 AM | message detail
Snake at 45.21% on Draven

jak rejoices
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#32 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:20:38 AM | message detail
Rally at number 2, just one more
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 179/324 Today's Pick: Link
#33 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 9/15/2013 11:20:40 AM | message detail
ItGetsWorse posted...
This was a total bummer... At least the Link comeback lasted till the end =(


You're the f***in man for getting Trent back on the line though.
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#34 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:20:56 AM | message detail
People rallying for a character they like? Ban them for ever!
Man how would I like to have Phoenix instead of Draven here... How many people would complain? Oh that is right. Almost no-one.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#35 | ZFS | Posted 9/15/2013 11:22:29 AM | message detail | (edited)
Rallying for any other character is like less than 1% of the rallies LoL can get. I don't think some people realize that Reddit rallies are unlike any other rally possible, by sheer numbers.
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#36 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:22:18 AM | message detail
I would complain if Phoenix Wright was here, heck if it wasn't for Draven and LFF people would be upset Pokemon would be in the final.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 179/324 Today's Pick: Link
#37 | Sorozone | Posted 9/15/2013 11:22:27 AM | message detail
Just a reminder guys.

Rallying is super easy, anyone can do it!
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http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#38 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/15/2013 11:22:29 AM | message detail
I have just posted a new Oracle prediction topic for Link/Snake:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/67248681

Post your predictions in that topic.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#39 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 9/15/2013 11:22:35 AM | message detail
TheCodeisBosco posted...
ItGetsWorse posted...
This was a total bummer... At least the Link comeback lasted till the end =(


You're the f***in man for getting Trent back on the line though.


Rallies always die! There has to be a way to kill Draven's rally...I just wish I knew how.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
May have jumped the gun on signature line two.
#40 | lightning-02 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:22:41 AM | message detail
Nanis23 posted...
Genoard posted...
I'm in tears at all this, Reddit moderators are so unbelievably inept. Getting caught with a fake "GameFAQs staff member" was one thing but this? AH HAHAHA


I don't know who you are but you must be happy you ruined this contest


Contest was ruined the moment Allen went to Reddit asking them to put a rally thread back up.
Actually it was ruined the moment he instigated separate page voting for the sole purpose of it fitting within Reddit promotional posts, he so much as went to that site before the contest to try and sell it to them.
What happened here is a victory for exposing that, best case scenario from this contest is exactly this happening. Now everyone is disgusted enough for it to not be allowed happen again as opposed to tolerating all this for it to be repeated.
#41 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/15/2013 11:22:43 AM | message detail
I really doubt even Sony tweeting could stop this momentum.

This was the perfect storm Draven. If this wasn't on the day of the championships he likely loses.
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#42 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:22:45 AM | message detail
Ok, so how much of Samus's third of the bracket will be below Chester when this is over?
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Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#43 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/15/2013 11:24:18 AM | message detail
We just broke 100000 votes with about 10 1/2 hours still left in this match.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#44 | Wanglicious | Posted 9/15/2013 11:24:51 AM | message detail
KH will be happy with this overall.
Snake proved that he actually could do it. making steady cuts, getting tons of support across the net, and making it very realistic that he could win it.

then the lol mods took it into their own hands and stickied it instead of letting the rallies happen naturally. so Snake proved himself, lol proved itself, Samus is gonna look like gutter trash - it's the 2nd best outcome for him really.
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"Maybe it's a tentacle, molesting the planet itself. - Aschen Brodel.
#45 | creativename | Posted 9/15/2013 11:24:56 AM | message detail
What was the username of the guy who started all this by impersonating the rally thread starter?

I bet even he's floored by how easy this was.

Unbelievable. One single impersonation post changing everything.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
#46 | ZFS | Posted 9/15/2013 11:26:22 AM | message detail | (edited)
MegatokyoEd posted...
I really doubt even Sony tweeting could stop this momentum.

This was the perfect storm Draven. If this wasn't on the day of the championships he likely loses.


I'm not saying bug them, or try, but Sony's followers dwarf any individual people were rallying before. That AJ person doesn't even compare!

https://mobile.twitter.com/PlayStation
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#47 | lightning-02 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:27:42 AM | message detail
creativename posted...
What was the username of the guy who started all this by impersonating the rally thread starter?

I bet even he's floored by how easy this was.

Unbelievable. One single impersonation post changing everything.


My alt, Genoard. I figured it was better to use an account without a reputation.
#48 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/15/2013 11:27:58 AM | message detail
Poor Kanz I don't think anyone will ever forgive him...

That was a hilarious saga.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 179/324 Today's Pick: Link
#49 | transience | Posted 9/15/2013 11:28:05 AM | message detail
ZFS posted...
Rallying for any other character is like less than 1% of the rallies LoL can get. I don't think some people realize that Reddit rallies are unlike any other rally possible, by sheer numbers.


absolutely agree with you. outside rallying can totally kill a contest, like it did this one.

but I'm not sure why it's cool for one group to do it and not another, just because of its character or its numbers.
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xyzzy
#50 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 9/15/2013 11:28:50 AM | message detail | (edited)
http://i.imgur.com/DA65gFm.png

Reddit experiencing heavy traffic. Keep it coming!
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
May have jumped the gun on signature line two.