Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1178

#101 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:00:22 AM | message detail
Snake is cutting... He can do it. That sucks though.
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#102 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/15/2013 7:01:53 AM | message detail
A 2900 vote lead like that is extremely doable. If we somehow banned rallying for the rest of the day, Snake would win easily, in fact. All depends on those external factors, right now.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#103 | Walao_eh | Posted 9/15/2013 7:02:11 AM | message detail
Just woke up to see Snake winning such a huge update, go Snake.
#104 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 9/15/2013 7:02:12 AM | message detail
Draven rally just fell from #14 to #17.
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#105 | Pentrox | Posted 9/15/2013 7:02:24 AM | message detail
When will the world see the damn Snake tweets...?
#106 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:02:53 AM | message detail
If we banned rallying entirely, Snake could come back from like triple this lead. >_>
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#107 | SharmHedgehog | Posted 9/15/2013 7:03:17 AM | message detail
If the million-fan MGS facebook page winds up actually sharing the link (people have been spamming the wall with it endlessly), then Snake could win this easily.
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#108 | Kibago | Posted 9/15/2013 7:03:38 AM | message detail
Good to get these cuts while we see what the world can do on either side.

better for Snake to enter UNPREDICTABLE WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP FACTOR time when he's winning!
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#109 | RavenHusky14 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:04:13 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
A 2900 vote lead like that is extremely doable. If we somehow banned rallying for the rest of the day, Snake would win easily, in fact. All depends on those external factors, right now.



Don't even think about impersonating Allen again.
#110 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:04:30 AM | message detail
Kibago posted...
Good to get these cuts while we see what the world can do on either side.

better for Snake to enter UNPREDICTABLE WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP FACTOR time when he's winning!

Snake isn't going to be leading going into that!

He's not cutting that fast!
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#111 | Averia | Posted 9/15/2013 7:05:58 AM | message detail
The sad part about Draven not reiterating his R2 performance is that it's steal Chie's deserved 3rd place.
At least we have interesting matches and not hilarious blow outs
#112 | Pentrox | Posted 9/15/2013 7:06:18 AM | message detail
Guys, what would be a good title for a post about Hayter's tweets in /r/gaming?
#113 | ninkendo | Posted 9/15/2013 7:07:36 AM | message detail
#114 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/15/2013 7:08:24 AM | message detail
By the way, can someone please tell Samus to go away?
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#115 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 9/15/2013 7:08:31 AM | message detail
Averia posted...
The sad part about Draven not reiterating his R2 performance is that it's steal Chie's deserved 3rd place.
At least we have interesting matches and not hilarious blow outs


On the bright side, it does prevent SBD from stealing Chester's spot at the bottom of the LoL xstats.
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#116 | Denzokuken | Posted 9/15/2013 7:08:39 AM | message detail
Pentrox posted...
Guys, what would be a good title for a post about Hayter's tweets in /r/gaming?


'David Hayter asks r/gaming for help and votes for Snake'
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#117 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:09:21 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
By the way, can someone please tell Samus to go away?

Seriously.

Almost any other time I'd be almost impressed by her sheer determination to fight for 20%.

but not today
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#118 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:09:31 AM | message detail
I can't believe im cheering so hard for a character I never played his game
And I got 500 LoL games played

Why do I hate Draven so much
#119 | XIII_rocks | Posted 9/15/2013 7:09:31 AM | message detail
The likelihood is that we've already gotten the boost from Kojima and Hayter's tweets. It's viewed in a timeline, and those tweets were made several hours ago.
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#120 | Denzokuken | Posted 9/15/2013 7:09:45 AM | message detail
Another big cut. Draven's starting to die off... for now.
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Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....
#121 | SharmHedgehog | Posted 9/15/2013 7:09:54 AM | message detail
Pentrox posted...
Guys, what would be a good title for a post about Hayter's tweets in /r/gaming?


David Hayter Supports Snake In Character Battle 2013?

JOKE OPTION: "Who in the hell is Draven? Sounds like a draggy cow." - David Hayter
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#122 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:10:39 AM | message detail
XIII_rocks posted...
The likelihood is that we've already gotten the boost from Kojima and Hayter's tweets. It's viewed in a timeline, and those tweets were made several hours ago.

Kojima still hasn't tweeted from his English account though, right?
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#123 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/15/2013 7:11:02 AM | message detail
This match is currently outpacing the Link match by about 9000 votes. That's kind of insane.

At this time, Link was making bigger cuts than Snake, but Link also didn't have to deal with Samus holding him back.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#124 | JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:11:07 AM | message detail
Pentrox, quickly put it up so we can go upvote.
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#125 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 9/15/2013 7:11:37 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
By the way, can someone please tell Samus to go away?


We actually should be rallying her a little bit just because the small amount of spillover should favor Snake over Draven.

But all the normal GameFAQs voters should be voting for Snake.
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#126 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:11:44 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
This match is currently outpacing the Link match by about 9000 votes. That's kind of insane.

At this time, Link was making bigger cuts than Snake, but Link also didn't have to deal with Samus holding him back.

Yeah, a lot of these updates I just shake my head when I think about what they'd look like if it were Shepard.
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#127 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 9/15/2013 7:13:02 AM | message detail
_SecretSquirrel posted...
KamikazePotato posted...
By the way, can someone please tell Samus to go away?


We actually should be rallying her a little bit just because the small amount of spillover should favor Snake over Draven.

But all the normal GameFAQs voters should be voting for Snake.


This.
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#128 | raytan7585 (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/15/2013 7:13:32 AM | message detail
Draven leads Link @ 10:01
5791

Draven leads Snake @ 10:03
2866

Difference = 2925


Chance of Snake's comeback is 50%.
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#129 | Pentrox | Posted 9/15/2013 7:14:40 AM | message detail
Made a new thread in r/gaming about Hayter's tweets
#130 | homsar555 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:17:46 AM | message detail
Pentrox posted...
Made a new thread in r/gaming about Hayter's tweets


I couldn't find it. Can you lnik to it?
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#131 | -Zelmor- | Posted 9/15/2013 7:18:19 AM | message detail
homsar555 posted...
Pentrox posted...
Made a new thread in r/gaming about Hayter's tweets


I couldn't find it. Can you lnik to it?


Same can't find it. Direct Link please.
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#132 | Pentrox | Posted 9/15/2013 7:21:56 AM | message detail
#133 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:23:48 AM | message detail
look at samus go. she's just marching to 20% despite the fierce struggle next to her. dare i say it, what a plucky underdog.

...

go away samus.

Cut of 50.
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#134 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:24:21 AM | message detail
Worst case scenario

Snake builds a lead of 2000,and in the last hour Draven pulls a rally similar to the rally against Mewtwo and wins
#135 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/15/2013 7:24:35 AM | message detail
Draven losing .07% in an update...only .03% of it goes to Snake

Samus you are such a killjoy
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#136 | Averia | Posted 9/15/2013 7:29:40 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
Draven losing .07% in an update...only .03% of it goes to Snake

Samus you are such a killjoy


Draven just lost 0.05... and all of it went to Samus !
#137 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/15/2013 7:29:51 AM | message detail
SAMUUUUS
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#138 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:30:10 AM | message detail
Snake is cutting like crazy. He will do it. However what should be his lead in order to say that he is safe? And with how much time remaining?
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#139 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:30:35 AM | message detail
If only Shepard and Samus switched spots. Link could SFF her into oblivion and Shepard knows how to fold.
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#140 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/15/2013 7:30:36 AM | message detail
There is no lead Snake can get that would ever make him safe.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#141 | DpObliVion | Posted 9/15/2013 7:30:52 AM | message detail
I thought we've been through enough contests by now to know not to pay attention to percentages. Snake is consistently cutting into Draven's lead. Samus is just there, can't do anything about it, no sense in complaining. It's just the nature of the contest.
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#142 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:31:12 AM | message detail
Yeah, there is no such thing as a safe lead in this match.

Within reason.
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#143 | Averia | Posted 9/15/2013 7:31:25 AM | message detail
Safer_777 posted...
Snake is cutting like crazy. He will do it. However what should be his lead in order to say that he is safe? And with how much time remaining?


Honestly, I would not say he is safe with a 50k lead.
#144 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:31:54 AM | message detail
DpObliVion posted...
I thought we've been through enough contests by now to know not to pay attention to percentages. Snake is consistently cutting into Draven's lead. Samus is just there, can't do anything about it, no sense in complaining. It's just the nature of the contest.

We know.

It's that Samus is just eating up all these votes that could be making Snake's cuts monstrous.
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#145 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 9/15/2013 7:31:58 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
There is no lead Snake can get that would ever make him safe.


At the very least, the upcoming stream is such an unknown that you couldn't declare anything until it happens.
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#146 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:32:29 AM | message detail
So nothing is safe until the last hour eh? Man...Okay nice. I will leave for a while because this match is exciting and I need time to relax.
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#147 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/15/2013 7:34:10 AM | message detail
Based on the last half-hour, Snake takes the lead at around 5:30 PM EST.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#148 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 9/15/2013 7:34:47 AM | message detail
We have fallen well off the pace of the L-Block final. That match's rallies caught fire in the morning. This one's haven't.
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#149 | ninkendo | Posted 9/15/2013 7:36:38 AM | message detail
#150 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 7:38:25 AM | message detail
samus is just trolling the stats topic now
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