Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1178

#1 | raytan7585 | Posted 9/15/2013 5:40:53 AM | message detail
Snake. Snake?! SNAAAAAAAAAAAAAAKE!


~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=baUY9LFlYh0 - KokorokokoroKOKOROkokoROKokoro-chan iu na
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/raytan7585
#2 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/15/2013 5:41:20 AM | message detail
If the lead doesn't go above 5000, Snake can still do it.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#3 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/15/2013 5:41:39 AM | message detail
while I try scrambling to find some more help, let's take this intermission to

Rank the Noble Nine

<.<
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Welcome to the League of Downtime.
#4 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 9/15/2013 5:42:43 AM | message detail
Since we are going the route of trying to rally wrestlers, how about Kofi Kingston? Unlike AJ Lee, he ain't busy tonight.
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Agent Triple Zero at your service!
The artist formerly known as greatone10.
#5 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 5:42:45 AM | message detail
Rank them on what basis? >_>

Link > Snake > Mario > Samus > Cloud > Mega Man > Crono > Sephiroth > Sonic

or something
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#6 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/15/2013 5:42:59 AM | message detail
Rank the Noble Nine

Solid Snake
Link
Mario
Samus
Mega Man
Crono
Cloud
Sonic
Sephiroth

Because why not...
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 179/324 Today's Pick: Link
#7 | paulg235 | Posted 9/15/2013 5:43:42 AM | message detail
Link
Snake
Samus
Mario
Mega Man
Sephiroth
Cloud
Crono
Sonic

In terms of strength, now. And yes, Seph could very well beat Cloud, now.
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Allen didn't screw VV, Phoenix Wright didn't screw VV, Mewtwo certainly did not screw VV,
nor did paulg screw VV. Vincent Valentine screwed Vincent Valentine.
#8 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 5:44:02 AM | message detail
Augh, that's the kind of Draven update that Link cuts on here.

come on snake step it up
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#9 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/15/2013 5:44:02 AM | message detail
Samus, stop.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 179/324 Today's Pick: Link
#10 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/15/2013 5:45:07 AM | message detail
Shepard knew how to roll over in the morning Samus this is the worst
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Welcome to the League of Downtime.
#11 | raytan7585 (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/15/2013 5:45:15 AM | message detail
Samus stealing votes from Snake. lol
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=baUY9LFlYh0 - KokorokokoroKOKOROkokoROKokoro-chan iu na
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/raytan7585
#12 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 5:45:55 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Shepard knew how to roll over in the morning Samus this is the worst

i know who i'm nominating for the female villains contest
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#13 | kurtfisto | Posted 9/15/2013 5:46:39 AM | message detail
The new rally thread is up, I wonder if it will keep going?
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They don't always think it be like it is, but it do.
~KF~
#14 | lightning-02 | Posted 9/15/2013 5:46:49 AM | message detail
Link
Snake
Mario
Samus
Cloud
Sonic
Sephiroth
Mega Man
Crono
#15 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 9/15/2013 5:47:04 AM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Shepard knew how to roll over in the morning Samus this is the worst

i know who i'm nominating for the female villains contest


Adam is the true villain. He must have authorized Samus.
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Agent Triple Zero at your service!
The artist formerly known as greatone10.
#16 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/15/2013 5:52:02 AM | message detail
Rally at 10th
When it happened against Mewtwo,Draven barely beat him in updates
Of course it was after a few hours so most already voted but still
#17 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 5:53:22 AM | message detail
Every time Samus gets closer to 19% it's the worst update.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#18 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/15/2013 5:54:30 AM | message detail
The rally topic matters less as more people show up for the day, LoL will need another source should Snake get rallied.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 179/324 Today's Pick: Link
#19 | XIII_rocks | Posted 9/15/2013 5:54:38 AM | message detail
The gains are at least getting smaller, which is nice.
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XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism.
#20 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/15/2013 5:56:21 AM | message detail
Okay that's about as good as I can do, I need to run errands now aughaughaugh

Anyone who cares: AJ Lee, Konami/MGS pages on Facebook, and Kojima's English Twitter feed are the holy grails. Getting Hayter to tweet again during peak voting would also be excellent.

4chan extensions that I see are /b/res/506114159 and /v/res/209940071. The r/4chan thread (http://www.reddit.com/r/4chan/comments/1mf037/snake_masterrace/) has had nearly 3,000 click-throughs so it also has a lot of potential.
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Welcome to the League of Downtime.
#21 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/15/2013 5:58:51 AM | message detail
Nice cut at just before 9am eastern time
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 179/324 Today's Pick: Link
#22 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 5:58:56 AM | message detail
Now that was a great update.

It was entirely Draven falling off so unless he stays there it's not going to hold, but a cut is a cut!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#23 | -Tofa7- | Posted 9/15/2013 5:59:04 AM | message detail
Link
Snake
Samus
Mario
Cloud
Sephiroth
Sonic
Mega Man
Crono

Mario beats Samus directly of course.
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"Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..."
#24 | Denzokuken | Posted 9/15/2013 5:59:41 AM | message detail
Not the first time Samus has cost Snake a championship!
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Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner!
Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....
#25 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 6:00:09 AM | message detail
sounds like we needed that sephiroth/crono/sonic match

crono to shock the world
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#26 | Delseban | Posted 9/15/2013 6:00:54 AM | message detail
From: Karma Hunter | #020
Okay that's about as good as I can do, I need to run errands now aughaughaugh

Anyone who cares: AJ Lee, Konami/MGS pages on Facebook, and Kojima's English Twitter feed are the holy grails. Getting Hayter to tweet again during peak voting would also be excellent.

4chan extensions that I see are /b/res/506114159 and /v/res/209940071. The r/4chan thread (http://www.reddit.com/r/4chan/comments/1mf037/snake_masterrace/) has had nearly 3,000 click-throughs so it also has a lot of potential.


this might be a dumb question but why does 4chan needs its own board on another message board site? so they can talk about themselves on reddit instead of talking about themselves on 4chan?
#27 | XIII_rocks | Posted 9/15/2013 6:01:11 AM | message detail
PSYCHO CUT
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XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism.
#28 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 6:03:10 AM | message detail
samus are you serious

augh
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#29 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 9/15/2013 6:03:33 AM | message detail
Denzokuken posted...
Not the first time Samus has cost Snake a championship!


That sneaky woman...always ruining Snake's days.
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I just beat Metroid: Other M, and while I loved the game it turned out to be completely not worth thinking over it for years.
#30 | lightning-02 | Posted 9/15/2013 6:03:34 AM | message detail
Delseban posted...
From: Karma Hunter | #020
Okay that's about as good as I can do, I need to run errands now aughaughaugh

Anyone who cares: AJ Lee, Konami/MGS pages on Facebook, and Kojima's English Twitter feed are the holy grails. Getting Hayter to tweet again during peak voting would also be excellent.

4chan extensions that I see are /b/res/506114159 and /v/res/209940071. The r/4chan thread () has had nearly 3,000 click-throughs so it also has a lot of potential.


this might be a dumb question but why does 4chan needs its own board on another message board site? so they can talk about themselves on reddit instead of talking about themselves on 4chan?


It's a board for Reddit people to talk about 4chan, people from 4chan don't go near that cesspool. It's essentially people who buy into the stereotypical /b/ environment from about 5 years so they're big on raids and invasions.
Probably the most gullible and easily manipulated group of people for rallies.
#31 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 6:04:55 AM | message detail
Anyway, if Draven's intake stays where it's been the past two updates, that's the best news for Snake in hours. He can cut against that.

Samus needs to get out of here though. She's turning cuts into stalls.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#32 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 6:08:41 AM | message detail
Pretty great update for Snake marred by Samus still rising.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#33 | Doctor_Vodka | Posted 9/15/2013 6:09:24 AM | message detail
Solid Snake no longer doubling Samus
#34 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/15/2013 6:09:49 AM | message detail
Snake needs to cut something like 17 votes an update to catch-up so this stuff won't do.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 179/324 Today's Pick: Link
#35 | XIII_rocks | Posted 9/15/2013 6:10:31 AM | message detail
This was always going to be a problem, right from the moment Draven beat Ryu and MMX. Any final match was always going to involve the gamefaqs vote being severely split.
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XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism.
#36 | snoocete | Posted 9/15/2013 6:12:21 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Okay that's about as good as I can do, I need to run errands now aughaughaugh

Anyone who cares: AJ Lee, Konami/MGS pages on Facebook, and Kojima's English Twitter feed are the holy grails. Getting Hayter to tweet again during peak voting would also be excellent.

4chan extensions that I see are /b/res/506114159 and /v/res/209940071. The r/4chan thread (http://www.reddit.com/r/4chan/comments/1mf037/snake_masterrace/) has had nearly 3,000 click-throughs so it also has a lot of potential.


Aren't you guys being too proactive with this match to the point that you're organizing your own rallies?

I always thought the stats & discussion topic were more like benevolent observers.
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#37 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 6:12:25 AM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Snake needs to cut something like 17 votes an update to catch-up so this stuff won't do.

If Draven stays here, GameFAQs traffic will actually solve that problem by just lifting Snake past that. Samus is just delaying that by taking all these votes.

problem is it's wasting time snake may not have
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#38 | Qwaar | Posted 9/15/2013 6:13:29 AM | message detail
And so it begins...just as I'm going to bed.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#39 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 6:13:43 AM | message detail
Okay, that was an update worthy of some celebration.

Cut of 39.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#40 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/15/2013 6:13:43 AM | message detail
Aren't you guys being too proactive with this match to the point that you're organizing your own rallies?

I always thought the stats & discussion topic were more like benevolent observers.


We hate rallying, but we also hate another site coming in and voting.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 179/324 Today's Pick: Link
#41 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 6:14:45 AM | message detail
Well, I'm not rallying at all. I'm at least consistent on this point! I don't mind trying to discuss its effects though.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#42 | RavenHusky14 | Posted 9/15/2013 6:14:53 AM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Aren't you guys being too proactive with this match to the point that you're organizing your own rallies?

I always thought the stats & discussion topic were more like benevolent observers.


We hate rallying, but we also hate another site coming in and voting.


If you have a contest on the internet, and it's open to the internet, don't complain when the internet votes.
#43 | pirate109 | Posted 9/15/2013 6:15:20 AM | message detail
snoocete posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Okay that's about as good as I can do, I need to run errands now aughaughaugh

Anyone who cares: AJ Lee, Konami/MGS pages on Facebook, and Kojima's English Twitter feed are the holy grails. Getting Hayter to tweet again during peak voting would also be excellent.

4chan extensions that I see are /b/res/506114159 and /v/res/209940071. The r/4chan thread (http://www.reddit.com/r/4chan/comments/1mf037/snake_masterrace/) has had nearly 3,000 click-throughs so it also has a lot of potential.


Aren't you guys being too proactive with this match to the point that you're organizing your own rallies?

I always thought the stats & discussion topic were more like benevolent observers.


It was when there were actually useful stats to discuss (ie before rallies rendered the contest a joke)
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GT: wgt07
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#44 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/15/2013 6:15:45 AM | message detail
If you have a contest on the internet, and it's open to the internet, don't complain when the internet votes.

Hi RavenHusky
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 179/324 Today's Pick: Link
#45 | XIII_rocks | Posted 9/15/2013 6:16:05 AM | message detail
Yeah Snake is completely beloved on this board. Even Link couldn't mobilize this amount of support since a good portion of the board hate him even in spite of being the best hope of beating Draven.
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XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism.
#46 | XIII_rocks | Posted 9/15/2013 6:17:01 AM | message detail
charmander was that a response?
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XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism.
#47 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/15/2013 6:18:08 AM | message detail
Not really
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 179/324 Today's Pick: Link
#48 | xp1337 | Posted 9/15/2013 6:18:45 AM | message detail
Is Samus going to make a serious effort for 20%?

this is the worst
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#49 | RavenHusky14 | Posted 9/15/2013 6:19:08 AM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
If you have a contest on the internet, and it's open to the internet, don't complain when the internet votes.

Hi RavenHusky


Hello, but really, if you really didn't want us coming in and voting, you guys should have put some form of restriction on the voting from the start.

We have played by the rules that were set out, so you have no reason to complain.
#50 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/15/2013 6:20:33 AM | message detail
Hello, but really, if you really didn't want us coming in and voting, you guys should have put some form of restriction on the voting from the start.

We have played by the rules that were set out, so you have no reason to complain.


I have no issue with you voting, it is a lousy way to create stats and discuss it though.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 179/324 Today's Pick: Link