Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1174

#1 | DSRKVRTheDealer | Posted 9/14/2013 7:44:08 PM | message detail
It's closing time.


~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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New England Patriots: 2-0
#2 | tennisboy213 | Posted 9/14/2013 8:25:20 PM | message detail
Our final hours are upon us.
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Sometimes, I rally so hard, I break the site! -GANON1025
Because. -SBAllen
#3 | Heroic Viktor | Posted 9/14/2013 8:33:37 PM | message detail
Somebody tweet Jack Bauer. He has to have a sizeable, rabid following.
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243 character battle royale? My head hurts.
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
#4 | legendoftom | Posted 9/14/2013 8:36:19 PM | message detail
dis gon be gud
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Booker T, being the technical master that he is, would have reversed that into some kinda pin-Booker T
#5 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/14/2013 8:52:01 PM | message detail
Entropy wins.

Entropy always wins.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
#6 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 9/14/2013 8:54:35 PM | message detail
Let's see if Snake can give us a match worthy of ~4000 stats topic posts like Link did.
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Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#7 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 9/14/2013 8:55:28 PM | message detail
The miracle never happen.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
Congratulations to Guru champion, the mighty raytan.
#8 | xp1337 | Posted 9/14/2013 8:55:47 PM | message detail
BK_Sheikah00 posted...
Let's see if Snake can give us a match worthy of ~4000 stats topic posts like Link did.

Wasn't it over 5000?

link setting so many records that day
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#9 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/14/2013 8:56:00 PM | message detail
Will the future refuse to change?
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 179/324 Today's Pick: Link
#10 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 9/14/2013 8:56:27 PM | message detail
Heroic Viktor posted...
Somebody tweet Jack Bauer. He has to have a sizeable, rabid following.


DAWN OF THE SECOND DAY
-48 Hours Remain-

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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
Congratulations to Guru champion, the mighty raytan.
#11 | armitage999 | Posted 9/14/2013 8:56:38 PM | message detail
This final is going to be as exciting as a dry fart.
#12 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 9/14/2013 8:56:38 PM | message detail
For a group with a second shot at redemption, you sure are moody. Talk about being hopeless...
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http://i.imgur.com/PL5UKJj.png
Bearer of the Mark of Kan.
#13 | SnoicFactor | Posted 9/14/2013 8:56:57 PM | message detail
This is Snake's final misison. Lets do it.
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nt
#14 | tennisboy213 | Posted 9/14/2013 8:56:59 PM | message detail
The rally is at the top of page 2 on r/all, 4 spots away from page 1.
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Sometimes, I rally so hard, I break the site! -GANON1025
Because. -SBAllen
#15 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/14/2013 8:57:04 PM | message detail
By the end of this contest, Mega Man will be the only one to have not lost to a non-NNer.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#16 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 9/14/2013 8:57:17 PM | message detail
armitage999 posted...
This final is going to be as exciting as a dry fart.


that's insulting to dry farts
#17 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 9/14/2013 8:57:18 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/67244087

Don't forget to vote for Karma Hunter!
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#18 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 9/14/2013 8:57:51 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Will the future refuse to change?


Maybe. Link is the Hero of Time, though, so he might be able to change it.

Some of these people actually think we'd be even more salty if Snake managed to win this after Draven "made it easy for him" by taking out all of the legitimate competition.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
Congratulations to Guru champion, the mighty raytan.
#19 | Solid_Mike86 | Posted 9/14/2013 8:58:06 PM | message detail
Seriously, Whoever finishes 2nd is the real winner of this contest.
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Currently Playing : Earthbound(Wii U)
Currently Awaiting : Splinter Cell Blacklist(Wii U)
#20 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 9/14/2013 8:58:29 PM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
For a group with a second shot at redemption, you sure are moody. Talk about being hopeless...


It was better to have the illusion that Link could win. The rematch would just prove that he wouldn't have.
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Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place
Pokemon VGC2013 Worlds LCQ - Top 32
#21 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 9/14/2013 8:58:30 PM | message detail
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
charmander6000 posted...
Will the future refuse to change?


Maybe. Link is the Hero of Time, though, so he might be able to change it.

Some of these people actually think we'd be even more salty if Snake managed to win this after Draven "made it easy for him" by taking out all of the legitimate competition.


*downvoted by the hivemind*
#22 | Czill | Posted 9/14/2013 8:58:41 PM | message detail
What's the over/under for Draven votes after the first update?
#23 | tgs2 | Posted 9/14/2013 8:59:09 PM | message detail
Probably around 3k
#24 | -Tofa7- | Posted 9/14/2013 8:59:15 PM | message detail
Let's go Samus.
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"Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..."
#25 | Qwaar | Posted 9/14/2013 8:59:29 PM | message detail
Let's get ready to rumble!
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#26 | spooky96 | Posted 9/14/2013 8:59:33 PM | message detail
meh this isnt exciting at all like other matches. booooo
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Rapid Spin Critical Hit.
#27 | FFDragon | Posted 9/14/2013 8:59:45 PM | message detail
Predicting Draven at 58% at the freeze.
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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE]
http://img.imgcake.com/finegifdy.gif
#28 | xp1337 | Posted 9/14/2013 8:59:58 PM | message detail
*Puts on MGS2 Theme*

let's do this i guess
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#29 | tennisboy213 | Posted 9/14/2013 9:00:17 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted


Draven
40%
18 Votes

Solid Snake
44.44%
20 Votes
Your Pick

Samus Aran
15.56%
7 Votes
Total Votes: 45
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Sometimes, I rally so hard, I break the site! -GANON1025
Because. -SBAllen
#30 | -Tofa7- | Posted 9/14/2013 9:00:26 PM | message detail
Draven
33.33%
5 Votes

Solid Snake
40%
6 Votes

Samus Aran
26.67%
4 Votes

Total Votes: 15
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"Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..."
#31 | SnoicFactor | Posted 9/14/2013 9:00:31 PM | message detail
SNAKEEEE!!
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nt
#32 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/14/2013 9:00:33 PM | message detail
Snake? SNNNAAKKKE


Draven
44.44%
24 Votes

Solid Snake
40.74%
22 Votes

Samus Aran
14.81%
8 Votes
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 179/324 Today's Pick: Link
#33 | spooky96 | Posted 9/14/2013 9:00:35 PM | message detail
LOLSamus
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Rapid Spin Critical Hit.
#34 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/14/2013 9:00:36 PM | message detail
Bye, Samus.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
#35 | xp1337 | Posted 9/14/2013 9:00:37 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted

Draven
48.05%
37 Votes

Solid Snake
37.66%
29 Votes
Your Pick

Samus Aran
14.29%
11 Votes

Total Votes: 77

even now
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#36 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 9/14/2013 9:00:38 PM | message detail
That was interesting for about 1.5 seconds.

Next.
#37 | homsar555 | Posted 9/14/2013 9:01:04 PM | message detail
Here's a "neutral rally" thread for the poll on r/gaming. It doesn't even go directly to the poll, so Draven doesn't get the pic advantage, but that might result in fewer votes: http://www.reddit.com/r/gaming/comments/1mezw9/character_battle_finals_samus_vs_draven_vs_solid/
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http://www.sporcle.com/user/Jengajam/contributed
#38 | -Tofa7- | Posted 9/14/2013 9:01:09 PM | message detail
YELLOW VOTE BAR, THANK YOU BASED ALLEN
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"Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..."
#39 | Scarlettail | Posted 9/14/2013 9:01:11 PM | message detail
Do the ralliers actually wait for the match to start so patiently? It's peculiar.
#40 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/14/2013 9:01:21 PM | message detail
And so a hobby I've loved for a decade dies.
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#41 | spooky96 | Posted 9/14/2013 9:01:30 PM | message detail
lol the board is sooooo dead.
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Rapid Spin Critical Hit.
#42 | Geiki Ganger | Posted 9/14/2013 9:01:33 PM | message detail
#43 | SnoicFactor | Posted 9/14/2013 9:01:33 PM | message detail
OMG SNAKE COMebACK
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nt
#44 | Qwaar | Posted 9/14/2013 9:01:36 PM | message detail
Wow, Samus getting pasted.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#45 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/14/2013 9:01:37 PM | message detail
Oh hey, the banner at the top is YELLOW

Good choice, very eye catching.
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http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif
http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif
#46 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 9/14/2013 9:01:38 PM | message detail
Whoa. Snake stalling now. This could be big.

Also, yellow site-wide banner. Great job Allen!
#47 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/14/2013 9:01:58 PM | message detail
Come on Draven, can't even stay above 50% if the League of Draven board vote
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 179/324 Today's Pick: Link
#48 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/14/2013 9:02:00 PM | message detail
YELLOW BORDER
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#49 | -Tofa7- | Posted 9/14/2013 9:02:15 PM | message detail
Look at that percentage drop since the yellow bar started appearing.
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"Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..."
#50 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 9/14/2013 9:02:30 PM | message detail
Snake is cutting.

SNAKE IS CUTTING!!!