Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1172

#1 | spooky96 | Posted 9/12/2013 9:37:24 PM | message detail
These Samus vs Mega Man trends.

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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#2 | The Real Truth | Posted 9/12/2013 9:37:45 PM | message detail
SAMUS
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#3 | Dabrikishaw15 | Posted 9/12/2013 9:37:58 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HFKtYCcMWT4
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Fact: Fanbases are unpleasable, deal with it.
#4 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 9/12/2013 9:41:13 PM | message detail
What trends?
#5 | ZFS | Posted 9/12/2013 9:41:17 PM | message detail
Three Samus cuts The Hatchling returns
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#6 | Haste_2 | Posted 9/12/2013 9:41:40 PM | message detail
Samus won three updates in a row. Not looking good for the BB. :[
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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those! It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
#7 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/12/2013 9:41:57 PM | message detail
I am so utterly disappointed to see HM cheering for Samus here.
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#8 | spooky96 (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/12/2013 9:42:15 PM | message detail
TheOneAboveAll posted...
What trends?


LOL right, these trends barely qualify to be called "trends".
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#9 | tgs2 | Posted 9/12/2013 9:42:31 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pX4mhp-8sOc

Huge Other M and other metroid spoilers. Feels like a good time to post it.
#10 | creativename | Posted 9/12/2013 9:42:41 PM | message detail
Literally completely random trends. Even Red is all over the place.
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#11 | ZFS | Posted 9/12/2013 9:43:01 PM | message detail
I was happy he beat Charizard, but Samus/Snake has been a long time coming. You guys lost sight of this!
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#12 | Solid_Mike86 | Posted 9/12/2013 9:43:39 PM | message detail
Go Samus
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Currently Awaiting : Splinter Cell Blacklist(Wii U)
#13 | Surskit | Posted 9/12/2013 9:43:43 PM | message detail
creativename posted...
Literally completely random trends. Even Red is all over the place.


Them rallies!

Also, I finally got the 500th post in one of these topics. Feels good.
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.-#Elements of Water#-.
#14 | swordz9 | Posted 9/12/2013 9:43:45 PM | message detail
As for previous Metroids well I never even owned much of any of the must have games back then. I didn't have a SNES for too long so I missed out on a lot of games there too. I mean I've never even played a Zelda that was before the N64 and GBC. Mario's pretty much the only series I got to play pretty consistently from the NES til now.
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#15 | Rymari | Posted 9/12/2013 9:44:10 PM | message detail
Problem with Other M is it sucks

****, as offensively bad as the plot and writing is, the gameplay was worse
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#16 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/12/2013 9:44:25 PM | message detail
Still not feeling terribly great about Mega Man here.

So let's get in more jabs while we can!
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#17 | ZFS | Posted 9/12/2013 9:44:38 PM | message detail
Don't play Other M before you play almost any other Metroid. Super Metroid is $10 on the Wii!
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#18 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 9/12/2013 9:44:42 PM | message detail
Massive cut.
#19 | Haste_2 | Posted 9/12/2013 9:44:45 PM | message detail
Red looks consistent to me.
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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those! It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
#20 | pjbasis | Posted 9/12/2013 9:44:53 PM | message detail
From what I know of you swordz, you won't dislike Other M that much, or at least the story.

It's extremely overblown. The games actual faults, even story ones, lie well beyond Samus' portrayal anyway.
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#21 | GoaFan77 | Posted 9/12/2013 9:44:57 PM | message detail
tgs2 posted...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pX4mhp-8sOc

Huge Other M and other metroid spoilers. Feels like a good time to post it.


Many Metroid fans won't defend Other M, but that doesn't stop them from voting Samus.
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#22 | Rymari | Posted 9/12/2013 9:45:07 PM | message detail
But we already had Samus/Snake.
Mega/Snake for The Smash Supremacy











Course Noxian scum ruin everything
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#23 | Dabrikishaw15 | Posted 9/12/2013 9:45:15 PM | message detail
Samus Aran
34.76%
1951 Votes

Pokemon Trainer Red
27.24%
1529 Votes

Mega Man
38%
2133 Votes
Your Pick
Total Votes: 5613
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Fact: Fanbases are unpleasable, deal with it.
#24 | swordz9 | Posted 9/12/2013 9:45:19 PM | message detail
Will play it first do any harm? It sounds like it might be better for me to play Other M first so she gets better as a character.
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#25 | xp1337 | Posted 9/12/2013 9:45:28 PM | message detail
Yeah, I kind of like Samus's chances here.

I was scared at the beginning though!
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#26 | ZFS | Posted 9/12/2013 9:45:39 PM | message detail
Samus comeback a go
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#27 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 9/12/2013 9:46:01 PM | message detail
Whoa. Red cut Mega Man that update.

I guess a total lack of trends make sense for a 3-way quasi-SFF match? Kinda? Maybe?
#28 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/12/2013 9:46:02 PM | message detail
What a joke character, Mega Man
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#29 | Rymari | Posted 9/12/2013 9:46:20 PM | message detail
Best not to play it.
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#30 | pjbasis | Posted 9/12/2013 9:46:21 PM | message detail
She's not really a character in the other games anyway.

No dialogue except in Other M and Fusion, and in Fusion she interacts with 1 other character.
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#31 | ZFS | Posted 9/12/2013 9:46:42 PM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
Yeah, I kind of like Samus's chances here.

I was scared at the beginning though!


Yeah, I figured Mega Man would be crazy at the start. The board piled on him so hard after beating Charizard. People probably thought he could beat Draven, even!
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#32 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/12/2013 9:46:44 PM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
From what I know of you swordz, you won't dislike Other M that much, or at least the story.


This is like the biggest stealth insult I've ever seen.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#33 | spooky96 (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/12/2013 9:47:11 PM | message detail
Haste_2 posted...
Red looks consistent to me.


Compared to Samus and MM, he's relatively more consistent. However in general, he's still all over the place.
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#34 | -Zelmor- | Posted 9/12/2013 9:47:17 PM | message detail
Go Samus, Mega man supporter acted too confident and snobbish about it.
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#35 | xp1337 | Posted 9/12/2013 9:47:28 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
xp1337 posted...
Yeah, I kind of like Samus's chances here.

I was scared at the beginning though!


Yeah, I figured Mega Man would be crazy at the start. The board piled on him so hard after beating Charizard. People probably thought he could beat Draven, even!

Well, I wasn't worried at the freeze.

But then he kept increasing the lead!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
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#36 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/12/2013 9:47:30 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
I was happy he beat Charizard, but Samus/Snake has been a long time coming. You guys lost sight of this!


Even Mega Man's greatest obliteration of Snake is vastly easier to stomach than the emotionally driven womb in a Power Suit threatening. The best scenario is Snake/Samus never happening to begin with!
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#37 | ZFS | Posted 9/12/2013 9:47:31 PM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
She's not really a character in the other games anyway.

No dialogue except in Other M and Fusion, and in Fusion she interacts with 1 other character.


She's been a character since Super Metroid.
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#38 | CSplitter | Posted 9/12/2013 9:47:47 PM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
She's not really a character in the other games anyway.

No dialogue except in Other M and Fusion, and in Fusion she interacts with 1 other character.


Lack of dialogue =/= lack of character.
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#39 | Doctor_Vodka | Posted 9/12/2013 9:48:11 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Still not feeling terribly great about Mega Man here.

So let's get in more jabs while we can!



Samus voters = obese, never touched a girl before, pimplyfaced (even at age 25)
Mega Man voters = cool people, businessmen, lawyers, respected members of the community, law abiding citizens
#40 | pjbasis | Posted 9/12/2013 9:48:23 PM | message detail
She has...uh, heroic character?
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#41 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/12/2013 9:48:28 PM | message detail
Samus has less character than any other member of the Noble Nine. Not completely characterless, but there's very little there. At least, before Other M. She should've stayed how she was.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#42 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/12/2013 9:48:48 PM | message detail
-Zelmor- posted...
Go Samus, Mega man supporter acted too confident and snobbish about it.


so sad, I'll get Adam to authorize a tissue box for ya
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#43 | -hotdogturtle-- | Posted 9/12/2013 9:49:33 PM | message detail
Holy crap, the board's opinion of Samus changed so much as soon as she was up against a fan favorite.
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#44 | swordz9 | Posted 9/12/2013 9:49:36 PM | message detail
Samus has less character than Mario? Really?
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#45 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/12/2013 9:49:59 PM | message detail
-hotdogturtle-- posted...
Holy crap, the board's opinion of Samus changed so much as soon as she was up against a fan favorite.


you must not know me too well <_<
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#46 | ZFS | Posted 9/12/2013 9:50:28 PM | message detail | (edited)
Karma Hunter posted...
ZFS posted...
I was happy he beat Charizard, but Samus/Snake has been a long time coming. You guys lost sight of this!


Even Mega Man's greatest obliteration of Snake is vastly easier to stomach than the emotionally driven womb in a Power Suit threatening. The best scenario is Snake/Samus never happening to begin with!


Is that the faint sound of worry about the results!!

I think Snake should probably be a good favorite over Samus after last round. I've been knocking this supposed godslayer Snake all contest, but 51% on Pokemon is pretty damn crazy.
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#47 | creativename | Posted 9/12/2013 9:50:06 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
xp1337 posted...
Yeah, I kind of like Samus's chances here.

I was scared at the beginning though!


Yeah, I figured Mega Man would be crazy at the start. The board piled on him so hard after beating Charizard. People probably thought he could beat Draven, even!

I don't know about that - the board went Mega Man crazy after his epic performance, but I don't think anyone was seriously considering Mega Man over Draven.
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#48 | Wanglicious | Posted 9/12/2013 9:50:17 PM | message detail
mega man will win. even if she found the will to fight.
i believe.
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#49 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 9/12/2013 9:50:39 PM | message detail
What is going on with this match
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#50 | SnoicFactor | Posted 9/12/2013 9:50:56 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]