GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1170
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red sox 777 posted... Probably whoever isn't Snake will be abandoned. Disagree. Nintendo fanbase is too hardcore and won't support Snake. If Samus is in that final, she holds up fine and probably beats Snake, IMO. If Mega Man is in the final, he gets flattened below a pancake. |
This
match won't reach 100000 votes because the rally has really died down
at this point. We only got 2423 votes from 6:00-7:00 PM. We would have
to maintain that pace for the next 5 hours to barely reach 100000
votes. And vote totals will continue to decline for the rest of the
match. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
FFVII influenced RPGs in general, good and bad. It's not the cause of FF's problems today. --- tune in tokyo 142.94 |
I dunno. I think the Nintendo fanbase may have lost the will to fight. Samus as champion? Do we even want that result? --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
Lightning Strikes posted... ZFS posted...Whoa, what, Cloud isn't the problem with Final Fantasy. The problem lost to DK. FFVII is just old, like Chrono Trigger. And Square Enix is a joke! I agree, and I would extend it back even to Chrono Trigger to a certain extent. It represents a values shift in Square's RPGs, and unfortunately they chose to keep further exaggerating those elements until they became utterly over the top and pushed out everything else. |
Samus
is one of my favourite characters in this contest. However, I am voting
for Mega Man I think (unless Mega Man is easily ahead). Literally the
only hope for the contest now. --- Something something something ^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig |
Much
as I would love Mega Man to win it all (he deserves to be our seventh
champion, not counting L-Block), I just don't think he has it in him to
compete in that final. I think Samus does. I'm hoping MM can do it. But
Samus is probably our only hope. And when I say that I'm giving her a 7% chance to beat Draven. |
Heh, Sephiroth doubled Draven on that last update. 84 to 39. --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
In fact, Sephiroth has cut Draven 4 updates in a row. --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
red sox 777 posted... SBAllen has confirmed it: Reddit votes split for Draven over Link at a 60/40 ratio. 40% backfire rate, a little better even than the 65/35 I was speculating about earlier. Dubious considering there was a period in the poll where the Reddit rally thread was deleted and Draven dropped very quickly down to hanging with Shepard while Link didn't lose a step, he certainly didn't lose 40% of his votes. |
Draven's max lead in this match reached 14819. Mewtwo will probably end up cutting off about 1500 votes from that lead. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Mega
Man getting squashed in the finals while Samus wouldn't doesn't make a
lick of sense to me. Blue Bomber arguably has a bandwagon right now and
that would arguably intensify in the finals. Not to mention that he's
basically Nintendo as well. --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
Dubious
considering there was a period in the poll where the Reddit rally
thread was deleted and Draven dropped very quickly down to hanging with
Shepard while Link didn't lose a step, he certainly didn't lose 40% of
his votes. Probably masked by natural vote intake being at its peak during that time (midday). --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
Too bad that it's too late to make any sort of magic happen in this contest. |
Also
arguing Samus (or anyone else) having a whopping 7% chance of beating
Draven is laughably stupid. Samus probably can't even do it 1v1, let
alone with anchor named Solid Snake strangling her. --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
Karma Hunter posted... 5149: Jak over Draven Most interesting part is considering the large rally for L-Block over Auron and the massive rally for Squirtle over Cloud...they don't appear here. The registered users must have been voting those results by a pretty large margin. It seems registered users vote the joke option a lot as well, I guess protest votes from users who don't like these contests are in the majority because they certainly aren't the audience you'd expect to be entertained from repeat appearances from L-Block/Missingno |
Draven's
votals just tanking like this gives me hope in Snake/Samus/Mega Man at
least finishing above Chie level in the Draven-Stats. They can keep
drawing in 90-110 votes while Draven will just be in the 60s late in the
match even if it is out of reach. |
So, who would you say has better odds between Mega Man and Samus this round? We've seen MMX get pretty close to Mario with Nintendo leeching. Mega Man is supposed to be slightly stronger in the first place... add in his Smash Boost (however much it is), and it seems he should be the favorite over Samus! Oh, and Mega Man's bandwagon, if it's worth anything. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those! It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
red sox 777 posted... Dubious considering there was a period in the poll where the Reddit rally thread was deleted and Draven dropped very quickly down to hanging with Shepard while Link didn't lose a step, he certainly didn't lose 40% of his votes. Shepard remained steady and rose a little. If you look at that update period ignoring Draven there's no noticeable difference in what's happening for Link and Shepard, they continue as normal while Draven's vote suddenly halves. This is at around noon so it's not really the time for sudden big voting spikes. |
I
give a 60/30/10 percent chance for Samus/Mega Man/Red respectively. Red
legitimately scares me for reasons I won't go into but I'm not going to
pick a Pokemon if I can realistically avoid it. Mega Man even as an
upset is sexy enough for me to take. The dynamic just has to continue
breaking his way. --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
I hope we don't get a Best Console contest. PC will just blow everything away when r/Lol rallies for it. |
N-Gage rallied to beat the SNES. --- "Maybe it's a tentacle, molesting the planet itself. - Aschen Brodel. |
Most
interesting part is considering the large rally for L-Block over Auron
and the massive rally for Squirtle over Cloud...they don't appear here.
The registered users must have been voting those results by a pretty
large margin. Huh. Hadn't thought about that. I'd guess it'd be a slim margin though. Registered users narrowly back Squirtle/L-block, regular gamefaqs guests favor Cloud/Auron by a decent margin, and rallied guests back Squirtle/L-block overwhelmingly. And it kind of sucks that the last Draven match looks like it's going to be worst by far. We first got exposed to his ridiculous potential in round 1, watched him completely wreck a high-midcarder and a near-elite worse than Link could in Round 2, saw him almost lose and he probably would have actually lost were it not for the downtime in Round 3, and now in Round 4 we had the mystery man (let's call him Chester) putting on his fake mustache and fooling the reddit mods into thinking he's SBAllen. What else could possibly happen? Looks like Draven's just going to boringly dominate the final. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
AxemRedRanger posted... Fayt_Esteed posted...AxemRedRanger posted...People were asking how strong Mewtwo is. I don't think anyone has a lot of confidence in any number they could come up with for that being accurate but: Well, that's true. Though with mainly Smash-dependent characters tanking... --- "Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
Scarlettail posted... I hope we don't get a Best Console contest. PC will just blow everything away when r/Lol rallies for it. lol that would be the definition of pathetic |
One of these Pokemon needs to pull a Mega Man tonight. I say Squirtle should be the choice here. |
clearly Draven/Squirtle/Red is the best chance what |
1337gamerpr0 posted... clearly Draven/Squirtle/Red is the best chance Why not? Draven will win no matter what, so the other two spots are just ours to toy with. |
What Smash-dependent characters are tanking, again? --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
bets on what % Mewtwo beats Draven in the US by the end of the match? |
Shepard
remained steady and rose a little. If you look at that update period
ignoring Draven there's no noticeable difference in what's happening for
Link and Shepard, they continue as normal while Draven's vote suddenly
halves. This is at around noon so it's not really the time for sudden
big voting spikes. Are you talking about that 15 minute period around noon when they briefly took down the rally topic and then put it back up? First, Link's vote intake was considerably lower in that period, it dropped from averaging 210 or so to 175, while Draven dropped from around 130 to 75. That's actually.....just about exactly what you'd expect to see if the reddit votes really were splitting around 65:35 for Draven as I have been speculating (with the Link rallies bringing the overall outside votes down to Bacon's 60/40 figure). Second, the time period is so small and the vote intake large enough that Link's intake is almost indistinguishable from variance. Draven's dropoff is probably meaningful, it's very hard to read much into Link's. Third, the rally had already been gradually weakening for many hours before that, so I question how useful that block of time is. Note that Link is getting the vast majority of his votes from non-rallied sources at midday. But at the end of the poll and in the dead zone, he is getting a large majority of his votes from rallies- either his own or Draven's. It adds up to Link getting a bit more than 40% of his votes overall from rallies. --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
Mewtwo
now over 40% on Draven and the lead is under 14000. He's won the last
30 updates on Draven, cutting just over 600 in that time. In total, the
lead is about 850 below its peak. Looks like the lead will finish
around 13000 or a bit higher. --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
So which pokemon is getting abandoned tonight? I suppose I will vote for Pikachu. --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
I'm voting Ekans! --- Hentai? I didn't ask for hentai. I asked for anime, you moron. *clicks and downloads* - Hayato118 |
So I have Snake > Pikachu > Squirtle hopefully this just means pikachu is going to lose if it's snake then i will personally apologize to the stats topic. Well, technically, I'll be right today, but Draven matches are clearly the exception here! --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
I was hoping we'd abandon Pikachu, since Squirtle has the bandwagon, but this is going to be tough. |
red sox 777 posted... So which pokemon is getting abandoned tonight? Both :) --- PSN: Soggy-Snake- |
Snake for 50% tonight: yes or no? --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
Draven's last 5 updates: 28, 36, 33, 26, 28. See this, Snake? Behold.......the force to whom you are about to lose. --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
AxemRedRanger posted... What Smash-dependent characters are tanking, again? Pit got last place in a match where most expected either him or Cecil to win. --- "Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
The
problem is that even one of Pikachu/Squirtle wouldn't beat Snake unless
the third was Big Boss or whatever. I think Snake is just a step ahead
of Cloud, enough to hold off Pokemon rallies. It was still worth it to see Squirtle > Cloud and Pikachu > Sora despite Blue. Both were hilarious results, and if it resulted in a semi-final match that may even be duller than today's, so be it! --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Based
on previous matches like this, i.e. Pikachu/Sora/Blue,
Megaman/Zero/Charizard, this is not automatic for Snake. After all, we
have no idea how Pikachu and Squirtle will split. Or at least I hope
it's not automatic! |
Last of Round 3 stats. Ya go my Riku (and Magikarp) Mega Man - 8.72’ Charizard - 8.71’ Zelda - 8.70’ Magikarp - 5.04’ Riku - 4.44’ Zero - 4.25’ DK - 3.59’ Marston - 3.83’ Jill - 3.55’ Kratos - 3.11’ Lightning - 3.02’ Rikku - 3.00’ Cube - 2.94’ ? Block - 2.72’ Claptrap - 2.45’ Lenneth - 2.31’ Geno - 2.01’ Sackboy - 1.59’ Recette - 1.56’ Nier - 1.56’ Lyndis - 1.52’ Travis - 1.51’ Kratos A - 1.50’ Boko - 1.50’ Haggar - 1.41’ Falco - 1.24’ Red Bird - 1.00’ --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0 |
Draven 46.31% 42716 Votes Your Pick Mewtwo 31.39% 28950 Votes Sephiroth 22.3% 20570 Votes Total Votes: 92236 --- http://i.imgur.com/GUtJDs7.jpg Fact: Fanbases are unpleasable, deal with it. |
Sephiroth might end up breaking 35% on Draven despite straight up getting tripled by him during the majority of his rally. Really goes to show just how immense the difference in strength is. |
Fayt_Esteed posted... AxemRedRanger posted...What Smash-dependent characters are tanking, again? That had nothing to do with Smash, though. Pit was already terrible in 2008 when Brawl was the only thing he'd gotten since forever, and based on that performance alone basically nobody would have picked him. (Or I hope they wouldn't have, anyways!) The reason people took him to win was his new game on 3DS. And while that was a terrible reason, Pit did look much better than in 2008. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
Match CXIX: (1) Solid Snake vs. (5) Squirtle vs. (6) Pikachu Previous Round Solid Snake 47.58% GlaDOS 26.28% Kefka 26.14% Squirtle 42.91% Cloud Strife 41.94% Leon Kennedy 15.15% Pikachu 40.28% Sora 39.96% Pokemon Trainer Blue 19.76% Analysis With the Pokemon essentially taking over Solid Snake is almost gifted a spot in the final. I know LFF does not mean instant lose, but I do not see Snake losing this match. Pokemon fans would have to essentially abandon one of the characters and even then a massive rally would be required to win. The fight for second on the other hand is a lot more interesting. Base off of their contest performances I would have to say Squirtle has had a better performance. Even ignoring the rally barely losing to Cloud is better than being about equal with Crono. Even pre-contest I think most of us would have taken Squirtle as the second strongest Pokemon character behind Charizard. One thing I am worried about is something weird might happen in a direct match-up. Pikachu may not be a huge fan favourite, but he is known as the face of the series and when it comes to voting and people see two Pokemon characters they may vote for which one they perceive as being more popular rather than going with their favourite in order to give the series the best chance at winning. With that said the fanbase could also go the other way and support Squirtle. I see this match going in two ways, one where Squirtle wins and Pikachu keeps close and the other where Pikachu wins and Squirtle gets SFF. I have always been a firm believer that should a match like this happen the fanbase will support Pikachu, but I would not be surprised if Squirtle takes the win. charmander6000s Bracket: Solid Snake > Cloud Strife and Sora charmander6000s Prediction: Solid Snake 44.34%, Pikachu 34.43%, Squirtle 21.23% --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 155/243 Today's Pick: Link |
I
feel like after his comeback last night, Mega Man is destined to beat
Samus, with Red firmly in 3rd place, but what do I know... L-Block and Tifa would've been crushed by Charizard, and the fact that you toss Zero in there, really makes Mega Man's win impressive. Mega Man has all the momentum now, and I also feel it helps his match happened after Samus'. This is a really tough pick for me in the "Expert Challenge" as it will likely determine wether or not I finish in the top 8 or fall to pieces at the finish line. --- Can I please have the old Gamefaqs back... my account is too old for changes now. |
im taking Mega Man to win based on twitter. the official Mega Man twitter account posted a link to the poll last round --- "L-Block 2007 Character Battle Champion"Always remember "L-Block, shaped like a boot to kick your ass" |
wait, i just checked and that account only has 8,767 followers. --- "L-Block 2007 Character Battle Champion"Always remember "L-Block, shaped like a boot to kick your ass" |
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