GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1170
- Team Aqua Elite (37)
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GxjSsINiVB0 ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner! Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over.... |
Three Noble Niners left. --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/26leonpngat.png http://img.imgcake.com/nio/daigohadoupnguj.png |
Jak should be an honorary member of the NN btw --- Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner! Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over.... |
I thought his voice would be somewhat funny. It's not just sounds like a pedo. What a garbage character. --- Mithos |
Today is 9/11. Coincidence? Yeah, probably. --- Haman Korn! You're the source of all kernels in this world! Your time has come! -Cornille You've made a poor choice for your final popping place! -Haman Korn |
Blairville posted... Today is 9/11. Coincidence? Yeah, probably. Don't tell that to Red Shifter. --- "The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad |
Ideally, yes, Link, perhaps Mario and maybe
Snake should be able to win if the rally topic has no selection bias
(simply 'Vote in Link v Draven!', for example) and hits r/all. At that
point r/all becomes a vast liability because the general population of
reddit simply crushes LoL. --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
To sum up: Going from 44% to 50% is freaking hard. Another example here of how hard it is: Suppose Link/Draven goes 90/10 on Gfaqs with natural votes of 50k. Rallied votes split 70/30 for Draven. Link 45k Draven 5k With 50k rallied votes, we now have.... Link 60k Draven 40k With 100k rallied votes, we now have..... Link 75k Draven 75k It took an equal number of additional rallied votes to go from 90/10 to 60/40, as it took to go from 60/40 to 50/50. And what this means is that if SBAllen gives us Draven v. Snake 1v1 at the end, Snake has very real winning chances. --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/67217483 Posting this once more. There seem to be some stat topicers here that like the idea of a 1 v 1 but aren't going over to the petition topic to show their support, and in the wise, poetic words of Sonic: that's no good. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
so if Snake beats Draven 1-on-1 after the contest is he the real champion and will you guys consider him a "legit" champion or are you still going to say he's a joke for doing what Link couldn't do and it's his fault Link didn't make it to the finals --- http://i.imgur.com/kCpvD.gif |
If
the rally topic has no selection bias and hits r/all Draven is
completely cooked. Even with selection bias, Link/Snake have a great
chance of winning that 1v1. --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
People
were asking how strong Mewtwo is. I don't think anyone has a lot of
confidence in any number they could come up with for that being accurate
but: Based on Phoenix Wright's matches, Mewtwo this year is worth 63.81% on Marth. 2010 Sephiroth got 71.80% on Marth. You'd think Marth would be constant-ish. Extrapolating through FFVII has issues, but it's Pokemon, so I'm not going to worry about them. Works out to Mewtwo being worth ~38.96% on 2010 Sephiroth. Adjustments for 24 hours probably helps Marth against either opponent and helps Mewtwo against Phoenix and add in additional Pokemon rallying/bandwagoning/whatever if it looks like they need it. 2010 Auron was worth 40.99% on Sephiroth and should probably be the minimum, with 2010 Squall's 42.52% on 2010 Sephiroth being more likely. Considering Auron > Sonic 2008 and large amounts of Bowser/Sonic overlap would put Sonic and Mewtwo fairly close, that sounds reasonable. Squall was worth 36.35% on Link that year. Best I could do! Would I bet that number is accurate? No, of course not. It's Pokemon. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
Karma Hunter posted... Ideally, yes, Link, perhaps Mario and maybe Snake should be able to win if the rally topic has no selection bias (simply 'Vote in Link v Draven!', for example) and hits r/all. At that point r/all becomes a vast liability because the general population of reddit simply crushes LoL. I keep telling you guys to make more neutral rallying threads, you people keep saying "stop going over there" really now! |
Eh,
whatever Snake does in a theoretical True Finals won't matter to me as
far as considering him a 'legit' champion (at that point, besides,
Draven is the champion anyway, Snake would be the champ as much as ?
Block in 07). A championship is secondary to the tallest task of all, anyway - Beating Link. That's the true championship. --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
Back
in 2009, we said that if FFVII won the bonus poll, then OOT would be
contest champion and FFVII would be the strongest game. Here, if Snake wins the bonus poll.......Draven is the contest champion, and the strongest character is.....Link. It sounds like a double standard but it's really not. I'd want to see a Link v. Snake poll next but that's too much to hope for! --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
Whoa, I see Reddit made the rallies happen, anyway. Yikes. --- tune in tokyo 142.94 |
red sox 777 posted... If the rally topic has no selection bias and hits r/all Draven is completely cooked. Even with selection bias, Link/Snake have a great chance of winning that 1v1. I suppose our best bet then is: 1. Make the rally topic before they do and call it "Snake vs. Mega Man vs. Draven in GameFAQs character battle" 2. Mass upvote it 3. Report any other rallies for being spam Might work, but this IS LoL we're dealing with. They'll never quit. --- "That choke point bridge in Chapter 2 completely changed my strategy as well as my views on life." - WestbrickIII |
Karma is right. ? Block beat the champion and Jay Solano beat Link. Yet nobody counts these matches. They are for fun. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
LeonhartFour posted... so if Snake beats Draven 1-on-1 after the contest is he the real champion and will you guys consider him a "legit" champion Not a real champion unless he beats Link! I would root for him to take down Draven, though. --- tune in tokyo 142.94 |
It
depends on the bonus match. The 2009 bonus match was every bit the
true final, and everyone knew it. It got higher votals. Everyone saw
it as the real final. To the casual observer who came across Gamefaqs
looking for a guide, it looked like the real final. You wouldn't know
it wasn't unless you had followed the contest. --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
People
should really just let this contest finish and then die quietly. These
counter rallies and 1v1 plans for legitimacy just aren't going to work
and you're setting yourself up for more disappointment. --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
Also, has Allen made any comments so far? --- tune in tokyo 142.94 |
Allen popped in the stats topic last night and answered a question about Barkley with "Because." --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
Oh, Barkley, whatever. Don't know why you guys care so much about that! --- tune in tokyo 142.94 |
I
don't want a Draven bonus poll. I don't want people from the LoL board
having a reason to be here for one more day. The faster they leave, the
better. I'd rather we get Link/Snake/whoever. --- Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner |
ZFS posted... Oh, Barkley, whatever. Don't know why you guys care so much about that! NO BARKLEY NO PEACE --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
I
don't think anyone is seriously entertaining these things. This is just
shooting the breeze while waiting for the last truly interesting match
of the contest (Samus/Red/Mega Man). I don't even really want to see Link v Snake 1v1 right now because I don't think Snake would even make it interesting anymore. Maybe if we were in a 1v1 contest where Link had dominated his half of the bracket in a fashion to build up a lot of hatred against him while Snake built up a big bandwagon on the other side, sure, there's a possibility of an '08 style spark or two. But Link is GameFAQs's martyr now, there's no reason to believe another character could get in striking range. --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
Ironically, had Link/Shepard/Draven been held on the main page of Reddit, Link probably would have won. --- "What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!" This is Yesmar. |
STRIKE ME DOWN AND I WILL BECOME MORE POWERFUL THAN YOU CAN POSSIBLY IMAGINE --- http://img.imgcake.com/leonpngpe.png http://img.imgcake.com/squalloweenpngem.png |
If
Link is the more iconic character in the eyes of the general populace
then rally. If the rally fails then LoL players care much more than you,
like you've all said before. If the contest doesn't even matter, then
stop trying. Any actions you take to defend yourselves or the contest will be made by the LoL community to be pathetic and in vain. They have the advantage of being very adept at lying to themselves. The solution to trolling, as in all other places on the internet, is to ignore them. They will go away. --- The official OnionOfMystery of Reality. "Vaan is like a Robin in a universe composed entirely of Batmans." |
OrangeCrush980 posted... red sox 777 posted...If the rally topic has no selection bias and hits r/all Draven is completely cooked. Even with selection bias, Link/Snake have a great chance of winning that 1v1. if you people had done this during the Link match it would've been more interesting>_> |
LeonhartFour posted... STRIKE ME DOWN AND I WILL BECOME MORE POWERFUL THAN YOU CAN POSSIBLY IMAGINE Link style. --- tune in tokyo 142.94 |
It's true, Draven does ruin everything --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
Draven Vader --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
KamikazePotato posted... Luster, include this in whatever bonus poll topic you do: Sure, I will include it in my poll topic when I get around to doing that. I will make a rare exception here and include a 1v1 match suggestion just because we've had a 1v1 bonus match after the final match in a 4-way contest. red sox 777 posted... No Game of the Generation contest please. We just had a GOTD contest. Nothing but a non-generational games contest will do. As someone else said, we need to do GOTG early next year or we won't ever get the chance to run that contest since the a new generation will officially start later this year. If we had GOTG early next year, we'll have to wait until 2015 before getting a broad non-generational games contest again. Keep in mind that we had the GOTD contest only about 1 1/2 years after our last huge games contest, so it's not crazy to run another games contest about a year after doing GOTG. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
I'm not sure r/all would even allow a rally. After all don't forget the "Only the lol subreddit cares about the contest" thing. |
The
issue with a Game of the Generation Contest is that it features none of
the games we're actually excited to see, except Skyrim and LoL. General interest in such a contest would be very low. --- http://i.imgur.com/fe05x.png http://i.imgur.com/stNJf.png |
This match is...only 3662 votes behind LSD Im..quite surprised Labor Day meant nothing? wasn't it a holiday for all the US citizens? I thought more people should visit this site during a holiday? oh and I don't consider downtime because EVERYONE CAMEBACK AND VOTED FOR LINK |
Regular
game contest is definitely better than a Game of the Generation one.
That's just not a very interesting contest to run on GameFAQs. --- tune in tokyo 142.94 |
Seph should be killing both of these overrated rallied jokes. --- Mithos |
Averia posted... I'm not sure r/all would even allow a rally. r/all is just the top things on reddit. We've already had rallies hit the front page of r/all from the LoL subreddit. Mega Man X and Ryu aren't exactly casual bait, though. --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
LeonhartFour posted... The issue with a Game of the Generation Contest is that it features none of the games we're actually excited to see, except Skyrim and LoL. I want to see Skyrim sap the hell out of LoL's rally strength, personally! |
Oh right, Brawl would be there, too, I guess. Technically TP wouldn't be eligible because it was a GameCube game first...! --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
I'd like a GotG contest simply because I'd know how to predict that way better than 99% of GameFAQs. Woo not being stuck in 2006 --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
KamikazePotato posted... I'd like a GotG contest simply because I'd know how to predict that way better than 99% of GameFAQs. oh really what are you gonna do when PokeFEAR strikes and runs over everything |
Oh right, Brawl would be there, too, I guess. Technically TP wouldn't be eligible because it was a GameCube game first...! No it came out on the Wii first, it's one of the main arguments for it being a Wii game rather than a Gamecube game during the GotD contest --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 155/243 Today's Pick: Link |
If Pokemon Diamond wins a GotG contest, then I'd just have to simply go 'huh'. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Oh darn, I was hoping this site would have to rally around Skyward Sword to uphold the LAW. That would've been much more entertaining than watching TP do it. --- http://img571.imageshack.us/img571/9919/leonhart.png |
- Team Aqua Elite (37)
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