Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1167

#1 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/10/2013 8:47:15 PM | message detail
Congratulations to Mega Man for pulling off the upset against Charizard! Very well done!

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
---
Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#2 | DSRKVRTheDealer | Posted 9/10/2013 8:47:44 PM | message detail
Indeed..
---
New England Patriots: 1-0
#3 | xp1337 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:48:36 PM | message detail
congratulations mega man
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#4 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/10/2013 8:49:16 PM | message detail
I can't believe he got over 200 votes in that last update. What a finish.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#5 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 9/10/2013 8:49:21 PM | message detail
A vote for Sephiroth is a vote for GameFAQs.
---
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
The artist formerly known as greatone10.
#6 | raginbull911 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:57:30 PM | message detail
It's about time to welcome everybody back.. to the LEAGUE OF DRAVEN!
---
SBAllen: the hero GameFAQs needs, but not the one it deserves.
#7 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:57:31 PM | message detail
The Draven rally is dropping from reddit/all, never got to the front page.

Maybe during the match
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 146/234 Today's Pick: Mega Man
#8 | HaRRicH | Posted 9/10/2013 8:57:36 PM | message detail
Charizard's got one bar of life left.

Mega Man has two.


This is it.
---
T H E S T A B L E - bring on Epona!
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
#9 | Rad Link 5 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:57:43 PM | message detail
This is so fraudulent.

Like absolutely everything else in this contest.
---
Ace Detective for Hire
http://i.imgur.com/Ar78NaZ.jpg
#10 | FFDragon | Posted 9/10/2013 8:57:50 PM | message detail
#498 | Drakeryn | Posted 9/10/2013 11:57:13 PM | message detail
*votes Mega Man*


Never thought I'd see the day.
---
If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE]
http://img.imgcake.com/finegifdy.gif
#11 | Haste_2 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:57:51 PM | message detail
....................
---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those! It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
#12 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/10/2013 8:57:54 PM | message detail
Charizard to come through on this final update.

No doubts. Not even after the last time. No doubts.

...no doubts...
---
Welcome to the League of Downtime.
#13 | WingerSupreme | Posted 9/10/2013 8:57:58 PM | message detail
So why would live updates over the final couple minutes be bad? People refreshing could cause the site to crash?
---
Being a great shooter has almost nothing to do with being a great scorer ~ Ray AP
#14 | Xuxon | Posted 9/10/2013 8:57:59 PM | message detail
on another note, i wildly underestimated Zero's dropoff. holy crap.
---
http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif
#15 | paulg235 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:58:03 PM | message detail
DON'T **** IT UP, BLUE BOMBER

DON'T **** IT UP
---
Allen didn't screw VV, Phoenix Wright didn't screw VV, Mewtwo certainly did not screw VV,
nor did paulg screw VV. Vincent Valentine screwed Vincent Valentine.
#16 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 9/10/2013 8:58:05 PM | message detail
The bad thing about this late freeze at the beginning was that Draven will start before the final update of this match.
#17 | XIII_rocks | Posted 9/10/2013 8:58:07 PM | message detail
whoa I don't think I've got a 500th post in a stats topic before

Pretty good one too. Always happy to have a good gloat
---
XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism.
#18 | Kibago | Posted 9/10/2013 8:58:07 PM | message detail
Zard doesn't have enough. he'll lose by twelve.
---
Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham
We'll get 'em next year.
#19 | abdou | Posted 9/10/2013 8:58:13 PM | message detail
awesome go MM
---
...
#20 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/10/2013 8:58:16 PM | message detail
LAST UPDATE INCOMING
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#21 | swordz9 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:58:17 PM | message detail
If Zard does somehow lose this I still wouldn't be surprised to see Red rallied past Mega Man and Samus. You guys might think it's impossible, but Pokemon has proven otherwise several times already.
---
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9
#22 | Dabrikishaw15 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:58:17 PM | message detail
2 min-ties left.
---
http://i.imgur.com/GUtJDs7.jpg
Fact: Fanbases are unpleasable, deal with it.
#23 | xp1337 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:58:18 PM | message detail
if only it weren't for mewtwo, sephiroth could win the board vote
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#24 | vcharon | Posted 9/10/2013 8:58:23 PM | message detail
ib4 Allen.
---
Still smilin'
:>
#25 | SubDeity | Posted 9/10/2013 8:58:23 PM | message detail
Blasting the Wily theme right now. Join me brothers.
---
"Hamas isn't really a terror organization." -Terran [Evil Republican]
Play Der Langrisser.
#26 | hylianknight3 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:58:26 PM | message detail
We do need live updates during the last five minutes... so Charizard can figure out how many legitimate votes he needs!
#27 | Haste_2 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:58:26 PM | message detail
It's amazing how far Zero's percentage has fallen over the past hour.
---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those! It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
#28 | DBean | Posted 9/10/2013 8:58:30 PM | message detail
Come on, Mega. The underdog fighting for everlasting peace. Get this one!
#29 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:58:58 PM | message detail
LoL rally gone now
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 146/234 Today's Pick: Mega Man
#30 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/10/2013 8:59:04 PM | message detail
Uh

Where did the reddit rally go?
---
Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#31 | RockMFR | Posted 9/10/2013 8:59:08 PM | message detail
#32 | Evil_REmade | Posted 9/10/2013 8:59:12 PM | message detail
"Everything's legit, nothing to see here" - Allen
---
Hope is a good thing, maybe the best of things, and no good thing ever dies.
#33 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/10/2013 8:59:16 PM | message detail
http://www.reddit.com/r/leagueoflegends/comments/1m57gk/in_3_hours_draven_is_up_again_in_gamefaqs/

That topic was deleted. But I guess it doesn't matter since thousands have seen that topic and they are ready to vote.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#34 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/10/2013 8:59:20 PM | message detail
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g0MLscghcN4
---
Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#35 | paulg235 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:59:50 PM | message detail | (edited)
I am so hoping btw that Charizard does not win now by 1 vote. That'd be the worst.

EDIT: DOES NOT, DOES NOT!
---
Allen didn't screw VV, Phoenix Wright didn't screw VV, Mewtwo certainly did not screw VV,
nor did paulg screw VV. Vincent Valentine screwed Vincent Valentine.
#36 | XIII_rocks | Posted 9/10/2013 8:59:27 PM | message detail
Whoa, Reddit rally gone with a minute to go? O_o
---
XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism.
#37 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/10/2013 8:59:28 PM | message detail
So, didn't I tell you guys the rally would be deleted?
---
Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#38 | Solioxrz362 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:59:31 PM | message detail
Jump'n'shoot man FTW
---
"Tu ne cede malis sed contra audentior ito"
Yield not to misfortunes, but advance all the more boldly against them.
#39 | WingerSupreme | Posted 9/10/2013 8:59:35 PM | message detail
I can't explain the Charizard spike, but the Mega Man spike does coincide somewhat with https://twitter.com/MegaMan posting
---
Being a great shooter has almost nothing to do with being a great scorer ~ Ray AP
#40 | KommunistKoala | Posted 9/10/2013 8:59:39 PM | message detail
Time for Allen to remove 5000 Mega Man votes because he didn't help Pokemon enough this contest
---
http://img.imgcake.com/KommunistKoala/koalajpgehsa.jpg
http://img.imgcake.com/KKpngat.png
#41 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/10/2013 8:59:42 PM | message detail
oh s***
---
Welcome to the League of Downtime.
#42 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 9/10/2013 8:59:43 PM | message detail
paulg235 posted...
I am so hoping btw that Charizard does win now by 1 vote. That'd be the worst.


You mean the best!
---
RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#43 | Scarlettail | Posted 9/10/2013 8:59:48 PM | message detail
Congrats, Mega Man. You earned it.
#44 | The Owner of FF9 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:59:51 PM | message detail
SubDeity posted...
Blasting the Wily theme right now. Join me brothers.


I prefer the title screen for MM2
---
FFIXOwner Bracket: 160/234
Expert: 594 (lol?)
#45 | Loshadt | Posted 9/10/2013 8:59:59 PM | message detail
Oh damn son /v/ /b/ and /vr/ came through.
---
Russian is my first language, so yes there may be a spelling error or two.
Kirino is best girl.
#46 | SnoicFactor | Posted 9/10/2013 8:59:59 PM | message detail
COME ON CHARIZARD!
---
nt
#47 | hylianknight3 | Posted 9/10/2013 9:00:02 PM | message detail
Not_Wylvane posted...
Uh

Where did the reddit rally go?


Probably too close to r/all. Had to delete it, so they could start over again!
#48 | RockMFR | Posted 9/10/2013 9:00:05 PM | message detail
Mega Man wins! ... please...
---
Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
#49 | tennisboy213 | Posted 9/10/2013 9:00:15 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted


Draven
21.43%
3 Votes

Mewtwo
78.57%
11 Votes
Your Pick

Sephiroth
0%
0 Votes
Total Votes: 14
---
POKEFEAR
#50 | -Tofa7- | Posted 9/10/2013 9:00:47 PM | message detail | (edited)
Draven
43.9%
18 Votes

Mewtwo
46.34%
19 Votes

Sephiroth
9.76%
4 Votes

Total Votes: 41

---
"Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..."