Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1164

#351 | lightning-02 | Posted 9/10/2013 3:55:45 AM | message detail
At the usual 70/30 rate of overlap for same series characters MM beats Charizard 53/47 in a 1v1
#352 | SnoicFactor | Posted 9/10/2013 4:04:40 AM | message detail
lightning-02 posted...
At the usual 70/30 rate of overlap for same series characters MM beats Charizard 53/47 in a 1v1


yeah, why i said around 43%. He could potentially be the favorite, and at least make it close.
---
nt
#353 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/10/2013 4:08:40 AM | message detail | (edited)
Not nearly as devastating of a TDZ as I was expecting for Mega Man. Charizard should still have this easy because Pokemon day vote + rallies, but MM's defied at least the first part of the match's inexorable push against him.

...odd that no one seems to want to rally the poor guy. When Pokemon are losing (or winning!) by an inch or by a mile, I see rallies go up like crazy. Mega Man fights his little robot heart out with Zero crippling him and I think I've seen one rally on a subreddit of 30~ people.
---
Welcome to the League of Downtime.
#354 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 9/10/2013 4:07:35 AM | message detail
lightning-02 posted...
What if its a low level pikachu that hasn't learned thundershock yet?


LOL gtfo newbie.
---
RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#355 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 9/10/2013 4:15:02 AM | message detail
creativename posted...
Damnit Zero fans, WHO ARE YOU VOTING FOOOOR?!?!

Zero's rise to heaven will be what kills Mega Man this match.

And what's this crazy talk of 60/40 overlap with MM/Zero?? The absolute minimum overlap for this type of match will be 70%. MM/Zero overlap is likely at least 80%.

Zard is being exposed - again - yet will still be bailed out by the Pokemanz absurdly lucky bracket rigging. Oh, and their trademarked "plucky underdog" rallies.

red sox 777 posted...
Europe is about to ruin yet another match. Do you remember 56-54-52-51-43-41? I do! Those will be the numbers I mutter to myself in old age and delirium..

What's this mean?


Mega Man had better hope it's only 60-40...because the greater the overlap, the worse his chances of advancing are!
---
RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#356 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/10/2013 5:23:45 AM | message detail
MM wins I believe. Charizard can't pull ahead and he is winning by 3% in USA.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#357 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/10/2013 5:38:50 AM | message detail
Safer_777 posted...
MM wins I believe. Charizard can't pull ahead and he is winning by 3% in USA.


You may very well be the worst geolocation analyst of all time.
---
Welcome to the League of Downtime.
#358 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/10/2013 5:42:55 AM | message detail
Eh whatever. Still bad performance from Charizard even if he wins. And before the contest it was a lock for him winning. What happened?
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#359 | abdou | Posted 9/10/2013 6:25:47 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Safer_777 posted...
MM wins I believe. Charizard can't pull ahead and he is winning by 3% in USA.


You may very well be the worst geolocation analyst of all time.


MM still has a chance..pokemon have great day votes which will make it hard and then rallies which makes it even harder >_> but at least we are out of the TDZ . Man Europe hate MM
---
...
#360 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/10/2013 6:40:05 AM | message detail
Since we are talking about geolocation results, in Texas MM went ahead of Charizard and in California they are equal. So nothing is over. Also in some countries Zero wins yet in the poll he has less than 20%. Nice.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#361 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/10/2013 7:32:35 AM | message detail
Mega Man is gaining a bit in the US, but in Canada he is losing out to Charizard.

Also the only country that matters with Zero winning is Brazil.
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 146/234 Today's Pick: Mega Man
#362 | ZFS | Posted 9/10/2013 7:38:54 AM | message detail | (edited)
In no way does Charizard get close 1v1. Don't know why we still have some people entertaining this.


MM held up really well overnight, considering how bad Europe is for him. Think he's still in it here.
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#363 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/10/2013 7:40:11 AM | message detail
So when do we expect MM to start his comeback? Right about now,no?
#364 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/10/2013 7:40:33 AM | message detail
What time is in USA now?
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#365 | The Mana Sword | Posted 9/10/2013 7:40:48 AM | message detail
man if you guys think mega man still has a shot you must not have seen every other close match involving pokemon this year
---
i'll do rydia -Dante
#366 | ZFS | Posted 9/10/2013 7:42:56 AM | message detail | (edited)
The Mana Sword posted...
man if you guys think mega man still has a shot you must not have seen every other close match involving pokemon this year


charizard sux this is truth

He could end up with rallies saving the day or whatever, but MM looks naturally stronger here even with Zero.
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#367 | Scarlettail | Posted 9/10/2013 7:46:22 AM | message detail
Mega Man is just tougher to vote against than prior opponents to Pokemon. Smash boost, as well as sympathy for him gives him support that's tough to overcome.
#368 | abdou | Posted 9/10/2013 7:48:14 AM | message detail
Safer_777 posted...
What time is in USA now?


10:47 AM EST
---
...
#369 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/10/2013 7:48:49 AM | message detail
What time is in USA now?

We're about 12 minutes to 8am at the west coast so were pretty much in the day vote.

Mega Man probably won't make any meaningful cuts until Europe starts going to bed, then we have the whole Pokemon in a close match thing to worry about.
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 146/234 Today's Pick: Mega Man
#370 | eaglesarebeasts | Posted 9/10/2013 7:56:25 AM | message detail
It's amazing how much I've lost interest in this contest ever since the Squirtle match. But I am excited for the next few matches to see all these pokemon get their ***es handed to them.
---
http://i.imgur.com/CQVaT6Xl.jpg
#371 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 9/10/2013 8:02:55 AM | message detail
Way to suck, Charizard...
---
"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#372 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:03:47 AM | message detail
In honor to Charizard I am watching at Youtube Ash's Charizard beating everyone.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#373 | raginbull911 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:08:07 AM | message detail
Still can't believe there's going to be 5 representatives from Pokemon RBY in the final 9. Pokedrones and shoddy bracket design at its finest!

Go Draven! And if the rallies fall off, please Snake for the love of god win.
---
SBAllen: the hero GameFAQs needs, but not the one it deserves.
#374 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 9/10/2013 8:09:45 AM | message detail
Hey now, blame FFIX fans for rallying Vivi over Mario. Otherwise there would only be four!
---
~War~
#375 | Scarlettail | Posted 9/10/2013 8:09:53 AM | message detail
I kind of feel like how a Draven supporter does. It's amusing when so many people rage over results like these Pokemon ones.
#376 | swordz9 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:11:13 AM | message detail
All this Pokemon hate is just going to fuel more rallies to see you guys get all "butthurt" and stuff. For the next couple matches I'm hoping the winners are Mewtwo, Squirtle and then I don't care if Samus, Red or Charizard wins the 3rd. I don't really care if Snake beats Squirtle either, but I don't know him so I'm rooting for Squirtle.
---
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9
#377 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:12:20 AM | message detail
Only Charizard benefited from bracket placement to reach the final 9.

Mewtwo looked great, Squirtle rallied, Pikachu suffered from bracket placement and Red should have been screwed by bracket placement, but was incredibly lucky that both Vivi and Squall won.
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 146/234 Today's Pick: Mega Man
#378 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/10/2013 8:12:37 AM | message detail
Well, the day vote has been good so far.

For Zero.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#379 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/10/2013 8:13:35 AM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Only Charizard benefited from bracket placement to reach the final 9.


Crono/Magus
Sonic/Bowser
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#380 | swordz9 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:14:55 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
charmander6000 posted...
Only Charizard benefited from bracket placement to reach the final 9.


Crono/Magus
Sonic/Bowser

Seems unfair to count Sonic/Bowser since most people thought Vincent would win that match! It's not Mewtwo's fault Vincent performed terribly and got a pic everybody hated.
---
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9
#381 | raginbull911 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:15:14 AM | message detail
Fox/Wolf too, but that match is semi-irrelevant.
---
SBAllen: the hero GameFAQs needs, but not the one it deserves.
#382 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 9/10/2013 8:16:20 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
charmander6000 posted...
Only Charizard benefited from bracket placement to reach the final 9.


Crono/Magus
Sonic/Bowser


Pikachu did well enough in Crono/Magus that he would have won regardless. It would've been very close and by your own admission Pokemon in a close match is a lock for a Pokemon win.

Even if you give Sonic 70% of Bowser's votes, Sonic/Mewtwo is 50-50, which is a lock for Pokemon.
---
~War~
#383 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:22:48 AM | message detail
You are mistaken. Only Charizard was benefited you know. Let us say he wins today though. It was expected to face MM and Zero and winning because of split. Charizard prooved weak though.

Mewtwo...No. Almost everyone had Sonic, few had Vincent. Nobody had Mewtwo. But because Sonic and FF 7 have gotten weaker he did it.

Pikachu. Okay most expected to beat Crono and lose to Sora because either Fox or Blue would be there to drain votes. Plus Sora lost by around 150 votes only so Pikachu again was lucky.

Red. Ok it was expected to have Mario there so when Vivi beat Mario and Squall beat Missigno Red became the favorite. Plus he didn't win by that much.

Squirtle. Some had him beating Dante but that is. He beat Cloud yeah but there was a big rally going on.

So there you go. Only 1 good bracket placement and there are 5 now.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#384 | The Mana Sword | Posted 9/10/2013 8:23:56 AM | message detail
all pokemon were benefited from bracket placement because they were all placed in 3-way matches
---
i'll do rydia -Dante
#385 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/10/2013 8:24:54 AM | message detail
Pikachu doesn't beat Crono without Magus, Mewtwo doesn't beat Sonic without Bowser, Charizard doesn't beat Mega Man without Zero, and Red doesn't beat Vivi without Squall.

Pokemon in general has been coasting along a sea of LFF.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#386 | spooky96 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:26:25 AM | message detail
Squirtle. Some had him beating Dante but that is. He beat Cloud yeah but there was a big rally going on.


Nope. Cloudy days are gone.


My first PUN! Was that a good pun?!?! Was it even a pun?!?!?
---
A sig.
#387 | swordz9 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:29:11 AM | message detail
It's funny how Final Fantasy had like the opposite of Pokemon for the bracket. So many matches against other FF characters, jokes with rally potential and then even when they cause upsets (Vivi) it causes them to kill each other.
---
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9
#388 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:29:42 AM | message detail
That is why I said bring back the 4-ways! Such staff wouldn't happen!
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#389 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:37:32 AM | message detail | (edited)
While Pikachu did benefit from Crono and Magus it is debatable that he would have won.

Of course turning debatable to guarantee is the issue, but who would have given Pikachu a solid chance to defeat Crono without Magus?
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 146/234 Today's Pick: Mega Man
#390 | abdou | Posted 9/10/2013 8:38:41 AM | message detail
That's why 1vs1 is the best and most fair.
---
...
#391 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:38:55 AM | message detail
Crono without rallies wins in a 24 match against Pikachu.
Also lead under 500 votes. Time to break the Charizard rallies!
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#392 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 9/10/2013 8:42:03 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
Pikachu doesn't beat Crono without Magus, Mewtwo doesn't beat Sonic without Bowser, Charizard doesn't beat Mega Man without Zero, and Red doesn't beat Vivi without Squall.

Pokemon in general has been coasting along a sea of LFF.


Which makes it fitting that SFF will be what destroys them.
---
"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#393 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:50:08 AM | message detail
Crono without rallies wins in a 24 match against Pikachu.

What about a 1v1 12 hour day match with rallies?
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 146/234 Today's Pick: Mega Man
#394 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/10/2013 8:51:06 AM | message detail
Well rallies make everything unpredictable.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#395 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/10/2013 9:05:27 AM | message detail | (edited)
Scarlettail posted...
I kind of feel like how a Draven supporter does. It's amusing when so many people rage over results like these Pokemon ones.


No it's not
It's annoying as hell

I think the reason I want Mewtwo to beat Draven changed from "To make reddit users shut the **** up" to "make Board 8 users shut the ****ing hell up"

I was ok with it when it was complaints about "favorable bracket placement" like Fox/Wolf,Crono/Magus and now Megaman/Zero
But then people started complaining about Vivi/Squall THAT WASN'T SUPPOSED TO HAPPEN AT ALL and it started being stupid
Also things such as "Bowser hurt Sonic more than it hurt Mewtwo! FAVORABLE BRACKET PLACEMENT" this is annoying shut up

You know,we could have had - Lugia/Squirtle/Leon
Vivi/Missingno/Red
Magikarp/Zero/Charizard
What then? would you still cry about favorable bracket placement?
I thanked god for Pikachu>Sora because I thought people would finally shut up about "Pokemon benefiting from LFF bracket is rigged" but instead people complained more
#396 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/10/2013 9:06:36 AM | message detail
I can believe that Bowser hurt Sonic more, but people need to stop acting like Pokemon has no fanbase overlap with Nintendo.
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 146/234 Today's Pick: Mega Man
#397 | jtwo22 | Posted 9/10/2013 9:10:00 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
Pikachu doesn't beat Crono without Magus, Mewtwo doesn't beat Sonic without Bowser, Charizard doesn't beat Mega Man without Zero, and Red doesn't beat Vivi without Squall.

Pokemon in general has been coasting along a sea of LFF.


Have to disagree about Mewtwo.
Mewtwo vs Sonic actually seems debatable. Bowser hurting Sonic somewhat is believable ,but It's hard to believe Bowser would have a huge impact on Sonic ,but very little on Mewtwo.
Even if Pokemon resists better.
Sonic just seems weaker and with the release of Pokemon X/Y coming closer. Mewtwo has grown stronger.
---
Support Shantae: Half-Genie Hero kickstarter.
Miyamoto: This Zelda was like losing my virginity, in the sense that we were making something completely new .
#398 | Scarlettail | Posted 9/10/2013 9:11:03 AM | message detail
Nanis23 posted...
Scarlettail posted...
I kind of feel like how a Draven supporter does. It's amusing when so many people rage over results like these Pokemon ones.


No it's not
It's annoying as hell

I think the reason I want Mewtwo to beat Draven changed from "To make reddit users shut the **** up" to "make Board 8 users shut the ****ing hell up"

I was ok with it when it was complaints about "favorable bracket placement" like Fox/Wolf,Crono/Magus and now Megaman/Zero
But then people started complaining about Vivi/Squall THAT WASN'T SUPPOSED TO HAPPEN AT ALL and it started being stupid
Also things such as "Bowser hurt Sonic more than it hurt Mewtwo! FAVORABLE BRACKET PLACEMENT" this is annoying shut up

You know,we could have had - Lugia/Squirtle/Leon
Vivi/Missingno/Red
Magikarp/Zero/Charizard
What then? would you still cry about favorable bracket placement?
I thanked god for Pikachu>Sora because I thought people would finally shut up about "Pokemon benefiting from LFF bracket is rigged" but instead people complained more


Oh yeah, it can be annoying. People complaining today seem to forget that this match was expected to happen at the beginning of the contest, regardless of Pokemon strength.
#399 | ZFS | Posted 9/10/2013 9:14:40 AM | message detail
The best part about all this LFF is that DK wins by more over Lightning without Falco truly the highlight of Character Battle IX
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#400 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/10/2013 9:15:30 AM | message detail
I'm upset I didn't take DK over Lightning, damn Falco causing me to chicken out.
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 146/234 Today's Pick: Mega Man