Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1163

#1 | tennisboy213 | Posted 9/8/2013 8:56:18 PM | message detail
We apologize for depriving you of Pokemon for the last 24 hours.


~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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POKEFEAR
#2 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/8/2013 8:56:50 PM | message detail
Squall undefeated against Pokemon so far
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http://gifsoup.com/view/874243/big-boss-o.gif
#3 | nkansas13 | Posted 9/8/2013 9:01:20 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Squall undefeated against Pokemon so far

So was Cloud.
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Hey I just met you, and this is crazy, but you have died of dysentery.
#4 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 9/8/2013 9:02:22 PM | message detail
Squall looking an awful lot like Wario right now
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Harmony is peace. Peace is unity. Unity is harmony. I tell this to the King Nook. He ask me to leave.
#5 | abdou | Posted 9/8/2013 9:03:33 PM | message detail
why did I even come here, of course pokemon is winning.

did this site suddenly get flooded with 12 year olds?
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#6 | Qwaar | Posted 9/8/2013 9:03:48 PM | message detail
Good grief, how come no one mentioned Squall would do this badly?
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#7 | GloriousSweater | Posted 9/8/2013 9:04:09 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Yep, last glimmer of possible excitement for this contest gone.


Squall might lose to a Square character we assumed was much weaker AND lower on the SFF chain! How does that not excite you?!

What's in store for next year?

Squall losing to Kefka? MAGUS?!
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Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/NQTthNf.jpg
#8 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/8/2013 9:04:11 PM | message detail
LMAO SQUALL LAST YES
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#9 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 9/8/2013 9:04:24 PM | message detail
abdou posted...
why did I even come here, of course pokemon is winning.

did this site suddenly get flooded with 12 year olds?


12 year olds weren't even born when Red's game came out
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Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#10 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/8/2013 9:04:25 PM | message detail
Qwaar posted...
Good grief, how come no one mentioned Squall would do this badly?


I thought it would go without saying that Squall would have a miserable board vote against two RallyFAQs characters.
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http://img571.imageshack.us/img571/9919/leonhart.png
#11 | Surskit | Posted 9/8/2013 9:04:31 PM | message detail
abdou posted...
why did I even come here, of course pokemon is winning.

did this site suddenly get flooded with 12 year olds?


yes, by all of those 12 year-olds who played RBY while in their mother's womb
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.-#Elements of Water#-.
#12 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/8/2013 9:04:45 PM | message detail
Vivi looks like he's getting a fairly big bandwagon, which would make sense.

Wonder if he can pull it off (against Squall).
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Welcome to the League of Downtime.
#13 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/8/2013 9:04:51 PM | message detail
Come on Squall at least beat Vivi, I need to get an expert challenge right outside of Draven/Link/Shepard
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 146/225 Today's Pick: Mario
#14 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 9/8/2013 9:04:54 PM | message detail
nkansas13 posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
Squall undefeated against Pokemon so far

So was Cloud.

3-ways 3-ways 3-ways 3-ways 3-ways. 3-ways 3-ways 3-ways? 3-ways.
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... as if rights are like muscles - the more you use it, the better it gets. Indeed he may be exercising his first amendment-- but he's an IDIOT!
- A. Scalia
#15 | xp1337 | Posted 9/8/2013 9:05:10 PM | message detail
I'm sorry everyone. I could have stopped this.

I had Red > Squall > Vivi. I was tempting fate!

i am so sorry squall. so very sorry.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#16 | Qwaar | Posted 9/8/2013 9:05:23 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Qwaar posted...
Good grief, how come no one mentioned Squall would do this badly?


I thought it would go without saying that Squall would have a miserable board vote against two RallyFAQs characters.


I get the bad board vote, but I can't see him pulling much back throughout the match. Just as well I changed from having him first with 3 minutes to go.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#17 | Acerac | Posted 9/8/2013 9:05:26 PM | message detail
abdou posted...
why did I even come here, of course pokemon is winning.

did this site suddenly get flooded with 12 year olds?


Isn't Pokemon older than Final Fantasy 8?

Err... wait... this contest has lost all credibility!
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GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC
#18 | swordz9 | Posted 9/8/2013 9:05:43 PM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
LMAO SQUALL LAST YES

How will you feel when Sephiroth looks like this against Draven and Mewtwo?
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http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9
#19 | -hotdogturtle-- | Posted 9/8/2013 9:05:44 PM | message detail
From: GloriousSweater | #007
What's in store for next year?

Squall losing to Kefka? MAGUS?!


Kefka vs. Magus 1v1 round 1 match 1.
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Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords.
With what? ROT-13? -CJayC
#20 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 9/8/2013 9:05:50 PM | message detail
Anyway, time to see if the FF fanbase is smart and just abandons Squall.
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Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#21 | abdou | Posted 9/8/2013 9:06:04 PM | message detail
BK_Sheikah00 posted...
abdou posted...
why did I even come here, of course pokemon is winning.

did this site suddenly get flooded with 12 year olds?


12 year olds weren't even born when Red's game came out


No way how did you figure that out
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#22 | GloriousSweater | Posted 9/8/2013 9:06:35 PM | message detail
Squall is down 9% (or almost a third of his vote). I'd consider Vivi the favorite for second place right now. Cloud wasn't even down six full percent against Squirtle at the first real freeze.
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Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/NQTthNf.jpg
#23 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 9/8/2013 9:06:55 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
165---1--------100.00
164---0--------0.00
163---1--------100.00
162---2--------50.00
161---6--------83.33
160---1--------100.00
159---3--------100.00
158---4--------75.00
157---2--------100.00
156---8--------87.50
155---10-------100.00
154---15-------80.00
153---13-------76.92
152---21-------90.48
151---27-------88.89
150---27-------88.89
149---43-------100.00
148---43-------90.70
147---57-------91.23
146---64-------87.50
145---55-------83.64
144---65-------90.77
143---83-------86.75
142---73-------84.93
141---75-------85.33
140---87-------68.97
139---107------75.70
138---95-------71.58
137---98-------73.47
136---100------69.00
135---98-------62.24
134---106------67.92
133---139------69.78
132---126------65.87
131---130------56.92
130---144------61.81
129---144------61.81
128---153------66.67
127---161------55.28
126---209------62.20
125---212------57.55
124---215------57.21
123---214------56.54
122---259------59.46
121---244------54.92
120---253------56.52
119---247------51.01
118---281------55.16
117---309------49.84
116---264------50.00
115---284------50.35
114---271------46.86
113---268------45.90
112---278------50.72
111---269------50.56
110---328------48.17
109---279------40.50
108---244------47.54
107---272------43.38
106---274------36.13
105---266------37.59
104---272------44.49
103---262------39.69
102---238------40.34
101---246------42.28
100---218------27.98
99----237------26.58
98----220------27.27
97----210------32.38
96----210------28.10
95----170------32.94
94----180------30.56
93----164------26.83
92----183------24.04
91----174------29.89
90----185------30.81
89----160------28.75
88----151------29.14
87----157------27.39
86----140------26.43
85----164------18.29
84----167------26.35
83----130------18.46
82----140------21.43
81----135------20.00
80----106------29.25
79----113------15.04
78----121------31.40
77----101------17.82
76----120------24.17
75----105------13.33
74----113------19.47
73----101------21.78
72----109------12.84
71----72-------20.83
70----88-------20.45
69----98-------23.47
68----93-------11.83
67----94-------19.15
66----70-------22.86
65----55-------12.73
64----58-------8.62
63----69-------8.70
62----61-------18.03
61----57-------24.56
60----52-------23.08
59----39-------17.95
58----45-------26.67
57----54-------3.70
56----42-------21.43
55----33-------12.12
54----43-------16.28
53----33-------21.21
52----48-------12.50
51----27-------18.52
50----29-------0.00
49----25-------12.00
48----30-------3.33
47----30-------10.00
46----29-------10.34
45----22-------4.55
44----16-------6.25
43----23-------13.04
42----13-------15.38
41----18-------0.00
40----14-------0.00
39----17-------5.88
38----10-------0.00
37----4--------0.00
36----10-------10.00
...
23----4--------25.00


Omitted scores got it wrong.

Strong but not quite universal support for Samus at the top. A few people here and there choose against her. Overall support is still very high and the casuals do a pretty good job as well.

5 people fell off the Top 49. Former third place FlyEaglesFly10, scolletti105, stormeagle6, The_Ps2_Devil and Hump_A_Bird did not have Samus winning.
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Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place
Pokemon VGC2013 Worlds LCQ - Top 32
#24 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/8/2013 9:07:04 PM | message detail
swordz9 posted...
ExThaNemesis posted...
LMAO SQUALL LAST YES

How will you feel when Sephiroth looks like this against Draven and Mewtwo?


Probably about what Leon feels now.
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#25 | Big Bob | Posted 9/8/2013 9:07:27 PM | message detail
Remember when Red barely beat Revolver Ocelot? When did Pokemon get so big?
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Currently playing: Divekick
#26 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/8/2013 9:07:35 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
#27 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/8/2013 9:07:52 PM | message detail
First couple of updates will give us an idea of whether Squall will get second. He went down big against Missingno early last round, too.

Still think he pulls it out unless people try to rally for Vivi. This is just "B8 loves FFIX" right now.
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#28 | pjbasis | Posted 9/8/2013 9:07:57 PM | message detail
this is awful

Hilarious that missingno was utterly abandoned by the fanbase though
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SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#29 | Xuxon | Posted 9/8/2013 9:08:13 PM | message detail
#30 | Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 9/8/2013 9:08:18 PM | message detail
Meh, Samus in the finals for sure, that's not gonna help Snake. :/
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#31 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/8/2013 9:08:23 PM | message detail
*sees update*

Actually, nevermind.

Yeah, this is done.
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http://www.miscupload.com/upload/452457071929141623517416.gif
#32 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 9/8/2013 9:08:26 PM | message detail
BK_Sheikah00 posted...
Anyway, time to see if the FF fanbase is smart and just abandons Squall.


apparently the answer is yes
#33 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 9/8/2013 9:08:48 PM | message detail
Xuxon posted...
Squall went down

why gamefaqs, why

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Bearer of the Mark of Kan.
#34 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/8/2013 9:09:14 PM | message detail
Yep, Vivi's got second. Vivi could conceivably beat Red with a huge rallying push and if FF fans continue to abandon Squall. Not sure what that would say for Red though since Vivi's so obviously being bandwagoned.
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#35 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/8/2013 9:09:22 PM | message detail
Screw LFF auuuuuugh
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#36 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 9/8/2013 9:09:25 PM | message detail
Holy hell that ended quickly.

Squall is SFFed by Vivi, and both are beaten by the guy who went even with Ocelot.
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Harmony is peace. Peace is unity. Unity is harmony. I tell this to the King Nook. He ask me to leave.
#37 | Xuxon | Posted 9/8/2013 9:09:25 PM | message detail
From: Lieutenant Kettch | Posted: 9/9/2013 12:08:18 AM | #030
Meh, Samus in the finals for sure, that's not gonna help Snake. :/

there is still hope. vote Mega Man.
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http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif
#38 | swordz9 | Posted 9/8/2013 9:09:28 PM | message detail
B8 hates Squall too much and it's all undeserved.
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#39 | pjbasis | Posted 9/8/2013 9:09:32 PM | message detail
wish mario was in this match instead lol
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SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#40 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 9/8/2013 9:09:42 PM | message detail
Wow

Vivi is going to smash Squall here.
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#41 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/8/2013 9:10:19 PM | message detail
swordz9 posted...
B8 hates Squall too much and it's all undeserved.


I've been used to it for years. Don't even care anymore!
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http://i.imgur.com/M7vKB.gif
#42 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 9/8/2013 9:10:26 PM | message detail
Lol Squall

another 0 for me
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#43 | Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 9/8/2013 9:10:29 PM | message detail
Xuxon posted...
From: Lieutenant Kettch | Posted: 9/9/2013 12:08:18 AM | #030
Meh, Samus in the finals for sure, that's not gonna help Snake. :/

there is still hope. vote Mega Man.


Yeah, I don't see any possibility for that with Zero there. He'd have a hard enough with Charlizard 1v1.
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#44 | GloriousSweater | Posted 9/8/2013 9:10:38 PM | message detail
The only New Square entrants who have done well are the ones who are an homage to Old Square (and the one with the big boobs).
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Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/gdl8lcn.jpg
#45 | swordz9 | Posted 9/8/2013 9:11:06 PM | message detail
Hello Rallymaster Kanz. I take it you will be rallying for Squall all over like Facebook, Twitter or wherever else? You can't let him get embarrassed like this.
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http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9
#46 | Xuxon | Posted 9/8/2013 9:11:12 PM | message detail
From: DoctorJimmy133 | Posted: 9/9/2013 12:09:25 AM | #036
Holy hell that ended quickly.

Squall is SFFed by Vivi, and both are beaten by the guy who went even with Ocelot.

it was very obvious last round that Red is way above that level now. he looked like he could take Squall 1v1 even.
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http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif
#47 | JJH777 | Posted 9/8/2013 9:11:34 PM | message detail
Vivi strongest Final Fantasy character!
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#48 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/8/2013 9:11:45 PM | message detail
swordz9 posted...
Hello Rallymaster Kanz. I take it you will be rallying for Squall all over like Facebook, Twitter or wherever else? You can't let him get embarrassed like this.


No.

Don't rally for Squall.
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#49 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 9/8/2013 9:11:50 PM | message detail
GloriousSweater posted...
The only New Square entrants who have done well are the ones who are an homage to Old Square (and the one with the big boobs).


Considering 4chan might be behind Vivi, I think Squall is acquitting himself OK. He still went out and beat a rallied Missingno last round. Doesn't make this resuly any less gross though.
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Bearer of the Mark of Kan.
#50 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/8/2013 9:11:54 PM | message detail
Reminder: Vivi got about as much on Adam McDudesen as Squall got on Rayman.

The power of bandwagons
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Welcome to the League of Downtime.