Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1161

#301 | xp1337 | Posted 9/7/2013 9:10:46 PM | message detail
I can't be too upset with a -54 here!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#302 | Lopen | Posted 9/7/2013 9:10:53 PM | message detail
L-Block gonna need rallies for second place at this rate!
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#303 | Greyfeld | Posted 9/7/2013 9:10:53 PM | message detail
Ok, somebody start rallying for L-block.
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#304 | tgs2 | Posted 9/7/2013 9:11:13 PM | message detail
OrangeCrush980 posted...
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
L-Block isn't getting a single rally right now. This match starting at night is probably going to murder it.


I would have started up a rally on 4chan, but I got banned on there for asking them to upvote my Missingno rallies on Reddit during the Squall match. The ban was supposed to last for one week, but it's been past one week and it hasn't expired yet. Someone will have to post the rally instead.


...I don't get it. Is Reddit's topic voting system so sacred that 4CHAN thinks that tampering with it is going too far and warrants a 1-week ban? Meanwhile, the Internet feels free to ruin the GameFAQs character battle all you want.


4chan bans any form of Reddit shilling for the most part.
#305 | red sox 777 | Posted 9/7/2013 9:11:16 PM | message detail
Luster, we need those rallies right about now.
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2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011
10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more.
#306 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 9/7/2013 9:12:02 PM | message detail
Well if this holds it's another 0
Though I expect the average will be negative for Samus > Tifa > L-Block
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
#307 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/7/2013 9:12:10 PM | message detail
Looks like Samus had a massive board push to keep her over L, unneeded as it was.

...we may be able to kind of use the stats for this match! Samus/Tifa is projected to be a 56.5-43.5 affair, so depending on how much you think Tifa's dropped (...or risen?) that's a decent barometer if Tifa doesn't get abandoned here.
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Welcome to the League of Downtime.
#308 | xp1337 | Posted 9/7/2013 9:12:13 PM | message detail
Maybe... just maybe, I can use my apparent new found powers for good.

I've got Red > Squall > Vivi next.

you can do it squall. you've got this.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#309 | Janus5000 | Posted 9/7/2013 9:12:48 PM | message detail
Oddly enough, this is the first contest where L-Block has been eliminated by something other than Pokemon.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
#310 | -hotdogturtle-- | Posted 9/7/2013 9:12:52 PM | message detail
If this holds up then the curse of 1 green 2 red continues! http://i.imgur.com/eK1QVJU.png

This is one match that I'd be content earning a +0 in though. And lol @ the people who would get -54.
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Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords.
With what? ROT-13? -CJayC
#311 | Greyfeld | Posted 9/7/2013 9:13:18 PM | message detail
KokoroAkechi posted...
If Tifa gets second I'll punt L-Block. I had Tifa in second until recently when I saw someone mention that L-block beat Auron (which I totally forgot about).


I considered taking Tifa second, but I figured if the rallies showed up, L-Block would be pushing for first. I almost just went Samus>bank>bank, but if I was going to risk 27 points, I figured I'd risk the whole thing, since I'm now 30-something points behind the leaderboard again.
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#312 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/7/2013 9:13:26 PM | message detail
Updated Top 10

Top 10 Closest Matches
1. Kratos Aurion – 20.72% vs. Boko – 20.70% - Round 1 – 0.02%
2. Charizard – 41.49% vs. Zelda – 41.43% - Round 2 – 0.06%
3. Missingno – 40.58% vs. Tidus – 40.50% - Round 1 – 0.08%
4. GlaDOS – 26.28% vs. Kefka – 26.14% - Round 3 – 0.14%
5. Lloyd Irving – 23.62% vs. Big Daddy – 23.45% - Round 1 – 0.17%
6. Vivi – 41.27% vs. Mario – 41.09% - Round 2 – 0.18%
7. Elizabeth – 24.48% vs. Crash Bandicoot – 24.24% - Round 2 – 0.24%
8. Pikachu – 40.28% vs. Sora – 39.96% - Round 3 – 0.32%
9. Alucard – 36.32% vs. Captain Falcon – 35.95% - Round 1 – 0.37%
10. Altair – 29.26% vs. Lara Croft – 28.82% - Round 2 – 0.44%

Top 10 Least Predictable Matches
1. Draven vs. Link vs. Commander Shepard – Round 3 – 1.19%
2. Squirtle vs. Cloud Strife vs. Leon Kennedy – Round 3 – 2.33%
3. Vivi vs. Mario vs. Ganondorf – Round 2 – 4.61%
4. Mewtwo vs. Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Bowser – Round 3 – 8.33%
5. Draven vs. Mega Man X vs. Ryu – Round 2 – 9.20%
6. Pokemon Trainer Blue vs. Nathan Drake vs. Mr. Game & Watch – Round 2 – 14.27%
7. Yuna vs. Master Chief vs. Claire Redfield – Round 1 – 15.40%
8. Pikachu vs. Sora vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue – Round 3 – 18.45%
9. Tifa Lockheart vs. Dragonborn vs. Yuna – Round 2 – 19.97%
10. Kefka vs. Altair vs. Lara Croft – Round 2 – 22.13%
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 137/216 Today's Pick: Samus Aran
#313 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/7/2013 9:13:45 PM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
Luster, we need those rallies right about now.


I'm going to see if I can somehow use a proxy to post on 4chan.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#314 | ZFS | Posted 9/7/2013 9:14:02 PM | message detail
Samus gain! Excellent.
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#315 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/7/2013 9:14:29 PM | message detail
#316 | -hotdogturtle-- | Posted 9/7/2013 9:14:32 PM | message detail
LOL-BLOCK

SHAPED LIKE A BOOT TO KICK YOU OFF OF THE LEADERBOARDS
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Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords.
With what? ROT-13? -CJayC
#317 | KokoroAkechi | Posted 9/7/2013 9:14:57 PM | message detail
That Samus update was almost as big as Tifa's rack.
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Chrono1219
#318 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/7/2013 9:15:03 PM | message detail
And to think, we could be having a fun FF near elite battle between Tifa and Auron right now if not for RallyFAQs!
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http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg
#319 | Greyfeld | Posted 9/7/2013 9:15:06 PM | message detail
-hotdogturtle-- posted...
If this holds up then the curse of 1 green 2 red continues! http://i.imgur.com/eK1QVJU.png

This is one match that I'd be content earning a +0 in though. And lol @ the people who would get -54.


Looks almost exactly like my expert bracket, except I took Seph to win his match.
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#320 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 9/7/2013 9:15:21 PM | message detail
L-Block got a big rally against Auron because he was threatening first place

No way that's going to happen here
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#321 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 9/7/2013 9:16:13 PM | message detail
Greyfeld posted...
-hotdogturtle-- posted...
If this holds up then the curse of 1 green 2 red continues! http://i.imgur.com/eK1QVJU.png

This is one match that I'd be content earning a +0 in though. And lol @ the people who would get -54.


Looks almost exactly like my expert bracket, except I took Seph to win his match.


huh mine also looks like his, except I picked Pikachu to win
#322 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/7/2013 9:16:16 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
And to think, we could be having a fun FF near elite battle between Tifa and Auron right now if not for RallyFAQs!


We could project Auron/Tifa through constant L-Block...!
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
#323 | KokoroAkechi | Posted 9/7/2013 9:16:39 PM | message detail
Even if L-Block comes in last i'll get a zero and I honstly dont know if I'll go up or down on the leaderboard (12th) as L-block had become this trendy rally pick.
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Chrono1219
#324 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/7/2013 9:17:11 PM | message detail
Hold on, I have a rally up on 4chan. Somehow, the ban expired and I didn't have to use a proxy to post the topic.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#325 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 9/7/2013 9:17:31 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
156---1--------100.00
155---4--------0.00
154---5--------20.00
153---7--------28.57
152---14-------42.86
151---19-------5.26
150---18-------16.67
149---38-------10.53
148---33-------6.06
147---53-------15.09
146---49-------12.24
145---44-------25.00
144---57-------14.04
143---65-------20.00
142---61-------14.75
141---61-------19.67
140---51-------17.65
139---73-------16.44
138---73-------16.44
137---83-------25.30
136---85-------25.88
135---67-------23.88
134---95-------32.63
133---106------19.81
132---97-------26.80
131---122------36.89
130---132------34.85
129---129------26.36
128---144------25.00
127---143------25.87
126---197------23.86
125---174------24.14
124---202------26.73
123---207------26.57
122---245------21.63
121---244------23.77
120---239------20.50
119---228------19.74
118---276------19.93
117---290------20.34
116---294------27.21
115---280------23.93
114---282------21.99
113---284------23.59
112---291------19.93
111---280------22.50
110---328------19.51
109---273------21.98
108---285------27.37
107---275------18.18
106---303------23.43
105---264------19.32
104---284------17.96
103---271------16.61
102---252------20.63
101---270------23.70
100---255------25.88
99----246------15.04
98----249------18.88
97----228------18.42
96----226------23.45
95----190------20.53
94----200------18.00
93----186------20.43
92----204------19.61
91----176------16.48
90----198------14.14
89----170------10.59
88----158------15.19
87----179------20.67
86----146------13.01
85----167------9.58
84----169------9.47
83----138------13.77
82----152------17.76
81----144------10.42
80----104------7.69
79----123------13.82
78----128------11.72
77----109------11.93
76----125------10.40
75----114------12.28
74----116------9.48
73----112------13.39
72----107------5.61
71----77-------12.99
70----92-------7.61
69----102------7.84
68----92-------5.43
67----97-------8.25
66----74-------6.76
65----61-------13.11
64----60-------6.67
63----75-------10.67
62----64-------7.81
61----59-------5.08
60----55-------7.27
59----42-------14.29
58----50-------10.00
57----54-------1.85
56----44-------4.55
55----35-------5.71
54----45-------4.44
53----35-------5.71
52----49-------2.04
51----28-------3.57
50----32-------9.38
49----25-------0.00
48----31-------3.23
...
36----11-------9.09


Omitted scores got it wrong.

Support for Pikachu wasn't that high but it's better than some of the previous upsets. Contest knowledge didn't seem to change much here. Prediction percentage floats around 20 from the top until pretty far down.

31 people fell off the Top 49. Mr_Xnpio, ahirsch101, Nanis23, SoraLink2649, wakeuptogashi, ZenOfThunder, Astro1446, Deadly_Fire, Djungelurban, foxhead84, LordoftheMorons, mathmagus37, RAMS, VietBoi4Life, Ex2, Ghetsis, iXCelticXi, JeezyMiyagi, JeffZero, Jobi1, Karma_Hunter, Kirbydamasta, Korayashi, LordArcadio, MartinFF7, NeoMagic249, OFool, POOTERSS, Prometheus89, revo_gamer275 and TheOceIot did not have Pikachu winning.

7 people got it wrong and survived. Former second place ecksgem, former third place Eikei, Greenmonkey034, SuorGenoveffa, CarveyFAQs, Colegreen_c12 and fpce666 also did not have Pikachu winning.
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Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place
Pokemon VGC2013 Worlds LCQ - Top 32
#326 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/7/2013 9:17:42 PM | message detail
15 minutes in, Samus is projected just a touch over Cloud 2010 if Tifa hasn't dropped an inch. If Samus hasn't budged an inch, Tifa is down to a little below Auron 2010.
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Welcome to the League of Downtime.
#327 | xp1337 | Posted 9/7/2013 9:17:50 PM | message detail
KokoroAkechi posted...
Even if L-Block comes in last i'll get a zero and I honstly dont know if I'll go up or down on the leaderboard (12th) as L-block had become this trendy rally pick.

Have to imagine you'll find more L-Block > Samus than Tifa > L-Block picks.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#328 | tennisboy213 | Posted 9/7/2013 9:17:52 PM | message detail
There's a rally on /v/.
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POKEFEAR
#329 | WellThoughtName | Posted 9/7/2013 9:18:05 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Hold on, I have a rally up on 4chan. Somehow, the ban expired and I didn't have to use a proxy to post the topic.


It was probably expired the last time you tried posting.

When a ban expires you still get the banned screen but it says "Now that you've seen this bla bla you can post again"
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"A game with amazing story and mediocre gameplay usually beats a game with amazing gameplay and mediocre story." - Vlado, Gaming Expert
#330 | ZFS | Posted 9/7/2013 9:18:31 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
15 minutes in, Samus is projected just a touch over Cloud 2010 if Tifa hasn't dropped an inch. If Samus hasn't budged an inch, Tifa is down to a little below Auron 2010.


This sounds good!
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#331 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/7/2013 9:18:35 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Hold on, I have a rally up on 4chan. Somehow, the ban expired and I didn't have to use a proxy to post the topic.


Well, no sense in me trying to use stats anymore. Thanks.
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Welcome to the League of Downtime.
#332 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 9/7/2013 9:18:55 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Hold on, I have a rally up on 4chan. Somehow, the ban expired and I didn't have to use a proxy to post the topic.


Aaaaand the plot thickens....
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Every day the rest of your life is changed forever.
#333 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/7/2013 9:19:10 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Well, no sense in me trying to use stats anymore. Thanks.


I've been saying this for the last two rounds now!
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
#334 | ZFS | Posted 9/7/2013 9:19:30 PM | message detail
Luster what's wrong with you why
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#335 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/7/2013 9:20:13 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
Luster what's wrong with you why


The ignoble return of DISGUSTER SOLDIER
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
#336 | anondum | Posted 9/7/2013 9:20:38 PM | message detail
that sure is a board vote samus has
#337 | TheOceIot | Posted 9/7/2013 9:20:43 PM | message detail
I'm just happy there aren't any Pokemon in this match.
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you just can't live in that negative way...make way for the positive day
#338 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/7/2013 9:20:52 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
15 minutes in, Samus is projected just a touch over Cloud 2010 if Tifa hasn't dropped an inch. If Samus hasn't budged an inch, Tifa is down to a little below Auron 2010.


This sounds good!


I'm gonna stop using projections because now the results are going to be polluted and useless, but based on that if it would normally hold over 24 hours (no clue), I'd guess Tifa's dropped a bit but not too much. So Samus would probably be around Snake 2010 level.
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Welcome to the League of Downtime.
#339 | Yuri_LowelI | Posted 9/7/2013 9:21:03 PM | message detail
STOP RALLYING FOR ****BLOCK you mother******

We don't need any more stupid upsets and stupid rallies. I'm going to and with several other peopl going to rally for Samus and tifa so that ****block finishes last.
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http://i.imgur.com/ooexO.gif
#340 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/7/2013 9:21:16 PM | message detail
The rally has been up for about 6 minutes, but no one has responded yet.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#341 | Yuri_LowelI | Posted 9/7/2013 9:21:33 PM | message detail
Greyfeld posted...
Ok, somebody start rallying for L-block.


Piss off.
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http://i.imgur.com/ooexO.gif
#342 | KokoroAkechi | Posted 9/7/2013 9:21:37 PM | message detail
Someone post L-block hentai on 4chan.
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Chrono1219
#343 | red sox 777 | Posted 9/7/2013 9:21:39 PM | message detail
Yuri Lowell is stealth rallying for L-Block here.
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2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011
10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more.
#344 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 9/7/2013 9:22:03 PM | message detail
No one is going to bother for 2nd place
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#345 | wedontgetfooledagain | Posted 9/7/2013 9:22:16 PM | message detail
That board vote is really showing. Incoming fanboy votes!!! L Block is lol.
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Please don't post to GameFAQs while driving. It could get you killed.
Or worse, modded.
#346 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/7/2013 9:22:29 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
I'm gonna stop using projections because now the results are going to be polluted and useless, but based on that if it would normally hold over 24 hours (no clue), I'd guess Tifa's dropped a bit but not too much. So Samus would probably be around Snake 2010 level.


Yeah, early vote suggests that Tifa's actually in pretty good shape relative to the rest of FFVII, I think.

There's probably a couple of big reasons why she wouldn't decline as roughly as the rest. I wonder if she could handle Sephy in a rematch...!
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http://i.imgur.com/M7vKB.gif
#347 | Yuri_LowelI | Posted 9/7/2013 9:22:53 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Hold on, I have a rally up on 4chan. Somehow, the ban expired and I didn't have to use a proxy to post the topic.


I'm going to make it my mission to ban this kid.
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http://i.imgur.com/ooexO.gif
#348 | Masato_Tanaka | Posted 9/7/2013 9:23:01 PM | message detail
Jesus, why is L-Block flopping so hard here?

People are so ****ing fickle about characters this contest lol
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http://i.imgur.com/GhorUQg.jpg
~Masa
#349 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/7/2013 9:23:11 PM | message detail
Then00bAvenger posted...
No one is going to bother for 2nd place


It won't keep up if L-Block doesn't make any headway, but I'm sure it'll have an effect for a short amount of time, at least.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
#350 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 9/7/2013 9:23:37 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
Luster what's wrong with you why


Rallying Draven broke him. He gazed into the abyss and the abyss gazed into him.
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http://i.imgur.com/PL5UKJj.png
Bearer of the Mark of Kan.