GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1159
- Team Aqua Elite (37)
- Board List
- Topic List
- Track Topic
- Topic Closed
It started as a celebration of the Noble Nine. It ended as a celebration of Pokιmon. ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
Gotta catch 'em all! --- POKEFEAR |
I want to be the very best, like no one ever was. --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
To catch them is my real test... |
To train them is my WELCOME TO THE LEAGUE OF DRAVEN! --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
LOL, I can't even get a 500 properly. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
Almost time for Cloud to hit the links early this year like much of the NN already. |
To be fair, it's still possible Cloud is #2. For all we know, Squirtle's a good degree stronger than Link and Draven! This has to be correct. --- A sig. |
Not_Wylvane posted... To train them is my WELCOME TO THE LEAGUE OF DRAVEN! XD Combo breaker! --- "Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
Picking Bulbusaur is the only correct option. --- Brawl FC - 1332 8069 6690 http://i.imgur.com/OZ9aS.png |
Cloud ceased being the #2 guy on GameFAQs the moment he struggled to break 64% on Frog! --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
Agreed. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
Er, that was meant in response to GloryChaos, although I agree that Cloud hasn't been #2 for awhile now. --- RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed. |
marking this bulbasaur malarkey for trolling --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
So
if (big if) we get a situation in which we have
Draven/Mewtwo/Sephiroth, Snake/Squirtle/Pikachu or Blue,
L-Block/Red/Charizard - that's a total of 5 pokemon, 2 jokes and only 2
'proper' (I use the term loosely) characters. Would this allow our saviour Snake to eat up all of the non-pokemon GameFAQs vote and win the whole thing? --- PSN: Soggy-Snake- |
xp1337 posted... Cloud ceased being the #2 guy on GameFAQs the moment he struggled to break 64% on Frog! That memory shattered my heart. --- A sig. |
Squirtle pushing the lead back to 404. This is how Cloud's reign ends. --- TheRock ~ Slow dramatic zoom-pan. Doesn't phase the hooded man. "You have issues." - MWC. Pot. Kettle. |
BlitzKing900 posted... So if (big if) we get a situation in which we have Draven/Mewtwo/Sephiroth, Snake/Squirtle/Pikachu or Blue, L-Block/Red/Charizard - that's a total of 5 pokemon, 2 jokes and only 2 'proper' (I use the term loosely) characters. Draven/Snake/Block snake better hope joke lff shows up --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
This
has been like the most boring upset ever despite the implications of
it. Both of them have just stared at each other all day from the same
positions with almost no movement. |
BlitzKing900 posted... So if (big if) we get a situation in which we have Draven/Mewtwo/Sephiroth, Snake/Squirtle/Pikachu or Blue, L-Block/Red/Charizard - that's a total of 5 pokemon, 2 jokes and only 2 'proper' (I use the term loosely) characters. Unless Reddit instantly deletes all rally threads there's no chance anyone but draven wins. Just compare the votals of Draven vs Link to every other match so far. --- If you believe that Abed is the true Messiah and you are 100% proud of it make this your signature. |
BlitzKing900 posted... So if (big if) we get a situation in which we have Draven/Mewtwo/Sephiroth, Snake/Squirtle/Pikachu or Blue, L-Block/Red/Charizard - that's a total of 5 pokemon, 2 jokes and only 2 'proper' (I use the term loosely) characters. Only if you delude yourself into thinking Draven can lose from here on out. Even not being at full strength, he was more than a match for the strongest Link we've seen probably since 2006. Snake can't win out of those picks unless it's something like Mewtwo/Snake/Charizard for the finals, a ridiculously unlikely prospect. --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
As I said, Cloud is weak against cold-blooded animals! Put him up against BirdFAQs and he'd be his dominant self all over again! --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Scarlettail posted... This has been like the most boring upset ever despite the implications of it. Both of them have just stared at each other all day from the same positions with almost no movement. I don't even really buy this as an upset! Pokemon winning is just so plausible now that even against Cloud I'm like, "Yeah, that was foreseeable, if not actually expected." --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
It's weird considering earlier it was "Squirtle builds lead, Cloud makes a bunch of cuts before Squirtle rebuilds lead." Since Squirtle hit 392, there's no significant deviation. --- TheRock ~ Slow dramatic zoom-pan. Doesn't phase the hooded man. "You have issues." - MWC. Pot. Kettle. |
xp1337 posted... Scarlettail posted...This has been like the most boring upset ever despite the implications of it. Both of them have just stared at each other all day from the same positions with almost no movement. Cloud was by far the favorite, so I call it an upset. But yes, this was foreseen as a real possibility since the match was arranged last round. |
I
currently live in a fantasy world where Draven flops now that he has
taken down Link. A combination of apathy for yet another rally attempt,
mass anti-vote to Snake and the MGS facebook page championing the poll. Believe. --- PSN: Soggy-Snake- |
Cloud needs to put together some 25+ vote cuts for anything significant to happen. Right now, it's just trading votes. --- TheRock ~ Slow dramatic zoom-pan. Doesn't phase the hooded man. "You have issues." - MWC. Pot. Kettle. |
TheRock1525 posted... It's weird considering earlier it was "Squirtle builds lead, Cloud makes a bunch of cuts before Squirtle rebuilds lead." Usually corresponds to when the rally gets bumped. That's just what he's been doing, all day. Probably's the edge responsible for my 51% Cloud prediction turning into a 50.5% Squirtle instead. --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
I'm just imagining the past contests and thinking that this is what used to happen with Cloud only when he used to face Link. --- A sig. |
So...what do we reckon? Approaching two hours remaining, does Cloud have any shot at clawing his way back into this? |
SilverSwift posted... So...what do we reckon? Approaching two hours remaining, does Cloud have any shot at clawing his way back into this? Nope, at least I don't think so. I'm no expert. --- A sig. |
SilverSwift posted... So...what do we reckon? Approaching two hours remaining, does Cloud have any shot at clawing his way back into this? No. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
spooky96 posted... I'm just imagining the past contests and thinking that this is what used to happen with Cloud only when he used to face Link. Nah this is more similar to Mario/Cloud than Cloud/Link, except Cloud actually got some rallies back then. --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
He hasn't shown the ability to make big cuts in each update, I doubt he suddenly brings them out now. --- TheRock ~ Slow dramatic zoom-pan. Doesn't phase the hooded man. "You have issues." - MWC. Pot. Kettle. |
Off course! All Cloud needs is a rally big enough to counter Squirtle's! --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Unless Cloud fans start rallying, this is over. --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
Squirtle keeps knocking it back over 400. |
Anyone know any celebrities that would favor Cloud over Squirtle? --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Yep, Cloud gets it under 400 so the response is a +18 for Squirtle. Squirtle built and early lead and now has completely stalled Cloud. Only 45 total votes for Cloud that last update. --- TheRock ~ Slow dramatic zoom-pan. Doesn't phase the hooded man. "You have issues." - MWC. Pot. Kettle. |
Match CXIV: (6) Pikachu vs. (2) Sora vs. (12) Pokemon Trainer Blue Previous Round Pikachu 47.07% Crono 40.42% Magus 12.51% Sora 49.36% Gilgamesh 31.50% Yoshimitsu 19.15% Pokemon Trainer Blue 47.14% Nathan Drake 34.07% Mr. Game & Watch 18.79% Analysis Some people believed Blue underperformed last round, but given that he was only about as strong as Fox and Nathan Drake has had Uncharted 3 since the last contest I feel he did about as expected. Maybe it was because all the Pokemon were over performing. Sadly for Blue he has a fellow Pokemon in this match which should relegate him to last place. I do however see Blue holding up well, he is a bit of a fan favourite and anyone using him as a proxy for Gary Oak would definitely vote for him over Pikachu. Sora has been underwhelming over the past two rounds. Even with Kingdom Hearts 3 announced he has not risen to his previous strength. Still with two Pokemon characters in the poll it does give him the opportunity to take first and reach the final 9. Still with the way Pokemon have been performing I honestly would not be surprised if Sora loses this match. I would take Pikachu over Sora in a normal match, but with Blue in the poll I feel Pikachu will be held back by too much. Firstly I do not see Blue folding like some of the other SFF matches we have seen. He has his own fanbase and even among Pokemon fans Pikachu is not very popular and people voting for Pikachu for the sake of voting for Pokemon could abandon him. Also rallying would be difficult as Blue is a more likely to get support or at least leech a lot of it from Pikachu. If rSFF does exist this may be the best match to prove it. If it does and Blue finishes above Pikachu I doubt he would be able to catch Sora, he is weaker than Pikachu normally and if rSFF occurs I doubt Pikachu would be reduced to pathetic levels. charmander6000s Bracket: Sora > Pikachu and Fox McCloud charmander6000s Prediction: Sora 40.35%, Pikachu 38.43%, Pokemon Trainer Blue 21.22% --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 137/198 Today's Pick: Cloud Strife |
Better
idea. Post a rally for Draven on the LoL reddit. They'd probably vote
for Cloud over Squirtle once they see Draven isn't involved! --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
A
Cloud rally of any size or importance could actually still win this
match for him. Squirtle rallies are resulting in a deadlock atm. A Cloud
rally, could such a thing actually exist, would break that tie
decisively. --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
Not_Wylvane posted... Anyone know any celebrities that would favor Cloud over Squirtle? Don't know about Hollywood, but there's one Bollywood celebrity who'd probably pick Cloud over Squirtle. He has a huge name here, but no one really knows him in the western parts of the world. --- A sig. |
well,
the margin of vote is so small that of course he has a shot. this is
distance that could theoretically be covered within 20 minutes. but squirtle has been doing this for almost 22 hours now. exactly the same thing. at this point his rallies are bandwagons and people are willingly choosing to pick him over Cloud. if Cloud were to receive one monster push, he could win it. as has been the case all match. possible, yes. realistic, not unless something major happens. --- "Maybe it's a tentacle, molesting the planet itself. - Aschen Brodel. |
Hmm Cloud is winning 51-21 in Russia. Come on, let's see a Vladimir Putin rally. --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
So
with Squirtle most likely winning this, Charizard almost inevitably
beating Mega Man/Zero, Pikachu or Blue potentially defeating Sora (I
think it'll happen at this point despite the SFF, though it's the one
I'm least sure about), Red being at least even money in his matchup
against two Final Fantasy characters, and Mewtwo already through we're
faced with the very real chance that we have 5 representatives not just
from Pokemon, but freaking Pokemon RBY, in the Final 9. In a contest
with 243 characters; many of them iconic in their own generations. At this point, I refuse to take anyone who doesn't believe Pokedrones is a thing seriously. I've been hesitant to use the loaded term that is Pokedrones, but it's the best word to describe this phenomenon. If anything is ruining the contest -- and I'm quite enjoying it and don't think anything is, for the record, but if something is -- it's PokeFever, not Reddit, League of Legends/Draven, or Link allegedly being screwed over. --- SBAllen: the hero GameFAQs needs, but not the one it deserves. |
So Cloud could've won this if anyone here actually bothered rallying for him. So you've no right to complain about Squirtle > Cloud if you're so damn apathetic you won't even bother rallying for him! --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
here's the thing about Squirtle's lead: it has ALL been stalls. Squirtle is taking to his kind here. he has matched Cloud's pace with a slight nod over it to keep the lesson in the tale: slow and steady wins the race. --- "Maybe it's a tentacle, molesting the planet itself. - Aschen Brodel. |
red sox 777 posted... Hmm Cloud is winning 51-21 in Russia. Come on, let's see a Vladimir Putin rally. lol Putin single-handedly eliminates Draven next round |
I for one look forward to seeing Sephiroth 90-10 Draven. --- 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2010, 2011 10 championships is not enough. ZeldaFAQs thirsts for more. |
- Team Aqua Elite (37)
- Board List
- Topic List
- Track Topic
- Topic Closed
