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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1157
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He deleted them lol Let's see what happens |
Nanis23 posted... Actually,lightning I don't understand your motive here Not pro-Pokemon but definitely pro-sunglasses. --- Menji has reclaimed what was his by rights. I was more of a man with his than with my own combined. ##Alec |
This will definitely be interesting data. Three updates or so would be ideal to see if it's variance or not. --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
I just realized the only flaw in pic 8 is that at the bottom it should say "My future's so bright, I gotta wear shades" --- ~War~ |
Last 15 updates by Squirtle,before rally went down (from bottom up...the 115 is the most recent) 115 112 96 95 99 95 79 109 83 87 97 113 128 131 110 Let's see what happens now |
Where were these deleted rally threads anyway? --- "Hamas isn't really a terror organization." -Terran [Evil Republican] Play Der Langrisser. |
Cloud is toast. As Americans are waking up they will favor Squirtle. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
rallies confirmed to be making the difference pack it up boys --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
Vote intake of 91 doesn't say too much |
Squirtle dives to 91 on the first post-rally update. Could be variance, more data is needed. --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
I would say an effect, but it's worth noting that Cloud spiked a little bit with that update. --- Something something something ^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig |
nope this is 100% proof positive qed --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
Karma Hunter posted... Squirtle dives to 91 on the first post-rally update. Could be variance, more data is needed. He got a 79,83 and 87 vote updates during the rally so yes,a variance |
Net
was down last night so I couldn't see the board vote, but I was happy
to wake up and see Squirtle winning. If he pulls this off it'll make up
for Kefka getting 3rd. --- http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9 |
Not
necessarily, an 87 vote update could be a 70 one without a rally. We
have no way of establishing a baseline, which is why this data is
helpful. I still doubt it'll be conclusive one way or the other
(variance is a b****), but as a stats guy I love marking out for
pointless analysis. --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
83 Ouch |
UNDENIABLE PROOF --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
Leon's going down. Clearly the rallies were helping him the most. --- ~War~ |
Two cuts in a row for Cloud since the rally topics went down. --- The storm approaches...ain't got nothin' but time to plan. Graves - Caitlyn - Ezreal // Leona - Alistar - Nami |
Trend is encouraging toward rallies mattering significantly! Still not enough data. Ideally I'd like this to go on for an hour but I doubt lightning will be so generous. <_< --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
The Mana Sword posted... UNDENIABLE PROOF That was UNDENIABLE PROOF that Cloud would totally own this Lamer... if not for rallying --- http://i.imgur.com/CQVaT6Xl.jpg |
What do the 2010 xstats have Leon getting on Cloud? And is Leon currently getting on Cloud in this match? --- Allen didn't screw VV, Phoenix Wright didn't screw VV, Mewtwo certainly did not screw VV, nor did paulg screw VV. Vincent Valentine screwed Vincent Valentine. |
Maybe it's a stupid theory but I feel like rallies are most effective when the two characters are close Like..putting a rally again when Cloud is in about 30-50 vote range against Squirtle sounds more effective than to put another rally now |
Well,
Squirtle would be keeping it close no matter what, but considering the
rallies have been going on ALL MATCH Cloud would probably have it at a
53-47 split or more right now without any outside influences. Pokemon is
strong here naturally, but the fact that it gets rallied so fiercely
every match combined with our pathetically low votals has enabled it to
punch above its weight class. --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
Squirtle down to 76 Using only those 3 updates compared to average of the 15 updates before it,we are looking at 20 rallied votes per update |
paulg235 posted... What do the 2010 xstats have Leon getting on Cloud? And is Leon currently getting on Cloud in this match? Leon 2010 gets 30.62% (and is underrated due to sprite round against Ryu). Leon is at 26.68% right now. --- ~War~ |
Gotta wait till the end to vote on this one. --- http://i.imgur.com/97Pxu.gif http://i.imgur.com/DOF4PCH.gif |
Leon's been getting hit hard by LPF here. He's assuredly underrated by this match. --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
FranzyvonKarma posted... paulg235 posted...What do the 2010 xstats have Leon getting on Cloud? And is Leon currently getting on Cloud in this match? so you're saying that squirtle beats link, huh --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
The Mana Sword posted... FranzyvonKarma posted...paulg235 posted...What do the 2010 xstats have Leon getting on Cloud? And is Leon currently getting on Cloud in this match? Well he's advancing farther than him, therefore he's stronger...! --- ~War~ |
So uh can we put the rallies up again. --- "Hamas isn't really a terror organization." -Terran [Evil Republican] Play Der Langrisser. |
Yeah, this looks fairly conclusive. If anyone was wondering, unrallied Squirtle is weaker than Cloud...! --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
no we need another 14 hours of data --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
It may be time to go to Facebook again for the turtle. --- The King Wang. Listen up Urinal Cake. I already have something that tells me if I'm too drunk when I pee on it: My friends. - Colbert. |
Karma Hunter posted... Yeah, this looks fairly conclusive. If anyone was wondering, unrallied Squirtle is weaker than Cloud...! I, for one, am shocked. Why, if Squirtle is not the second-strongest character on the site, I don't know how Red/Blue/Yellow could stand up to FFVII. --- ~War~ |
I'd love to have more unrallied data! I just don't know how much more I'm gonna get. This is fascinating stuff. --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
Using the new update of 84,Squirtle new Average didn't move (well it was 83) Squirtle old Average was 103 ...Again,rallies are worth 20 votes per update..this is really nothing to brag about consideing the fact Draven pulls 200 rallied votes per update |
Nanis23 posted... Using the new update of 84,Squirtle new Average didn't move (well it was 83) If that's true then... Cloud, you are an embarrassment compared to Link. --- Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner |
Guys plz put the rally back up. --- "Hamas isn't really a terror organization." -Terran [Evil Republican] Play Der Langrisser. |
In
our pathetic votal era, 20 votes per update is huge. Cloud is worth 53%
on Squirtle as a very conservative estimate normally. Probably in
excess of 55% though I'll have to run the numbers. And looks like that's the end of my precious unrallied data. Frentic rallies are back in full effect. Including a rally for Pikachu/Sora/Blue for some reason. <_< --- Welcome to the League of Downtime. |
Nanis23 posted... Using the new update of 84,Squirtle new Average didn't move (well it was 83) It's still pretty significant. I mean if you assume that he's getting 20 rallied votes per update and assume that he hadn't been rallied this match (the rallied votes were probably significantly higher earlier, but whatever) he'd have more than 2600 less votes right now (aka he'd be absolutely destroyed by Cloud). --- The storm approaches...ain't got nothin' but time to plan. Graves - Caitlyn - Ezreal // Leona - Alistar - Nami |
Um. What is going on here? --- XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism. |
science --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
Yeah Squirtle needs those rallies back. He's gotta win this match since the last ones failed to topple N9 members. --- http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9 |
Putting them back up |
Karma Hunter posted... In our pathetic votal era, 20 votes per update is huge. Cloud is worth 53% on Squirtle as a very conservative estimate normally. Probably in excess of 55% though I'll have to run the numbers. Even 55% is pathetic for a guy who used to dominate everyone except Link. This is equal with Mario for biggest fail of the contest. And Mario had Ganon holding him back. Cloud has what.... Leon lol |
With another update for Squirtle,this time 86,he put the average to 84...so if you want,19-20 rallied votes per update I think it's enough "data" for now Of course,those things might change drasticly depending on time of the end and the rallied character,but this is what a "successful 4chan rally" looks like Nothing impressive,but with our low vote totals this is still something |
But do you really want to win from rallying? Isn't that the reason Draven is hated? --- http://i.imgur.com/CQVaT6Xl.jpg |
Fr0zoN posted... Karma Hunter posted...In our pathetic votal era, 20 votes per update is huge. Cloud is worth 53% on Squirtle as a very conservative estimate normally. Probably in excess of 55% though I'll have to run the numbers. Squirtle, and pokemon in general, is significantly stronger than Vivi. It doesn't matter though. --- The storm approaches...ain't got nothin' but time to plan. Graves - Caitlyn - Ezreal // Leona - Alistar - Nami |
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