Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1156

#451 | GloriousSweater | Posted 9/6/2013 12:21:43 AM | message detail
omfg I just looked at the votals for the last match.

46,510 votes for a match featuring a potential top three character and two solid midcarders with unique fanbases.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/959

Just embarrassing.
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#452 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 9/6/2013 12:28:45 AM | message detail
GloriousSweater posted...
omfg I just looked at the votals for the last match.

46,510 votes for a match featuring a potential top three character and two solid midcarders with unique fanbases.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/959

Just embarrassing.
You say this but have yet to sign my petition!

It might be the only hope for next contest!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/7-site-suggestions/67111376
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#453 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 9/6/2013 12:35:43 AM | message detail | (edited)
Wouldn't it be better just to have an eye-catching banner at the top of each page instead that links to the results of the current poll? It would be easier to implement.
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#454 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 9/6/2013 12:41:07 AM | message detail
Then00bAvenger posted...
Wouldn't it be better just to have an eye-catching banner at the top of each page instead that links to the results of the current poll? It would be easier to implement.
I'd take anything at this point!

Go sign the petition and suggest this as an option.
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#455 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/6/2013 12:51:33 AM | message detail
Hm ahhh..ouch
Well,30 minutes and Cloud takes the lead at this rate
#456 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/6/2013 12:52:44 AM | message detail
So far, this hour has been much better. Maybe the rallies have stopped.
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#457 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/6/2013 1:02:45 AM | message detail
Squirtle by the Hour on Cloud:

1:00 | 52.36%
2:00 | 49.60%
3:00 | 50.53%
4:00 | 46.19%

Now we are a-moving.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
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#458 | Janus5000 | Posted 9/6/2013 1:07:40 AM | message detail
total domination zone hype

let's see if it can kill another pokemon!
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#459 | Yuri_LowelI | Posted 9/6/2013 1:07:43 AM | message detail
People shouldn't compare this match to Kirby. Cloud is vastly stronger than seph and I'd take squirtle over Kirby this tournament. Unlike squirtle. Kirby doesn't draw the day Pokemon vote. Plus big boss >>>> Leon.

Squirtle has this IMO. Cloud needed to be 55-45 early on and build it to 60-40. Squirtle is going to get rallied like hell.
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#460 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/6/2013 1:08:27 AM | message detail
Then00bAvenger posted...
Wouldn't it be better just to have an eye-catching banner at the top of each page instead that links to the results of the current poll? It would be easier to implement.


If there is a banner at the top of each page, it should tell you what the poll question is, so all site visitors can decide whether or not they would be interested in voting. You would have to click on the banner to go to the poll results page before you can vote. Although this would require the poll results pages for non-contest polls to be updated to allow voting from the poll results page.
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#461 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/6/2013 1:10:13 AM | message detail
So.....Pikachu vs. Squirtle, who wins? Because it looks like Cloud is worth about as much on Squirtle as Crono is worth on Pikachu.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#462 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/6/2013 1:11:21 AM | message detail
Squirtle got no chance at this,as much as I want to believe in it
I don't believe in total collapse like what happened with Kirby,but Squirtle will lose this by at least 1000 votes

BTW,Sephiroth gained the lead at 4:46...we are 35 minutes away from it,so expect Cloud to do the same in 30 minutes later or something
#463 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/6/2013 1:11:58 AM | message detail
Also, I reconsidered. I can't do it. I can't vote for Draven. If the other character is halfway decent. Which includes Snake and Samus and Tifa.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#464 | CP724 | Posted 9/6/2013 1:12:54 AM | message detail
People shouldn't compare this match to Kirby. Cloud is vastly stronger than seph and I'd take squirtle over Kirby this tournament. Unlike squirtle. Kirby doesn't draw the day Pokemon vote. Plus big boss >>>> Leon.

Squirtle has this IMO. Cloud needed to be 55-45 early on and build it to 60-40. Squirtle is going to get rallied like hell.


Is this a serious post?
#465 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/6/2013 1:33:25 AM | message detail
Confirm/Deny

Pikachu-Blue is the hardest to predict second place match in the contest so far
#466 | Janus5000 | Posted 9/6/2013 1:37:49 AM | message detail
Pikachu is gonna crush Blue. I wouldn't be surprised if he beat Sora.
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#467 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/6/2013 1:39:14 AM | message detail
Blue gonna come in first.
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#468 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/6/2013 1:40:21 AM | message detail
See? told you
There is a big chance for a massive rSFF going in favor of Blue
#469 | voltch | Posted 9/6/2013 1:41:06 AM | message detail
Out of curiosity how strong do you guys figure Cynthia is now that we're at peak pokemon love?

The anime seems to like pushing her and she's often been hyped up cos omg champion chick!!!
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#470 | Janus5000 | Posted 9/6/2013 1:43:07 AM | message detail
in the meantime can someone tell me why Squirtle is going up
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#471 | Azp2k32 | Posted 9/6/2013 1:43:42 AM | message detail
voltch posted...
Out of curiosity how strong do you guys figure Cynthia is now that we're at peak pokemon love?

The anime seems to like pushing her and she's often been hyped up cos omg champion chick!!!


I imagine she gets slaughtered by Tiny Tina.
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#472 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/6/2013 1:44:02 AM | message detail
N put 37% on Bayonetta
Cyhnthia will put 43%...tops
#473 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/6/2013 1:44:08 AM | message detail
voltch posted...
Out of curiosity how strong do you guys figure Cynthia is now that we're at peak pokemon love?

The anime seems to like pushing her and she's often been hyped up cos omg champion chick!!!


She'd probably be the strongest post R/B/Y human but I'd still much rather have Oak, Brock, Misty, Giovanni in before her.
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#474 | jacko_vdz | Posted 9/6/2013 1:45:50 AM | message detail
There's nothing I'd love to see more than Blue rSFF Pikachu into the ground. I don't think it's at all likely - that's just not how these contests work.
#475 | voltch | Posted 9/6/2013 1:47:01 AM | message detail
TJF
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#476 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/6/2013 1:48:07 AM | message detail
If we are on the subject of "how would character X do" (since we got nothing to discuss until Cloud takes the lead)

Turn this contest into 1vs1,put Chester against Draven...assuming LoL fans rally like always...how much does Chester put on Draven? (this is to calculate Draven anti-votes using the weakest character)
30% sounds about right?
#477 | jacko_vdz | Posted 9/6/2013 1:48:16 AM | message detail
MegatokyoEd posted...
She'd probably be the strongest post R/B/Y human but I'd still much rather have Oak, Brock, Misty, Giovanni in before her.


Red > Blue > Oak > Brock/Misty > Lance/Giovanni > Team Rocket Grunt > Everything else not Gen 1.

Am I forgetting anyone?
#478 | creativename | Posted 9/6/2013 1:50:51 AM | message detail
Janus5000 posted...
in the meantime can someone tell me why Squirtle is going up

Low vote totals+rallying.

When vote totals pick up around 8-9, Cloud will pick up the pace.
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#479 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/6/2013 1:51:03 AM | message detail
Oh and
If Cloud advance,and Sora advance,Cloud will SFF Sora so bad it will make Pikachu look bad...and it turn make Crono look bad...and I don't want to imagine what will happen to Magus in the X-stats (he is already behind Missile,it can get worse)
#480 | Achromatic | Posted 9/6/2013 1:53:19 AM | message detail
That's why we adjust things in the x-stats, Nanis <_<.
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#481 | voltch | Posted 9/6/2013 1:55:11 AM | message detail
I think I'd take Cynthia and Gold over the common grunt, maybe Silver too.
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#482 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/6/2013 1:58:00 AM | message detail
I know,i mean the raw x-stats!
I really wonder how the xstats are going to be adjusted this year...thanks to Draven overrating Chie and Jak and then turning god mode in the second round
There is going to be alot of work
#483 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/6/2013 1:59:38 AM | message detail
Wow these votals are disgustingly low. Cloud can't even win the Total Domination Zone anymore.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#484 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/6/2013 2:01:27 AM | message detail
I just woke up...
1)Kekfa lost. Man.Kefka trolled us again. But I think it is the closest wire to wire match ever?
2)Cloud is losing to Squirtle. I like Pokemon but I like more FF 7. However yesterday same time Sephiroth was losing to Kirby and he won easily at the end. Cloud is stronger than Sephiroth and Squirtle is stronger than Kirby. So maybe he can win.
3)But Pokefear so...
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#485 | Achromatic | Posted 9/6/2013 2:03:25 AM | message detail
Fun fact: At this point Seph was beating Kirby and would never look back.

Squirtle would stomp Kirby.
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#486 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/6/2013 2:03:28 AM | message detail
Gym leaders like Surge and Sabrina would probably be stronger than a random rocket grunt.

Are Jessie and James ever called by their names in Pokemon Yellow? I can't remember, though I doubt they would be eligible anyway.
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#487 | Furious Fura | Posted 9/6/2013 2:08:27 AM | message detail
with all these random pokemon nominated, why didnt we nominate Meowth? Would have bossed this fo sho
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#488 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/6/2013 2:08:35 AM | message detail
At this point,Sephiroth had a 37 lead on Kirby,which is 154 votes in favor of Sephiroth since Kirby peak
At this point,Squall had a 211 lead on Missingno,which is 488 votes in favor of Squall since missingno peak

Cloud is now behind by 103,which is 161 votes in favor...can be easily compared to Sephiroth
Missingno can't be compared to,he really crashed
#489 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/6/2013 2:09:13 AM | message detail
Squirtle has it easily. He is winning by around 5% in USA. Now I know that Kirby was winning by around 3.5% in USA and Sephiroth won easily but things are different now. Everyone knows Pokemon and likes it. Anyway this will be the 1st time that Sephiroth advances and not Cloud!
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#490 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/6/2013 2:10:33 AM | message detail
In all seriousness though, Cloud's (still) got this. Still looking at 52-53% or so.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#491 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 9/6/2013 2:11:07 AM | message detail
Safer_777 posted...
Squirtle has it easily. He is winning by around 5% in USA. Now I know that Kirby was winning by around 3.5% in USA and Sephiroth won easily but things are different now. Everyone knows Pokemon and likes it. Anyway this will be the 1st time that Sephiroth advances and not Cloud!

Match isn't over yet!
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#492 | tennisboy213 | Posted 9/6/2013 2:22:40 AM | message detail
Smallest lead since the freeze.
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POKEFEAR
#493 | creativename | Posted 9/6/2013 2:22:49 AM | message detail
Safer_777 posted...
Squirtle has it easily. He is winning by around 5% in USA. Now I know that Kirby was winning by around 3.5% in USA and Sephiroth won easily but things are different now. Everyone knows Pokemon and likes it. Anyway this will be the 1st time that Sephiroth advances and not Cloud!

Seph made the finals in 2k2!

Also Cloud should finish with 51.5-51.75% here I think. Not impressive, but lets not forget Squirtle 60/40'd Dante. Dante probably deboosted but Squirtle is strong.

He really needs Pikachu to beat Sora though to make the Snake match interesting. And it's possible. Sora is way off from his peak strength IMO.
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#494 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/6/2013 2:32:47 AM | message detail
Let's say we got a vote totals of 50,000
Mewtwo got 21,500 votes against nonfactors,change it to 24 hours match,add a strong character in the match,and I believe a pool of 30,000 Pokemon votes sounds about right
Divide this equally between Pikachu and Blue,and Sora only needs the remaining 20k to win this
..Of course,it might be not go equally..divide it by 60/40,and it's already 18k-20k

If someone got a better way to predict this match using calculations,im all ears
#495 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/6/2013 2:33:13 AM | message detail
Do you take Pikachu over Sora 1vs1? And by how much?
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#496 | Furious Fura | Posted 9/6/2013 2:34:58 AM | message detail
definitely pikachu over sora 1v1

hell i would probably take blue over sora 1v1

pokefear
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#497 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/6/2013 2:37:33 AM | message detail
Okay so Pikachu wins. Now how many votes he will take that would be going to Blue? So you see even if Sora is weak he doesn't need many votes to win. Unless they release Mega Raichu or something.
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#498 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/6/2013 2:39:44 AM | message detail | (edited)
At first we need to calculate how much votes are going to Pokemon...Pikachu and Blue combined
Then we need to decide on the split
As it looks like now,with 50k vote totals at max,even 30,000-20,000 split between Pokemon and Kingdom Hearts is not enough for Pikachu/Blue to advance as long as the split between them is lower than 65-35
Welp
#499 | kurtfisto | Posted 9/6/2013 2:42:09 AM | message detail
Cloud's got this
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#500 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/6/2013 2:42:12 AM | message detail
so to 500