Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1156

#1 | red sox 777 | Posted 9/5/2013 12:54:03 PM | message detail
No one votes for Pokemon because they want to. It's like this train. It can only go where the tracks take it.

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#2 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/5/2013 12:57:00 PM | message detail
Kefka chokes yet again. So many matches with him and still you can't figure him out.
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#3 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 9/5/2013 1:00:31 PM | message detail
This ain't Kefka choking. It's GLaDOS impressing.
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Agent Triple Zero at your service!
The artist formerly known as greatone10.
#4 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/5/2013 1:00:49 PM | message detail
Join us for 11 days of Cloud and Sephiroth quotes, culminating in Cloud's epic upset rally-fueled win over Draven!
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#5 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 9/5/2013 1:01:16 PM | message detail
There's only one thing that can make Kefka a choker again: deadly neurotoxins.

(I was going to spout out a lot of Portal memes here but forget it)
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Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC
#6 | pjbasis | Posted 9/5/2013 1:48:53 PM | message detail
It's full of Pokemon and noisy
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#7 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/5/2013 1:50:29 PM | message detail
This contest are sick.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
#8 | Qwaar | Posted 9/5/2013 1:50:35 PM | message detail
Looks like It'll be difficult for Kefka to come back from this. The match has been stalling all day. Damn Kefka for screwing with my expert bracket.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#9 | AsurasKordoth | Posted 9/5/2013 2:12:59 PM | message detail
Man I am so sure that Kefka is going to job hard next contest just because he's f***ing Kefka. Watch him lose to like Knuckles or something.
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-Merc
#10 | BleedingRed | Posted 9/5/2013 2:16:52 PM | message detail
Kefka is just weak and always has been.
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"When we can no longer change a situation, we are challenged to change ourselves."
Aatrox - Riven - Tryndamere
#11 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 9/5/2013 2:50:59 PM | message detail
I would definitely back a Cave Johnson nomination rally.
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Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#12 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/5/2013 2:52:02 PM | message detail
I wonder if he will be stronger than Wheatly?
#13 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/5/2013 2:54:27 PM | message detail
Much weaker. Still probably better than a bunch of the dreck in this bracket, though.
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Welcome to the League of Downtime.
#14 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/5/2013 3:08:43 PM | message detail
For around 13 hours we had an amazing match. Now because of Americans bad taste Kefka is losing.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#15 | Qwaar | Posted 9/5/2013 3:09:18 PM | message detail
Gah, come on Kefka!
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#16 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 9/5/2013 3:10:05 PM | message detail
Kefka down for good
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#17 | The_Djoker | Posted 9/5/2013 3:10:24 PM | message detail
Safer_777 posted...
For around 13 hours we had an amazing match. Now because of Americans bad taste Kefka is losing.


says the guy who wants Draven to win.
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http://s19.postimage.org/aosug5mrn/Persona4.png
#18 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/5/2013 3:13:00 PM | message detail
Win or lose, at least Kefka knows how to consistently give a good match. That's better than a lot of other characters.
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Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#19 | The_Djoker | Posted 9/5/2013 3:15:00 PM | message detail
As much as I like Squirtle. I hope Cloud wins tomorrow./ We don't need anymore Pokemon going through. 3 is enough.
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#20 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/5/2013 3:42:23 PM | message detail
No we must have 5 Pokemon in the final 9.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 128/189 Today's Pick: Solid Snake
#21 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 9/5/2013 3:44:08 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
No we must have 5 Pokemon in the final 9.


Mewtwo/(Squirtle/Pikachu)/(Red/Charizard) finals
seems like a board 8 best Pokemon character contest or something
#22 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/5/2013 3:44:12 PM | message detail
Weird I thought you are in the anti Pokemon club!
Though I agree,too much Pokemon will make people annoyed and I know I would be if it happened with a series I hate
I only wish that the Pokemon advancing were Mewtwo Squirtle and Charizard
Screw Pikachu,Red and Blue!
#23 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/5/2013 3:44:41 PM | message detail
Cloud losing tomorrow might be worse than Link losing to Draven from a health of the contests perspective. I mean, does Link really want to be king of a site that votes for Squirtle over Cloud? I think we may be unworthy of his radiance if we allow that result to happen.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#24 | vcharon | Posted 9/5/2013 3:45:56 PM | message detail
Honestly, I'll either not vote or vote for Draven because Pokemon has thoroughly annoyed me this contest.
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Still smilin'
:>
#25 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/5/2013 3:58:43 PM | message detail
A better reason not to have a lot of Pokemon in the semi-finals is that it would reduce the likelihood of having an all-Pokemon final!
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Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#26 | ZFS | Posted 9/5/2013 4:22:43 PM | message detail
Squirtle totally rocks the pics. Two dark, drab guys and then SQUIRTLE in your face.
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#27 | Pizzaknight | Posted 9/5/2013 4:23:11 PM | message detail
Two questions.

Is it really so hard to accept that both Kefka and GlaDOS are stronger than ever this year?

How many of you all expected both of them to make it to Round 3?

I, for one, didn't.
#28 | Dabrikishaw15 | Posted 9/5/2013 4:25:12 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
No we must have 5 Pokemon in the final 9.


Wouldn't mind it.
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http://i.imgur.com/GUtJDs7.jpg
Fact: Fanbases are unpleasable, deal with it.
#29 | ZFS | Posted 9/5/2013 4:26:57 PM | message detail
#30 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 9/5/2013 4:32:29 PM | message detail
#31 | ZFS | Posted 9/5/2013 4:32:50 PM | message detail
How can you not vote for that
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#32 | xp1337 | Posted 9/5/2013 4:47:42 PM | message detail
I'm sticking with Cloud.

How doomed am I?
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#33 | DSRKVRTheDealer | Posted 9/5/2013 4:48:15 PM | message detail
Sticking with Cloud still.
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New England Patriots: 0-0
#34 | Yuri_LowelI | Posted 9/5/2013 4:55:25 PM | message detail
Cloud not winning will at least save himself and his fangirls from being humiliated by Snake.
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http://i.imgur.com/ooexO.gif
#35 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/5/2013 4:58:42 PM | message detail
I'd rather have Cloud win if it led to a Snake/Cloud/Pikachu scenario where Pikachu manages to beat both, more than justifying his performance on Solid S***.

But since Pikachu > Sora is a longshot anyway, I'll put my support behind Squirtle and hope Squirtle can edge out Snake and Sora to reach that coveted all-Pokemon final.
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Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#36 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 9/5/2013 5:00:04 PM | message detail
http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/cbnine/battle/5257-04.jpg

Should have been Mega Blastoise!
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Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place
Pokemon VGC2013 Worlds LCQ - Top 32
#37 | GloriousSweater | Posted 9/5/2013 5:02:21 PM | message detail
Wow, and we thought Kirby had STF.
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Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/gdl8lcn.jpg
#38 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/5/2013 5:03:38 PM | message detail
Also, holy s*** twenty hours later and the biggest lead so far has been 112.
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Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#39 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 9/5/2013 5:04:04 PM | message detail
Pizzaknight posted...
Is it really so hard to accept that both Kefka and GlaDOS are stronger than ever this year?


I'd actually give Kefka respect if it were warranted, but since his matches make no goddamn sense (and he probably made it here on his opponents' weakness)... At any rate, GLaDOS, I can respect.
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"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#40 | Greyfeld | Posted 9/5/2013 5:11:41 PM | message detail
After all the rallied results for this contest, is there nobody that can rally a couple hundred votes for Kefka so that he doesn't come in dead last??
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#41 | thunderstruck9 | Posted 9/5/2013 5:12:06 PM | message detail
GlaDOS is def stronger than I thought. I'm sure this is a strong Kefka. He should come back when full dark sets in. I'm not gonna diss Allen. I'm gonna assume this is a job for him. And yes I know what assuming does. Lol. But anyway. He has to do what he feels best for the site. not the couple hundred regulars on board 8. Even if it's a couple thousand regulars. That versus forty or fifty thousand casual surfers. Sorry but from a job stand point the casuals are always gonna win. I work at Walmart. The casuals are like customers. the regulars just loiter. Lol
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Always move fast, you never know who's catching up!
#42 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 9/5/2013 5:22:30 PM | message detail
thunderstruck9 posted...
GlaDOS is def stronger than I thought. I'm sure this is a strong Kefka. He should come back when full dark sets in. I'm not gonna diss Allen. I'm gonna assume this is a job for him. And yes I know what assuming does. Lol. But anyway. He has to do what he feels best for the site. not the couple hundred regulars on board 8. Even if it's a couple thousand regulars. That versus forty or fifty thousand casual surfers. Sorry but from a job stand point the casuals are always gonna win. I work at Walmart. The casuals are like customers. the regulars just loiter. Lol


one-time customers are a bad idea, that's essentially what this is
also I don't know why you decided to post this here anyway
#43 | Anagram | Posted 9/5/2013 5:27:20 PM | message detail | (edited)
Pic #1 is mine. Sadly, he didn't choose my other pic.
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Not changing this sig until I decide to change this sig.
Started: July 6, 2005
#44 | Scarlettail | Posted 9/5/2013 5:29:32 PM | message detail
Squirtle, grant us your strength to defeat Cloud. Please...?
#45 | thunderstruck9 | Posted 9/5/2013 5:30:15 PM | message detail
Because I've seen the Allan hate. And while I understand it I also see his side. The casuals click ads the regulars ignore them.
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Always move fast, you never know who's catching up!
#46 | creativename | Posted 9/5/2013 5:31:42 PM | message detail
thunderstruck9 posted...
GlaDOS is def stronger than I thought. I'm sure this is a strong Kefka. He should come back when full dark sets in. I'm not gonna diss Allen. I'm gonna assume this is a job for him. And yes I know what assuming does. Lol. But anyway. He has to do what he feels best for the site. not the couple hundred regulars on board 8. Even if it's a couple thousand regulars. That versus forty or fifty thousand casual surfers. Sorry but from a job stand point the casuals are always gonna win. I work at Walmart. The casuals are like customers. the regulars just loiter. Lol

Because the customers of this site want a champ they'd never heard of before the contest began.

We want a character with almost zero popularity winning a popularity contest.

Wonderful reasoning.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
#47 | im317 | Posted 9/5/2013 5:32:12 PM | message detail
thunderstruck9 posted...
Because I've seen the Allan hate. And while I understand it I also see his side. The casuals click ads the regulars ignore them.


if you think the Reddit voters are going to click and add then i have a bridge to sell you
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#48 | GANON1025 | Posted 9/5/2013 5:32:52 PM | message detail
You guys are still bent out of shape over this?
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You think this is over because I am dead. It's not over. The games have just begun.
#49 | GANON1025 | Posted 9/5/2013 5:32:55 PM | message detail
You guys are still bent out of shape over this?
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You think this is over because I am dead. It's not over. The games have just begun.
#50 | G0EMONIMPACT | Posted 9/5/2013 5:34:57 PM | message detail
SBAllen posted...
The Real Truth posted...
Allen I love you. Please give us a contest next year.

Already have it planned out, no worries.


yaaaaaay
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KoolAidShoto pls