Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1155

#151 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/4/2013 9:26:55 PM | message detail
Kefka has almost never had a contest where he didn't screw with us. Only exception is maybe the villain's contest.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 128/189 Today's Pick: Solid Snake
#152 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/4/2013 9:27:53 PM | message detail
GlaDOS getting French FRIED and WELL DONE
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#153 | vcharon | Posted 9/4/2013 9:28:32 PM | message detail
People so hasty!

Even me.
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:>
#154 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/4/2013 9:28:42 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Kefka has almost never had a contest where he didn't screw with us. Only exception is maybe the villain's contest.


That first round match where he could only get 63% on the Tales of Symphonia villain

And then he teased us into thinking he was something special with a sprite pic by getting 70% on Wesker

Which resulted in Mithos > Lloyd through Wesker!
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#155 | cyko | Posted 9/4/2013 9:28:52 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Kefka has almost never had a contest where he didn't screw with us. Only exception is maybe the villain's contest.


Actually, if I remember right, he was the overwhelming favorite over Diablo, again in the sprite round.
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#156 | Janus5000 | Posted 9/4/2013 9:30:20 PM | message detail
all I remember about Kefka in villains is that people thought Wesker might come close to him. then Angel Kefka happened.

not impressed by Snake here, although I assume he goes up.
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#157 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 9/4/2013 9:30:34 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
charmander6000 posted...
Kefka has almost never had a contest where he didn't screw with us. Only exception is maybe the villain's contest.


That first round match where he could only get 63% on the Tales of Symphonia villain

And then he teased us into thinking he was something special with a sprite pic by getting 70% on Wesker

Which resulted in Mithos > Lloyd through Wesker!


*brings up GameFAQs Contest Bingo*
*stamps "Kefka's matches make no goddamn sense"*
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#158 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/4/2013 9:30:56 PM | message detail
Actually, if I remember right, he was the overwhelming favorite over Diablo, again in the sprite round.

He was an upset pick against the winner of Diablo/Ridley. Also the sprite round was the second where he went 70% on Wesker, so I guess he did screw with us in that contest too.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 128/189 Today's Pick: Solid Snake
#159 | Haste_2 | Posted 9/4/2013 9:31:13 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
charmander6000 posted...
Kefka has almost never had a contest where he didn't screw with us. Only exception is maybe the villain's contest.


That first round match where he could only get 63% on the Tales of Symphonia villain

And then he teased us into thinking he was something special with a sprite pic by getting 70% on Wesker

Which resulted in Mithos > Lloyd through Wesker!


Ahaha, I still remember how everyone in the Oracle predicted Lloyd to get 65-70% on Wesker in the Summer Contest a few months later.
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#160 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/4/2013 9:31:18 PM | message detail
Yeah, Snake will go up.

Kefka's day vote is legendarily bad. GlaDOS's isn't much better.

And as Big Boss and The Boss have shown us, MGS can hold its own during the day now...!
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#161 | ZFS | Posted 9/4/2013 9:31:25 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
GlaDOS getting French FRIED and WELL DONE


Too good
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#162 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/4/2013 9:32:24 PM | message detail
The pic factor might be at play here. Despite rotations we have Solid **** as the main feature in 2/8 while sprite Kefka is in like six of them.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 128/189 Today's Pick: Solid Snake
#163 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/4/2013 9:32:34 PM | message detail
And right on cue, Snake has a 50% update.
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#164 | Greyfeld | Posted 9/4/2013 9:33:04 PM | message detail
Fayt_Esteed posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
charmander6000 posted...
Kefka has almost never had a contest where he didn't screw with us. Only exception is maybe the villain's contest.


That first round match where he could only get 63% on the Tales of Symphonia villain

And then he teased us into thinking he was something special with a sprite pic by getting 70% on Wesker

Which resulted in Mithos > Lloyd through Wesker!


*brings up GameFAQs Contest Bingo*
*stamps "Kefka's matches make no goddamn sense"*


I was just looking at Kefka's matches for this contest to see if I could get a feel for how he trends over the course of the match.

Both matches show him just sort of going up and down and up and down all freaking match long.

I concur with Kefka making no goddamn sense.
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#165 | Dabrikishaw15 | Posted 9/4/2013 9:33:10 PM | message detail
Solid Snake
46.03%
1663 Votes
Vote Solid Snake!

GlaDOS
26.02%
940 Votes
Vote GlaDOS!

Kefka
27.95%
1010 Votes
Vote Kefka!
Total Votes: 3613
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#166 | The Owner of FF9 | Posted 9/4/2013 9:34:10 PM | message detail
Fayt_Esteed posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
charmander6000 posted...
Kefka has almost never had a contest where he didn't screw with us. Only exception is maybe the villain's contest.


That first round match where he could only get 63% on the Tales of Symphonia villain

And then he teased us into thinking he was something special with a sprite pic by getting 70% on Wesker

Which resulted in Mithos > Lloyd through Wesker!


*brings up GameFAQs Contest Bingo*
*stamps "Kefka's matches make no goddamn sense"*


That got stamped after his first match dude.
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Character Battle IX Bracket: 133/189
#167 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/4/2013 9:34:52 PM | message detail
Yeah I don't know why people aren't crediting Snake with being hurt here. If you assume Sprite Snake costs him something like 10 points normally, 25% of the voters seeing it would translate to it hurting him 2.5 points. Opinions may vary on that but he's looking really good to me now - and my barometer is a very high one considering what I expect out of him.
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#168 | Scarlettail | Posted 9/4/2013 9:35:30 PM | message detail
Time to begin praying for Squirtle.
#169 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/4/2013 9:36:12 PM | message detail
Kefka's Contest History

2003 - Was suppose to challenge Crono, almost lost to Pac-Man
2004 - Went even with Knuckles for a couple of hours
Villains - Underperforms against Mithos, destroys Wesker
2005 - Barriers
2007 - Lost to Marcus Fenix
2008 - Lost to Niko Bellic
2010 - Won over Arthas
2013 - Reached the third round
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 128/189 Today's Pick: Solid Snake
#170 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/4/2013 9:37:00 PM | message detail
Expected. Though I didn't think Kefka would be struggling with Glados.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
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#171 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/4/2013 9:37:30 PM | message detail
Kefka going down again
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 128/189 Today's Pick: Solid Snake
#172 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/4/2013 9:37:44 PM | message detail
GlaDOS deciding she's not done yet, apparently.
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#173 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 9/4/2013 9:37:56 PM | message detail
Kefka is so screwed.
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#174 | SecksThaNemesis | Posted 9/4/2013 9:38:05 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Kefka's Contest History

2003 - Was suppose to challenge Crono, almost lost to Pac-Man
2004 - Went even with Knuckles for a couple of hours
Villains - Underperforms against Mithos, destroys Wesker
2005 - Barriers
2007 - Lost to Marcus Fenix
2008 - Lost to Niko Bellic
2010 - Won over Arthas
2013 - Reached the third round


I made a topic about this during Kefka/Zack asking how many people predicted Kefka matches correctly.

There were some people who did well (HM one of them I believe) but most of us were at 50% or below!
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#175 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/4/2013 9:38:39 PM | message detail
Alright, Snake wins again (Snake always wins hint hint), time to move on to the next match. Let's mosey?
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#176 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/4/2013 9:39:50 PM | message detail
Also you gotta give GlaDOS a lot of credit here. She's giving a fight to the strongest Kefka we've ever seen, a guy who looks fantastic in all his pictures and has dominating wins over Ryu Hayabusa, Zack Fair, Altair, and Lara Croft under his belt.
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#177 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/4/2013 9:40:41 PM | message detail
Time | Sephy | Boss | Kirby | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 32.62% | 22.99% | 44.39% | 187 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 35.35% | 28.16% | 36.49% | 6204 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 36.32% | 29.22% | 34.46% | 12063 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 38.63% | 27.29% | 34.08% | 6593 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 39.19% | 28.13% | 32.67% | 12288 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 38.81% | 28.42% | 32.78% | 13461 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 39.23% | 29.65% | 31.13% | 2506 | (22:00-24:00)

This is what late night rallies and facing an FFVII character will do to you. Kirby does better at night than he does during the ASV.

X-Stats:

Sephiroth – 50.00%
Kirby – 47.02%
Big Boss – 42.84%
Luigi – 42.41%
Terra Branford – 41.42%
Morrigan Aensland – 33.57%
Elizabeth – 30.38%
Crash Bandicoot – 30.19%
Midna – 29.96%
Spyro the Dragon – 29.39%
Wheatley – 27.97%
Miles Edgeworth – 27.55%
Poison – 26.97%
Princess Peach – 25.20%
Agent 47 – 24.56%
Little Mac – 23.96%
Thrall – 23.12%
Balthier Bunansa – 22.29%
Clementine – 21.75%
Ness – 20.36%
Tommy Vercetti – 19.71%
Locke Cole – 16.43%
Jade – 13.49%
Captain Viridian – 13.09%
CATS – 12.64%
Reyn – 11.88%
Peacock – 11.49%

Sephiroth's prediction percentage was 65.06%

Terra projects a 57.17% win for Squall over Sephiroth.
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#178 | SecksThaNemesis | Posted 9/4/2013 9:41:37 PM | message detail
I am so confused. Why did Sephiroth suck so much with the FNV and then dominate with the Second one?
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#179 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/4/2013 9:41:47 PM | message detail
I made a topic about this during Kefka/Zack asking how many people predicted Kefka matches correctly.

There were some people who did well (HM one of them I believe) but most of us were at 50% or below!


I actually had quite the streak with Kefka before this contest, the only thing I got wrong was Kefka/Pac-Man (Had Ridley > Kefka in the villains, but I was correct that he would lose to the winner of Diablo/Ridley).
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Points: 128/189 Today's Pick: Solid Snake
#180 | ZFS | Posted 9/4/2013 9:41:55 PM | message detail
Yeah, I've done rather well in predicting Kefka's matches. This contest messed me up a bit since I didn't bite on taking Kefka over Zack, despite thinking about it for a while, though.
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#181 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/4/2013 9:42:16 PM | message detail
I am so confused. Why did Sephiroth suck so much with the FNV and then dominate with the Second one?

Kirby was rallying hard during the FNV.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#182 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/4/2013 9:42:26 PM | message detail
SecksThaNemesis posted...
I am so confused. Why did Sephiroth suck so much with the FNV and then dominate with the Second one?


Someone was rallying for Kirby overnight.
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#183 | ZFS | Posted 9/4/2013 9:42:37 PM | message detail
Look at Terra hanging with Luigi.
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#184 | SecksThaNemesis | Posted 9/4/2013 9:42:39 PM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
I am so confused. Why did Sephiroth suck so much with the FNV and then dominate with the Second one?

Kirby was rallying hard during the FNV.


Really?

I thought the votals during the FNV dropped off like a rock
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#185 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/4/2013 9:43:42 PM | message detail
SecksThaNemesis posted...
Really?

I thought the votals during the FNV dropped off like a rock


They do.

Which is why outside rallying helped Kirby's percentage a lot there.
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#186 | red sox 777 (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/4/2013 9:44:29 PM | message detail
Really?

I thought the votals during the FNV dropped off like a rock


They did, that's why Kirby's rally was able to shift the percentages so much. 4 years ago, Seph would have just laughed at it and sent his percentage into the stratosphere anyway. Nowadays...............
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#187 | SecksThaNemesis | Posted 9/4/2013 9:44:34 PM | message detail
2003 - Was suppose to challenge Crono, almost lost to Pac-Man
2004 - Went even with Knuckles for a couple of hours
Villains - Underperforms against Mithos, destroys Wesker
2005 - Barriers
2007 - Lost to Marcus Fenix
2008 - Lost to Niko Bellic
2010 - Won over Arthas
2013 - Reached the third round


The only reason I got him losing to Marth and Due in 08 right is because I refused to pick him after MArcus Fenix.

And that burned me when he somehow beat Arthas. Who was indirectly stronger than Diablo.

F*** Kefka seriously.
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#188 | Janus5000 | Posted 9/4/2013 9:44:36 PM | message detail
Luigi – 42.41%

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/1339

This is cute too.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
#189 | HaRRicH | Posted 9/4/2013 9:45:35 PM | message detail
Wanglicious posted...
know what, screw it.
i want glados to score so high on kefka that she makes it look like epona vs. kefka would be a close match.

There's a good man...!



GLaDOS had multiple reasons to boost from her 2010-showing:

1) Portal was free
2) Sequel was great
3) Recognizable pics came

Those reasons make boosting easy, especially combined. She's making a fair case for being the strongest character from this generation -- Shepard's her only real competition...

...Aeris VS Kefka, who you got?
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#190 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/4/2013 9:45:59 PM | message detail
Luigi projects a 53.09% win for Squall over Sephiroth.

Kirby projects a 52.16% win for Squall over Sephiroth.

No matter what numbers you use, they come up in favor of Squall!

Numbers never lie...!
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#191 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/4/2013 9:46:35 PM | message detail
And that burned me when he somehow beat Arthas. Who was indirectly stronger than Diablo.

Arthas defeated Diablo in an actual match in 2007 too (plus he looked even stronger in 2008). I honestly don't know why I took him over Arthas
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Points: 128/189 Today's Pick: Solid Snake
#192 | SecksThaNemesis | Posted 9/4/2013 9:46:38 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Luigi projects a 53.09% win for Squall over Sephiroth.

Kirby projects a 52.16% win for Squall over Sephiroth.

No matter what numbers you use, they come up in favor of Squall!

Numbers never lie...!


Red 40%
Vivi 35%
Squall 25%
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#193 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/4/2013 9:46:54 PM | message detail
Although obviously the Terra number would be the most accurate since that match was more recent than Luigi or Kirby...!
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#194 | ZFS | Posted 9/4/2013 9:46:55 PM | message detail
New FF suffers, Squall endures.
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#195 | kurtfisto | Posted 9/4/2013 9:47:12 PM | message detail
I was going to ask if we've had any matches where the fight for 2nd place was tight but it looks like we may be getting that today!
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#196 | SecksThaNemesis | Posted 9/4/2013 9:47:14 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
And that burned me when he somehow beat Arthas. Who was indirectly stronger than Diablo.

Arthas defeated Diablo in an actual match in 2007 too (plus he looked even stronger in 2008). I honestly don't know why I took him over Arthas


I meant to say directly.

DIRECTLY STRONGER THAN DIABLO

WHO WAS DIRECTLY STRONGER THAN KEFKA.

That match still has me fuming. F*** Kefka
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#197 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/4/2013 9:47:20 PM | message detail
SecksThaNemesis posted...
Red 40%
Vivi 35%
Squall 25%


congrats you can make up predictions off the top of your head
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#198 | Wanglicious | Posted 9/4/2013 9:47:49 PM | message detail
gut says Aeris should beat Kefka.
so Kefka wins 60/40.
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#199 | SecksThaNemesis | Posted 9/4/2013 9:47:52 PM | message detail
kurtfisto posted...
I was going to ask if we've had any matches where the fight for 2nd place was tight but it looks like we may be getting that today!


Boko vs. Tales character was decided by 7 votes
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Die young and save yourself.
Brace for the G's, and fast heel-toe work.
#200 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/4/2013 9:47:57 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
New FF suffers, Squall endures.


Being associated with lions works in his favor with this new AnimalFAQs rage!

Red XIII could be the strongest FFVII character now!
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