Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1154

#51 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 9/4/2013 6:56:33 AM | message detail
quote the draven "butthurt"
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#52 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/4/2013 6:57:34 AM | message detail
I wouldn't call Pokemon lucky...XY is still more than a month away
Push the contest a month later,and the last match in the semi-finals is on the release day of Pokemon XY
With the finals being 2 days later

In this case..Charizard>Red>Samus confirmed
#53 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 9/4/2013 6:58:30 AM | message detail
my favorite tag team is the rock and dravenfection
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#54 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/4/2013 6:59:07 AM | message detail
how long can you keep this up really
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#55 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 9/4/2013 6:59:43 AM | message detail
ask braze
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#56 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/4/2013 7:00:25 AM | message detail
Welp. So much for Mega Man > Charizard! Brawl + Nostalgia for a screwed Mega Man + Overrated Charizard would've given even a handicapped Mega Man a win, I felt, but I don't know if Mega Man can beat Mega Charizard.
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#57 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 9/4/2013 7:02:17 AM | message detail
i can't wait for dravely befault
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#58 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/4/2013 7:10:40 AM | message detail
I check again and Sephiroth is ahead by more than 500 votes. So unless there is a rally he wins right? Also if he wins is this considered an upsete? Because everyone on the crew(except one guy that picked BB)had Kirby win.
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#59 | eaglesarebeasts | Posted 9/4/2013 7:12:48 AM | message detail
Seph just dominating now
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#60 | The_Djoker | Posted 9/4/2013 7:13:12 AM | message detail
Who is stronger? X or Mega Man?
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#61 | The_Djoker | Posted 9/4/2013 7:13:44 AM | message detail
Safer_777 posted...
I check again and Sephiroth is ahead by more than 500 votes. So unless there is a rally he wins right? Also if he wins is this considered an upsete? Because everyone on the crew(except one guy that picked BB)had Kirby win.


Ironically Seph is the more likely to get a Rally.
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#62 | creativename | Posted 9/4/2013 7:14:11 AM | message detail
FranzyvonKarma posted...
i hate the baltimore dravens

both of their key matches had outages

COINCIDENCE? I THINK NOT

You'd be onto something...except the outage didn't help Baltimore!

And Colin Kaepernick is no Link.

Not_Wylvane posted...
Welp. So much for Mega Man > Charizard! Brawl + Nostalgia for a screwed Mega Man + Overrated Charizard would've given even a handicapped Mega Man a win, I felt, but I don't know if Mega Man can beat Mega Charizard.

Even the Charizard that flopped vs. Zelda would be a huge favorite over Mega Man. I mean Zero's presence is just death for him there.

Let's say Zelda is a 32% and Mega Man at 38% (those might be very inaccurate, but just guesstimating). The best Mega Man can hope to do is 70/30 Zero. And MM/Zero should have overlap of at least 85%.

I'm not going to do the math, but those numbers have Zard winning over Mega Man going away. MM probably won't 70/30 Zero and Zard may boost from this "Mega" stuff (the irony), so it gets even worse.

LFF just sucks, period. Mega Man should have no problems beating Zard 1v1 but it's almost hopeless with Zero there.
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#63 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 9/4/2013 7:14:44 AM | message detail
CoLINK Kaepernick
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#64 | The Mana Sword | Posted 9/4/2013 7:15:42 AM | message detail
Kaepernick Gaebora
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#65 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 9/4/2013 7:16:13 AM | message detail
Kaeptain America
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#66 | creativename | Posted 9/4/2013 7:17:24 AM | message detail
The_Djoker posted...
Ironically Seph is the more likely to get a Rally.

Err...huh?

The_Djoker posted...
Who is stronger? X or Mega Man?

I think the general consensus is that classic is a bit stronger, but that they should be pretty close in strength.

FranzyvonKarma posted...
CoLINK Kaepernick

Hmm. You are one tricksy fellow.
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#67 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/4/2013 7:26:33 AM | message detail
Eh, Kirby doesn't seem to be putting up much of a fight anymore. This looks done, especially considering what ASV we still have is very diluted.

...it's gonna be really funny seeing Kirby look like the night vote champ in this match though.
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#68 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/4/2013 7:27:04 AM | message detail
Kirby essentially has joke trends so this match should be over. Kind of glad Sephiroth won this even though I don't care about anyone in this poll, he's basically been a whipping boy since 2007.
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#69 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 9/4/2013 7:32:32 AM | message detail
The Noble Nine is falling apart at the seams and Sephiroth is going to be the one to set things straight? This contest makes no sense at all.
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#70 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/4/2013 7:38:08 AM | message detail
I just realized that there have been two reruns of polls in the past
I don't know how long the GSC/Xenogears match went before it was rerun,but it seems like the Jill/Ryu match was 6 hours and then restarted

....This makes me more sad that there wasn't a rerun of Link/Draven because it's not impossible...
#71 | GloriousSweater | Posted 9/4/2013 7:41:36 AM | message detail
Well at least I don't think anyone can call me crazy like they did pre-contest (heck, creativename called it a crazy pick like a week ago). This was close enough that I don't feel TOO badly about it.
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#72 | Gatarix | Posted 9/4/2013 7:45:52 AM | message detail
FranzyvonKarma posted...
Snake getting 54% on Zelda means he loses to MegaKangaskhan.

read this as MegaKanzaris

Are Pokemon really getting a Mega boost? When MegaMewtwo's design was first revealed, most people on the board absolutely hated it (and it's hard to believe we're that much of an anomaly in that regard). Granted, the Mega starters look decent enough.

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#73 | The_Djoker | Posted 9/4/2013 7:48:06 AM | message detail
Kotetsu534 posted...
The Noble Nine is falling apart at the seams and Sephiroth is going to be the one to set things straight? This contest makes no sense at all.


lol set things straight in terms of beating 2 mid carders? lol
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#74 | The_Djoker | Posted 9/4/2013 7:48:45 AM | message detail
creativename posted...
The_Djoker posted...
Ironically Seph is the more likely to get a Rally.

Err...huh?

The_Djoker posted...
Who is stronger? X or Mega Man?

I think the general consensus is that classic is a bit stronger, but that they should be pretty close in strength.

FranzyvonKarma posted...
CoLINK Kaepernick

Hmm. You are one tricksy fellow.


IF they're close in strength, MM has Zero chance against Zard. Zard will probably boss that Match easily.
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#75 | eaglesarebeasts | Posted 9/4/2013 7:50:26 AM | message detail
The_Djoker posted...

lol set things straight in terms of beating 2 mid carders? lol


Yes, its more than a lot of the N9 can say.
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#76 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 9/4/2013 7:54:41 AM | message detail
BB and Kirby are near-elites. The lower end of the Noble Nine would not be expected to blow them out. Sonic only got 54% on Kirby in 2010 and he's probably weaker now.
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#77 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/4/2013 7:55:24 AM | message detail
This makes what Vivi did even more impressive to me. Sephiroth holds the line against Kirby despite Big Boss in the poll, but Mario can't handle a little black mage? This contest is weird.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#78 | KokoroAkechi | Posted 9/4/2013 7:56:36 AM | message detail
Sephiroth isn't screwing around
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#79 | Kyle Bowen | Posted 9/4/2013 7:59:54 AM | message detail
Squall destroyed Kirby once upon a time...
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#80 | The_Djoker | Posted 9/4/2013 8:02:18 AM | message detail | (edited)
eaglesarebeasts posted...
The_Djoker posted...

lol set things straight in terms of beating 2 mid carders? lol


Yes, its more than a lot of the N9 can say.


Out of the N9, only Cloud and Mario have flopped. The others have performed well or put in stupid positions(Crono).
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#81 | Qwaar | Posted 9/4/2013 8:02:13 AM | message detail
Wow, woke up to see Sep comfortably ahead. Surely he can't lose this now.
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#82 | creativename | Posted 9/4/2013 8:04:20 AM | message detail
GloriousSweater posted...
Well at least I don't think anyone can call me crazy like they did pre-contest (heck, creativename called it a crazy pick like a week ago). This was close enough that I don't feel TOO badly about it.

Wait, what match? This one? If so that would be weird because I was scared as hell for Seph going into this.

The_Djoker posted...
IF they're close in strength, MM has Zero chance against Zard. Zard will probably boss that Match easily.

MM can be way above Zard in strength and still have virtually no chance there.

The LFF from Zero is going to utterly cripple him.

If you work the math, MM has to be many miles beyond Zard to have any hope.
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#83 | kurtfisto | Posted 9/4/2013 8:05:22 AM | message detail
Would Zard be projected to win if Cloud and Sephiroth were in the same poll?
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#84 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/4/2013 8:10:07 AM | message detail
Well I don't think so. They are too strong. But we saw Vivi beating Mario so...
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#85 | CP724 | Posted 9/4/2013 8:14:18 AM | message detail
lol set things straight in terms of beating 2 mid carders? lol

54% on luigi is pretty high midcard!
#86 | creativename | Posted 9/4/2013 8:15:18 AM | message detail
kurtfisto posted...
Would Zard be projected to win if Cloud and Sephiroth were in the same poll?

Hmm...interesting question. I think Zard would win...but it would be questionable.

Cloud/Seph overlap is probably significantly less than MM/Zero overlap. MM/Zero overlap is probably close to 100%. In other words almost every Zero vote will come straight from MM.

Cloud/Seph likely overlap more now than they did during their heyday, but it should still be less than MM/Zero.
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#87 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/4/2013 8:17:00 AM | message detail
So if Ness wasn't there, Luigi would have won. So Sephiroth would have won here easily right?
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#88 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 9/4/2013 8:19:15 AM | message detail
Zard would pull 40% because these things are goofy and after everything we've seen I cannot imagine that in a 24 hour match against two characters from the most anti-voted game on the site THAT ALWAYS WINZ, Zard couldn't pull what Pokemon people care about have been getting in every goddamn match. It's a question of if Cloud buries Sephiroth enough to get the win. I'm gonna say no because Red/Blue/Yellow vs. FFVII in a close match.

Hell, I fully expect Squirtle to get 40% against Cloud/Leon. It's just a question of if Leon can pull 20% himself!
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#89 | The_Djoker | Posted 9/4/2013 8:23:30 AM | message detail
kurtfisto posted...
Would Zard be projected to win if Cloud and Sephiroth were in the same poll?


IT depends which Zard shows up. He doesn't have a consistent base strength. But without any SFF. Zard would probably win with the recent boost.
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#90 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/4/2013 8:24:29 AM | message detail
Squirtle/Cloud is my most hyped match in this round now
...It's because people here actually believe Squirtle has a chance
I don't believe in it but the doubt alone makes this match so much to look forward to
#91 | swordz9 | Posted 9/4/2013 8:25:08 AM | message detail
Sucks to see Kirby behind. Maybe day voting and/or more rallies can put him ahead.
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#92 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 9/4/2013 8:25:37 AM | message detail
The Mana Sword posted...
You know, for whatever reason I'm really impressed with Sephiroth here. I was 100% convinced he was going to botch this and he hasn't.

I mean, there's 14 hours left for him to blow it, but still.


I don't know about you, but I'm disappointed that Sephiroth is even this close to losing. It's not like this is against someone who has commonly been considered a frontrunner to break the Noble Nine anyway. Sephiroth, a character once upon a time heads and shoulders above everyone other than THE SWORDSMEN is currently struggling to survive against Kirby.
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#93 | kurtfisto | Posted 9/4/2013 8:26:29 AM | message detail
wow Kirby with a 5 vote cut
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#94 | The_Djoker | Posted 9/4/2013 8:28:12 AM | message detail
Safer_777 posted...
So if Ness wasn't there, Luigi would have won. So Sephiroth would have won here easily right?


Lets judge Seph next round. Not against Draven but Mewtwo.
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#95 | creativename | Posted 9/4/2013 8:28:45 AM | message detail
I love these random Kirby cuts in the middle of Seph going beast mode.

Nanis23 posted...
Squirtle/Cloud is my most hyped match in this round now
...It's because people here actually believe Squirtle has a chance
I don't believe in it but the doubt alone makes this match so much to look forward to

Squirtle has a great chance.

Especially because Leon is going to fold. That means almost all those Cloud anti-votes will go straight to Squirtle. Unlike here where Big Boss and Kirby are splitting the anti-votes.

Also Cloud is going to be down huge early. If this was a 12 hour match I would make Squirtle the favorite, I think.
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#96 | The_Djoker | Posted 9/4/2013 8:31:32 AM | message detail | (edited)
Nanis23 posted...
Squirtle/Cloud is my most hyped match in this round now
...It's because people here actually believe Squirtle has a chance
I don't believe in it but the doubt alone makes this match so much to look forward to


Link losing probably made Cloud stronger. No way Squirtle wins barring a huge rally. Yes FFVII has gotten weaker but Cloud is still Cloud. He's the strongest Non Nintendo character and always will be(loldraven). I was going to vote for Squirtle. Not anymore. All aboard the Cloud Train.
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#97 | BleedingRed | Posted 9/4/2013 8:32:57 AM | message detail
Nanis23 posted...
Squirtle/Cloud is my most hyped match in this round now
...It's because people here actually believe Squirtle has a chance
I don't believe in it but the doubt alone makes this match so much to look forward to


I don't know why this is hyped. Cloud is going to bury Squirtle.
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#98 | Jeal | Posted 9/4/2013 8:34:50 AM | message detail
The_Djoker posted...
Nanis23 posted...
Squirtle/Cloud is my most hyped match in this round now
...It's because people here actually believe Squirtle has a chance
I don't believe in it but the doubt alone makes this match so much to look forward to


Link losing probably made Cloud stronger. No way Squirtle wins barring a huge rally. Yes FFVII has gotten weaker but Cloud is still Cloud. He's the strongest Non Nintendo character and always will be(loldraven). I was going to vote for Squirtle. Not anymore. All aboard the Cloud Train.


^^^^
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#99 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/4/2013 8:35:47 AM | message detail
...???????
Unless you think Snake is Nintendo because he was in Brawl...no way Cloud is stronger than Snake
#100 | WhiteLens | Posted 9/4/2013 8:39:28 AM | message detail
So I was wondering, are Draven rally posts now banned on Reddit or was it just that one day when he was up against Link?
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