Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1151

#1 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/2/2013 7:58:28 PM | message detail
gg Draven.

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
---
Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#2 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:03:42 PM | message detail
So how many stats topic posts have we made during this match? Like 4000?
---
Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#3 | Ex-Kefiroth | Posted 9/2/2013 8:04:29 PM | message detail
#4 | SupremeZero | Posted 9/2/2013 8:04:42 PM | message detail
... why are we making a new topic before the old one's even on it's last page?
---
There's always hope for better things in life. But you can't let anything, friend, lover, God himself, be your hope. You have to be your own hope.
#5 | AlphaRayAllen | Posted 9/2/2013 8:05:16 PM | message detail
How hard was it, guys?

How hard was it to have a legitimate character beat Link, huh?
---
I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo
[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#6 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/2/2013 8:05:45 PM | message detail
That tends to happen in close matches.

Plus I find it funny to make a new topic to confuse the people who ignored me during my earlier troll run.
---
Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#7 | WellThoughtName | Posted 9/2/2013 8:08:10 PM | message detail
It's pretty sad that the winner of the Character Battle won't even be a character that's actually loved, or that is you know, recognizable.

L-Block might be a joke, you might not be able to "love" L-Block, but it's recognizable as hell.

Nobody knows who Draven even is except for people who play LoL, and now us because of this contest.
---
"A game with amazing story and mediocre gameplay usually beats a game with amazing gameplay and mediocre story." - Vlado, Gaming Expert
#8 | Vampire_Wreath | Posted 9/2/2013 8:08:49 PM | message detail
From: WellThoughtName | #007
It's pretty sad that the winner of the Character Battle won't even be a character that's actually loved, or that is you know, recognizable.

L-Block might be a joke, you might not be able to "love" L-Block, but it's recognizable as hell.

Nobody knows who Draven even is except for people who play LoL, and now us because of this contest.


It's okay, LoL is easy to learn.
---
http://i.imgur.com/aL6pmIo.jpg
#9 | SupremeZero | Posted 9/2/2013 8:09:31 PM | message detail
Vampire_Wreath posted...
From: WellThoughtName | #007
It's pretty sad that the winner of the Character Battle won't even be a character that's actually loved, or that is you know, recognizable.

L-Block might be a joke, you might not be able to "love" L-Block, but it's recognizable as hell.

Nobody knows who Draven even is except for people who play LoL, and now us because of this contest.


It's okay, LoL is easy to learn.


... is this supposed to be ironic?
---
There's always hope for better things in life. But you can't let anything, friend, lover, God himself, be your hope. You have to be your own hope.
#10 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 9/2/2013 8:10:00 PM | message detail
WellThoughtName posted...
It's pretty sad that the winner of the Character Battle won't even be a character that's actually loved, or that is you know, recognizable.

L-Block might be a joke, you might not be able to "love" L-Block, but it's recognizable as hell.

Nobody knows who Draven even is except for people who play LoL, and now us because of this contest.


Nope, this match proves that Draven is beatable. We'll get him next time.
---
RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#11 | JeezyMiyagi | Posted 9/2/2013 8:10:48 PM | message detail
AlphaRayAllen posted...
How hard was it, guys?

How hard was it to have a legitimate character beat Link, huh?


shepard ain't got a ghost chance of beating link, this match is over
---
MonkClive0
[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#12 | nkansas13 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:12:12 PM | message detail
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
WellThoughtName posted...
It's pretty sad that the winner of the Character Battle won't even be a character that's actually loved, or that is you know, recognizable.

L-Block might be a joke, you might not be able to "love" L-Block, but it's recognizable as hell.

Nobody knows who Draven even is except for people who play LoL, and now us because of this contest.


Nope, this match proves that Draven is beatable. We'll get him next time.

It'll be tough. Most of the other matches will have "popular character LFF" where the Gamefaqs votes are all spread out. In this one, we got 70+% of Gamefaqs voting for Link; that'll be tough to beat with another character.
---
Hey I just met you, and this is crazy, but you have died of dysentery.
#13 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/2/2013 8:20:52 PM | message detail
Link truly is Cena. Even when he loses, he doesn't lose clean.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#14 | ZFS | Posted 9/2/2013 8:21:27 PM | message detail
Link the true winner today. Rallies don't even matter!
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#15 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:21:28 PM | message detail
Decent, but not enough cuts
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 119/162 Today's Pick: Link
#16 | pronouncemyname | Posted 9/2/2013 8:22:27 PM | message detail
So, next battle, Sonic > Mewtwo, right?
#17 | SubDeity | Posted 9/2/2013 8:22:31 PM | message detail
So close...but so far...
---
"Hamas isn't really a terror organization." -Terran [Evil Republican]
Play Der Langrisser.
#18 | WellThoughtName | Posted 9/2/2013 8:23:10 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ab0E8duvuMs
---
"A game with amazing story and mediocre gameplay usually beats a game with amazing gameplay and mediocre story." - Vlado, Gaming Expert
#19 | red sox 777 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:23:12 PM | message detail
Surprise poll extension for 90 minutes.

Sorry, it takes me a little time to let go.
---
Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#20 | OnionOfMystery | Posted 9/2/2013 8:23:19 PM | message detail
That 500
---
The official OnionOfMystery of Reality.
"Vaan is like a Robin in a universe composed entirely of Batmans."
#21 | Lionheart08 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:23:38 PM | message detail
Can't wait for the Wiki analysis. If the match proves anything, (and if SB_Allen was right about it not being a DDoS), it literally took divine intervention for Link to fall.
---
I'm a genius! Geniuses don't NEED medication!
#22 | rh000001 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:23:46 PM | message detail
Pretty hilarious how many people right now are posting constantly with clear trolling.
---
2012 San Diego Chargers: 7-9 (2nd AFC West) -- 2011-13 Miami Heat (2x Consecutive NBA Champions)
CM PUNK - WWE Champion 11-20-2011 - 1-27-2013 - YES! YES! YES!
#23 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 9/2/2013 8:23:47 PM | message detail
nkansas13 posted...
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
WellThoughtName posted...
It's pretty sad that the winner of the Character Battle won't even be a character that's actually loved, or that is you know, recognizable.

L-Block might be a joke, you might not be able to "love" L-Block, but it's recognizable as hell.

Nobody knows who Draven even is except for people who play LoL, and now us because of this contest.


Nope, this match proves that Draven is beatable. We'll get him next time.

It'll be tough. Most of the other matches will have "popular character LFF" where the Gamefaqs votes are all spread out. In this one, we got 70+% of Gamefaqs voting for Link; that'll be tough to beat with another character.


Yes, but next time we'll start the rallies right away! For both characters! I figure if we rally both pro-Sonic sites and pro-Final Fantasy sites, we can get both Sonic and Sephiroth's numbers up!
---
RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#24 | XIII_rocks | Posted 9/2/2013 8:23:51 PM | message detail
Heh, deleted my post instead of editing, and the topic closed anyway.

I think in the absence of an honest Link win, getting it to the point that the downtime was absolutely a factor is at least a sort of pyrrhic victory.

Not even the largest VG fanbase in the world on the largest message board in the world stopped Link; it took one of them spitefully DDOSing the entire site for them to get their guy over the line.
---
XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism.
#25 | Sonic_Druid | Posted 9/2/2013 8:24:25 PM | message detail
Even though Link tried his damn hardest, I think it's apporiate to give him a parting song from his series

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7P2HNic7JjI&list=FL8OeK56Ztl8GcLcB_k23E0A
---
BFC: 2492-6375-2047
#26 | Haguile | Posted 9/2/2013 8:24:43 PM | message detail
I'd just like to restate that Link started cutting again as soon as WWE Raw ended. I'll pretend this is somehow relevant because it's hilarious to me.
#27 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 9/2/2013 8:24:44 PM | message detail
Another huge cut! If they really do extend the poll 90 minutes, Link might actually still have a chance!
---
RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#28 | Zabie_W | Posted 9/2/2013 8:24:57 PM | message detail
pronouncemyname posted...
So, next battle, Sonic > Mewtwo, right?


If you are going for expert bracket, I would leave it blank.

Charmander said that he predicts a Sonic > Bowser > Mewtwo if that serves as a reference, I just can't see that happening however.
#29 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:25:33 PM | message detail
Charmander said that he predicts a Sonic > Bowser > Mewtwo if that serves as a reference, I just can't see that happening however.

Sonic > Mewtwo > Bowser is the board favourite
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 119/162 Today's Pick: Link
#30 | Greyfeld | Posted 9/2/2013 8:25:49 PM | message detail
So, can we stop beating this dead horse long enough to talk about the next match?

I'd like to know if anybody thinks that Mewtwo has a shot at winning the next match.
---
PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#31 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/2/2013 8:25:58 PM | message detail
This honestly could be some of the r/gaming rally. But it needed to come earlier.
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#32 | ZFS | Posted 9/2/2013 8:26:08 PM | message detail
Man, and the next match is Mewtwo and Sonic and Bowser. This was the final as far as I'm concerned. Rest of the contest is a bit of a downer from here.
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#33 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 9/2/2013 8:26:45 PM | message detail
Oh, so that's why I couldn't find the stats topic.
---
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
The artist formerly known as greatone10.
#34 | Soul_Devour | Posted 9/2/2013 8:26:54 PM | message detail
Link has been pretty consistently getting 190-210 vote updates. Draven's votals seem to flucate between 110-130 and 200-240.
---
All hail Anubis-kun! http://i.imgur.com/sxhkq.png
http://www.twitch.tv/sdnasura
#35 | wakeuptogashi | Posted 9/2/2013 8:27:18 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
#36 | VeryInsane | Posted 9/2/2013 8:27:39 PM | message detail
10,000 more votes until it beats the final of 2010.

Probably won't happen, but hey at least it regurgitated life into this contest!
---
Currently Playing: Persona 3 FES
Currently Reading: Nothing Currently Currently Watching: Dr. Who
#37 | Acerac | Posted 9/2/2013 8:27:46 PM | message detail
rh000001 posted...
Pretty hilarious how many people right now are posting constantly with clear trolling.


This is the most entertaining this board has been in as long as I can remember.
---
GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC
#38 | tennisboy213 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:28:16 PM | message detail
Hopefully he finishes within 1%.

This match is just more proof in favor of the return of 1v1, 24-hour matches next contest.
---
POKEFEAR
#39 | wakeuptogashi | Posted 9/2/2013 8:28:21 PM | message detail
The rally topic on r/gaming is down to 35
#40 | StarStormScream | Posted 9/2/2013 8:28:21 PM | message detail
Greyfeld posted...
So, can we stop beating this dead horse long enough to talk about the next match?


Heh, like anybody's even going to be talking about anything other that this match tomorrow, regardless of what happens.
---
Now Playing:
Tales of Xillia (Jude Story), Fire Emblem Awakening
#41 | Mershaaay | Posted 9/2/2013 8:28:23 PM | message detail
Man, even though Link fell short, this has gotta me my favorite day on the board maybe ever. I can't remember the last time I just dropped everything I was doing just to hang out on here with you guys for like 14 hours.
---
SephirothG post
http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/1268566/awwyeah.gif
#42 | Karma Hunter | Posted 9/2/2013 8:28:55 PM | message detail
Man the surprisingness of Allen posting here stopped me from thinking of this earlier.

How much does he lurk the stats topic?

...how much does the rest of the board lurk the stats topic?
---
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#43 | caveman cam | Posted 9/2/2013 8:29:02 PM | message detail
Aphromoo just retweeted me. A professional AD carry who picked up Draven heavily. I'm absolutely loving this.
---
I dare do all that may become a man.
Who dares do more is none.
#44 | pjbasis | Posted 9/2/2013 8:29:36 PM | message detail
Snake will inherit Link's will, just you see
---
http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#45 | Achromatic | Posted 9/2/2013 8:29:44 PM | message detail
I feel the need to repost this:

By the way I hope everyone in the stats topic, at least the regulars, appreciates what a true monster Link is on this website. This likens back to the days of Hulk Hogan, when good guys were the good guys and the bad guys wore masks and spoke in foreign accents instead of American ones. I don't like Link all that much but when faced with a rally the likes dwarfs the very population of this site Link just refuses to go down like a dog. It takes someone of amazing strength, bull**** or otherwise, to get the job done and even when they get the job done Link doesn't look like a complete dog. Link is going to lose this, and firmly, but he isn't going to look like the whipping boy so many imagined.
---
And I would do anything for bets, but I won't do that! No I won't do that!
I am Sir Chris, the Knight that says NICK!!!
#46 | Soul_Devour | Posted 9/2/2013 8:29:48 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Man the surprisingness of Allen posting here stopped me from thinking of this earlier.

How much does he lurk the stats topic?

...how much does the rest of the board lurk the stats topic?


ufufu~
---
All hail Anubis-kun! http://i.imgur.com/sxhkq.png
http://www.twitch.tv/sdnasura
#47 | Zabie_W | Posted 9/2/2013 8:29:58 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Charmander said that he predicts a Sonic > Bowser > Mewtwo if that serves as a reference, I just can't see that happening however.

Sonic > Mewtwo > Bowser is the board favourite


I'm going back and forward between Mewtwo and Sonic to take the match to be honest. My main gripe with your prediction was Bowser tbh, I think he will end up last. Not by a huge margin, but last nevertheless.
#48 | SebVettel | Posted 9/2/2013 8:29:58 PM | message detail
#49 | Mershaaay | Posted 9/2/2013 8:30:56 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Man the surprisingness of Allen posting here stopped me from thinking of this earlier.

How much does he lurk the stats topic?

...how much does the rest of the board lurk the stats topic?


We've always been his favorite board since he took over the contests I think. I mean, he knew who the freaking Noble Nine were without anyone telling him, so he must lurk quite often.
---
SephirothG post
http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/1268566/awwyeah.gif
#50 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:31:13 PM | message detail
...how much does the rest of the board lurk the stats topic?

I think it was shown that something like 80% of the board looks into the stats topic at least occasionally.
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 119/162 Today's Pick: Link