Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1145

#401 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 8:18:25 AM | message detail
Link to break 40% next update? I think so.
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#402 | tgs2 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:18:56 AM | message detail
Draven's votes are picking back up humorously at around the same time L-block's did in 2007. Next update will be telling of it being a spike or rally.
#403 | raytan7585 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:19:17 AM | message detail
Thank god for the 24-hours match.
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#404 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 9/2/2013 8:20:23 AM | message detail
Hard to believe Draven just got 150 votes in that update and was CUT by 60 votes.


Again, this is by far the strongest few hours for Link, until 1-2 in the afternoon when most people are done waking up....but goddamn.
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#405 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/2/2013 8:21:13 AM | message detail
40%!
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#406 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:21:23 AM | message detail
Another 84 vote cut. Link back over 40%!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#407 | Kibago | Posted 9/2/2013 8:21:29 AM | message detail
there's your 40%!
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#408 | Scarlettail | Posted 9/2/2013 8:21:40 AM | message detail
Go Link go! You can do this!
#409 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 8:21:45 AM | message detail
and Link weakening a bit, AND STILL getting 84. I don't think Draven has what it takes.
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#410 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:22:05 AM | message detail
Link needs 32 votes per update to win.
In the last half hour, Link has cut 74 votes per update. At this rate, Link wins by 6418 votes.
In the last hour, Link has cut 59 votes per update. At this rate, Link wins by 4125 votes.

xfd
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#411 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 9/2/2013 8:22:31 AM | message detail
raytan7585 posted...
Thank god for the 24-hours match.


Agreed. Couldn't have been better timing for it.

And 84. EIGHTY-FOUR. Link blows by the 40% barrier.
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Every day the rest of your life is changed forever.
#412 | creativename | Posted 9/2/2013 8:22:41 AM | message detail
I remember last night when I said I liked the way things looked for Link even though he was over 1K behind already, and everybody jumped on me. I said Link could be down 7K by morning and win going away.

Only HM and xp seemed to keep the faith - despite logic being heavily on the side of Link making a Herculean effort at a comeback.

Well, the match ain't over yet and Draven can still get rallied, but Link is the favorite here.

Told ya' so ^_^
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#413 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:22:52 AM | message detail
and Link weakening a bit, AND STILL getting 84. I don't think Draven has what it takes.

You can't call it until Draven makes at least an attempt to stop this.
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Points: 119/162 Today's Pick: Link
#414 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:23:03 AM | message detail
nintendogirl2 posted...
Link needs 32 votes per update to win.
In the last half hour, Link has cut 74 votes per update. At this rate, Link wins by 6418 votes.
In the last hour, Link has cut 59 votes per update. At this rate, Link wins by 4125 votes.

xfd

XD

The greatest force in contests.

now projected to get a lead bigger than any draven ever had
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#415 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 8:23:15 AM | message detail
Ok... I'm just going to say... I was NOT expecting Link to do this well.... At the rate he's going, him slowing down won't even matter. He'll be able to wittle the gap down low enough that his 18 - 20 vote cuts will be enough to finish the job. Un-freaking real.
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#416 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:24:47 AM | message detail | (edited)
creativename posted...
Only HM and xp seemed to keep the faith - despite logic being heavily on the side of Link making a Herculean effort at a comeback.

I had an embarrassing amount of doubt actually!

I mean, I made a show of faith because the alternative was being all gloomy and sulking in the topic, but I can't in good faith say I was solidly believing.

until now
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#417 | creativename | Posted 9/2/2013 8:24:28 AM | message detail
Although I am waiting for the Link was stuffing at a 4:1 ratio topic... >_>
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#418 | Fr0zoN | Posted 9/2/2013 8:24:37 AM | message detail
This morning vote is just unstoppable. It's like Draven was facing child Link all night then morning comes, Link picks up the master sword and stuff gets done
#419 | SnowZangoose | Posted 9/2/2013 8:24:58 AM | message detail
Link won't keep up this pace, there should be no celebrating or bragging yet!
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#420 | creativename | Posted 9/2/2013 8:25:25 AM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
creativename posted...
Only HM and xp seemed to keep the faith - despite logic being heavily on the side of Link making a Herculean effort at a comeback.

I had an embarrassing amount of doubt actually!

I mean, I made a show of faith because the alternate was being all gloomy and sulking in the topic, but I can't in good faith say I was solidly believing.

until now

After that second update last night I thought Link had a great shot, but was the underdog.

By the time he was down 1K and everybody was bailing, I truly believed Link had the match won.
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#421 | XIII_rocks | Posted 9/2/2013 8:25:27 AM | message detail
This is sheer madness. I had Draven/Jak/Chie down as a top 30/40 all-time match because of the sheer numbers involved - stastically the greatest all-time comeback, I believe - but this just makes that look pathetic... IF Link pulls it off.
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#422 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/2/2013 8:25:34 AM | message detail
Link...just one last time...we need you to come to town.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#423 | Lightning Strikes | Posted 9/2/2013 8:25:47 AM | message detail
Only 115 votes for Draven in at update. It looks like he's slowing faster than Link is, which is good.
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#424 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 8:25:50 AM | message detail
I told you all. I told you all this last week, and everyone laughed at meh! I know Draven hasn't lost yet, but goddamn is Link making him work for this win.
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#425 | shane15 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:25:57 AM | message detail
*looks at updates* well they don't call this NintendoFAQs for nothing >_>
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#426 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 9/2/2013 8:26:00 AM | message detail
Man, if the Hylian Hammer does this, he will have truly earned my respect and I will never root against him again. I wouldn't even vote Phoenix or Edgeworth over him.
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#427 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:26:24 AM | message detail
did that update

just happen

did i miss one somewhere
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#428 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/2/2013 8:26:36 AM | message detail
That update. Wow.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#429 | KokoroAkechi | Posted 9/2/2013 8:26:46 AM | message detail
Holy F*** 140 votes.
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Chrono1219
#430 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 8:26:51 AM | message detail
140 after a 259 jump....
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#431 | XIII_rocks | Posted 9/2/2013 8:26:54 AM | message detail
WHAT THE F***
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#432 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:26:58 AM | message detail
140

I'm calling stuffing

>_>
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#433 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 9/2/2013 8:27:08 AM | message detail
As of now, Link has cut 700 votes in the past hour...which is roughly what Draven did overnight.


Not to be too pessimistic, but remember that Draven didn't stall out for 6-7 hours. Not sure if Link can keep this pace up that long, it's sure to drop off.

That being said, he doesn't HAVE to because he still has the full 24 hours. Even cutting 2500 votes by 2pm would be massive, because that's 10 hours to make up the rest...which even if he dropped to half his peak morning vote strength, would still put him 1000 votes ahead.


The wild card is Draven's counter-rally. Should be interesting to see when that goes up.
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#434 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:27:09 AM | message detail
projections based on the last 5 minutes please
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#435 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/2/2013 8:27:11 AM | message detail
These huge spikes from Link are really suspicious. I mean, a 259 vote update for Link?

There's got to be some sort of big Link rally going on somewhere.
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#436 | TriforceKeyblad | Posted 9/2/2013 8:27:13 AM | message detail
I don't even care if Link ends up winning this. This battle is amazing!
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#437 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:27:17 AM | message detail
Link needs 31 votes per update to win.
In the last half hour, Link has cut 84 votes per update. At this rate, Link wins by 7943 votes.
In the last hour, Link has cut 67 votes per update. At this rate, Link wins by 5439 votes.

...

...

...
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#438 | raytan7585 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:27:26 AM | message detail
HOLY S***

140 CUT! LINK ON A RAMPAGE!
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#439 | lightning-02 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:27:29 AM | message detail
creativename posted...
I remember last night when I said I liked the way things looked for Link even though he was over 1K behind already, and everybody jumped on me. I said Link could be down 7K by morning and win going away.

Only HM and xp seemed to keep the faith - despite logic being heavily on the side of Link making a Herculean effort at a comeback.

Well, the match ain't over yet and Draven can still get rallied, but Link is the favorite here.

Told ya' so ^_^


Why would he be the favourite when he did the same 1000 vote cut against L-Block at the same time and still lost by 7000?
Rallies can always start again when they need to and Link is exiting his best time 4800 behind, you'd want to be a serious optimist to think the situation looks favourable for him.
#440 | Fr0zoN | Posted 9/2/2013 8:27:31 AM | message detail
Omfg Link now has the biggoron sword
#441 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 8:27:33 AM | message detail
Ok.... I'm going to say, there is likely some Vote stuffing going on in Link's favour, because that update was.... wow....
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#442 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 9/2/2013 8:27:38 AM | message detail
THAT MOTHER F***ING CUT

OH MAN, MASTER SWORD F***ING GINSU SLICE

I thank you, creative, hm, xp, and the few others who kept the candle aflame last night while I fell into darkness.

I'm back. =)
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#443 | Kibago | Posted 9/2/2013 8:27:43 AM | message detail
that was insane
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We'll get 'em next year.
#444 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 9/2/2013 8:28:34 AM | message detail
O_O


WOW.


140 cut.


Scratch my previous post. Link could erase this lead before nightfall. Just WOW.
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#445 | raytan7585 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:29:12 AM | message detail
mikisho posted...
Ok.... I'm going to say, there is likely some Vote stuffing going on in Link's favour, because that update was.... wow....


I think it won't happen as Allen has installed an anti-vote stuffing system.
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#446 | elitewarrior500 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:29:29 AM | message detail
Julian_Caesar posted...
O_O


WOW.


140 cut.


Scratch my previous post. Link could erase this lead before nightfall. Just WOW.


holeeeeeeeeyyyyyy sheeet
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oh ok
#447 | tgs2 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:29:32 AM | message detail
This is looking like the round 1 Draven whose rally split votes instead of Super!Draven from round 2 that was immune to vote split
#448 | LiBe____BCNOFNe | Posted 9/2/2013 8:29:46 AM | message detail
somethings not right here... most people didn't expect Link to fall without a fight, but is there any way he's actually getting all these votes...
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#449 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 8:30:01 AM | message detail
raytan7585 posted...
mikisho posted...
Ok.... I'm going to say, there is likely some Vote stuffing going on in Link's favour, because that update was.... wow....


I think it won't happen as Allen has installed an anti-vote stuffing system.


I want to believe there isn't, and until it's proven for sure, I'm giving Link the benfit of the doubt... But 140... That's either one HELL of a rally coming from butt**** nowhere, or there's something fishy going on xD
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#450 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 9/2/2013 8:30:05 AM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
projections based on the last 5 minutes please


In the last five minutes, Link has cut 140 votes per update. At this rate, Link wins by 16399 votes.
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