Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1145

#151 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:29:21 AM | message detail
Link needs 6059 votes to win or 34.62 votes per update.
In the last 20 minutes, Link has cut 74 votes or 18.5 votes per update.

At this rate, Draven wins by 2821 votes.
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NGirl@work or on phone.
#152 | DSRKVRTheDealer | Posted 9/2/2013 6:29:40 AM | message detail
Hope
#153 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 6:30:31 AM | message detail
Yes. I don't think his Day vote has peaked yet though, and I'm willing to bet Draven will drop off slightly, later on.
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#154 | kurtfisto | Posted 9/2/2013 6:30:58 AM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
The problem for Draven is you get fewer new people coming to the site as the day goes on, he may get a morning vote push, but it should fall off as the day goes on.

the argument is that League has no shortage of new people coming though
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They don't always think it be like it is, but it do.
~KF~
#155 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 6:31:24 AM | message detail
and link, with a 38 cut. boom.
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#156 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:31:39 AM | message detail
Closing in on 6000!

what a strange "comeback" barrier
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#157 | wakeuptogashi | Posted 9/2/2013 6:31:46 AM | message detail
Big update there.
#158 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 9/2/2013 6:32:01 AM | message detail
38!

How many votes per update did Link need again?
#159 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:32:24 AM | message detail
ZeldaTPLink posted...
38!

How many votes per update did Link need again?

34.62
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#160 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 6:32:32 AM | message detail
35. BE-****ING-LIEVE!
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#161 | wakeuptogashi | Posted 9/2/2013 6:33:36 AM | message detail
If Link can actually survive Draven, there's really no reason for him to come back in these contests for a while.
#162 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:34:15 AM | message detail | (edited)
the argument is that League has no shortage of new people coming though

But it is fewer than what they started with, of course it's the same with GameFAQs so it'll come down to which site drops off quicker.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 119/162 Today's Pick: Link
#163 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 6:34:41 AM | message detail
wakeuptogashi posted...
If Link can actually survive Draven, there's really no reason for him to come back in these contests for a while.


This I can agree with. If Link can survive this, then there is likely nothing that will be able to stop him for the forseeable future.
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#164 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:34:46 AM | message detail
Rally topic down to 8th
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 119/162 Today's Pick: Link
#165 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 6:35:43 AM | message detail
Oh god, this is actually happening xD. I am going to laugh so hard at everyone who doubted me and tried to blow me off.
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#166 | elitewarrior500 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:35:48 AM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Rally topic down to 8th


woo
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GT: LegendaryFalco
oh ok
#167 | legendmusketeer | Posted 9/2/2013 6:36:19 AM | message detail
And Link is starting to beast.
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Vivi > Mario
#168 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:36:21 AM | message detail
Lead under 6000

oh man are we really doing this
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#169 | DarkFalconX | Posted 9/2/2013 6:36:26 AM | message detail
under 6000
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The pessimist sees difficulty in every opportunity. The optimist sees opportunity in every difficulty." -Winston Churchill
#170 | raytan7585 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:36:33 AM | message detail
Took an hour for a 100-vote cut.

Think Link could make it?...........
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=baUY9LFlYh0 - KokorokokoroKOKOROkokoROKokoro-chan iu na
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/raytan7585
#171 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 6:36:40 AM | message detail
35! Link keeping up the comeback pace.
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#172 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:37:22 AM | message detail
Oh god, this is actually happening xD. I am going to laugh so hard at everyone who doubted me and tried to blow me off.

The main issue is that rallied characters tend to get their act together to prevent the comeback from completing.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 119/162 Today's Pick: Link
#173 | elitewarrior500 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:37:28 AM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
Lead under 6000

oh man are we really doing this


heres the best part.... WE HAVE ALL DAY
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GT: LegendaryFalco
oh ok
#174 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/2/2013 6:37:35 AM | message detail
Can Link keep up this momentum? Can Link stand up to the inevitable second rally Draven will get on other sites?

No.
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Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#175 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:38:10 AM | message detail
Took an hour for a 100-vote cut.

Think Link could make it?...........


You mean 20 minutes
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 119/162 Today's Pick: Link
#176 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:38:41 AM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Oh god, this is actually happening xD. I am going to laugh so hard at everyone who doubted me and tried to blow me off.

The main issue is that rallied characters tend to get their act together to prevent the comeback from completing.

Yeah, this is ultimately the biggest issue to me.

Let's say Link just unleashes the most absurd show of force we've ever seen. And cuts it down to, oh, I don't know 500. Is there going to be no resistance from the Draven rally/supporters?
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#177 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 6:38:59 AM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Oh god, this is actually happening xD. I am going to laugh so hard at everyone who doubted me and tried to blow me off.

The main issue is that rallied characters tend to get their act together to prevent the comeback from completing.


Yes, Rallies are scary things. But as it stands right now, we're looking to be in good shape. The rally topic on Reddit is dropping fast (It was at 7th for what, half an hour?), and Link is entering Beast mode. The Ralliers need to get their **** together quick if they're gonna stop this.
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#178 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 6:41:16 AM | message detail
49... wow...
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#179 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:41:47 AM | message detail
Yes, Rallies are scary things. But as it stands right now, we're looking to be in good shape. The rally topic on Reddit is dropping fast (It was at 7th for what, half an hour?), and Link is entering Beast mode. The Ralliers need to get their **** together quick if they're gonna stop this.

I doubt they will do anything until the lead is within striking distances. Right now the average voter sees Draven comfortably winning
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 119/162 Today's Pick: Link
#180 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:42:00 AM | message detail
So, I keep putting Draven on 135 per update as a "target." Honestly I should put it higher, but if Draven ends up anywhere near it, I figure Link is in for a nice cut.

He's missing it
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#181 | elitewarrior500 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:42:37 AM | message detail
mikisho posted...
49... wow...


dayyyuuuuuuummmmmmm
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GT: LegendaryFalco
oh ok
#182 | DSRKVRTheDealer | Posted 9/2/2013 6:43:12 AM | message detail
Well I'll be. Might even regret voting Draven early in the match.
#183 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 6:43:56 AM | message detail
Like... That update... That update TRANSCENDED excited... That was FLABBERGASTING. Like, I stopped breathing for a couple seconds. That was unreal, and I honestly didn't expect Link to start pulling in updates like that this early.
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#184 | Kibago | Posted 9/2/2013 6:44:53 AM | message detail
now this is a thing to wake up and see.
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Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham
We'll get 'em next year.
#185 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:45:01 AM | message detail
California is the biggest hold for Draven in the US and that will likely drop once the kiddies wake up.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 119/162 Today's Pick: Link
#186 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:45:02 AM | message detail
Is this the beginning of the most legendary choke and the most amazing comeback?
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We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
#187 | elitewarrior500 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:45:22 AM | message detail
safe to say link fans saw the poll and were like oh no... OH HELL NO *start massive link voting*
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GT: LegendaryFalco
oh ok
#188 | RockMFR | Posted 9/2/2013 6:45:35 AM | message detail
The stuffer's Internet connection just went out. He's angrily calling up Time Warner as we speak.
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
#189 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:45:49 AM | message detail
Ditto for western Canada, could tip the scales for Link overall
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 119/162 Today's Pick: Link
#190 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 9/2/2013 6:46:01 AM | message detail
**wakes up**

**checks updater**

You mean the Draven rally is actually fading and Link is already slicing into the lead?

Kudos to you, creativename, for never losing faith. You were stronger in your belief in the LAW to save our contest than I.
#191 | wakeuptogashi | Posted 9/2/2013 6:46:13 AM | message detail
Draven's updates are less than half of what they were during this time in his last match.
#192 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:46:46 AM | message detail
mikisho posted...
Like... That update... That update TRANSCENDED excited... That was FLABBERGASTING. Like, I stopped breathing for a couple seconds. That was unreal, and I honestly didn't expect Link to start pulling in updates like that this early.


You shouldn't make a topic drawing that much attention to Link's comeback. Just enjoy this.
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Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#193 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 9/2/2013 6:46:50 AM | message detail
Small update for Link here. But even smaller for Draven. He got lower than 120.

AAAAAAWWWWWWWW YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH
#194 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:47:12 AM | message detail
I honestly can't believe I'm beginning to seriously humor this.

6000 votes.

I still think if nothing else Draven throws up a second wind and denies Link, but oh man. This guy. This guy.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#195 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 6:47:20 AM | message detail
21 after a 147 update. Draven pulled in 116. 116
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#196 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 6:49:08 AM | message detail
xp, me and you are in this together. OUR IRONIC HYPE IS BECOMING THE DREAM! THERE AIN'T NO GETTIN' OFFA THIS TRAIN WE'RE ON!!!... wait, wrong game...
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#197 | Lopen | Posted 9/2/2013 6:49:54 AM | message detail | (edited)
Yeah Link's just lucky this isn't the Draven of last round. That's the only reason this is possible. Has very little to do with Link.

Draven's weakest update last round was something Link could maybe cut like 5 votes off of if he was lucky.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#198 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 6:50:26 AM | message detail
I'm not really going to question what is up with Draven compared to R2!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#199 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/2/2013 6:51:27 AM | message detail
Don't forget there are other rally sites besides reddit that Draven fans can use. It won't have the huge effect reddit has, but it'll be enough to give Draven some fight to him once Link closes in.
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Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#200 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 6:51:44 AM | message detail
Lopen posted...
Yeah Link's just lucky this isn't the Draven of last round. That's the only reason this is possible. Has very little to do with Link.

Draven's weakest update last round was something Link could maybe cut like 5 votes off of if he was lucky.


Again, unless those updates were completely stuffed votes, Draven wouldn't be the only one pulling all those numbers. Rallies work in increased traffic, and just because it's a Draven Rally topic that is bringing people to Gamefaqs, that doesn't mean he's bringing in nothing but people who are going to vote for Draven.

If this had been the Draven of last round, the vote totals would simply be through the roof, but it would still be a close match like this, simply because Link is that strong.
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto