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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1145
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Your reaction when Link comes back to take the lead in the last hour, but loses when Allen removes 2000 stuffed votes from him? --- I pwn you all! |
This could end up being the best match ever. --- http://i.minus.com/jbiGPMGVHJkJ5F.png http://i.minus.com/jbjrjeszi5Bojs.jpg http://i.minus.com/jDswy1q7MCAye.jpg http://i.minus.com/jX6dhkFSD8ugm.jpg |
I mean really, nearly ALL logic was pointing towards Link making a massive comeback here. It was obvious that Draven would dominate overnight and I estimated him to have a 7K vote lead by 8am. Yet logic still pointed to Link winning - the difference in base strength between the two is so massive, so gargantuan, that once the day vote hit logic dictated that Link would savage Draven. But people couldn't see the logic for the trees, I guess. When Link was down "on paper" so early on people just bailed. Another thing that's funny is that if people were thinking with their hearts, they would have had more faith in Link. Instead they thought with their heads but their hearts had superior logic! :P --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Link has the Biggoron Sword, the Fierce Deity Mask and the Magic Armor. He wants blood, and he wants it now. Draven has woken up a force that he couldn't control. |
It is worth emphasising that this isn't all Link, Draven has dropped A LOT. Which is why stuffing is somewhat unlikely. --- Something something something ^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig |
(Reposting) In the last five minutes, Link has cut 140 votes per update. At this rate, Link wins by 16399 votes. --- NGirl@work or on phone. |
Only a 50 vote cut --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 119/162 Today's Pick: Link |
lightning-02 posted... creativename posted...I remember last night when I said I liked the way things looked for Link even though he was over 1K behind already, and everybody jumped on me. I said Link could be down 7K by morning and win going away. Link's not exiting his best time, he's still in full swing. Morning vote is late/protracted today in US because it's a national holiday from school AND work, Labor Day. Could easily last until 1:30-2pm EST, or later even. Also, this rally is different from L-Block. The Power Hour showed that even with a massively rallied Draven, a large portion of his votes still go to Link, not to mention that the rally isn't as strong as his R2 rally in terms of overall votes (for whatever reason). While he can definitely stall Link and even somewhat build a lead, I'm not so sure he can pull away like L-Block did. --- Every day the rest of your life is changed forever. |
And right after that 259 vote update, Link goes back down to a 184 vote update. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
mikisho posted... Ok.... I'm going to say, there is likely some Vote stuffing going on in Link's favour, because that update was.... wow.... In a match this big, with it being 830 in our most populous state, it is not that much of a stretch for the strongest natural charcter to have random massive inflows. I wouldnt expect 140 gains sustained unless Draven goes under 100, but it is statistically probable for it to occur a few times given the timing. --- 243 character battle royale? My head hurts. RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05 |
50 cut... that's far more reasonable.... --- Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do. PSN:Shimotto |
Link needs an average of 31.27 votes an update to tie --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 119/162 Today's Pick: Link |
Link needs 31 votes per update to win. In the last half hour, Link has cut 80 votes per update. At this rate, Link wins by 7334 votes. In the last hour, Link has cut 68 votes per update. At this rate, Link wins by 5484 votes. --- NGirl@work or on phone. |
guys it can't be vote stuffing remember Bacon has it covered jeeze --- i'll do rydia -Dante |
So how many votes/update does Shepard need to win all of this? |
Honestly, if Link can keep this up, I'm just not going to go to sleep. I refuse to miss this. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
At this point I just want to see a 6000 vote comeback. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
At least that was just a random spike rather than a sign of vote stuffing. --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
So, at the pace Link is going right now, when does he PASS Draven? --- Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do. PSN:Shimotto |
nintendogirl2 posted... In the last five minutes, Link has cut 140 votes per update. At this rate, Link wins by 16399 votes. XD the best --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
Bospsychopaat posted... So how many votes/update does Shepard need to win all of this? 151.833 to tie. --- NGirl@work or on phone. |
Looks like Link borrowed HM01 off Charizard --- http://i2.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/000/330/958/a5b.gif |
Posting this here. VideoboysaysCube posted... Guys, I just remembered. Robin Williams named his daughter after Zelda! He's our man! *Off to Twitter* --- Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner |
So, at the pace Link is going right now, when does he PASS Draven? Base off of the last 30 minutes in about 5 hours --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 119/162 Today's Pick: Link |
lightning-02 posted... creativename posted...I remember last night when I said I liked the way things looked for Link even though he was over 1K behind already, and everybody jumped on me. I said Link could be down 7K by morning and win going away. I went into great detail last night how the situation was favorable to Link. Pretty much everything I said has come to pass. Link wasn't even down 7K, he was down 6K. I overestimated Draven if anything. Still favored Link to come back. That wasn't "optimism". That was: 1) Understanding the base strength difference between Draven and Link 2) Knowing that the rally was strongest at the start because they had made a concerted effort, and were ready to launch a tactical nuke on us. They could not keep that momentum, and by the 2nd hour they were already starting to tail off. 3) The nuke went off. By the 2nd update, it was clear that Link survived. That changed everything. 4) This is a 24 hour match. 5) Link has a god-tier day vote. Hence, Link to me was the favorite when to other people, things looked bleak. But they weren't bleak. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Another 93. This is incredible. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
mikisho posted... So, at the pace Link is going right now, when does he PASS Draven? 18.20 as of current rate on the last hour. --- NGirl@work or on phone. |
92 after a 220 vote update. --- Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do. PSN:Shimotto |
mikisho posted... So, at the pace Link is going right now, when does he PASS Draven? Just in my head, he's on pace in the last half-hour to cut 1000 votes every hour, roughly. So 4pm or so. If we go by the last 1000 votes cut, it's more like 80 minutes...which puts it at 5:30 pm. But again...this is Link's peak strength. If he keeps this up until evening I'll honestly be surprised. I think a more realistic time for lead change is going to be 8pm or so...plus Draven will resist when it gets close. --- Every day the rest of your life is changed forever. |
Link up to 46% on Draven now --- Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham We'll get 'em next year. |
never thought I would rooting for Link so much --- ... |
Link needs 31 votes per update to win. In the last half hour, Link has cut 85 votes per update. At this rate, Link wins by 8067 votes. In the last hour, Link has cut 72 votes per update. At this rate, Link wins by 6142 votes. --- NGirl@work or on phone. |
This is just a flat-out amazing match. I'm honored to see it go down. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
I wonder when Link wins and the final will be Link-Snake-Samus who will this board support? --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Who's making the next topic? This one's reaching the end of the line =P --- Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do. PSN:Shimotto |
Draven rally just fell to #13. |
The board will support Snake and expect Link to win. Easy. --- NGirl@work or on phone. |
Poor Mega Man X and Ryu in the X-Stats... =( --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif |
mikisho posted... Who's making the next topic? This one's reaching the end of the line =P It's already up. --- Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner |
Julian_Caesar posted... mikisho posted...So, at the pace Link is going right now, when does he PASS Draven? Will he? If the mods lock any new rally in the LoL subreddit, then the reddit rally is fated to die down. Is there any other place where LoL fans can get another rally the same size as this one? |
Cheering this hard for Link just feels right. --- 243 character battle royale? My head hurts. RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05 |
Safer_777 posted... I wonder when Link wins and the final will be Link-Snake-Samus who will this board support? Snake. This is such an amazing unique situation that will probably never be replicated. I mean, I personally, will be siding with Link. But the board? Definitely Snake. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
We are witnessing perhaps the greatest performance in Character Battle history. All hail to the king. Link is truly god-tier. |
Watch Archer. EDIT: Way early lmao --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
ZeldaTPLink posted... Is there any other place where LoL fans can get another rally the same size as this one? Someone could possibly link to the Draven match on multiple LoL related Facebook pages, though it won't be as effective as a Reddit rally or having Riot officially endorse a rally. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
52 after 184. Link just... doesn't care. --- Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do. PSN:Shimotto |
chomping at the bitcoin --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Earthbound sucks --- Whiskey Nick on his cell phone The most American Canadian on Board 8 - #9 Bro on Board 8 |
TheCodeisBosco posted... Watch Archer. :D --- Every day the rest of your life is changed forever. |
http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lzgh4tdll71r3aka4o1_500.gif No Fear. --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/NQTthNf.jpg |
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