Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1144

#401 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:16:29 AM | message detail
Also how many pictures does each match has in this round?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#402 | Lopen | Posted 9/2/2013 3:17:01 AM | message detail
If you assume that Draven's completely legit rally here then yeah Link definitely has a chance-- the rally will run out of gas simply because the amount of people seeing the rally for the first time in the day are gonna go way down the longer you go in the match. That's just how rallies work.

The evidence doesn't really support that, however. Link should still be able to cut a few thousand from the peak either way though.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#403 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 9/2/2013 3:17:05 AM | message detail
There are 6 for this match
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
#404 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:18:53 AM | message detail
Also a stupid question,but what are the boxes under Character Battle IX logo?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#405 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:19:24 AM | message detail
Safer_777 posted...
Also a stupid question,but what are the boxes under Character Battle IX logo?

The color schemes match up with the members of the Noble Nine.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#406 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:20:54 AM | message detail
Nanis23 posted...
Are you ready to the ASV?!?!
(Well,Europe ASV)


Well hm im actually 2 hours early
This is actually only 12:17 pm and I think most schools end in 2 pm?
And im honestly afraid of europe ASV
#407 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:21:00 AM | message detail
Really?I didn't figured that out to tell the truth.I guess the first one is Link and the last one is Sephiroth right?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#408 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:21:57 AM | message detail
When I say "run out of gas" I mean it goes to a near halt and we're looking at the Draven that was losing to Jak and Chie again.

The rally should become weaker for the reason you point out (assuming it's legit) but I don't expect it to ever go away completely, and I expect whatever remains to be a sufficient speed bump to Link. And of course, if it's not legit that's a whole different problem!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#409 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/2/2013 3:22:48 AM | message detail
Safer_777 posted...
Where do you see the map?


Click on the button that says "View Map and Detailed Results". If you are using Throwback Mode, you will notice the button will disappear without showing the map at all.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#410 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:23:10 AM | message detail
Man Link is so strong that he is now currently losing by around 5.500 votes but there is still a change.Amazing.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#411 | red sox 777 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:25:17 AM | message detail
It is now sunrise in New York, NY. The sun has been up in New England and the Maritime Provinces of Canada for a bit now. Unfortunately I think just about everyone is still asleep, but it's symbolic!
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#412 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 3:25:36 AM | message detail
Yeah, It's kind of scary just how strong Link is in this Contest. Honestly, at this point I say if Link comes back and wins this match he DESERVES to be the king of the character battle xD
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#413 | Lopen | Posted 9/2/2013 3:27:35 AM | message detail | (edited)
I'm putting Draven's floor at 100 per 5. He won't ever have an update lower than that.

If he actually does "run out of gas" though he could dip as low as like 20 votes in 5. That would be pretty hilarious (and shocking cause it'd suggest legitimacy in the rally to some extent) cause yeah as you said Shep would be cutting him at that point.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#414 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:27:07 AM | message detail
I can't see the map button.I am using the new gamefaqs design,I mean the most recent update.Is it somewhere hidden?Or I did something at options that I didn't noticed?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#415 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/2/2013 3:27:50 AM | message detail
Right now, we're averaging about 290 votes per update at this time of the day. Normally you'd expect the number of votes per update to increase as we head farther into the morning vote, but if the rally starts to lose some gas before 12:00 PM, we won't be able to reach 70000 votes before 12:00 PM. We'd have to average about 368 votes per update from 6:00 AM to 12:00 PM to reach 70000 votes by the halfway point in this match.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#416 | lightning-02 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:29:56 AM | message detail
Nanis23 posted...
Nanis23 posted...
Are you ready to the ASV?!?!
(Well,Europe ASV)


Well hm im actually 2 hours early
This is actually only 12:17 pm and I think most schools end in 2 pm?
And im honestly afraid of europe ASV


most schools finish at 3 or 4, europe ASV would be in 4 to 6 hours time.
#417 | Janus5000 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:32:15 AM | message detail
oh hey, Link went up in % (albeit by less than 0.01%)
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
#418 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 3:33:14 AM | message detail
Going up at all is pretty big. That means he made a cut! That also means the opportunity for major cuts is there.
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#419 | red sox 777 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:33:21 AM | message detail
That's the first update Link has managed to avoid losing percentage to Draven in nearly 5 hours.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#420 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:34:57 AM | message detail
mikisho posted...
Going up at all is pretty big. That means he made a cut! That also means the opportunity for major cuts is there.

He didn't cut. We're talking about his %. Draven's lead still increased by 36. It was a great update for Link nonetheless.

Makes me think he might be able to pull an isolated cut in the next hour.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#421 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:37:39 AM | message detail
I found the map button.Draven is winning even in USA.Didn't expected that.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#422 | red sox 777 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:41:04 AM | message detail
The time trends are not just about geolocation. They are also about the shifts within each geographical region from time. This is actually the bulk of the trends. Link's percentage in North America will rise with the day, and that effect has always been the largest source of his day vote.

Today, there is a third factor at play: Draven's rally wearing off. This may be a bigger factor than anything else for today's trends. Link is hoping that it is.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#423 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 3:41:28 AM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
mikisho posted...
Going up at all is pretty big. That means he made a cut! That also means the opportunity for major cuts is there.

He didn't cut. We're talking about his %. Draven's lead still increased by 36. It was a great update for Link nonetheless.

Makes me think he might be able to pull an isolated cut in the next hour.


ahhh, thanks for the correction. I'm still holding up hope! I really want Link to turn this around, simply because of the board explosion that would occur.
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#424 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:42:23 AM | message detail
Yeah, I have to imagine Link ends up winning the US if nothing else. I saw it get down to about 1% before the night vote pushed it back to around 3%.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#425 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:46:35 AM | message detail
Under 38%. Hopefully that's the last time Link drops below a percentage!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#426 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 3:48:39 AM | message detail
Yeah, he seems to be holding Dravon pretty well here. The last two updates (Not including the most recent one) were .01% I believe. The hope for the Day vote grows stronger and stronger as time goes on.
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#427 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/2/2013 3:49:00 AM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
Traditionally the Zelda day vote begins at 8 AM and lasts until 6 PM. In recent years the morning vote has started later and later, though it runs later into the evening too. Link wants to be cutting by the 10-11 AM hour.


The day vote will kick in later than usual today because today is a US holiday where a lot of Americans don't have any school or work to deal with.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#428 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 3:49:54 AM | message detail
But that also means the ASV equivalent will technically kick in sooner as well doesn't it?
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#429 | red sox 777 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:50:34 AM | message detail
Draven by the Hour vs. Link:

1:00 | 53.49% | +859
2:00 | 53.51% | +573
3:00 | 58.48% | +1050
4:00 | 63.51% | +1071
5:00 | 61.72% | +845
6:00 | 61.82% | +735
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#430 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:50:36 AM | message detail
holiday asv deployed

>_>
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#431 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 9/2/2013 3:50:53 AM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
xp1337 posted...
operation draven eater


http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/albums/gotd/gotd-119-1.jpg

Someone should just take this pic and superimpose Draven's face on the Colossus.


I still have the original PSD, so why not...

http://i.imgur.com/Si0JXfE.png
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Agent Triple Zero at your service!
The artist formerly known as greatone10.
#432 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/2/2013 3:51:29 AM | message detail
Yeah, the ASV would start earlier than usual, like around 8-9 AM.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#433 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 3:51:45 AM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
Under 38%. Hopefully that's the last time Link drops below a percentage!


Well... He may drop again... BECAUSE HE ROSE ABOVE A PERCENTAGE!
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#434 | Nanis23 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:52:14 AM | message detail
I honestly can't understand the change in trends because different time of day
I mean,people seriously think that in the night there are less kids awake than in the day and this is why certain characters get stronger/weaker?
Yes I can see the logic but still..it sounds weird
#435 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:52:34 AM | message detail
mikisho posted...
xp1337 posted...
Under 38%. Hopefully that's the last time Link drops below a percentage!


Well... He may drop again... BECAUSE HE ROSE ABOVE A PERCENTAGE!

It doesn't count if it's one he already fell under! These things only count once!

but hey i'm not complaining when link starts rising
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#436 | red sox 777 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:53:08 AM | message detail
Link gains percentage, and Draven loses percentage. Yay!

There is no ASV in the US today, as it is a holiday. However, this has no effect from our point of view right now- the total day vote will be just as powerful, just spread over more hours. Plus, the ASV has been close to dead this contest- most voters here nowadays have already finished high school.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#437 | SnoicFactor | Posted 9/2/2013 3:53:44 AM | message detail
Draven playing with his food. Link will go under 38% again.
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nt
#438 | Safer_777 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:54:25 AM | message detail
What kind of holiday is there?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#439 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:54:39 AM | message detail
Safer_777 posted...
What kind of holiday is there?

Labor Day
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#440 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 9/2/2013 3:55:03 AM | message detail
Only 25 votes that time!
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
#441 | xp1337 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:55:36 AM | message detail
LordoftheMorons posted...
Only 25 votes that time!

I've waited all night for a cut!

(why did i stay here this whole time)
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#442 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/2/2013 3:55:50 AM | message detail
That was Draven's first update under 50% since 3:41 AM.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#443 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 3:56:02 AM | message detail
I'm getting antsy over here guys. The anticipation is killing me! I want this Day vote to start already!
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#444 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 3:57:16 AM | message detail
Is there someone keeping track of the vote differences between Link and Draven each update? I'm interested, but I'm too forgetful/Too lazy to keep track of it myself >_>
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#445 | red sox 777 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:58:53 AM | message detail
Past experience is that the day vote often has a lot of false starts, so don't be too alarmed if Draven can continue to make gains in the next 3 hours.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#446 | red sox 777 | Posted 9/2/2013 3:59:23 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=5253&num=3
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#447 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 9/2/2013 4:00:15 AM | message detail
mikisho posted...
Is there someone keeping track of the vote differences between Link and Draven each update? I'm interested, but I'm too forgetful/Too lazy to keep track of it myself >_>

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=5253&num=3
Look at the column "Lead 1"
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
#448 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 4:00:39 AM | message detail
Is anyone else overly excited about this? For like, the past few weeks I've seen nothing but people saying Link is completely doomed, and now I want to see how right everyone was xD
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#449 | mikisho | Posted 9/2/2013 4:01:10 AM | message detail
Oh man, you guys are scholars and saints. Thanks a bunch :D
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Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do.
PSN:Shimotto
#450 | Averia | Posted 9/2/2013 4:02:23 AM | message detail
Shepard lost % (granted 0.01) for the first time in a while.