GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1144
- Team Aqua Elite (37)
- Board List
- Topic List
- Track Topic
- Topic Closed
-LusterSoldier- posted... Vote total comparison so far: Wow that finals must have been legendary I think reading the stat topics from that day can be fun |
So,
looking back on Mario/Crono for a moment, Crono ended at 46.92% on
Mario, about 3/4 of a point better than he did in 2005. MMX and a day
match probably cancel each other out. So, overall, good show for Crono.
This Mario is weaker than 2005 Mario, so Crono is also weaker than
2005 Crono- but not by all that much. This Crono might be on the level
of 2006 Crono. --- Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick your 7 time champion, Link. |
I
don't understand how Mario can be weaker now.Because that seems that
Cloud and Snake surely beat him now 1vs1 and that doesn't makes sense. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
I don't think Draven is going to be slowed more than this If the rally topic is really not in the first page then I really don't understand why he is still winning updates Might be bandwagon+Link anti votes combo? |
So
some long anticipated RALLY VOTES stats. I'll probably do another at
7:35 to have identical sets for them all. I might actually fill out the
rest of the night matches for the other two but not sure I care to
bother. Link vs Shepard vs Draven Time: Link + Shepard's %, (approximated extra votes) 0:05-0:35: 27.4% (5380 approximated extra votes) 0:35-1:05: 28.1% (3102) 1:05-1:35: 33.1% (3031) 1:35-2:05: 28.5% (2650) 2:05-2:35: 24.3% (2255) 2:35-3:05: 19.7% (1859) 3:05-3:35: 19.3% (1643) 3:35-4:05: 19.3% (1627) 4:05-4:35: 18.3% (1428) 4:35-5:05: 21.5% (1329) Ryu vs MMX vs Draven Time: MMX + Ryu's %, (approximated extra votes) 0:35-1:05: 10% (4378 approximated extra votes) 1:05-1:35: 10.3% (4878) 1:35-2:05: 11.9% (4106) 2:05-2:35: 12.4% (3620) 2:35-3:05: 7.9% (2838) 3:05-3:35: 12.3% (3259) 3:35-4:05: 8.4% (2481) 4:05-4:35: 5.8% (2221) 4:35-5:05: 9.8% (2265) 5:05-5:35: 5.1% (2173) 5:35-6:05: 5.2% (2029) 6:05-6:35: 8.2% (2126) 6:35-7:05: 6.4% (1946) 7:05-7:35: 2.4% (1864) Jak vs Chie vs Draven Time: Jak + Chie%, (approximated extra votes) (extra votes before here were trace) 3:05-3:35: 4.4% (411) 3:35-4:05: 1% (770) 4:05-4:35: 9.7% (656) 4:35-5:05: 10.4% (888) 5:05-5:35: 11.9% (906) 5:35-6:05: 12.5% (770) 6:05-6:35: 28.9% (944) 6:35-7:05: 35.7% (843) 7:05-7:35: 29.5% (734) --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Is anyone else excited for the day vote? This day vote is essentially going to decide who wins the contest. --- Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do. PSN:Shimotto |
Nanis23 posted... I don't think Draven is going to be slowed more than this He may no longer be on r/all but he is still 4th in the lol subreddit. About slowing down it was 3rd one hour ago, it's going down, but nowhere fast enough. |
Notes: - I approximated Draven at 12% here. 15% at MMX. 22% at Chie. It doesn't really make a huge difference in the calculation as the rallied votes dwarf the GameFAQs votes-- it also doesn't matter at all for determining the trend in the percentage of the extra votes he's getting since that only cares that we're being consistent. - You'll notice Link + Shep are getting a much higher percentage than MMX+Ryu were getting-- implies that this is less fishy. - You'll also notice that it started stronger than the MMX match in terms of strength, but is bottoming out much lower. Again, another sign for less stuffed votes here. - There is still probably fishiness however, as Link + Shep are tanking more relative to Draven as rallied vote intake goes down. Again, the conclusion to draw from that is that Draven is getting a flat amount of cheated votes + rallied votes. So as the rallied votes go down a higher percentage of the extra votes are cheated, meaning Draven goes up substantially. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
fitty --- nt |
It's actually a really high 49.99% we can blame shepard for another 5 minutes! --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
Hooray for ballet stuffing, I guess? At least L-Block was funny. Everyone knows what Tetris is. I could ask any person I know that plays video games and they could tell me what Tetris is, or who Link is and they would be able to tell me. I would bet you maybe 15-20% of them would know who Draven is. If that. At least pick someone un-lame for your rally. --- If HK-47 and GLaDOS had a child, the awesome character they create would cause the video game world to explode. Join the Revengers! (board#: 587986) |
The rally topic is
on the front page of the LoL subreddit, the only place that matters. It
has now fallen to 4th, though (it was 2nd for a long time), so I could
see it falling off the front page some time tomorrow. --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
I can live with 25% of Draven votes going to Link What happened in the X and Ryu match was defiantly fishy Sure Link is more popular,but only in Gamefaqs it's that drastic I think that two strong characters are supposed to leech more votes than one stronger character but maybe im wrong |
All right, now Draven has a majority of votes. we'll have to wait to blame shepard until link starts rising like a hero again --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
Strange
how all these Link fans have appeared out of nowhere to try and help
him survive when they seemingly let Mario die against Vivi. |
Because it's not like it's very obvious that Link is stronger than Mario has literally EVER been, right? --- Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do. PSN:Shimotto |
Link
has more fans than Mario here. Plus, we like Vivi while we don't like
our contests being invaded by an outside, overwhelmingly powerful,
force. --- Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick your 7 time champion, Link. |
I think the Link support motives are pretty varied. A lot of it is anti-Draven/Draven's rally. That's obviously not a factor that was in play regarding Mario/Vivi. This board also undoubtedly likes Vivi a lot more than they do Draven. I expect they'd be less likely to act to stop something like that. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
red sox 777 posted... Plus, we like Vivi while we don't like our contests being invaded by an outside, overwhelmingly powerful, force. What a laugh. 4chan's /v/ board is the outside, overwhelmingly powerful, force that sided with Vivi. --- The official OnionOfMystery of Reality. "Vaan is like a Robin in a universe composed entirely of Batmans." |
So 43 vote gain is still enough for Draven to rise in % Hopefully he stops rising soon |
That Vivi rally was outside, but it was not overwhelmingly powerful. Draven's rallies are at least 20 times more powerful. --- Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick your 7 time champion, Link. |
Draven is no Vivi. --- If you're worried people are talking about you... you're probably right. |
lightning-02 posted... Strange how all these Link fans have appeared out of nowhere to try and help him survive when they seemingly let Mario die against Vivi. Mario is crap. Vivi is great. --- http://i.imgur.com/ooexO.gif |
Anyone
comparing any sort of rally (aside from a succesful /b/ rally) to what
happens with Draven is clearly has no idea what they are talking about Giving a little push to Missingno,L-Block and Vivi that makes them win an otherwise 55-45 match at most can't be compared with this Draven base strength is not enough to beat Chie,but with rally he can beat Link easily |
5000
votes difference now.Why people say base strength?This doesn't makes
sense.Or they mean base strength based on the people that visit Gamefaqs
and vote? --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
"Base/natural strength" refers to performances without rallies, yes. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
Lead over 5000 now. Link probably still has an hour or two of consistent losses ahead of him. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
This night vote is so brutal. Link's fallen from 41% to 38%. Draven's lead looks like it will be around 7000 come 8 AM. Incidentally, that's about the same as L-Block's lead at the start of the morning vote on Link. Link actually managed to cut about 1000 off of L-Block's lead with the morning before L-Block slowly regained it over the rest of the match. --- Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick your 7 time champion, Link. |
Draven's
support has always been significantly stronger in Europe, to the extent
where it's the dominant voting continent. If Link couldn't hang on with
only America voting he's going to get crushed until the second night
vote. The day won't help him. |
North
America is by far the dominant continent from 2 hours from now until
the end of the poll. About 80% of the votes over that time period. --- Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick your 7 time champion, Link. |
Link came pretty close to cutting during the Power Hour. All he needs to do is get back to that level. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
red sox 777 posted... North America is by far the dominant continent from 2 hours from now until the end of the poll. About 80% of the votes over that time period. Draven is winning California though(by a lot) >_>.. so it won't be that bad. --- nt |
red sox 777 posted... North America is by far the dominant continent from 2 hours from now until the end of the poll. About 80% of the votes over that time period. Under normal conditions, not under conditions where the majority of voters are coming from Reddit. Draven even lost the first match to Jak in the US. |
5:00
AM to 7:30 AM is the time period when Europe is the dominant continent
during the poll, but that was for a continent poll that happened on a
weekend. That should hold up for this match since it's a US holiday. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
I
think it's still a bit too high. Keep in mind Chie + Jak were drawing
around 30% in their good updates. Also the percentage of Link + Shep
tanking as rallied votes decrease is very telling (and actually the
reason I started looking at this) Frankly I wouldn't be incredibly surprised to see Link + Shepard as a unit actually beating Draven in terms of pure legitimate rallied votes, albeit very slightly. If you assume 800 stuffed votes per 30 the numbers smooth out a lot as vote totals go down. You're left with this, which seems a lot more smoothed out rather than just a decline: 0:05-0:35: 33.4% (4580 approximated rallied votes) 0:35-1:05: 37.9% (2302) 1:05-1:35: 44.9% (2231) 1:35-2:05: 40.9% (1850) 2:05-2:35: 38.7% (1455) 2:35-3:05: 35.5% (1059) 3:05-3:35: 37.5% (843) 3:35-4:05: 39.8% (827) 4:05-4:35: 41.7% (628) 4:35-5:05: 54% (529) Well outside of that last half hour it looks nicer, anyway. It's probably not completely constant and probably slows as the match goes on based on previous matches. Draven's probably still cheating, albeit less, but still it's probably too much for Link to ever really make significant headway at any point in the match. I guess during the peak of the day vote you could have Link winning updates by like 80 if you put Draven's floor at ~100 votes but I think Draven's going to be too far to catch at that point. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Alas, my one vote for Link did not swing CA --- I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword |
Heck
even right now Link is only 3% behind Draven in the US, it's Europe
that's burying Link and that vote is going to be intensified throughout
the next 12 hours. |
I don't think Link can catch Draven, I just want to see him start making cuts! --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
-LusterSoldier- posted... 5:00 AM to 7:30 AM is the time period when Europe is the dominant continent during the poll, but that was for a continent poll that happened on a weekend. That should hold up for this match since it's a US holiday. That's not when the majority of European votes comes it's just the time where the Europe:USA ratio is at its highest. |
While
Europe will probably contribute a lot more than its usual 15% this
match, the fact remains that the NA/Europe ratio will increase
dramatically as the match goes on, beginning in 2 hours or so. If this
is all Draven can do when North America is practically all asleep and
Link has always been at his worst, Link's got a nonzero chance come
daytime. --- Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick your 7 time champion, Link. |
Are you ready to the ASV?!?! (Well,Europe ASV) |
So, what time is generally considered the day vote? Would it basically be noon? --- Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do. PSN:Shimotto |
lightning-02 posted... That's not when the majority of European votes comes it's just the time where the Europe:USA ratio is at its highest. Trend charts for both continent polls: https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgBWiYjlMLwYdDh2UEllOGhORXZ3emdweXlya2QxZVE You can see the hours when Europe is getting more votes than North America. That's what I meant when Europe was the dominant continent from 5:00 AM to 7:30 AM. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Traditionally
the Zelda day vote begins at 8 AM and lasts until 6 PM. In recent
years the morning vote has started later and later, though it runs later
into the evening too. Link wants to be cutting by the 10-11 AM hour. --- Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick your 7 time champion, Link. |
red sox 777 posted... Traditionally the Zelda day vote begins at 8 AM and lasts until 6 PM. In recent years the morning vote has started later and later, though it runs later into the evening too. Link wants to be cutting by the 10-11 AM hour. Ok, thanks. I'm really pumped for this day vote xD It'll basically decide who's going to win this contest. --- Big or small, I don't like Rabbits. They always look like they're about to say something, but they never do. PSN:Shimotto |
For
the pessimistic side, I'll say that while I think Link can use the day
vote to cut, I think he's going to be too far behind for it to matter. ...Unless Draven's rally runs out of gas. Then things will become very hilarious very fast. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
xp1337 posted... For the pessimistic side, I'll say that while I think Link can use the day vote to cut, I think he's going to be too far behind for it to matter. I don't know how much more hilarity we can handle --- Official Iron Man of C&GN |
Where do you see the map? --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Link putting up cuts that put what Draven did to shame. Shepard cutting Draven. It would legitimately be one of the funnier things to ever happen. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
I think things will get worse for Link until the last few hours. |
- Team Aqua Elite (37)
- Board List
- Topic List
- Track Topic
- Topic Closed
