Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1143 (Board Meltdown Edition)

#201 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/1/2013 9:22:29 PM | message detail
So is there any chance they're just toying with us and they'll blow this match wide open sooner or later?

I mean, Draven didn't start destroying the match last round until a few updates in.
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#202 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 9/1/2013 9:22:30 PM | message detail
Link, you magnificent son of a b****.
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#203 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 9/1/2013 9:22:31 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
spooky96 posted...
Can you please give me a link to that page or something >_>




Oh man... can you imagine the Reddit rally backfiring because it's TOO popular? I still expect an easy Draven win, but that would be the greatest moment in contest history. Bar none.
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#204 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 9/1/2013 9:22:36 PM | message detail
Votals tanking. Link benefitting from that.
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#205 | spooky96 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:22:36 PM | message detail
Link you can do it mah boy even though I hate you.
#206 | creativename | Posted 9/1/2013 9:22:37 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
creativename posted...
People are saying Link can't sustain this?

If anyone will run out of votes, it will be Draven, IMO.

Also again DAMNIT SHEPARD. Link would so have a great shot if this were 1v1.


True words. I think people kinda have it backwards here. Link is the one that doesn't need the rally!

Seroiusly. Why do people think Link will "run out of votes" when he's the one NOT getting rallied?
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#207 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 9/1/2013 9:22:39 PM | message detail
Only a 37 vote gain!
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#208 | tgs2 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:22:48 PM | message detail
LoL not being down is really hurting Draven here. This rally is much more coordinated and focused than the round 2 match yet Draven has already fallen off votal wise compared to his killing of X/Ryu
#209 | ZFS | Posted 9/1/2013 9:22:57 PM | message detail
But really who is voting for Shepard what are you doing

sabotage
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#210 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/1/2013 9:23:17 PM | message detail
I think the idea is that when vote totals drop during the dead hours, Draven will still be getting a consistent intake and Link will drop.
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#211 | vcharon | Posted 9/1/2013 9:23:21 PM | message detail
ZeldaTPLink posted...
37 vote gain.

this is actually looking like a regular, non-rallied match.


Yeah... of course, if Link wasn't losing to fodder.
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#212 | CrushDavis | Posted 9/1/2013 9:23:26 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
But really who is voting for Shepard what are you doing

sabotage


I voted for the best character in the match, plus I could never get myself to actually vote for Link.
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#213 | nintendopurist | Posted 9/1/2013 9:23:28 PM | message detail
ZeldaTPLink posted...
37 vote gain.

this is actually looking like a regular, non-rallied match.


Just with massively inflated vote totals.
#214 | Regaro_Ukiera | Posted 9/1/2013 9:23:36 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
But really who is voting for Shepard what are you doing

sabotage


hi
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#215 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/1/2013 9:23:37 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
But really who is voting for Shepard what are you doing

sabotage


Sorry bro I ain't fallin' in line for Link

Hate to break it to you
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#216 | raginbull911 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:23:44 PM | message detail
The zoom in on the US state-by-state results looks like a bizarro electoral college map. Funny stuff.
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#217 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 9/1/2013 9:23:50 PM | message detail
Well, he is getting rallied, just not particularly effectively. There's a topic in like the LoZ subreddit.
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#218 | Naved007 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:24:00 PM | message detail
Link to the update by update stat page?
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#219 | Qwaar | Posted 9/1/2013 9:24:12 PM | message detail
ZeldaTPLink posted...
37 vote gain.

this is actually looking like a regular, non-rallied match.


If it wasn't rallied then Draven would be losing to Shepard.
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#220 | xp1337 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:24:15 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
But really who is voting for Shepard what are you doing

sabotage

Mass Effect 3 Spoilers (kind of)

Indoctrination Theory is true! why shepard why!
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#221 | pjbasis | Posted 9/1/2013 9:24:16 PM | message detail
The other idea is the Draven rally is a lot more frontloaded.

In which case, wow. I can't believe Link is making a match of this
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#222 | ZFS | Posted 9/1/2013 9:24:22 PM | message detail
You guys
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#223 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 9/1/2013 9:24:25 PM | message detail
tgs2 posted...
LoL not being down is really hurting Draven here. This rally is much more coordinated and focused than the round 2 match yet Draven has already fallen off votal wise compared to his killing of X/Ryu


Was LoL down during the R2 match?
#224 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:24:35 PM | message detail
Not impressed by Draven, makes you wonder what happened in round 2.
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#225 | TAFKAHurricane | Posted 9/1/2013 9:24:40 PM | message detail
Yeah even if Shepard wasn't there I'm not voting for Link
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#226 | spooky96 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:24:46 PM | message detail
creativename posted...
ZFS posted...
creativename posted...
People are saying Link can't sustain this?

If anyone will run out of votes, it will be Draven, IMO.

Also again DAMNIT SHEPARD. Link would so have a great shot if this were 1v1.


True words. I think people kinda have it backwards here. Link is the one that doesn't need the rally!

Seroiusly. Why do people think Link will "run out of votes" when he's the one NOT getting rallied?


That's what I was thinking, if someone will run out of votes, it will be Draven, not Link.
#227 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/1/2013 9:24:56 PM | message detail
Watching Link vs Draven is awesome and all, but I don't give a s*** who wins that.

I give a s*** about Shepard looking great despite being in the worst last-place factor position in contest history.
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#228 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 9/1/2013 9:25:02 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
But really who is voting for Shepard what are you doing

sabotage


Have you considered the possibility that a lot of those votes are ones that would otherwise be going to Draven? I imagine that in terms of ALL reddit (not just the LoL subreddit), Mass Effect is way more popular than MegaMan/Street Fighter.

And honestly, any vote NOT for Draven is crucial at this point.
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#229 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/1/2013 9:25:03 PM | message detail
12.93% of voters chose to shoot Link instead of cure the Dravenphage
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#230 | Silverflash-x | Posted 9/1/2013 9:25:11 PM | message detail
If I told you a month ago that this board would be surprised that Link is strong, you'd laugh me off the board.
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#231 | wedgeskywalker9 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:25:40 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
But really who is voting for Shepard what are you doing

sabotage


Voting for a true champion
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#232 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/1/2013 9:25:40 PM | message detail
Look at those percentages in Europe. Draven is going to go nuts overnight.
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#233 | ZFS | Posted 9/1/2013 9:25:42 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
12.93% of voters chose to shoot Link instead of cure the Dravenphage


Worst!
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#234 | Regaro_Ukiera | Posted 9/1/2013 9:26:12 PM | message detail
#235 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/1/2013 9:26:26 PM | message detail
Another "small" gain!

Except these small gains keep adding up, and Link's never going to catch up at this rate.
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#236 | xp1337 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:26:27 PM | message detail
Link's march to 40% seriously won't be denied.

this guy
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#237 | vcharon | Posted 9/1/2013 9:26:43 PM | message detail
Bah, well he still went down in percentage. But even if Draven "runs out of votes" during 24 hours, how big does he lead get for Link to be unable to overcome it?
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#238 | raginbull911 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:26:45 PM | message detail
#239 | creativename | Posted 9/1/2013 9:27:00 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
I think the idea is that when vote totals drop during the dead hours, Draven will still be getting a consistent intake and Link will drop.

Perhaps, and those hours may be good for Draven...

But man, when the day vote hits...remember Zelda is GOD TIER with the day vote.

Link sure as hell ain't running out of votes in the daytime.
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#240 | ZFS | Posted 9/1/2013 9:27:06 PM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
Link's march to 40% seriously won't be denied.

this guy


Truly the best there is. Snake over Link? I don't think so!
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#241 | Qwaar | Posted 9/1/2013 9:27:08 PM | message detail
I'm not calling it yet, but I'm losing hope.
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#242 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/1/2013 9:27:18 PM | message detail
Shepard holding up to Draven as well as X and Ryu despite Link being in the match

Shepard for Noble Nine breaker
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#243 | Kibago | Posted 9/1/2013 9:27:25 PM | message detail
not good enough, Link.
this is the route to 45% in the final x-stats, not a good match
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#244 | SuperNiceDog | Posted 9/1/2013 9:27:26 PM | message detail
gogogo LINK!! save us from Draven's axes of doom.
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#245 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 9/1/2013 9:27:50 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Shepard holding up to Draven as well as X and Ryu despite Link being in the match

Shepard for Noble Nine breaker


Shepard vs Vivi who wins
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#246 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/1/2013 9:28:07 PM | message detail
Link might be too far behind for the day vote to save him if Draven is still pulling in 500 vote updates during the dead zone.
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#247 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/1/2013 9:28:24 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
I think the idea is that when vote totals drop during the dead hours, Draven will still be getting a consistent intake and Link will drop.


Yeah, the Power Hour is going to have a higher percentage of total votes coming from GameFAQs users compared to the later hours of this match. Overnight should have a higher percentage of incoming votes from Reddit.
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#248 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 9/1/2013 9:28:27 PM | message detail
We also can't forget that this is a 24-hour match. While overcoming a 1000 vote deficit is certainly daunting, it's not nearly on the same level of impossible as it was in a 12-hour match. Especially not when you're talking about Link.

There really needs to be a second wave of rallying tomorrow in the daytime if Link is going to have any chance at all.
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#249 | rpgsruleall | Posted 9/1/2013 9:28:28 PM | message detail
ZeldaTPLink posted...
tgs2 posted...
LoL not being down is really hurting Draven here. This rally is much more coordinated and focused than the round 2 match yet Draven has already fallen off votal wise compared to his killing of X/Ryu


Was LoL down during the R2 match?


Yes, it went down for maintenance for a few hours at midnight pacific during that match. No downtime scheduled tonight.
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#250 | raginbull911 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:28:34 PM | message detail
vcharon posted...
Bah, well he still went down in percentage. But even if Draven "runs out of votes" during 24 hours, how big does he lead get for Link to be unable to overcome it?


I think the comeback "barrier" thresholds need to kind of get tossed away for this match. If (and it's a big if depending on how long the topic can stay near the top of the LoL subreddit) the rally fizzles out, Draven's base strength is really bad, and Link's comeback potential would be through the roof given his base.

I'm glad Link is keeping it respectable so far, because it really is more exciting that way even though I'm pulling for Draven.
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