Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1143 (Board Meltdown Edition)

#1 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/1/2013 7:38:45 PM | message detail
WELCOME TO THE LEAGUE OF SHEPARD!

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#2 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/1/2013 7:40:45 PM | message detail
I'm Commander Shepard and this is my favorite Stats Topic on Board 8.
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http://img571.imageshack.us/img571/9919/leonhart.png
#3 | XIII_rocks | Posted 9/1/2013 7:41:33 PM | message detail
yesss all the way shepard ALL THE WAY
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XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism.
#4 | Masato_Tanaka | Posted 9/1/2013 7:41:43 PM | message detail
#5 | raginbull911 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:02:13 PM | message detail
The first post-freeze update is going to define the word glorious.
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I pwn you all!
#6 | Elliotastico | Posted 9/1/2013 9:02:58 PM | message detail
Draaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaven
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Sandor Clegane: The Hound.
#7 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/1/2013 9:03:26 PM | message detail
Wow, we got over 500 votes in less than 30 seconds.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#8 | swirIdude | Posted 9/1/2013 9:03:28 PM | message detail
The murder has only begun...
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"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#9 | jacko_vdz | Posted 9/1/2013 9:03:53 PM | message detail
I predict:

Draven 61%
Link 30%
Shepard 9%
#10 | -hotdogturtle-- | Posted 9/1/2013 9:03:57 PM | message detail
From: Regaro_Ukiera | #494
and lol shep gonna look like fodder :(

At least one thing in this contest makes sense.
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Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords.
With what? ROT-13? -CJayC
#11 | Regaro_Ukiera | Posted 9/1/2013 9:04:03 PM | message detail
So 300 Votes in 50 seconds would be enough to absolutely dominate most other matches right
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http://img.imgcake.com/RegaroUlquiorrapngse.png
#12 | paulg235 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:04:08 PM | message detail
Nothing will be left of the hero of time once Draven is finished with him, today.
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Allen didn't screw VV, Phoenix Wright didn't screw VV, Mewtwo certainly did not screw VV,
nor did paulg screw VV. Vincent Valentine screwed Vincent Valentine.
#13 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:04:08 PM | message detail
Can't wait for the next update
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 119/162 Today's Pick: Link
#14 | Kyle Bowen | Posted 9/1/2013 9:04:13 PM | message detail
tag
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KB
#15 | xp1337 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:04:20 PM | message detail
*salutes link*

this was an impossible mission we set you to
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#16 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 9/1/2013 9:04:26 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Wow, we got over 500 votes in less than 30 seconds.


Thus SBAllen's master plan is revealed...
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Every day the rest of your life is changed forever.
#17 | CrushDavis | Posted 9/1/2013 9:04:28 PM | message detail
#18 | Greyfeld | Posted 9/1/2013 9:04:29 PM | message detail
LOL poor Shepard...

He's going to look horrible in the xstats, and Chie is going to be above Link xD
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#19 | Masato_Tanaka | Posted 9/1/2013 9:04:35 PM | message detail
Damn, this might be slightly closer than we think!
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http://i.imgur.com/GhorUQg.jpg
~Masa
#20 | ZFS | Posted 9/1/2013 9:04:36 PM | message detail
Link will increase percentage look for ot
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#21 | kirbyparufo | Posted 9/1/2013 9:04:40 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Can't wait for the next update

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I stink at video games. :D
Proud to be EPic.
#22 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/1/2013 9:04:43 PM | message detail
Oh didn't see this, sorry. Locking mine.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Main_Page, Rest in peace Kazbar :(
#23 | Dabrikishaw15 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:05:06 PM | message detail
IT HAS BEGONE!
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http://i.imgur.com/GUtJDs7.jpg
Fact: Fanbases are unpleasable, deal with it.
#24 | RockMFR | Posted 9/1/2013 9:05:18 PM | message detail
I'm really shocked the rally started so early. Was it even 30 seconds in?
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
#25 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/1/2013 9:05:42 PM | message detail
If Allen is smart, there won't be an update until midnight tomorrow.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Main_Page, Rest in peace Kazbar :(
#26 | ZFS | Posted 9/1/2013 9:05:42 PM | message detail
Pretty sure it was pre-planned.
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#27 | The Owner of FF9 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:05:51 PM | message detail
What's almost as funny as how many votes we got in the first three minutes is how many posts in the stats topic we got in the first three minutes.

Actually, it's more funny, at least to me.
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FFIXOwner
Character Battle IX Bracket: 124/162
#28 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/1/2013 9:05:56 PM | message detail
#29 | Greyfeld | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:00 PM | message detail
RockMFR posted...
I'm really shocked the rally started so early. Was it even 30 seconds in?


There's been a topic on Reddit for over 3 hours. They've been primed and ready for this match.
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#30 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:03 PM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
*salutes link*

this was an impossible mission we set you to


Interestingly enough, this whole scenario is the only possible one in which Link finally lost outright in a contest...but still can retain a semblance of his "hero" thing. Any other loss (i.e. to Snake) would've been considered a takedown of a villain.
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Every day the rest of your life is changed forever.
#31 | vcharon | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:09 PM | message detail
Huh, Draven... fell?
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Still smilin'
:>
#32 | CrushDavis | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:12 PM | message detail
#33 | tennisboy213 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:12 PM | message detail
LINK WILL WIN
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POKEFEAR
#34 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:14 PM | message detail
Wow! Wow! The votals! The votals!
#35 | ZFS | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:15 PM | message detail
LINK
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#36 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:15 PM | message detail
Interesting update
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 119/162 Today's Pick: Link
#37 | xp1337 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:20 PM | message detail
hahaha

I have no idea what to make of that!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#38 | CP724 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:24 PM | message detail
wow!
#39 | WingerSupreme | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:33 PM | message detail
Holy crap 2700 votes at the first update.
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Being a great shooter has almost nothing to do with being a great scorer ~ Ray AP
#40 | Regaro_Ukiera | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:33 PM | message detail
sweet mother of what

we might have a match on our hands
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http://img.imgcake.com/RegaroUlquiorrapngse.png
#41 | SnoicFactor | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:33 PM | message detail
He gained % but Draven vote lead keeps increasing.
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nt
#42 | TAFKAHurricane | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:35 PM | message detail
#43 | Sorozone | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:41 PM | message detail
#44 | The Owner of FF9 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:46 PM | message detail
THE HYLIAN HAMMER WILL NOT GO QUIETLY
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FFIXOwner
Character Battle IX Bracket: 124/162
#45 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:46 PM | message detail
2689 votes after 6 minutes. That almost rivals the number of votes during the first 5 minutes of Link/Cloud/L-Block/Snake in 2007.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#46 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:48 PM | message detail
Holy **** this is living up to the hype so far.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
#47 | vcharon | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:48 PM | message detail
Link is truly a god to try to stand up to this, but sadly even gods fall.
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Still smilin'
:>
#48 | Scarlettail | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:48 PM | message detail
Nice try there, Link!
#49 | spooky96 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:49 PM | message detail
Yay atta boy you can do it.
#50 | raginbull911 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:06:49 PM | message detail
% cut
difference gain
THE VOTALS
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I pwn you all!