Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1142

#401 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 9/1/2013 7:53:10 PM | message detail
If people are actually going to do stupid stuff like suicide their accounts, I think it's only fair that Wylvane be the first one to go for this match too.
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#402 | Heroic Viktor | Posted 9/1/2013 7:54:17 PM | message detail
Here's to hoping Lopen is free all day long to give hourly updates on rough projections of just how small of a percentage of the extra votes Link/Shep bring in. If Link's percenatge doesn't just obliterate the prior four rally victims, I am on board for calling shenanigans. Or maybe I am just too old to imagine a gamer who did not have one of their first experiences be with a Zelda game.
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#403 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/1/2013 7:54:45 PM | message detail
Nah, I want to mock people this time around!

Plus I still have an outside shot of winning the Guru.
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#404 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 9/1/2013 7:55:09 PM | message detail
Heroic Viktor posted...
Here's to hoping Lopen is free all day long to give hourly updates on rough projections of just how small of a percentage of the extra votes Link/Shep bring in. If Link's percenatge doesn't just obliterate the prior four rally victims, I am on board for calling shenanigans. Or maybe I am just too old to imagine a gamer who did not have one of their first experiences be with a Zelda game.


actually, if SHEPARD doesn't pick up a bunch of rallied votes I'm calling shenanigans
Mass Effect is totally current gen, no excuses there!
#405 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 9/1/2013 8:02:46 PM | message detail
I guess I respect the amount of work Lopen put into arguing that Draven was massively stuffed and running all those calculations in an attempt to prove it, but I'm still pretty sure he's chasing a phantom here.
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#406 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 9/1/2013 8:03:16 PM | message detail
AxemRedRanger posted...
If people are actually going to do stupid stuff like suicide their accounts, I think it's only fair that Wylvane be the first one to go for this match too.


Don't do this.
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#407 | Scarlettail | Posted 9/1/2013 8:04:26 PM | message detail
The clock ticks for the inevitable bomb.
#408 | creativename | Posted 9/1/2013 8:05:24 PM | message detail
So Crono will approach 47% and improve on his 2005 performance against Mario, in a 12 hour day match.

...good result...for Crono...says...stats topic regular?

AxemRedRanger posted...
I guess I respect the amount of work Lopen put into arguing that Draven was massively stuffed and running all those calculations in an attempt to prove it, but I'm still pretty sure he's chasing a phantom here.

Lopen argued that Draven was both massively rallied and massively stuffed.

He said Draven would have beaten X/Ryu even removing the votes he estimated as stuffed.
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#409 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 9/1/2013 8:05:30 PM | message detail
http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/cbnine/battle/5253-02.jpg

Shepard so kawaii desu~
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#410 | xp1337 | Posted 9/1/2013 8:06:16 PM | message detail
creativename posted...
So Crono will approach 47% and improve on his 2005 performance against Mario, in a 12 hour day match.

...good result...for Crono...says...stats topic regular?

*salutes Crono*
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#411 | -hotdogturtle-- | Posted 9/1/2013 8:06:57 PM | message detail
http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/cbnine/battle/5253-03.jpg

Wtf lol
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#412 | Heroic Viktor | Posted 9/1/2013 8:07:12 PM | message detail
AxemRedRanger posted...
I guess I respect the amount of work Lopen put into arguing that Draven was massively stuffed and running all those calculations in an attempt to prove it, but I'm still pretty sure he's chasing a phantom here.


I'm no conspiracy theorist, but my recollection is that for a sustained rally on a community board with, as I have seen a few places, hundreds of thousands of members and lurkers, there should have been some massive spikes in there somewhere. Like, thousands of votes on a five minute stretch. It is statistically improbable that we could have such a consistent rally over the course of hours without some massive, massive spikes.
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#413 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 9/1/2013 8:09:24 PM | message detail
Heroic Viktor posted...
I'm no conspiracy theorist, but my recollection is that for a sustained rally on a community board with, as I have seen a few places, hundreds of thousands of members and lurkers, there should have been some massive spikes in there somewhere. Like, thousands of votes on a five minute stretch. It is statistically improbable that we could have such a consistent rally over the course of hours without some massive, massive spikes.


how ironic, the evidence for stuffing is that Draven didn't get enough votes (at certain intervals)
checkmate, reddit
#414 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/1/2013 8:12:16 PM | message detail
creativename posted...
So Crono will approach 47% and improve on his 2005 performance against Mario, in a 12 hour day match.

...good result...for Crono...says...stats topic regular?


Crono was barely over 47% on Mario earlier, but he lost some ground to Mario recently. Unless Crono turns up the heat with the last hour of this match, he will finish just slightly under 47% on Mario.
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#415 | PegasusLover123 | Posted 9/1/2013 8:14:06 PM | message detail
So does this mean Mario's loss to Vivi was a freak of nature? Because the Mario i'm seeing now is the Mario we seem to know.
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#416 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 9/1/2013 8:16:31 PM | message detail
If Draven's rally is constantly highly visible to a community that consistently has thousands of people online and hundreds of thousands of people total (as it was and will be), I probably would not expect major spikes. Once you get to numbers that high with that level of exposure, I'd guess there would indeed be a fairly high level of consistency in number of rallied votes.
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#417 | creativename | Posted 9/1/2013 8:19:44 PM | message detail
1337gamerpr0 posted...
how ironic, the evidence for stuffing is that Draven didn't get enough votes (at certain intervals)
checkmate, reddit

Viktor's actually right though. Consistency of that level is freakish.

I expect this match will show more similarity to a rally than the X/Ryu match, though. The LoL Reddit seems primed to unleash a nuke here.

PegasusLover123 posted...
So does this mean Mario's loss to Vivi was a freak of nature? Because the Mario i'm seeing now is the Mario we seem to know.

Considering how bad Crono looked - essentially equal to Pikachu - this does not seem to be the Mario I know.

X might be hurting Mario a bit, but it shouldn't be too much, and the day match factor is probably even more important than any X LFF.
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#418 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 9/1/2013 8:31:02 PM | message detail
Yeah, rally thread #2 on reddit /lol... blowout incoming. Entered a GameFAQs battle, ended up losing a Reddit contest. zzzz
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#419 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/1/2013 8:31:53 PM | message detail
30 minutes to death!
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#420 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 9/1/2013 8:32:37 PM | message detail
Charmander curse, crew curse, Link has all the intangibles
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#421 | creativename | Posted 9/1/2013 8:40:00 PM | message detail
TheKoolAidShoto posted...
Charmander curse, crew curse, Link has all the intangibles

Despite the weakness he's shown in recent years, Link is going go galvanize all of GameFAQs behind him - the Nintendo fans, the Square fans, the Pokefans, everyone is going to rally behind him.

BE PREPARED TO SEE THE MOST POWERFUL LINK WE HAVE EVER SEEN

...fail to break 40% against a character naturally weaker than Chie Satonaka
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#422 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/1/2013 8:40:38 PM | message detail
#423 | KamikazePotato | Posted 9/1/2013 8:41:49 PM | message detail
Not just naturally weaker. Would get doubled by Chie.
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#424 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/1/2013 8:42:12 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
ExTha doesn't count


why the hell not!
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#425 | xp1337 | Posted 9/1/2013 8:42:15 PM | message detail
creativename posted...
BE PREPARED TO SEE THE MOST POWERFUL LINK WE HAVE EVER SEEN

Tremble, mortals, and despair! Doom has come to-

...fail to break 40% against a character naturally weaker than Chie Satonaka

-dammit.
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#426 | spooky96 | Posted 9/1/2013 8:42:44 PM | message detail
-hotdogturtle-- posted...
http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/cbnine/battle/5253-03.jpg

Wtf lol


That pic is one of the few pic which is good.
#427 | ZFS | Posted 9/1/2013 8:44:18 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Still voting for Commander Shepard.


Gross
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#428 | Solfadore | Posted 9/1/2013 8:44:34 PM | message detail
TheKoolAidShoto posted...
Charmander curse, crew curse, Link has all the intangibles


Nick called Link's victory, though.
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#429 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 9/1/2013 8:47:14 PM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
creativename posted...
BE PREPARED TO SEE THE MOST POWERFUL LINK WE HAVE EVER SEEN

Tremble, mortals, and despair! Doom has come to-

...fail to break 40% against a character naturally weaker than Chie Satonaka

-dammit.


XD
This makes me think of those guys who try to be all dramatic in their intros, but screw up.
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#430 | Qwaar | Posted 9/1/2013 8:48:58 PM | message detail
I would laugh my arse off if Shepard actually beat one of these guys.
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#431 | Zidus411 | Posted 9/1/2013 8:50:34 PM | message detail
Anyone getting that big fight feel? Though the results might end up being anti-climactic.
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#432 | UltimaterializerX (Topic Creator) | Posted 9/1/2013 8:51:42 PM | message detail
I always find it weird how rally threads have a ton of "thanks, voting for the other guy!" posts compared to the actual poll. I don't think the rallying is coming from Reddit at all, or it would look similar to what 4chan's stuff with L-Block and Vivi looks like.

It has to be coming from within LoL the game, or some unbelievably perfect vote-stuffing. Going with the former, because stuffing doesn't make the world map go in Draven's favor.
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#433 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 9/1/2013 8:52:34 PM | message detail
Well, that's it. If Draven wins, this is going to be boring, but at least the reactions will be funny. If Link wins, this is going to be awesome. I got nothing to lose.

<grabs popcorn>

Let's begin the show.
#434 | charmander6000 | Posted 9/1/2013 8:57:14 PM | message detail | (edited)
It's usually the trolls that comment
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#435 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 9/1/2013 8:57:12 PM | message detail
I browsed through the main Draven rally thread on the LoL subreddit, and most of the top-ranked responses are actually quite civil in the way they choose to address GameFAQs. Kind of impressed!
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#436 | creativename | Posted 9/1/2013 8:57:12 PM | message detail
Solfadore posted...
TheKoolAidShoto posted...
Charmander curse, crew curse, Link has all the intangibles


Nick called Link's victory, though.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ulWjFfLsL0
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#437 | Sorozone | Posted 9/1/2013 8:57:20 PM | message detail
You had a good run Link.
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#438 | swirIdude | Posted 9/1/2013 8:57:38 PM | message detail
I will never be ready for what I am about to witness.
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#439 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/1/2013 8:58:14 PM | message detail
UltimaterializerX posted...
I always find it weird how rally threads have a ton of "thanks, voting for the other guy!" posts compared to the actual poll. I don't think the rallying is coming from Reddit at all, or it would look similar to what 4chan's stuff with L-Block and Vivi looks like.

It has to be coming from within LoL the game, or some unbelievably perfect vote-stuffing. Going with the former, because stuffing doesn't make the world map go in Draven's favor.


The only people who would normally respond to a post like that are the ones who will "troll" the OP and vote the other guy. The guys voting Draven aren't going to comment.
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#440 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/1/2013 8:58:50 PM | message detail
This is going to be brutal.

I'm looking forward to it.
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#441 | raginbull911 | Posted 9/1/2013 8:59:00 PM | message detail
T minus 1 minute.
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#442 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 9/1/2013 8:59:12 PM | message detail
I can't believe I actually need Link to save our contest.

And I agree with Ulti's analysis, but if there was an in-game rally we would have heard about it. Also, Bacon said that all the traffic came from reddit. I think someone found a perfect way to stuff so bounce IPs from all over the world (except Indonesia, apparently).
#443 | -Tofa7- | Posted 9/1/2013 8:59:24 PM | message detail
here it comes
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#444 | Scarlettail | Posted 9/1/2013 8:59:31 PM | message detail
Big sigh. Let's just get this over with.
#445 | Kyle Bowen | Posted 9/1/2013 8:59:43 PM | message detail
Tag.

I'm ready.
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#446 | spooky96 | Posted 9/1/2013 8:59:56 PM | message detail
secs
#447 | The Owner of FF9 | Posted 9/1/2013 8:59:57 PM | message detail
GET ****ING HYPE
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#448 | Blairville | Posted 9/1/2013 9:00:04 PM | message detail
Draven is not the hero we need, nor the one we deserve, but the one we're gonna get.
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#449 | LeonhartFour | Posted 9/1/2013 9:00:17 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted


Link
66.67%
22 Votes

Commander Shepard
6.06%
2 Votes
Your Pick

Draven
27.27%
9 Votes
Total Votes: 33

Aw yeah second vote for Shepard
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#450 | tennisboy213 | Posted 9/1/2013 9:00:17 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted


Link
85%
17 Votes
Your Pick

Commander Shepard
0%
0 Votes

Draven
15%
3 Votes
Total Votes: 20
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