Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1139

#1 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:08:35 AM | message detail
I wanna be the very best.

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#2 | -hotdogturtle-- | Posted 8/30/2013 9:08:51 AM | message detail
hylianknight3 | Posted 8/30/2013 12:07:19 PM | message detail | #500
Play Wario Land.


I was gonna quote this post but it turned out to be post 500.
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Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords.
With what? ROT-13? -CJayC
#3 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/30/2013 9:08:58 AM | message detail
You're just the players in MY master plan.
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"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#4 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:09:06 AM | message detail
So that means that Red wins the division?Okay that is way too strange.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#5 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 8/30/2013 9:09:17 AM | message detail
L-Block/Samus/Tifa

L-Block/Red/Charizard

the goddamn tetris piece is going back to the finals
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~War~
#6 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 8/30/2013 9:09:23 AM | message detail
I really like today's match picture.
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~ The Dilated One
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#7 | swordz9 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:09:36 AM | message detail
Red is beasting. Brawl Red is dead.
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http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9
#8 | Jakyl25 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:09:47 AM | message detail
Woo hoo, Expert Leaderboard Top 10.

Thanks Squall!
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
http://www.wwe.com/f/wysiwyg/image/2013/07/wyatt07062013.gif
#9 | Qwaar | Posted 8/30/2013 9:09:52 AM | message detail
Wow, the language on /v/ is just...ugh.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#10 | nkansas13 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:10:08 AM | message detail
FranzyvonKarma posted...
L-Block/Samus/Tifa

L-Block/Red/Charizard

the goddamn tetris piece is going back to the finals

Still more personality than Link.
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Hey I just met you, and this is crazy, but you have died of dysentery.
#11 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:10:53 AM | message detail
I misspoke in Post 500, though.

Don't play Wario Land, play Pokemon RBY!
#12 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 8/30/2013 9:11:05 AM | message detail
So I guess Cecil and Pit just suck
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword
#13 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/30/2013 9:11:07 AM | message detail
FranzyvonKarma posted...
L-Block/Samus/Tifa

L-Block/Red/Charizard

the goddamn tetris piece is going back to the finals


L-Block has a tough road ahead of it, as Tifa won't hurt Samus enough for L-Block to advance. L-Block is going to need rallies to get past Samus.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#14 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 8/30/2013 9:11:24 AM | message detail
FranzyvonKarma posted...
L-Block/Samus/Tifa

L-Block/Red/Charizard

the goddamn tetris piece is going back to the finals


Rather see L-Block win again than see Draven go beast.

At this point it's blatantly clear that GameFAQs contests are not what they used to be, though I suppose nothing else could be expected after a one-year hiatus. Never mind that said year was arguably the worst year for games ever (if Gametrailers is handing a GOTY award to a game it gave only a 9.1/10, something's wrong).
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Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC
#15 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:11:26 AM | message detail
Im refreshing /v/ for 10 minutes and can't find that so called rally topic
Anyway,I don't believe in Red to beat Squall despite Vivi LFF
He is not strong enough
#16 | -hotdogturtle-- | Posted 8/30/2013 9:11:30 AM | message detail
Has SBAllen not been filling out his expert challenge recently? Or has he really gotten every 2nd/3rd place wrong for the past week?
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Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords.
With what? ROT-13? -CJayC
#17 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 8/30/2013 9:12:02 AM | message detail
What is /v/?
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~ The Dilated One
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#18 | Greyfeld | Posted 8/30/2013 9:13:28 AM | message detail
FranzyvonKarma posted...
L-Block/Samus/Tifa

L-Block/Red/Charizard

the goddamn tetris piece is going back to the finals


Missingno couldn't rally past Squall after squeaking by Tidus. Do you really think L-Block will be able to rally past Samus after only going 52/48 on Auron?
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#19 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:13:45 AM | message detail
The most popular board on 4Chan.The place where rallies are posted.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#20 | BK_Sheikah00 (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/30/2013 9:14:40 AM | message detail | (edited)
Maybe Rivalry Rumble was right about something.

Trainers have looked more impressive this round than Cloud and Sephiroth. They don't give a crap about SFF.
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Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#21 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/30/2013 9:14:49 AM | message detail
L-Block's natural strength will have to increase next round (through the bandwagon effect) against Samus to have a shot at beating her with the help of rallies. And I'm not sure if L-Block will actually get bandwagoned for beating Auron.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#22 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:15:30 AM | message detail
Updated Top 10

Top 10 Most Popular Night Polls
1. Draven vs. Mega Man X vs. Ryu – Round 2 – 84778
2. Draven vs. Jak vs. Chie Satonaka – Round 1 – 39737
3. Yoshi vs. Solaire of Astora vs. Demi-Fiend – Round 1 – 30487
4. Tharja vs. Tiny Tina vs. Juliet Starling – Round 1 – 30420
5. Squall Leonhart vs. Missingno vs. Amaterasu – Round 2 – 29632
6. Link vs. Isaac vs. Tingle – Round 1 – 28930
7. Missingno vs. Tidus vs. Banjo – Round 1 – 28503
8. Alucard vs. Captain Falcon vs. Rydia – Round 1 – 28202
9. Sephiroth vs. Midna vs. Little Mac – Round 1 – 28199
10. Tifa Lockheart vs. Chun-Li vs. Cirno – Round 1 – 28140

Top 10 Most Impressive Night Losers
1. Mega Man X – Round 2 – 16238
2. Jak – Round 1 – 13191
3. Ryu – Round 2 – 12143
4. Tidus – Round 1 – 11544
5. Garrus Vakarian – Round 1 – 11143
6. Tiny Tina – Round 1 – 10753
7. Missingno – Round 2 – 10611
8. Chie Satonaka – Round 1 – 10465
9. Captain Falcon – Round 1 – 10139
10. Wheatley – Round 1 – 9702
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 107/147 Today's Picks: Squall and Cecil
#23 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/30/2013 9:15:40 AM | message detail
Safer_777 posted...
The most popular board on 4Chan.The place where rallies are posted.


/b/ is the most popular board on 4chan, but rallies are rarely posted on /b/ these days. Most of the rallies will happen on /v/ or /vp/.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#24 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:16:16 AM | message detail
Red will easily beat Squall and Vivi I believe.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#25 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:16:17 AM | message detail
So I guess Cecil and Pit just really sucked. I mean, Wrex might well pull this back - Nintendo's early vote being orders of magnitude stronger than a lesser western character's - but narrowly beating a leeched Wario is nothing to write home about.
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We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
#26 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:17:01 AM | message detail
I really don't understand how Yoshi match is 3rd
Yeah being the second match in the contest (or third?) but still...There are Solaire and Demi-Fiend..who cares about them..?
#27 | Jakyl25 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:17:56 AM | message detail
#28 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:18:38 AM | message detail
Jakyl25 posted...
Wrex CUT


Oh,on Wario?
I was afraid for a moment
#29 | -hotdogturtle-- | Posted 8/30/2013 9:19:24 AM | message detail
Anyway, back to playing Wario Land: Shake It.
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Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords.
With what? ROT-13? -CJayC
#30 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/30/2013 9:19:25 AM | message detail
Yeah, after Knuckles crapped the bed this result isn't too surprising. Cecil's big result became a lot smaller after that.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#31 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:19:50 AM | message detail
Captain Syrup FTW
#32 | Scarlettail | Posted 8/30/2013 9:20:03 AM | message detail
Go Red! Poke domination!
#33 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:22:08 AM | message detail
So Rydia > Cecil or has Snake's round 2 performance become a bit lackluster?
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 107/147 Today's Picks: Squall and Cecil
#34 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:22:15 AM | message detail
Just think how...popular Awakening is then
If Knuckles was so weak,and Cecil weaker by that regard-that means Pit is like below fodder levels or something even after Uprising...it seems like if we compare Pit strength to Tharja,he didn't get boost by Uprising AT ALL

But maybe im talking nonsense so if someone can post a deeper analysys of how Uprising helped Pit (if at all) it can be great
#35 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/30/2013 9:24:04 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
#36 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/30/2013 9:24:37 AM | message detail
Both Wario and Wrex spiked on that update, probably because of the rally.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#37 | HyperSage | Posted 8/30/2013 9:25:46 AM | message detail
Welp off the leaderboard, that's what I get for not switching back to Squall after seeing Vivi preform.

But holy hell, Wario!
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WhiteLens while off the Expert Leaderboard.
#38 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:27:01 AM | message detail
Still can't find the rally
Unless it on /b/...and in this case I don't bother
There is like 90% chance of encountering a disgusting picture or a male genitalia picture in the first page
I don't wanna
#39 | Solfadore | Posted 8/30/2013 9:27:56 AM | message detail
Wrex used Cut! It was super effective!
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When you have nothing to say, quote yourself ~ Solfadore
#40 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:28:15 AM | message detail
Wrex winning out
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 107/147 Today's Picks: Squall and Cecil
#41 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:29:45 AM | message detail

That site loves Nintendo characters and nothing would cause more butthurt than Wrex winning.


This is ridiculous
Why are they always so immature?
#42 | tennisboy213 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:31:40 AM | message detail
Nanis23 posted...

That site loves Nintendo characters and nothing would cause more butthurt than Wrex winning.


This is ridiculous
Why are they always so immature?


Not to mention dead wrong. The board would have loved Wrex winning.
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POKEFEAR
#43 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:33:30 AM | message detail
I think the board liked Vivi winning too, from what I could tell.
#44 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:33:30 AM | message detail
And Red with 771 lead,despite that "rally"
I don't want to talk too soon like I did in the Vivi match,but really..what is going on here? it doesn't seem like the rally works..at all
#45 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:33:50 AM | message detail
That site loves Nintendo characters and nothing would cause more butthurt than Wrex winning.


XD, right into our trap
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 107/147 Today's Picks: Squall and Cecil
#46 | -hotdogturtle-- | Posted 8/30/2013 9:34:13 AM | message detail
Who's being rallied now?
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Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords.
With what? ROT-13? -CJayC
#47 | Kinglicious | Posted 8/30/2013 9:34:58 AM | message detail
Nanis23 posted...

That site loves Nintendo characters and nothing would cause more butthurt than Wrex winning.


This is ridiculous
Why are they always so immature?


Who knows.
Better question is how are they so blind to how wrong they are. If Mario won yesterday night there would have been a ton more complaining. Vivi was minimal. Wrex would be minimal.

The guys who would get the most complaining are the guys set to win, leave an opening, then snatch it back.
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The King Wang.
Listen up Urinal Cake. I already have something that tells me if I'm too drunk when I pee on it: My friends. - Colbert.
#48 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:35:01 AM | message detail
Honestly 4chan loves all three characters
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 107/147 Today's Picks: Squall and Cecil
#49 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/30/2013 9:36:42 AM | message detail
That site loves Nintendo characters and nothing would cause more butthurt than Wrex winning.

Bet the guy who posted this just had Wrex in his expert bracket!
#50 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/30/2013 9:37:38 AM | message detail
Nanis23 posted...
Just think how...popular Awakening is then
If Knuckles was so weak,and Cecil weaker by that regard-that means Pit is like below fodder levels or something even after Uprising...it seems like if we compare Pit strength to Tharja,he didn't get boost by Uprising AT ALL

But maybe im talking nonsense so if someone can post a deeper analysys of how Uprising helped Pit (if at all) it can be great


Hmm... I dunno. 51% or so on Tiny Tina just isn't good, especially after all the other Borderlands characters stunk up the joint.
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"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia