Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1138

#201 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 8/29/2013 10:42:38 PM | message detail
Sonic_Druid posted...
You know, I may be overthinking this but I think I discovered M's weakness: FF characters. It lost to Sephiroth, it barely beat Tidus, and if things keep up like this, Squall could possibly beat it as well.

I know that's only 3 characters, but you know what? Just based on it's performance on those 3 characters from the same universe, I think M.'s weakness may have been exposed.


What about Yoshi?
#202 | Sonic_Druid | Posted 8/29/2013 10:45:27 PM | message detail
I never checked Yoshi's performance, so I'm kinda in the dark on that. If someone could find a link to M.'s performance against Yoshi, I think it would be helpful.
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#203 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/29/2013 10:46:33 PM | message detail
Yoshi is Missingno's biggest win ever. Also, this performance is deceptive - just like Frog doesn't have some special power to always have a close match, neither does Missingno. Link would blow it out as if it were nothing special.
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#204 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/29/2013 10:47:27 PM | message detail
Sonic_Druid posted...
I never checked Yoshi's performance, so I'm kinda in the dark on that. If someone could find a link to M.'s performance against Yoshi, I think it would be helpful.


Here ya go:
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/(5)Yoshi_vs_(13)Missingno_2010
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#205 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 10:48:41 PM | message detail
You know, I just realized that Crono lost to something specializing in Lightning, while Mario lost to something specializing in Fire.

It's poetic, really.
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#206 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 10:49:21 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
You know, I just realized that Crono lost to something specializing in Lightning, while Mario lost to something specializing in Fire.

It's poetic, really.


So what you're saying is that Squall is going to lose to Amaterasu because she can Power Slash?
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#207 | pjbasis | Posted 8/29/2013 10:49:47 PM | message detail
So if Squall wins, then he gets Vivi and Red. Very winnable if Vivi doesn't get rallied.

Then he probably faces Samus/Mega Man or Charizard.


...Squall to Final 9.
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#208 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/29/2013 10:50:20 PM | message detail
M finally makes a stall of all of two votes. It could easily get artificially boosted but Squall looks like he's in the driver's seat right now.
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#209 | Sonic_Druid | Posted 8/29/2013 10:50:53 PM | message detail
Fayt_Esteed posted...
Sonic_Druid posted...
I never checked Yoshi's performance, so I'm kinda in the dark on that. If someone could find a link to M.'s performance against Yoshi, I think it would be helpful.


Here ya go:
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/(5)Yoshi_vs_(13)Missingno_2010


Wow...that's pretty close, actually. Maybe Yoshi's a hard character to rally against.
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#210 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 10:51:22 PM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
So if Squall wins, then he gets Vivi and Red. Very winnable if Vivi doesn't get rallied.

Then he probably faces Samus/Mega Man or Charizard.


...Squall to Finals.


Fix'd for accuracy. Also dreams.
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#211 | pjbasis | Posted 8/29/2013 10:51:23 PM | message detail
They said that about Mario!
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#212 | pjbasis | Posted 8/29/2013 10:51:52 PM | message detail
oh s*** that is the finals
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#213 | pjbasis | Posted 8/29/2013 10:52:56 PM | message detail
100 vote barrier almost breached
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#214 | AdmiralZephyr | Posted 8/29/2013 10:53:00 PM | message detail
Sonic_Druid posted...
Fayt_Esteed posted...
Sonic_Druid posted...
I never checked Yoshi's performance, so I'm kinda in the dark on that. If someone could find a link to M.'s performance against Yoshi, I think it would be helpful.


Here ya go:
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/(5)Yoshi_vs_(13)Missingno_2010


Wow...that's pretty close, actually. Maybe Yoshi's a hard character to rally against.


Well the write-up provided in that link pretty much pegs Yoshi as arguably the single-hardest character to rally against in these things period, so... yeah.
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#215 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 8/29/2013 10:53:24 PM | message detail
Ganondorf - 3.89¢
Adam - 3.49¢
Duke - 2.62¢


lol Adam Jensen ... secret beast! Upset special over Duke, will hold Ganon under 55%. Provided he makes another contest, of course!
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#216 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 10:53:35 PM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
oh s*** that is the finals


It's the most ridiculous hope ever to the point I'd never have considered it, but honestly Squall making a finals appearance would compensate for everything else I disliked about the contest (Epona winning matches, Vivi beating Mario, Crono's fate) a millionfold. That's a wild, wild dream that I'd love to see happen.
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#217 | spooky96 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:54:29 PM | message detail
Alright experts I don't have much time left I'm in school right now, what will happen? Will Squall take over or Missingno hold on?
#218 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:55:24 PM | message detail
spooky96 posted...
Alright experts I don't have much time left I'm in school right now, what will happen? Will Squall take over or Missingno hold on?


Ammy catches a rally and wins
#219 | Janus5000 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:55:30 PM | message detail
Squall's ride to finals is contingent on Samus and MM/Charizard killing each other

unfortunately instead of Samus he'll be facing the Linkslayer
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#220 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/29/2013 10:55:35 PM | message detail
If Tidus/Missingno trends hold even remotely constant M is dead and Squall will have a relatively comfortable victory by the time the TDZ has murdered the glitch.
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#221 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:57:06 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
If Tidus/Missingno trends hold even remotely constant M is dead and Squall will have a relatively comfortable victory by the time the TDZ has murdered the glitch.


Total Domination Zone
for when Ammy catches a rally to surge into first place :P
#222 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 10:57:17 PM | message detail
spooky96 posted...
Alright experts I don't have much time left I'm in school right now, what will happen? Will Squall take over or Missingno hold on?


Too early to tell. Missingno will spike as Squall cuts down to the low single digits. If Squall punches through the barriers and manages to build a lead unimpeded, he's got it. Else, Missingno wins.
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#223 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 10:57:44 PM | message detail
Also holy hell Squall

35 vote cut!
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#224 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/29/2013 10:58:29 PM | message detail
My rallies are having absolutely no effect at all.
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#225 | jacko_vdz | Posted 8/29/2013 10:59:45 PM | message detail
Fayt_Esteed posted...
jacko_vdz posted...
Are you guys seriously thinking that the protagonist of Pokemon RBY is going to lose a match to two FF characters after seeing Mewtwo, Squirtle and Pikachu all overperform in round 2? After Red put up 70% in round 1?

Go by the stats all you want, but there's no way I can see Red losing that battle.


Are you implying that 70% against those weaklings Red trashed in round 1 is to be taken seriously?


Trash is trash.

Red exceeded his R1 expectations, that's all that matters.

Pokemon is going beserk this round, no reason that it's going to stop.

If you take Mewtwo in Red's position, you better believe Red will get it done.
#226 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 10:59:50 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
My rallies are having absolutely no effect at all.


I'm not gonna buy this until Squall is in a big lead, but god I hope so. If there's one match where rallies really should not work, this is it.
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#227 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/29/2013 11:00:01 PM | message detail
Squall is not even giving a single f*** now as he moves to end this. He could have the match in hand before the TDZ even starts properly.
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#228 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/29/2013 11:00:48 PM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
I'm not gonna buy this until Squall is in a big lead, but god I hope so. If there's one match where rallies really should not work, this is it.


What makes you think rallies will not work for this match when it was possible to rally against Mario?
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#229 | Qwaar | Posted 8/29/2013 11:01:41 PM | message detail
I'm waited for that supposed M rally.
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#230 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/29/2013 11:01:49 PM | message detail
Missingno is going to be way down by morning. He should win the morning vote, but he's going to need a lot of rallying.
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#231 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 11:01:59 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
KanzarisKelshen posted...
I'm not gonna buy this until Squall is in a big lead, but god I hope so. If there's one match where rallies really should not work, this is it.


What makes you think rallies will not work for this match when it was possible to rally against Mario?


I don't think that. That was just a hope!
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#232 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/29/2013 11:02:24 PM | message detail
First percentage increase for Missingno since the 12:32 AM update.
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#233 | spooky96 | Posted 8/29/2013 11:02:56 PM | message detail
Yay free lesson +30 mins for me >_>

Hey Missingno trying hard now.
#234 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 11:03:13 PM | message detail
Missingno finally waking up. See? This is why I've tempered my expectations. I know I make ridiculous claims all the while, but for all the nonsense I say out of wanting some results, I knew this wasn't gonna be that easy. The real fight starts now.
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#235 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/29/2013 11:03:52 PM | message detail
Another relatively weak stall for M, although at least it's not as pitiful as what its been putting on so far. The fact that this isn't even Squall's best time is what should be even more concerning for it.
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#236 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/29/2013 11:04:31 PM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
Missingno is going to be way down by morning. He should win the morning vote, but he's going to need a lot of rallying.


Considering Missingno needed rallies just to go even with Tidus for most of the morning vote would suggest that Tidus would naturally win the morning vote without those rallies. And if you remember Sephiroth/Missingno, Sephiroth continued gaining percentage with the morning vote, although Missingno did perform slightly better with the morning vote compared to the TDZ.
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#237 | superange128 | Posted 8/29/2013 11:06:00 PM | message detail
I made a third and final poll regarding what should be the bonus poll this Sunday's R2 bonus match
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/67116599

Don't forget to vote
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#238 | AdmiralZephyr | Posted 8/29/2013 11:07:43 PM | message detail
Holy hell Missingno got cut that last update.
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#239 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/29/2013 11:09:23 PM | message detail
Missingno this round is way stronger than Missingno last round. But yes- naturally Squall would just keep on rolling, albeit at a slower pace. Not until the ASV (which no longer exists) would Missingno be able to turn things around.

Based on Sephiroth/Missingno, Squall wins with 53.73%.

Wow, that projection has moved a LOT since I last computed it. Based on that number, Missingno needs to rally around 1500 votes.
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#240 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/29/2013 11:09:26 PM | message detail
Squall might have the lead in as few as three updates. And then the rest of the night to just stomp on M's glitchy face over and over again.
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#241 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 11:10:58 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Squall might have the lead in as few as three updates. And then the rest of the night to just stomp on M's glitchy face over and over again.


Really, really unlikely. Rallied entities always spike hard when it's time for the lead change. I'd set the absolute minimum number of updates to the lead at five.
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#242 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/29/2013 11:11:13 PM | message detail
1500 votes is only about half of what L-Block rallied against Auron, so if the rally on the 4chan subreddit is able to take off, Missingno might be able to get enough votes to win.
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#243 | pjbasis | Posted 8/29/2013 11:12:18 PM | message detail
L-Block seems to be way more successful than Missingno at that these days
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#244 | pjbasis | Posted 8/29/2013 11:13:06 PM | message detail
It's too bad the third character couldn't be a more day oriented character too to get out of the way for Squall
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#245 | Denzokuken | Posted 8/29/2013 11:13:38 PM | message detail
Europe starting to wake up - let's save Squall!
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#246 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/29/2013 11:14:29 PM | message detail | (edited)
jacko_vdz posted...
Fayt_Esteed posted...
jacko_vdz posted...
Are you guys seriously thinking that the protagonist of Pokemon RBY is going to lose a match to two FF characters after seeing Mewtwo, Squirtle and Pikachu all overperform in round 2? After Red put up 70% in round 1?

Go by the stats all you want, but there's no way I can see Red losing that battle.


Are you implying that 70% against those weaklings Red trashed in round 1 is to be taken seriously?


Trash is trash.

Red exceeded his R1 expectations, that's all that matters.

Pokemon is going beserk this round, no reason that it's going to stop.

If you take Mewtwo in Red's position, you better believe Red will get it done.


Trash is trash indeed, and that's exactly why I said what I said - Corvo Attano and Sissel have gotta be among the weakest characters anyone's faced thus far with the exception of those two losers Mewtwo steamrolled in round 1.
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#247 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/29/2013 11:14:09 PM | message detail
Well enjoy your Red>Squall>Vivi!!!!
But then it means Red will stand in the way of Charizard
Oh screw it too much Pokemon is it's downfall
#248 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/29/2013 11:15:23 PM | message detail
Vivi going deep into the contest would be better than Squall doing that. Also, it allows Red and Missingno to get out of Charizard's path, giving Charizard a more favorable path to reach the finals.
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#249 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 11:15:36 PM | message detail
Nanis23 posted...
Well enjoy your Red>Squall>Vivi!!!!
But then it means Red will stand in the way of Charizard
Oh screw it too much Pokemon is it's downfall


This is why you should vote for Wrex next round and let Charizard get a real shot in the Final 9.
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#250 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/29/2013 11:17:27 PM | message detail
The Bonus Poll is a.....day match. Darn it. Well, I suppose the day/night shift is no longer as bad as it used to be. Still, that will hurt.

If Crono wins with MMX in the poll, I can claim that MMX leeching and the day poll offset each other!
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