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Looks like we're getting 2 upsets in a row

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A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

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~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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"You are insects railing against the heavens. Your actions will change nothing." - Uhai, Fire Emblem 7

lol upset
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0

When rallies determine everything the "upset" is obvious
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0

Mario is the new Pacman.

September 1, 2013

Crono > Mario
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.

I got Missingno winning in this match btw for expert.

This contest has gone out of hands now, don't follow any logic/sense of yours.

For all we know Draven might fail to break 15% against Link, or it could be the other side too. Senior B8ers have planned something but one of 'em might be a traitor.

**** yeah gimme these bracket points

I need em to cushion me since ? Block ****ed up on me

not that any of that matters since stuff like Draven and Vivi happened but still, it'd be nice if I could keep chillin on the top 50 for a little awhile
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http://i.imgur.com/GhorUQg.jpg
~Masa

spooky96 posted...

I got Missingno winning in this match btw for expert.

This contest has gone out of hands now, don't follow any logic/sense of yours.

For all we know Draven might fail to break 15% against Link, or it could be the other side too. Senior B8ers have planned something but one of 'em might be a traitor.

What about your bracket? :)

Lionheart that b****
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0

THE STALLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL

C'MON SQUALL! DO IT! SLAY THE GLITCH!
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http://i.imgur.com/PL5UKJj.png
Bearer of the Mark of Kan.

Kibago posted...

LOLContests posted...

2 down 7 more to go. Who will fall next?

Imagine if you had told us 10 years ago that in a future contest almost none of the Noble Nine would win their divisions.

And then if you had added that the two with the best chance of winning are Sonic and Snake.

if Link dies, Sonic's going right down with him for Mewtwo the Dravenslayer

Snake's still going to win.
...probably.

Vivi just beat Mario.
Solid S*** is gonna lose to a Kefka sprite laughing at him and/or posing like a god.
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"Maybe it's a tentacle, molesting the planet itself. - Aschen Brodel.

Missingno already down to 12 vote gains.

Looking good for Squall... barring the incoming super rallies!
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

Hah. Three legit posts in six seconds means no "typical" 500th post.
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.

Buckle up, we got another long ride.

Squall stalls. He's still in shape to come back and win this thing.
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http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)

Squirtle for contest winner let's go
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tune in tokyo 142.94

Standing up to the tyranny of pokemon and joke voters

Go, the true Hero of Time, Squall Leonhart!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=torEytKxkeI
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0

DSRKVRTheDealer posted...

spooky96 posted...

I got Missingno winning in this match btw for expert.

This contest has gone out of hands now, don't follow any logic/sense of yours.

For all we know Draven might fail to break 15% against Link, or it could be the other side too. Senior B8ers have planned something but one of 'em might be a traitor.

What about your bracket? :)

Originally: Missingno winning

After B8's opinion: Squall winning.

I don't regret it, my bracket has been thrown of of the window already. But Missingno winning would bring me back to the leaderboard in expert hopefully. Everyone has Squall winning and after Vivi's performance people obviously would be more inclined towards Squall doing good.

While everyone was thinking that, I thought this contest is just a random thing now here anything can win. So....GO MISSINGNO!

Based on Sephiroth/Missingno, Squall wins with 50.79%.

Squall did a little better than Seph that update.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.

Geo update: After an almost all red start (something like three countries were blue, nothing more than that), nations are starting to turn toward Squall. The UK is the one to watch here. If his percentage keeps rising, Squall's got this. If not...well, then this is how a lion falls.
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http://i.imgur.com/PL5UKJj.png
Bearer of the Mark of Kan.

And Missingno still has its back up against the wall. Naturally, it has already proven that it's much much weaker than Squall. Dynamics have changed since R2, but it may not be enough.
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http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)

What's the percentage of correct predictions on Mario/Vivi/Ganon?
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http://i.imgur.com/GhorUQg.jpg
~Masa

At 12:13 AM, Missingno only had a 93 vote lead on Tidus. But at 12:12 AM today, Missingno already has a 169 vote lead on Squall. If Missingno doesn't completely collapse until after 3:00 AM, it will be in a good position to build up a bigger lead than it had on Tidus.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!

Squall winning here basically paves the way for Red to walk away with it.
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tune in tokyo 142.94

I'm liking Squall here, actually. This reminds me too much of Missingno/Sephiroth.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.

I think Missingno has the advantage here. The Sephiroth projection only gives Squall a narrow win that with these night votals, is less than 200. Missingno can rally that much. Plus, no one has a worse early vote than Seph.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.

ZFS posted...

Squall winning here basically paves the way for Red to walk away with it.

I like the sound of that.

Only a 2 vote gain.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak

...well that's not good
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Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham
We'll get 'em next year.

Another very minor gain. I can see it. It's unlikely, but I can see it. If these teeny tiny gains persist until the end of the power hour...
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http://i.imgur.com/PL5UKJj.png
Bearer of the Mark of Kan.

http://imageshack.us/a/img853/6229/zg10.png
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http://pokefarm.org/_ext/user/110trainer#0 http://www.fanfiction.net/s/9247960/1/404-Error
http://imageshack.us/a/img189/1407/jh6l.gif

Updated Top 10

Top 10 Closest Matches
1. Kratos Aurion – 20.72% vs. Boko – 20.70% - Round 1 – 0.02%
2. Missingno – 40.58% vs. Tidus – 40.50% - Round 1 – 0.08%
3. Lloyd Irving – 23.62% vs. Big Daddy – 23.45% - Round 1 – 0.17%
4. Vivi – 41.27% vs. Mario – 41.09% - Round 2 – 0.18%
5. Elizabeth – 24.48% vs. Crash Bandicoot – 24.24% - Round 2 – 0.24%
6. Alucard – 36.32% vs. Captain Falcon – 35.95% - Round 1 – 0.37%
7. Altair – 29.26% vs. Lara Croft – 28.82% - Round 2 – 0.44%
8. Ike – 35.81% vs. Proto Man – 35.26% - Round 1 – 0.55%
9. Sub-Zero – 29.63% vs. The Boss – 28.87% - Round 2 – 0.76%
10. Recette Lemongrass – 25.28% vs. Travis Touchdown – 24.43% - Round 1 – 0.85%

Top 10 Smallest Day Vote Gaps
1. Kratos Aurion – 6063 vs. Boko – 6056 – Round 1 – 7
2. Vivi – 16483 vs. Mario – 16409 – Round 2 – 74
3. Altair – 8341 vs. Lara Croft – 8216 – Round 2 – 125
4. Ike – 11023 vs. Proto Man – 10854 – Round 1 – 169
5. Sub-Zero – 9605 vs. The Boss – 9359 – Round 2 – 246
6. Recette Lemongrass – 7419 vs. Travis Touchdown – 7167 – Round 1 – 252
7. Big Boss – 14931 vs. Luigi – 14638 – Round 2 – 293
8. Guybrush Threepwood – 4888 vs. Max Payne – 4537 – Round 1 – 351
9. Viewtiful Joe – 7315 vs. Handsome Jack – 6901 – Round 1 – 415
10. Missile – 6138 vs. Sarah Kerrigan – 5654 – Round 1 – 484

Top 10 Most Popular Day Polls
1. Vivi vs. Mario vs. Ganondorf – Round 2 – 39937
2. L-Block vs. Auron vs. Ezio Auditore da Firenze – Round 2 – 38692
3. Raiden vs. Waluigi vs. Alan Wake – Round 1 – 37721
4. Commander Shepard vs. Aerith Gainsborough vs. Tharja – Round 2 – 36597
5. Big Boss vs. Luigi vs. Ness – Round 2 – 34223
6. Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Barret Wallace vs. Dracula – Round 2 – 34205
7. Barret Wallace vs. Professor Layton vs. Reimu Hakurei – Round 1 – 33945
8. Commander Shepard vs. Captain Olimar vs. Kain – Round 1 – 33313
9. Squirtle vs. Dante vs. Zidane Tribal – Round 2 – 33260
10. Yuna vs. Master Chief vs. Claire Redfield – Round 1 – 32792

Top 10 Most Impressive Day Losers
1. Mario – Round 2 – 16409
2. Waluigi – Round 1 – 14794
3. Luigi – Round 2 – 14638
4. Aerith Gainsborough – Round 2 – 14507
5. Auron – Round 2 – 14319
6. Fox McCloud – Round 1 – 13207
7. Ridley – Round 1 – 13037
8. Crono – Round 2 – 13024
9. Terra Branford – Round 1 – 11893
10. ? Block – Round 1 – 11714

Top 10 Least Predictable Matches
1. Vivi vs. Mario vs. Ganondorf – Round 2 – 4.61%
2. Draven vs. Mega Man X vs. Ryu – Round 2 – 9.20%
3. Pokemon Trainer Blue vs. Nathan Drake vs. Mr. Game & Watch – Round 2 – 14.27%
4. Yuna vs. Master Chief vs. Claire Redfield – Round 1 – 15.40%
5. Tifa Lockheart vs. Dragonborn vs. Yuna – Round 2 – 19.97%
6. Kefka vs. Altair vs. Lara Croft – Round 2 – 22.13%
7. Squirtle vs. Dante vs. Zidane Tribal – Round 2 – 22.27%
8. Urdnot Wrex vs. Cecil Harvey vs. Pit – Round 1 – 23.71%
9. L-Block vs. Auron vs. Ezio Auditore da Firenze – Round 2 – 24.86%
10. Mr. Game & Watch vs. Lee Everett vs. Meat Boy – Round 1 – 26.40%
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 107/147 Today's Picks: Squall and Cecil

Masato_Tanaka posted...

What's the percentage of correct predictions on Mario/Vivi/Ganon?

Like 4.7% somehow? Do we have like 5-10% favorites brackets or something?
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I don't know how much you know about women, but Dr. Pizza is an expert. - The Mana Sword

Didn't every pick Mario to go to the finals, by the way?

Contest is officially off the rails.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.

ZFS posted...

Squirtle for contest winner let's go

I would laugh so hard
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XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism.

The board vote of Missingno over Squall is likely to be more overpowering than it was against Sephiroth. We're fresh off the heels of a Mario barnburner where Mario was getting the primary benefit of the rallying at the end. Squall already stalling Missingno severely bodes well for the moment.
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http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)

red sox 777 posted...

I think Missingno has the advantage here. The Sephiroth projection only gives Squall a narrow win that with these night votals, is less than 200. Missingno can rally that much. Plus, no one has a worse early vote than Seph.

Squall has an even better europe vote than Seph though. He's really, really legit with the night.
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http://i.imgur.com/PL5UKJj.png
Bearer of the Mark of Kan.

FOUR POINT SIX ONE PERCENT
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.

Squall will do really well overnight and could still easily win this match.
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Main_Page, Rest in peace Kazbar :(

At 12:13 AM, Missingno only had a 93 vote lead on Tidus. But at 12:12 AM today, Missingno already has a 169 vote lead on Tidus. If Missingno doesn't completely collapse until after 3:00 AM, it will be in a good position to build up a bigger lead than it had on Tidus.

the rallied voters from last match heavily favored missingno. They will dissipate as the match continues.

XIII_rocks posted...

ZFS posted...

Squirtle for contest winner let's go

I would laugh so hard

The only result that would make sense for this contest!
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tune in tokyo 142.94

KamikazePotato posted...

Didn't every pick Mario to go to the finals, by the way?

Contest is officially off the rails.

I'm really, really mad that I didn't take that Mega Man pick after the Samus/Mario split. But, then again, there's no way MM beats Samus without Mario in the poll.

...Unless he rallies better than Samus, that it.

Though Squall keeps pulling out updates like that. Squall's projection is now up to 51.51%. Hmm....about 700 votes. Might be hard for Missingno to rally that much on a morning.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.

cmon missingno make some gains
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http://i.imgur.com/GhorUQg.jpg
~Masa

LordoftheMorons posted...

Masato_Tanaka posted...

What's the percentage of correct predictions on Mario/Vivi/Ganon?

Like 4.7% somehow? Do we have like 5-10% favorites brackets or something?

Probably people that "overestimated" the power of LFF.
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"What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!"
This is Yesmar.

I really cannot vote for Missingno here on principle, but Vivi/Missingno/Red is the definition of a golden opportunity.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.

Watch Vivi still lose a Vivi/Missingno/Red match >_>
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http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9

Already cutting
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 107/147 Today's Picks: Squall and Cecil

Yeah, this match is over.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.

swordz9 posted...

Watch Vivi still lose a Vivi/Missingno/Red match >_>

Watch Vivi win a Vivi/Squall/Red match!