Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1137

#451 | swordz9 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:04:25 PM | message detail
Yeah Draven matches having literally no spillover makes them highly suspicious when we see stuff like this after actual rallies.
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#452 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 9:04:33 PM | message detail
Well, Mario's done. There's only one thing left to do.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-VcrsNWAyJ8

C'mon, Relentless Revolver. Let's see if you can do the impossible and prove that Final Fantasy 8 hasn't lost a step.
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#453 | Haste_2 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:04:41 PM | message detail
703 brackets got Vivi correct. That's like 4%ish?
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#454 | WingerSupreme | Posted 8/29/2013 9:04:55 PM | message detail
Vivi dominated Russia and China, proxy stuffing confirmed.
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#455 | Kibago | Posted 8/29/2013 9:05:11 PM | message detail
Vivi, you freaking miracle.
i am FF6-level-happy about this success. I wouldn't trade this to get Terra>Kirby. amazing.
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#456 | Big Bob | Posted 8/29/2013 9:05:38 PM | message detail
Also keep in mind that Mario/Vivi was super close. Draven just smacked X and Ryu down early on. There was no need to stick around and wait for the finish.
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#457 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/29/2013 9:05:40 PM | message detail
To be fair, this match was fairly down to the wire so people are going to hang around and watch the result.

With Draven, he's so ahead that the result is never in question so there's no reason to hang around and watch
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#458 | Wanglicious | Posted 8/29/2013 9:05:42 PM | message detail
...wait, did vivi's win turn missingno face?
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#459 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/29/2013 9:06:03 PM | message detail
Wanglicious posted...
...wait, did vivi's win turn missingno face?


The double turn
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#460 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:06:14 PM | message detail
Final tally: Vivi wins by 74. 50.11-49.89. Too bad it wasn't 50.05-49.95, but we'll just have to do that in 3 days time.
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#461 | Masato_Tanaka | Posted 8/29/2013 9:06:19 PM | message detail
Wanglicious posted...
...wait, did vivi's win turn missingno face?


That's what it's looking like lol
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#462 | Polycosm | Posted 8/29/2013 9:06:19 PM | message detail
Yeeeah, I'm just gonna keep banking those expert challenge points. This is way too volatile to predict.
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#463 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 9:06:20 PM | message detail
Wanglicious posted...
...wait, did vivi's win turn missingno face?


No, it turned him into the necessary evil to buy Vivi a win. Not the same thing!
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#464 | CP724 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:06:21 PM | message detail
In both matches that happened after Draven's match, there were no elevated vote totals during the board vote.

Yeah that makes no sense whatsoever.
#465 | abdou | Posted 8/29/2013 9:06:33 PM | message detail
people still think Draven wasn't all stuffing? wow seriously people no way in hell anyone gets 50k rallied votes, Allen is a joke for allowing that.
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#466 | JJH777 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:06:39 PM | message detail
Big Bob posted...
Also keep in mind that Mario/Vivi was super close. Draven just smacked X and Ryu down early on. There was no need to stick around and wait for the finish.


He was still drawing ridiculous amounts of votes even at the very end of the match.
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#467 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/29/2013 9:06:40 PM | message detail
TheOneAboveAll posted...
674 freaking votes with the freeze after about 1:40. This is what real rallies look like. This is what didn't happen at the beginning of both post-Draven matches. And this is one of the big reasons why I'll never believe Draven wasn't almost entirely stuffing.


Then why is the world blue in Draven matches? People so good with proxies that they have them firing from all over the planet?
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#468 | Kibago | Posted 8/29/2013 9:07:11 PM | message detail
Wanglicious posted...
...wait, did vivi's win turn missingno face?


he was always face
it's tidus
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We'll get 'em next year.
#469 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:07:17 PM | message detail
lol squall leonhart more like squall leon%#$*^($@/
#470 | ZFS | Posted 8/29/2013 9:07:28 PM | message detail
go Amaterasu
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#471 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/29/2013 9:07:39 PM | message detail
UltimaterializerX posted...
TheOneAboveAll posted...
674 freaking votes with the freeze after about 1:40. This is what real rallies look like. This is what didn't happen at the beginning of both post-Draven matches. And this is one of the big reasons why I'll never believe Draven wasn't almost entirely stuffing.


Then why is the world blue in Draven matches? People so good with proxies that they have them firing from all over the planet?


Dat LusterStuffer technology

also, LOL squall
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#472 | LOLContests | Posted 8/29/2013 9:07:40 PM | message detail
2 down 7 more to go. Who will fall next?

Imagine if you had told us 10 years ago that in a future contest almost none of the Noble Nine would win their divisions.

And then if you had added that the two with the best chance of winning are Sonic and Snake.
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#473 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/29/2013 9:07:47 PM | message detail
JJH777 posted...
He was still drawing ridiculous amounts of votes even at the very end of the match.


Drawing ridiculous amounts of votes because of the rallies on Reddit.
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#474 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 9:07:48 PM | message detail
Tch, big gain. But then, this is the first real update. We'll see if Squall can keep it close.
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#475 | Kibago | Posted 8/29/2013 9:07:57 PM | message detail
52 vote gain!
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#476 | Julian_Caesar | Posted 8/29/2013 9:08:02 PM | message detail
Big Bob posted...
Also keep in mind that Mario/Vivi was super close. Draven just smacked X and Ryu down early on. There was no need to stick around and wait for the finish.


Except he kept winning updates at very high percentages the entire time. If no one stuck around, then how was Draven pulling so many votes? It's just not a good explanation for why there wasn't any spillover, because it contradicts the late-contest percentages.
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#477 | Wanglicious | Posted 8/29/2013 9:08:03 PM | message detail
i mean i've always supported missingno so i can't tell what you guys see his alignment as.

but i await the time he murders Vivi in his sleep.
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#478 | zhaoyun99 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:08:05 PM | message detail
Vivi WON? It's a FREAKING MIRACLE. I can't BELIEVE IT. Did humanity just revive?
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#479 | NewerShadow | Posted 8/29/2013 9:08:25 PM | message detail | (edited)
From: CP724 | #464
In both matches that happened after Draven's match, there were no elevated vote totals during the board vote.

Yeah that makes no sense whatsoever.

Perhaps the Draven ralliers just link the specific poll page, while others link the main page?
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#480 | Lopen | Posted 8/29/2013 9:08:09 PM | message detail
Masato_Tanaka posted...
Lopen posted...
I've gone turncoat and voted MissingNo

Squall must die so Vivi can prevail

Vivi will save the contest


Oh man, you know **** is serious when a guy like Lopen is voting for Missingno, this is awesome


Actually fun fact I've voted for MissingNo in 60% of his matches

Granted that's because two of them were against Crono and Yoshi but you know.
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#481 | Qwaar | Posted 8/29/2013 9:08:10 PM | message detail
Squall still has a shot at winning this match...M not pulling away as much as I expected early on.
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#482 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:08:30 PM | message detail
Missingno extends the lead, but Squall's already up to 43.3% on him.

Based on Sephiroth/Missingno, Squall wins with 50.50% on Missingno.
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#483 | JJH777 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:08:49 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
JJH777 posted...
He was still drawing ridiculous amounts of votes even at the very end of the match.


Drawing ridiculous amounts of votes because of the rallies on Reddit.


And almost NONE of those people who were being brought over thought hey maybe I'll vote in this match that I just got pointed to since the last one already ended? Draven was stuffing
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#484 | WingerSupreme | Posted 8/29/2013 9:08:57 PM | message detail
CP724 posted...
In both matches that happened after Draven's match, there were no elevated vote totals during the board vote.

Yeah that makes no sense whatsoever.


Sure it does. People voting for Mario/Vivi are video game fans, also a bunch of people who voted early but wanted to see how it turned out are the people that voted early in this match. People voting for Draven were LoL fans who couldn't give two s****s about the contest and just voted and left.
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#485 | Scarlettail | Posted 8/29/2013 9:09:02 PM | message detail
I see everyone's abandoned Squall. I guess I'll enjoy this victory while it lasts.
#486 | Masato_Tanaka | Posted 8/29/2013 9:09:06 PM | message detail
Wanglicious posted...
i mean i've always supported missingno so i can't tell what you guys see his alignment as.

but i await the time he murders Vivi in his sleep.


Yo if Missingno wins this match and seals the deal, Vivi/Missingno/Red is gonna be a friggin crazy match
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#487 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 9:09:08 PM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
Missingno extends the lead, but Squall's already up to 43.3% on him.

Based on Sephiroth/Missingno, Squall wins with 50.50% on Missingno.


I'm down for this. Total Domination Zone, baby. Let's see it.
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#488 | Kibago | Posted 8/29/2013 9:09:18 PM | message detail
LOLContests posted...
2 down 7 more to go. Who will fall next?

Imagine if you had told us 10 years ago that in a future contest almost none of the Noble Nine would win their divisions.

And then if you had added that the two with the best chance of winning are Sonic and Snake.


if Link dies, Sonic's going right down with him for Mewtwo the Dravenslayer

Snake's still going to win.
...probably.
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#489 | LordoftheMorons | Posted 8/29/2013 9:09:24 PM | message detail
This is such an imbalanced match pic
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#490 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/29/2013 9:09:42 PM | message detail
This is gonna be difficult, but Squall does have a shot if he doesn't let it get out of hand. Hilariously and perversely, though, Pokemon fans have every incentive to vote Squall while FF fans have the same incentive to vote Missingno. This match probably decides the division.
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#491 | XIII_rocks | Posted 8/29/2013 9:10:16 PM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
Final tally: Vivi wins by 74. 50.11-49.89. Too bad it wasn't 50.05-49.95, but we'll just have to do that in 3 days time.


Is this match confirmed or are you just spouting off about it.
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#492 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 8/29/2013 9:10:20 PM | message detail
I've totally redone my Expert Challenge. I'm either winning this thing or tanking it badly.

The question is, when the noble nine fall, who will wear their targets?
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#493 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 8/29/2013 9:10:25 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
128----1------------0.00
127----0------------0.00
126----0------------0.00
125----0------------0.00
124----1------------0.00
123----2------------0.00
122----6------------0.00
121----5------------0.00
120----5------------0.00
119----13----------0.00
118----18----------0.00
117----34----------0.00
116----58----------0.00
115----53----------0.00
114----56----------0.00
113----60----------0.00
112----62----------0.00
111----72----------0.00
110----77----------0.00
109----85----------1.18
108----96----------0.00
107----86----------0.00
106----133--------0.00
105----121--------0.83
104----156--------2.56
103----161--------0.62
102----165--------0.00
101----196--------1.53
100----233--------0.86
99------277--------2.17
98------298--------2.68
97------333--------1.50
96------361--------2.49
95------402--------1.24
94------448--------1.12
93------422--------0.95
92------446--------1.57
91------467--------1.71
90------459--------1.53
89------492--------2.44
88------468--------2.56
87------442--------1.36
86------462--------1.73
85------428--------3.50
84------409--------1.71
83------433--------3.46
82------381--------2.89
81------379--------2.90
80------344--------6.10
79------333--------4.80
78------314--------7.64
77------269--------4.09
76------272--------6.25
75------270--------7.04
74------209--------9.57
73------222--------6.31
72------232--------9.91
71------187--------7.49
70------162--------9.88
69------146--------8.22
68------153--------10.46
67------157--------10.83
66------160--------10.00
65------122--------7.38
64------138--------11.59
63------159--------10.69
62------121--------14.05
61------117--------17.09
60------123--------16.26
59------90----------12.22
58------81----------14.81
57------103--------16.50
56------72----------12.50
55------88----------14.77
54------66----------18.18
53------64----------12.50
52------60----------15.00
51------50----------14.00
50------42----------11.90
49------47----------21.28
48------55----------10.91
47------56----------14.29
46------47----------10.64
45------32----------21.88
44------32----------15.63
43------33----------9.09
42------25----------16.00
41------26----------15.38
40------24----------12.50
39------21----------14.29
38------10----------0.00
37------11----------18.18
36------16----------12.50
35------14----------7.14
34------14----------7.14
33------7------------28.57
32------6------------16.67
31------9------------11.11
30------7------------0.00
29------6------------0.00
28------3------------0.00
27------4------------25.00
26------3------------0.00
25------9------------22.22
24------2------------0.00
23------4------------0.00
22------2------------50.00
21------0------------0.00
20------1------------0.00
19------1------------0.00
18------1------------0.00
17------1------------0.00
16------2------------0.00
15------0------------0.00
14------1------------0.00
13------2------------0.00
12------1------------0.00
11------1------------0.00
10------13----------0.00
9--------0------------0.00
8--------1------------0.00
7--------0------------0.00
6--------1------------0.00
5--------6------------0.00
4--------0------------0.00
3--------6------------0.00
2--------2------------0.00
1--------1------------0.00

Top 523 gets it wrong. Only one person in the top 923 gets it right. It was a bracker 35 points off perfect (109 points).

No one on the top 49 got it right. No one on the top 49 fell off.
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#494 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/29/2013 9:10:31 PM | message detail
831 votes in a 5 minute span.

That's got to be a record for a non-Draven match
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#495 | Takfloyd_mkII__ | Posted 8/29/2013 9:10:40 PM | message detail
Didn't the Touhou stuffer send a bunch of PMs saying that people were stuffing Draven using proxies located in a bunch of different countries to throw off detection?
#496 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 9:10:58 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
This is gonna be difficult, but Squall does have a shot if he doesn't let it get out of hand. Hilariously and perversely, though, Pokemon fans have every incentive to vote Squall while FF fans have the same incentive to vote Missingno. This match probably decides the division.


Yeah, because if Squall wins, he takes it!

(Not happening, but a man can dream. C'mon, Squall! Show everybody what you can do with that Lionheart!)
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#497 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/29/2013 9:11:25 PM | message detail
Draven matches leading to no excess vote spillover in the next match is extremely suspicious..

I can buy that 90% of the people coming don't give a **** about anything but Draven, but at least 10% would stick around to vote in the next match. And considering the votals Draven pulls in we would definitely notice those extra votes.
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#498 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:11:55 PM | message detail
Is this match confirmed or are you just spouting off about it.

Not confirmed, I'm just hoping.
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#499 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/29/2013 9:11:58 PM | message detail
#14 all-time closest match.
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#500 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 9:12:03 PM | message detail
Takfloyd_mkII__ posted...
Didn't the Touhou stuffer send a bunch of PMs saying that people were stuffing Draven using proxies located in a bunch of different countries to throw off detection?


He also said he wouldn't be doing that for Round 2. 'lol'
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Bearer of the Mark of Kan.