Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1136

#351 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 8/29/2013 3:32:02 PM | message detail
Can you imagine what a justification of a bracket like this would look like pre-contest?

"Okay, the League of Legends reddit is massive, so they'll probably rally Draven to the finals but not Teemo, since whoever starts the Draven rally may not give a damn about Teemo. FFVII is going to have a massive dropoff to the point where Vincent loses to Mewtwo. Zack is going to drop his match to Kefka, who will turn out to be a reliable midcarder. Pokémon will have a massive boost, as there will be six Pokémon characters in the final 27. Oh, and the Draven shenanigans will spark interest in rallies across the board. 4chan will probably rally for L-Block, getting him to the third round at least, and Vivi might even topple freaking Mario."
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#352 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/29/2013 3:32:10 PM | message detail
I have to sleep now.Hope Vivi manages to do it.I want to see the fallout and the prediction percentage.
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#353 | Zylothewolf | Posted 8/29/2013 3:33:53 PM | message detail
Prediction: Vivi gains 30 votes on his lead in the next update. After all it's been 30 minutes since he won an update.
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#354 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/29/2013 3:34:08 PM | message detail
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
FFVII is going to have a massive dropoff to the point where Vincent loses to Phoenix Wright


Fixed
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#355 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 8/29/2013 3:35:40 PM | message detail
Then00bAvenger posted...
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
FFVII is going to have a massive dropoff to the point where Vincent loses to Phoenix Wright


Fixed

I feel pretty sure that with a normal pic it would have gone M2 > Vince > Nick
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Harmony is peace. Peace is unity. Unity is harmony. I tell this to the King Nook. He ask me to leave.
#356 | swordz9 | Posted 8/29/2013 3:35:51 PM | message detail
Just think. If FF7 and other FF stuff keeps dropping then by the time KH3 comes out Sora could potentially rise to strongest or second strongest Square character.
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#357 | Scarlettail | Posted 8/29/2013 3:36:35 PM | message detail
swordz9 posted...
Just think. If FF7 and other FF stuff keeps dropping then by the time KH3 comes out Sora could potentially rise to strongest or second strongest Square character.


It looks like it's only been FF7 for the most part.
#358 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/29/2013 3:36:55 PM | message detail
swordz9 posted...
Just think. If FF7 and other FF stuff keeps dropping then by the time KH3 comes out Sora could potentially rise to strongest or second strongest Square character.


Who over the age of 13 would want this though
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#359 | ZFS | Posted 8/29/2013 3:37:38 PM | message detail
swordz
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#360 | The Owner of FF9 | Posted 8/29/2013 3:37:39 PM | message detail
Then00bAvenger posted...
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
Vincent is going to get such a horrible picture that he loses to Phoenix Wright


Fixed


Just gonna leave this here ....
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FFIXOwner
Character Battle IX Bracket: 112/141
#361 | anondum | Posted 8/29/2013 3:38:23 PM | message detail
you know what's really weird? tifa winning was the 4th lowest prediction % so far. more people had pikachu winning than tifa
#362 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/29/2013 3:39:21 PM | message detail | (edited)
Vincent loses to Phoenix Wright even if the match is rerun with a decent picture. Prove me wrong
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#363 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/29/2013 3:39:54 PM | message detail | (edited)
TheKoolAidShoto posted...
swordz9 posted...
Just think. If FF7 and other FF stuff keeps dropping then by the time KH3 comes out Sora could potentially rise to strongest or second strongest Square character.


Who over the age of 13 would want this though


You might be surprised. His contest strength hasn't borne it out thus far, but Sora hasn't been seeded lower than a 2 since 2004. He's obviously very popular; always gets a ton of nominations.
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#364 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 8/29/2013 3:39:16 PM | message detail
someone made a rally video

...it has 2 views

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lsDkjE8Yig8
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~Zen
#365 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 8/29/2013 3:39:25 PM | message detail
You can probably blame Chief and maybe Dragonborn for Tifa's low prediction.

Also

Everyone go sign my petition to get more votes from gameFAQs users:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/7-site-suggestions/67111376
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#366 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 8/29/2013 3:39:57 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
125----1------------100.00
124----0------------0.00
123----1------------0.00
122----1------------0.00
121----2------------50.00
120----1------------100.00
119----6------------83.33
118----9------------44.44
117----9------------55.56
116----20----------60.00
115----20----------65.00
114----37----------81.08
113----61----------81.97
112----61----------75.41
111----63----------77.78
110----76----------64.47
109----77----------61.04
108----96----------60.42
107----95----------52.63
106----132--------41.67
105----119--------48.74
104----142--------28.87
103----154--------36.36
102----165--------36.36
101----183--------30.05
100----227--------27.75
99------260--------23.08
98------281--------24.20
97------324--------21.30
96------347--------22.19
95------416--------20.43
94------435--------17.93
93------429--------21.21
92------440--------16.14
91------472--------19.28
90------461--------18.22
89------498--------15.46
88------482--------17.84
87------462--------17.75
86------469--------15.14
85------433--------16.63
84------426--------14.55
83------436--------14.68
82------397--------16.88
81------378--------11.90
80------349--------17.48
79------343--------14.87
78------319--------14.42
77------294--------19.05
76------276--------14.86
75------284--------14.44
74------207--------14.98
73------224--------16.52
72------230--------11.74
71------187--------17.65
70------176--------19.89
69------147--------19.73
68------162--------20.37
67------157--------13.38
66------170--------16.47
65------132--------18.18
64------146--------14.38
63------164--------10.98
62------116--------12.07
61------122--------10.66
60------123--------10.57
59------96----------19.79
58------78----------10.26
57------105--------12.38
56------76----------17.11
55------89----------12.36
54------72----------15.28
53------69----------13.04
52------66----------15.15
51------51----------9.80
50------45----------8.89
49------45----------8.89
48------53----------7.55
47------52----------1.92
46------46----------13.04
45------34----------17.65
44------32----------15.63
43------37----------18.92
42------24----------16.67
41------27----------18.52
40------27----------11.11
39------26----------19.23
38------12----------33.33
37------11----------0.00
36------13----------0.00
35------16----------12.50
34------14----------0.00
33------10----------30.00
32------6------------0.00
31------8------------0.00
30------7------------0.00
29------6------------0.00
28------4------------25.00
27------4------------0.00
26------2------------0.00
25------9------------0.00
24------2------------0.00
23------5------------20.00

Omitted scores got it wrong.

Support for Tifa is a lot lower than I expected. I didn't know so many people went with Dragonborn in this match.

13 people fell off the Top 49. Vitocos, arelian, InvisibleOmega, KingLionel, ZaziGuado, Billy_Gates, FormationZ, louis77777, Ngamer64, Pirate109, scolletti105, speed_foxhead and Tendonin did not have Tifa winning.

8 people got it wrong and survived. RRRamos95, Flock_Masta_P, OFool, strikerkid, EdBellis, JeffZero, junglebob22 and Kirbydamasta also did not have Tifa winning.
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Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place
Pokemon VGC2013 Worlds LCQ - Top 32
#367 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/29/2013 3:41:07 PM | message detail
Tifa doesn't have a bad board vote because bracket makers haven't figured out she's from FF7 yet, apparently
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#368 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 3:41:22 PM | message detail
ZenOfThunder posted...
someone made a rally video

...it has 2 views

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lsDkjE8Yig8


Gotta hand it to Vivi fans, they're as hungry for this as I am. If only we weren't on opposite sides of this match!
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#369 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 3:42:08 PM | message detail
TJF trumps FF7 in the board voters' eyes.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#370 | swordz9 | Posted 8/29/2013 3:42:12 PM | message detail
I wouldn't want Sora to be that powerful, but he has a better shot of getting that strong than FF characters in this contest I like a lot. Tidus, Lightning, Zidane, Vivi, Barret, Yuna, Auron and Rikku are never going to shoot up enough to be strongest or second strongest. I'm perfectly fine with Sora becoming stronger than Vincent, Tifa, Crono, Cloud and Sephiroth though. He's probably stronger than Cecil and Rydia already, but if not them too.
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#371 | Denzokuken | Posted 8/29/2013 3:42:54 PM | message detail
oh swordz
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Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....
#372 | ZFS | Posted 8/29/2013 3:43:57 PM | message detail
It's all about Kefka

FFVI remake and who dares challenge the sandy boots
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#373 | swordz9 | Posted 8/29/2013 3:44:08 PM | message detail
Denzokuken posted...
oh swordz

If it makes you feel any better I don't dislike Cloud, Sephiroth, Vincent or Tifa now. I just like Sora more than them though maybe that makes you feel worse about it?
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#374 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 3:44:50 PM | message detail
Vivi over the 100 vote barrier!
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#375 | swordz9 | Posted 8/29/2013 3:45:05 PM | message detail
Forgot to add Kefka to the list of ones I'd like to see become strongest/second strongest. Too many FF characters have been in to keep track of them all. Cid Highwind can be added too since I just remembered he was in before.
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#376 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 3:45:47 PM | message detail
Vivi probably has a claim to fame at being in the upper FF echelon after today. He may have very well boosted.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#377 | Denzokuken | Posted 8/29/2013 3:47:02 PM | message detail
It's not about Cloud and co. It's just.... Sora dude. Sora. The thought of him being strongest Square character brings me to tears.
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Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner!
Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....
#378 | swordz9 | Posted 8/29/2013 3:48:45 PM | message detail
Guess you'll have to pray for some FF HD remakes to boost some characters. If Square keeps doing what they've been doing then Sora's the only one likely to get any better in these since people don't seem too fond of the new characters from post-FFX.
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#379 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 3:49:49 PM | message detail
People aren't too fond of Sora, either. Kingdom Hearts could completely overtake FF in popularity and I'd still have serious doubts about Sora being #2.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#380 | 1337gamerpr0 | Posted 8/29/2013 3:49:52 PM | message detail
....I swear I just read the last two posts above me yesterday
what's going on
#381 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 8/29/2013 3:50:20 PM | message detail
This is a pretty good result for Crono, right?
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#382 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 3:50:48 PM | message detail
Vivi is on fire right now.

At the moment, I defer to red sox's superior analysis and knowledge of trends.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#383 | swordz9 | Posted 8/29/2013 3:51:46 PM | message detail
Yeah, Kingdom Hearts and Sora get their share of hate too. If he keeps getting games he'll at least retain something though while a couple years from now or even a decade if the place and contests still exist the FF crew will probably be at all time lows.
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#384 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/29/2013 3:51:59 PM | message detail
Vivi going to out-Mario Mario in the last couple hours
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#385 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 3:52:58 PM | message detail
I don't think KH gets us much hate as Sora. Neither get that much hate nowadays, especially when compared to 2003-2005, but there's plenty of people that like KH and think Sora kinda sucks.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#386 | Denzokuken | Posted 8/29/2013 3:53:01 PM | message detail
Yeah... Vivi! I know he has the US night vote but his advantage in Europe is so massive I thought he would really start to drop off now that the US starts to dominate the vote. Apparently not.
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Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner!
Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....
#387 | Lopen | Posted 8/29/2013 3:53:24 PM | message detail
Kyaaaa we love you Vivi~
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#388 | RockMFR | Posted 8/29/2013 3:54:53 PM | message detail
Come on, Mario. Don't let this become a blowout.
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
#389 | lightning-02 | Posted 8/29/2013 3:55:45 PM | message detail
Denzokuken posted...
Yeah... Vivi! I know he has the US night vote but his advantage in Europe is so massive I thought he would really start to drop off now that the US starts to dominate the vote. Apparently not.


Australia and Pacific islands are favouring Vivi. American voting numbers dwindle once the afternoon passes, Mario had his chance and couldn't pull away.
#390 | swordz9 | Posted 8/29/2013 3:56:31 PM | message detail
I'd love it if the contests could branch out so we could have characters who didn't originate in games, but are still in games allowed in. We could have matches like Mickey Mouse vs Mario, Batman vs Solid Snake, Joker vs Kefka or anything else you can think of.
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#391 | nkansas13 | Posted 8/29/2013 3:56:40 PM | message detail
I'm impressed that nobody's accusing Vivi of stuffing.
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#392 | pyresword | Posted 8/29/2013 3:58:28 PM | message detail | (edited)
I have never been so happy to get -18 points in my life.

Admittedly, that's partially because this is the first contest to use this scoring system, but Vivi>Mario is one of the best results this contest could have had. Now if only Yuri Lowell had managed to win a match.

Edit: And yes I know it isn't over yet, but I have faith in Vivi
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#393 | Gooper Blooper | Posted 8/29/2013 3:58:08 PM | message detail
nkansas13 posted...
I'm impressed that nobody's accusing Vivi of stuffing.

Stuffing will be caught at a 2-1 ratio for Mario!
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#394 | chaos12391 | Posted 8/29/2013 3:58:48 PM | message detail
So is this going to be the closest match so far? I'm surprised Vivi is doing so well.
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#395 | lightning-02 | Posted 8/29/2013 3:58:54 PM | message detail
nkansas13 posted...
I'm impressed that nobody's accusing Vivi of stuffing.


Vivi isn't a touhou character
#396 | Takfloyd_mkII__ | Posted 8/29/2013 4:00:00 PM | message detail
swordz9 posted...
I'd love it if the contests could branch out so we could have characters who didn't originate in games, but are still in games allowed in. We could have matches like Mickey Mouse vs Mario, Batman vs Solid Snake, Joker vs Kefka or anything else you can think of.


Surely you jest, knave

Dost thou not knoweth of sir McQuack's unholy endeavours upon the vile grounds of the Game Spotte?
#397 | XIII_rocks | Posted 8/29/2013 4:00:47 PM | message detail
Vivi pulling away. Sort of. Lead over 100 for the first time...
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#398 | Lopen | Posted 8/29/2013 4:03:00 PM | message detail
It's kinda impossible to know where the extra votes are going since who knows how Vivi vs Mario goes with no outside interference-- and they haven't really been consistently high enough in magnitude for it to feel like stuffing anyway. This match is going to end up in a range that is acceptable enough for straight rallied votes.

This is completely acceptable as just rallying on all fronts. Is there foul play? Possibly. But you could just as easily accuse Mario of stuffing with the evidence we have, which is very little either way. Ganon not rolling over and dying is half the problem here. I was expecting Mario to get like 75% on him at least.
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#399 | WhiteLens | Posted 8/29/2013 4:04:42 PM | message detail
pyresword posted...
I have never been so happy to get -18 points in my life.


Me too, because only losing 3 more points than everyone else sure as hell beats everyone gaining 18 points over you. >_>

But seriously I think I'm gonna put Bowser in last against Sonic and Mewtwo. No idea who to put in 1st and 2nd.
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#400 | tgs2 | Posted 8/29/2013 4:06:42 PM | message detail
Zelda leeched a much stronger Mario to the level of MMX in 2008. This match just proves LoZ > Mario in the leeching hierarchy assuming the rallying has been equal on both sides today.