Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1135

#301 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 10:28:15 AM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
KamikazePotato posted...
Take out the rallying and the LFF, and Mario is still underperforming!

Where do you think this is without that?

I'm genuinely curious, because I have no clue!


I love Vivi, but he really is not *that* strong. He's slightly above Tidus and Rikku - which is still good, but yeah. Sonic gets 61.5% on him in 2010 based on very fair comparisons, and Mario should be quite a bit stronger than Sonic.
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#302 | Scarlettail | Posted 8/29/2013 10:28:19 AM | message detail
Dilated Chemist posted...
So if Squall beats Missingno, he has a great chance to beat Mario now, wow.


You're assuming Mario wins.
#303 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/29/2013 10:28:25 AM | message detail
...Oh s***.

Vivi and Squall LFF each other, which means we may get WREX in the semi-finals.
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#304 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/29/2013 10:28:50 AM | message detail
If you compare to the Big Boss/Luigi match and Bowser/Sub Zero match, that would mean there's about 800 rallied votes so far.

If you assumed a 12.5% 75% 12.5% split for the rallied votes, the results would be.

Mario: 44.45%
Vivi: 37.53%
Ganondorf: 18.02%
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#305 | Fr0zoN | Posted 8/29/2013 10:30:23 AM | message detail | (edited)
KamikazePotato posted...
Like, I actually have a lot of trouble thinking that Vivi is getting a ton of rally votes that Mario isn't. Vivi is an FF character, and Mario is Nintendo - and Mario. The rallying favors Vivi, probably, but Mario is probably getting a good chunk of them too.


Your misjudging the mindset of the rally voters. Nothing matters to them except whichever option is funniest. I wouldn't be surprised if the rally was 90/10 in favor of Vivi
#306 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:29:43 AM | message detail
Honestly if Mario was freaking Mario he would be stronger overall.
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#307 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 10:29:53 AM | message detail
Vivi has to weather like three storms to win this. ASV/trends, rallying dying down, and Mario cheaters.

*refresh*

Yeah, hard to see it happening.
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#308 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:30:06 AM | message detail
Kanzaris why do you want Mario to win?Yeah Mario is your favorite character but if he loses here it will be in the top 3 of the the most surprising results ever.
If Sephiroth was losing to someone like Dancing for example even if though he is my favorite character I would be against Sephiroth too!
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#309 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/29/2013 10:30:06 AM | message detail
Does this mean Luigi > Mario?
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#310 | Brasen | Posted 8/29/2013 10:30:08 AM | message detail
After this I wouldn't count on squall being a lock next round...
#311 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/29/2013 10:30:28 AM | message detail
Whoa, big cut by Mario!
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#312 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 10:30:33 AM | message detail
Wait, Kanz is rooting for Mario? That's hilarious. Why do you guys not have him on ignore yet?
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#313 | raginbull911 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:30:44 AM | message detail
Don't look now but Mario just cut 27 votes.
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#314 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/29/2013 10:31:38 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
Wait, Kanz is rooting for Mario? That's hilarious. Why do you guys not have him on ignore yet?


Because of s*** like him scurrying about trying to salvage Mario's horrible performance here against Vivi.
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#315 | vcharon | Posted 8/29/2013 10:31:40 AM | message detail
Hopefully no one believes Mario is actually going to lose this.
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#316 | lightning-02 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:31:46 AM | message detail
there was a pre-rally thread deciding who our choice would be. Some wanted ganondorf and they respected the majority wish for Vivi and changed their vote. There's always going to be rogues and trolls but most will respect the majority decision of /v/ even if its not their personal choice. People don't really care who wins a gamefaqs poll anyway, it's more about the subplot of having involvement and causing surprise.
#317 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 10:31:50 AM | message detail
I TOLD YOU MAN

I TOLD YOU I WAS JUST GETTING STARTED

Wait, Kanz is rooting for Mario? That's hilarious. Why do you guys not have him on ignore yet?


Dude, Mario is one of my two favorite videogame characters ever, and I've never made that a secret. Am I not allowed to root for my favorites just like Sox does for Link and Crono?
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#318 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:31:51 AM | message detail
Not sure if people here are happy because they REALLY like Vivi or because they hate Mario
With how things looked lately I guess it's the latter
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#319 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 10:32:00 AM | message detail
However, I do take solace in the fact that Vivi would own apparently own a night match against Mario.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#320 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 8/29/2013 10:32:17 AM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
There are only 2 Noble Niners who do not look worse than they did in previous years: Solid Snake and Samus Aran.


And the latter could be a fraud in waiting. Samus is the only character this contest not to have deboosted from a disappointing game, and other characters reliant on their design and Smash Bros. appeal have bombed this contest.
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#321 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:32:31 AM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Honestly if Mario was freaking Mario he would be stronger overall.


Yeah, we need to get Freaking Mario into one of these contests.
#322 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/29/2013 10:32:40 AM | message detail
Oh, yeah, and it's a day match. Nintendo v Final Fantasy in a day match. Mario reaching the finals is a very dim hope right now. Even if he can slip past Vivi today (ya go my Vivi), he's potentially dealing with Mario/Squall/Red (if Missingno slips through he'll be saved, so he should hope for that) and then he's probably dead in the water against Charizard now.
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#323 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 10:33:42 AM | message detail
Kanzaris why do you want Mario to win?Yeah Mario is your favorite character but if he loses here it will be in the top 3 of the the most surprising results ever.
If Sephiroth was losing to someone like Dancing for example even if though he is my favorite character I would be against Sephiroth too!


Because I think Squall has a shot a scoring a real honest upset against him next round and I want to see it happen. Squall is in my top five favorite characters and he's gotten screwed in facing Snake or getting hosed out of his big chance against Sonic every single damn contest. It's high time he got a real shot at the NN and Mario+Red is a great chance.
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#324 | swordz9 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:34:31 AM | message detail
I like Vivi and like Mario games, but don't particularly care about Mario himself.
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#325 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/29/2013 10:34:51 AM | message detail
Samus needs to be on watch against the Block because there's no telling if she's actually weaker. The performance on Catherine was 'eh' and she ended up SFFing Knuckles down to Catherine tier so there's no way to really tell.
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#326 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:35:00 AM | message detail
Okay I see...But you do know that Squall must first beat a Pokemon character right?
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#327 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:35:35 AM | message detail
I TOLD YOU MAN

I TOLD YOU I WAS JUST GETTING STARTED


At best you would win the battle, the war has been decided with this performance.
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#328 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/29/2013 10:35:39 AM | message detail
I think we can now call L-Block the favorite over Samus.

Hell, Missingno > Squall is looking much sexier now. It's not going to be the same glitch it was last round, if Draven and L-Block are anything to go by!
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#329 | spooky96 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:35:48 AM | message detail
Safer_777 posted...
Okay I see...But you do know that Squall must first beat a Pokemon character right?


Red ain't got nothing. He'll only give a respectable fight.
#330 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 8/29/2013 10:36:08 AM | message detail
Oh wow Mario came storming back.

Only 30 votes behind now.
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#331 | xp1337 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:36:30 AM | message detail
spooky96 posted...
Safer_777 posted...
Okay I see...But you do know that Squall must first beat a Pokemon character right?


Red ain't got nothing. He'll only give a respectable fight.

they mean missingno
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#332 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:36:38 AM | message detail
Vivi has to weather like three storms to win this. ASV/trends, rallying dying down, and Mario cheaters.

Only 2 of them. The trends favor Vivi. They've been quite consistent this contest. Vivi's looking at about 52/48 or a tad more on Mario from natural trends.
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#333 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/29/2013 10:36:40 AM | message detail
Mario is doing better on Ganondorf (70/30) than Samus did in a 2008 4way match (67/33). Mario really isn't looking bad relative to Ganon which does not offer the indication that he has fallen off. This is just crazy rallies and Stand Out Factor.
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#334 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 10:36:54 AM | message detail
At best you would win the battle, the war has been decided with this performance.


Possibly, but I can always hold out hope, and if Draven wins well, that's just my second best possible result instead of the first. No skin off my back!
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#335 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 8/29/2013 10:37:43 AM | message detail
Noble Nine is dead.
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#336 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:38:09 AM | message detail
Not sure how /v/ treats Pokemon and what they are going to do with missingno
It's just a matter of what they prefer more
Screw Gamefaqs up (and vote missingno) or hate Pokemon? (and vote..I dunno,Amatarasu?)
#337 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:38:18 AM | message detail
Mario is doing better on Ganondorf (70/30) than Samus did in a 2008 4way match (67/33). Mario really isn't looking bad relative to Ganon which does not offer the indication that he has fallen off. This is just crazy rallies and Stand Out Factor.

If Mario can barely outSFF Samus, he's looking really bad! That was always something he was way better than Samus at.
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#338 | XIII_rocks | Posted 8/29/2013 10:38:27 AM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
Mario is doing better on Ganondorf (70/30) than Samus did in a 2008 4way match (67/33). Mario really isn't looking bad relative to Ganon which does not offer the indication that he has fallen off. This is just crazy rallies and Stand Out Factor.


Probably doesn't amount to much but Mario is catching a counter-rally here, I think.
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#339 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 10:39:32 AM | message detail
Ugh, yeah. That's game. It was fun while it lasted.
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#340 | superange128 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:39:51 AM | message detail
Vivi rally dying off
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#341 | Denzokuken | Posted 8/29/2013 10:40:19 AM | message detail
So many excuses for Mario. He's awful, accept it.
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#342 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/29/2013 10:40:30 AM | message detail
I'd be fine with an Ama win, too! Just not a predictable Squall win, please.
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#343 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:40:31 AM | message detail
For 1 hour and 30 minutes...I hope there will be rallies on various sites too.I mean we still have many hours to go.
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#344 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 10:40:32 AM | message detail
Yessssssssssssss. C'mon Mario! More of that! Line up that Mario Finale!
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#345 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 8/29/2013 10:40:51 AM | message detail
Solid Snake > Mario
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#346 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:41:00 AM | message detail
Here comes Mario.
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#347 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 10:41:05 AM | message detail
I'd be fine with an Ama win, too! Just not a predictable Squall win, please.


If Squall wins in a squeaker where nobody finishes below 30%, does that work?
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#348 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:41:25 AM | message detail
And that's not game, KP. Just variance!
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
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#349 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 10:41:32 AM | message detail
Also, why do you say the trends favor Vivi, red sox? Europe goes to sleep later at night, the ASV might actually exist now that some people are starting school, and FF9 is very early-vote oriented.
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#350 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 8/29/2013 10:41:40 AM | message detail
It was a fun 100 minutes. Back to normal on the next update.
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