Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1135

#201 | ZFS | Posted 8/29/2013 9:54:51 AM | message detail
snake will last long enough to be Squirtled but he too will get Pokemon'd
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#202 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 9:54:55 AM | message detail
*gets back, expecting an easy Mario lead*

OMG OMG OMG OMG
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#203 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/29/2013 9:55:07 AM | message detail
tgs2 posted...
Guess the Bonus poll can safely change to MMX/Mario/Crono now if Vivi can win.

At least there's an argument of Mario crushing Vivi 1v1 because of Ganondorf leeching him like crazy.


Also, someone has to say it, but...

Auron might be more appropriate for that position than Crono at this point =/
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#204 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:55:12 AM | message detail
Mario/Crono has already had massive amounts of rallying, so that would be okay too. Somehow two highly rallied matches both ended up at 50.05/49.95.

I think Mario/Crono 2002-3 represents Kanzari's dream of what the contest should look like. Unfortunately Draven/X/Ryu is probably more normal, and Mario/Crono is lightning striking the same place twice.
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#205 | xp1337 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:55:17 AM | message detail
Like Snake is safe from this!

Vivi
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GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#206 | lightning-02 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:55:44 AM | message detail
I like Squall, I won't be rallying against him.
#207 | xp1337 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:56:11 AM | message detail
Then00bAvenger posted...
tgs2 posted...
Guess the Bonus poll can safely change to MMX/Mario/Crono now if Vivi can win.

At least there's an argument of Mario crushing Vivi 1v1 because of Ganondorf leeching him like crazy.


Also, someone has to say it, but...

Auron might be more appropriate for that position than Crono at this point =/

Bacon can just override it!

it's what the people want
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GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#208 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:56:36 AM | message detail
If all N9 lose before their divisions ends that would be the contest of the eternity.Seriously.
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#209 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 9:56:43 AM | message detail
Also, anyone have some exact stats on the rallying here? I have trouble thinking that any FF character, even Vivi, would benefit from one this much against Mario. I think Mario is also just bombing here.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#210 | KingBartz | Posted 8/29/2013 9:56:58 AM | message detail
Vivi about to surpass Mario's biggest lead.
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#211 | cyko | Posted 8/29/2013 9:57:19 AM | message detail
BK_Sheikah00 posted...
Pikachu > Crono
Vivi > Mario

Next round:

Draven > Link
Mewtwo > Sonic
Kirby > Sephiroth
Squirtle > Cloud
L-Block > Samus
Charizard > Mega Man.

Who's the only NNer to survive?

SOLID F**ING SNAKE


Kefka > Snake

BELIEVE!!!
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#212 | Scarlettail | Posted 8/29/2013 9:57:22 AM | message detail
Hopefully Missingo folds next match. Set this up for Red.
#213 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 9:57:25 AM | message detail
I think Mario/Crono 2002-3 represents Kanzari's dream of what the contest should look like.


Bingo.
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#214 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:57:38 AM | message detail
The /v/ rrally got 404ed..for no reason
#215 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 9:57:57 AM | message detail
Also, anyone have some exact stats on the rallying here? I have trouble thinking that any FF character, even Vivi, would benefit from one this much against Mario. I think Mario is also just bombing here.


4chan is rallying Vivi. Look at Auron/L-Block for an idea on how this goes.
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#216 | CrushDavis | Posted 8/29/2013 9:58:10 AM | message detail
#217 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:58:31 AM | message detail
Also Crono > Auron, easy.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
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#218 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:58:44 AM | message detail
I hope the guys at 4Chan continue with the rally.
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#219 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 9:58:45 AM | message detail
Hey guys, remember when Luigi went even with Big Boss despite Ness in the poll?

Compare that result to this. Rally or not, Mario is doing baaaad.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#220 | Nanis23 | Posted 8/29/2013 9:58:58 AM | message detail
Just look how in 2 updates from now Vivi is crashing back to earth
I have no idea why the mods deleted the rally..but..it's over
#221 | KingBartz | Posted 8/29/2013 9:58:59 AM | message detail
From: Safer_777 | #208
If all N9 lose before their divisions ends that would be the contest of the eternity.Seriously.


Sephiroth and Snake really don't have anyone who could conceivably beat them or be rallied to beat them, but the rest, sure.
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#222 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 8/29/2013 9:59:12 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
Also, anyone have some exact stats on the rallying here? I have trouble thinking that any FF character, even Vivi, would benefit from one this much against Mario. I think Mario is also just bombing here.


Based on votals, Vivi's probably getting 600 or so extra votes on Mario.

It'd put Mario at about 47%, Vivi at 32%, and Ganon at 21%.
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#223 | Calintares | Posted 8/29/2013 9:59:40 AM | message detail
Excluding the fact that this is obviously not natural trends at all, how are the trends supposed to favor Vivi going forward? He's only winning in europe while North America is solidly behind Mario, and in a few hours europe is going to sleep...
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#224 | CrushDavis | Posted 8/29/2013 9:59:43 AM | message detail
Also are people really calling for rallying to be that significant here? Vivi has gained 1% from the board vote, which is actually not even that great for a FF character against two Ninty characters.
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#225 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 8/29/2013 9:59:51 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
Hey guys, remember when Luigi went even with Big Boss despite Ness in the poll?

Compare that result to this. Rally or not, Mario is doing baaaad.


Ganondorf is a heck of a lot stronger than Ness, though. And Ness is much more easily SFFed.
#226 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/29/2013 10:00:01 AM | message detail
HOLY F***ING S***

As a HUGE Mario fan (I vote him over ANYBODY besides Luigi), this is still f***ing awesome. Massive shake-up, and the best part is that it's VIVI of all people. Vivi is f***ing awesome, and of course this happens while I'm replaying FF9.

I hope Vivi pulls off the upset!
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#227 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:00:04 AM | message detail
Rally topic deleted and Mario cuts? Well then.
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#228 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/29/2013 10:00:07 AM | message detail
lightning-02 posted...
I like Squall, I won't be rallying against him.


Also, if your goal is to set up a series of favorable matches for L-Block to reach the finals, then you don't want to have Vivi/Missingno/Red next round because the 2 Pokemon characters will leech each other, allowing Vivi to advance again. Having Squall in place of Missingno allows Red to advance because of Square LFF, setting up L-Block/Red/Charizard in the semifinals and allowing L-Block to get past Charizard.
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#229 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 10:00:09 AM | message detail
Vivi is basically screwed. FF9 has one of the worst day votes of anything out there.

It's fun to live the dream, though.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#230 | superange128 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:00:11 AM | message detail
KingBartz posted...
From: Safer_777 | #208
If all N9 lose before their divisions ends that would be the contest of the eternity.Seriously.


Sephiroth and Snake really don't have anyone who could conceivably beat them or be rallied to beat them, but the rest, sure.


Kirby and BB could beat Seph for sure imo

Snake yeah
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#231 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 8/29/2013 10:00:25 AM | message detail
CrushDavis posted...
Also are people really calling for rallying to be that significant here? Vivi has gained 1% from the board vote, which is actually not even that great for a FF character against two Ninty characters.


The rally started pre-match. The board vote included the rally too.
#232 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 8/29/2013 10:01:08 AM | message detail | (edited)
Sephiroth and Snake really don't have anyone who could conceivably beat them or be rallied to beat them, but the rest, sure.


http://game.watch.impress.co.jp/docs/20060925/kp26.jpg

Are you saying you're not gonna vote when he's asking you?
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#233 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:00:42 AM | message detail
It's okay, Vivi's got 2%+ of natural built in GameFAQs percentage gain from the trends. As long as he's gotten less than that from rallying, or there will be more rallying, he'll be alright.
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#234 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:02:28 AM | message detail
Excluding the fact that this is obviously not natural trends at all, how are the trends supposed to favor Vivi going forward? He's only winning in europe while North America is solidly behind Mario, and in a few hours europe is going to sleep...

The night vote favors Vivi- in North America and everywhere.
---
Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#235 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/29/2013 10:02:38 AM | message detail
TheOneAboveAll posted...
KamikazePotato posted...
Hey guys, remember when Luigi went even with Big Boss despite Ness in the poll?

Compare that result to this. Rally or not, Mario is doing baaaad.


Ganondorf is a heck of a lot stronger than Ness, though. And Ness is much more easily SFFed.


Big Boss is stronger than Vivi, and Mario easily beat Big Boss before. No, this result is pretty inexcusable.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#236 | Kinglicious | Posted 8/29/2013 10:02:49 AM | message detail
... So much for the Mario theory.
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#237 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/29/2013 10:03:45 AM | message detail
I'll excuse this result.

Though this isn't a great performance from Mario. Might have to remove him from the Noble Nine now!
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#238 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:03:56 AM | message detail
Vivi has gained 1% from the board vote

Rally started with the board vote so we really don't know how much it is affecting the result
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Points: 104/141 Today's Picks: Tifa Lockheart and Mario
#239 | lightning-02 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:04:18 AM | message detail
Nanis23 posted...
The /v/ rrally got 404ed..for no reason


I made another one, fools were going crazy about reddit in it.
#240 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 8/29/2013 10:04:45 AM | message detail
Rally's not dead, apparently.
#241 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/29/2013 10:04:47 AM | message detail
Woo Vivi!
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#242 | xp1337 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:04:51 AM | message detail
I can't even bring myself to care about what this means for Mario.

If the Vivi rally dies off we can probably figure out roughly where he should be, but meh.
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GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#243 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/29/2013 10:04:52 AM | message detail
*clicks on poll*

...you guys think Snake has no chance against THIS GUY
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#244 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/29/2013 10:05:07 AM | message detail
Let's not forget that in 08 Samus easily beat Vincent with Ganon in the poll and Ganon sucked enough to lose to Gordon Freeman.

If Samus can impact Ganon that bad then Mario should be crushing Ganon far worse than he is.
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#245 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:05:36 AM | message detail
Vivi matches Mario's largest lead!
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Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick
your 7 time champion, Link.
#246 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 8/29/2013 10:05:42 AM | message detail
4chan rally for Vivi spotted on /b/. This is the first time I've seen a rally on /b/ in a very long time, as most of the past rallies happened on /v/ instead.
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#247 | lightning-02 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:05:55 AM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
lightning-02 posted...
I like Squall, I won't be rallying against him.


Also, if your goal is to set up a series of favorable matches for L-Block to reach the finals, then you don't want to have Vivi/Missingno/Red next round because the 2 Pokemon characters will leech each other, allowing Vivi to advance again. Having Squall in place of Missingno allows Red to advance because of Square LFF, setting up L-Block/Red/Charizard in the semifinals and allowing L-Block to get past Charizard.


There is no master plan, I made a thread on /v/ before this match asking who people wanted to see win it and vivi was unanimous. There's no hidden intent. /v/ will pick somebody in the final to tackle Draven depending on whos there.
#248 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 8/29/2013 10:06:10 AM | message detail
If Vivi can do this to Mario, imagine what Laughing Kefka will do to Snake!
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#249 | xp1337 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:06:14 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
*clicks on poll*

...you guys think Snake has no chance against THIS GUY

who could have known mario was going to be EXPOSED in such a fashion

2ds deboost
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GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#250 | Safer_777 | Posted 8/29/2013 10:06:37 AM | message detail
Come on Vivi!Only 11 hours to go!
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