Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1132

#301 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/27/2013 9:08:15 PM | message detail
Damn Knuckles you're terrible
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 101/135 Today's Picks: Samus and Auron
#302 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/27/2013 9:08:20 PM | message detail
Huh, so Samus lost the board vote.
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#303 | ecksgem | Posted 8/27/2013 9:09:01 PM | message detail
When's the last time Samus lost the board vote? I can't remember.
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#304 | -hotdogturtle-- | Posted 8/27/2013 9:09:14 PM | message detail
From: xp1337 | #296
it should have been the complete lyrics to pumpkin hill

Bacon must be a Samus supporter.
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#305 | pjbasis | Posted 8/27/2013 9:10:11 PM | message detail
Seifer is gonna look so badddddd
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#306 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/27/2013 9:10:37 PM | message detail
Found this Pumpkin Hill related pic during Knuckles last match. Thought it was kind of funny.

http://tinyurl.com/o6ofc5z
#307 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/27/2013 9:10:38 PM | message detail
Also I don't like the lyrics to Pumpkin Hill because Knux's entire gimmick in S3&K is that he chuckles ALL THE TIME

It should be "Unlike Sonic my shoes don't have buckles"

Because that's ACTUALLY true

http://images4.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb20121105190017/sonic/images/6/6d/CG_Knuckles.png

Seriously are those Lego blocks
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#308 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/27/2013 9:10:53 PM | message detail
Assuming there's no SFF here, this looks bad for Cecil which looks bad for Wrex.

...there's SFF. Probably. Never can know with Samus I guess, and it's not like we have a real read on where Knuckles has been for the past decade.
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#309 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/27/2013 9:11:42 PM | message detail
So yeah so much for that goddamn Sonic boost. Mewtwo has put everyone ON NOTICE.
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#310 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 8/27/2013 9:11:55 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
119----1------------100.00
118----0------------0.00
117----0------------0.00
116----2------------0.00
115----2------------50.00
114----1------------100.00
113----8------------62.50
112----6------------66.67
111----13----------61.54
110----28----------25.00
109----46----------39.13
108----57----------42.11
107----73----------49.32
106----63----------39.68
105----78----------37.18
104----82----------37.80
103----86----------36.05
102----86----------40.70
101----112--------27.68
100----143--------29.37
99------138--------29.71
98------150--------23.33
97------193--------26.42
96------215--------19.53
95------256--------18.36
94------305--------14.43
93------325--------13.54
92------368--------15.76
91------396--------14.65
90------421--------12.35
89------463--------14.47
88------489--------11.86
87------499--------12.83
86------506--------11.86
85------529--------12.10
84------510--------9.80
83------531--------10.73
82------476--------9.66
81------468--------10.04
80------467--------8.35
79------420--------10.00
78------384--------8.85
77------402--------12.69
76------382--------10.99
75------372--------10.75
74------286--------12.59
73------324--------13.58
72------293--------10.58
71------255--------10.98
70------231--------13.85
69------222--------10.81
68------204--------13.73
67------193--------12.95
66------195--------12.31
65------156--------12.82
64------157--------12.74
63------174--------10.34
62------137--------13.87
61------150--------14.00
60------158--------17.72
59------127--------15.75
58------101--------14.85
57------118--------8.47
56------75----------17.33
55------92----------20.65
54------103--------18.45
53------85----------11.76
52------78----------8.97
51------64----------9.38
50------62----------17.74
49------57----------14.04
48------56----------7.14
47------47----------14.89
46------50----------10.00
45------43----------11.63
44------46----------17.39
43------46----------13.04
42------25----------16.00
41------25----------16.00
40------27----------25.93
39------29----------13.79
38------21----------23.81
37------24----------12.50
36------19----------21.05
35------20----------5.00
34------11----------9.09
33------12----------8.33
32------7------------0.00
31------11----------27.27
30------7------------14.29
29------7------------14.29
28------4------------25.00
27------4------------0.00
26------0------------0.00
25------11----------9.09
24------2------------0.00
23------4------------25.00
22------2------------0.00
21------1------------100.00
20------4------------25.00

Omitted scores got it wrong.

Easy match to call now but it wasn't so easy at the start of the contest. The current -16s (116 points) get wiped out. SuorGenoveffa is now 4 points ahead of everyone else. The prediction percentage in the top tiers is about 40% and this drops off into the 10s at the mid tiers.

16 people fell off the Top 49. JaySolano, JordockX, mrdean55, Pondos, th3l3fty, Ambertwo, Board8_BOP, Cipher_Miror_B, DGKMO, Doooooooooougie, Gooper_Blooper, iGenesis, Kumatora, LinkMarioSamus, Link_Fanboy and Luis_Sera89 did not have Blue winning.

8 people got it wrong and survived. Former second place ChenKenichiFan, former third place Flock_Masta_P, EdBellis, Astro1446, Djungelurban, Xcarvenger, Karma_Hunter and POOTERSS also did not have Blue winning.
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#311 | Greyfeld | Posted 8/27/2013 9:12:23 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Darn you people and your nonsensical SFF ideas

Only Snake can steal appeal votes from people


The AC characters may have inherent strength of their own, but part of their contest strength is definitely tied up in their appearance. I'm not saying that Auron is going to go out and 80/20 Ezio, but sapping away a few hundred votes due to appealing to a similar demographic seems plausible to me.
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#312 | Qwaar | Posted 8/27/2013 9:12:46 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Qwaar posted...
So, now that match is over... Auron -> L-Block -> Ezio...yes?


Auron > Ezio > L-Block


My only debate was whether L would beat Auron...I can't see Ezio beating L at all.
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#313 | GANON1025 | Posted 8/27/2013 9:13:06 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Also I don't like the lyrics to Pumpkin Hill


You are human garbage.

And it's "A Ghost Pumpkin Soup" you neanderthal.
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#314 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/27/2013 9:13:35 PM | message detail
It's possible that whatever Sonic boost has been exclusive to Sonic. He's been the only character who matters in the recent Sonic games. Knuckles is barely in Generations and he's not in Colors at all.

Knux has basically been an irrelevant Sonic character since Sega introduced Shadow to take his place as Sonic's rival.

One more reason to hate Shadow.
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#315 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/27/2013 9:13:51 PM | message detail
Updated Top 10

Top 10 Least Predictable Matches
1. Draven vs. Mega Man X vs. Ryu – Round 2 – 9.20%
2. Pokemon Trainer Blue vs. Nathan Drake vs. Mr. Game & Watch – Round 2 – 14.27%
3. Yuna vs. Master Chief vs. Claire Redfield – Round 1 – 15.40%
4. Kefka vs. Altair vs. Lara Croft – Round 2 – 22.13%
5. Squirtle vs. Dante vs. Zidane Tribal – Round 2 – 22.27%
6. Urdnot Wrex vs. Cecil Harvey vs. Pit – Round 1 – 23.71%
7. Mr. Game & Watch vs. Lee Everett vs. Meat Boy – Round 1 – 26.40%
8. Leon Kennedy vs. Gordon Freeman vs. Shadow the Hedgehog – Round 2 – 28.26%
9. Catherine vs. Neku Sakaruba vs. Vaas Montenegro – Round 1 – 30.43%
10. Pokemon Trainer Blue vs. Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O’Donnell – Round 1 – 32.98%
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 101/135 Today's Picks: Samus and Auron
#316 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/27/2013 9:14:10 PM | message detail
oh is that Ganon taking everything OUT OF CONTEXT as usual

I think it is
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#317 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/27/2013 9:14:17 PM | message detail
...this looks really, really bad for Wrex.
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#318 | superange128 | Posted 8/27/2013 9:14:21 PM | message detail
sucks that no one watched/liked Sonic X, Knuckles was there pretty often and quite bro
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#319 | CP724 | Posted 8/27/2013 9:15:08 PM | message detail
wow samus
#320 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/27/2013 9:15:10 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Also I don't like the lyrics to Pumpkin Hill because Knux's entire gimmick in S3&K is that he chuckles ALL THE TIME


That line's from Unknown from M.E, not Pumpkin Hill.

I don't know why he has lego blocks on his shoes, though.
#321 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/27/2013 9:15:15 PM | message detail
holy crap Samus

seriously why aren't we getting Samus facing anyone worth a darn this contest
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#322 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/27/2013 9:15:40 PM | message detail
I don't keep up with Knuckles raps sorry
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#323 | StarStormScream | Posted 8/27/2013 9:16:10 PM | message detail
superange128 posted...
sucks that no one watched/liked Sonic X, Knuckles was there pretty often and quite bro


Too much focus on Chris/human characters...
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#324 | creativename | Posted 8/27/2013 9:16:22 PM | message detail
_SecretSquirrel posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
Well, this match was interesting for a grand total of 0 seconds.


Let's rally porn sites for Catherine.

Wasn't the most popular reddit...reddit thing (I don't know what they're called) ever "jailbait?" That would have been a great place to rally Catherine if reddit didn't finally grow a brain and ban it.
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#325 | xp1337 | Posted 8/27/2013 9:16:37 PM | message detail
To be totally fair, Unknown from M.E. is also a top-tier Knux quote generator.

the mistake is understandable
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#326 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/27/2013 9:16:48 PM | message detail
Time to hype Samus > Mario

>_>
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 101/135 Today's Picks: Samus and Auron
#327 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/27/2013 9:16:51 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
I don't keep up with Knuckles raps sorry


That's cool. I won't let it get to me, I'm just gonna creep.
#328 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/27/2013 9:17:05 PM | message detail
You gotta put most of this on Knuckles. He's getting a piddling 57% on Catherine, someone who he should be expected to double and then some based on Catherine = Neku.
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#329 | ZFS | Posted 8/27/2013 9:17:22 PM | message detail
Samus putting up some good numbers here, even if the competition is junk.
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#330 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 8/27/2013 9:17:24 PM | message detail
Zero Suit Samus is TJF SFFing Catherine. She should be in second.
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#331 | Xuxon | Posted 8/27/2013 9:18:15 PM | message detail
From: Karma Hunter | Posted: 8/28/2013 12:17:05 AM | #328
You gotta put most of this on Knuckles. He's getting a piddling 57% on Catherine, someone who he should be expected to double and then some based on Catherine = Neku.

after the match with Celes? and Neku in KH? no i did not expect Knuckles to double Catherine at all.
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#332 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/27/2013 9:18:30 PM | message detail
The great Emerald's power allows me to feel
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#333 | MoogleKupo141 | Posted 8/27/2013 9:18:33 PM | message detail
creativename posted...
_SecretSquirrel posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
Well, this match was interesting for a grand total of 0 seconds.


Let's rally porn sites for Catherine.

Wasn't the most popular reddit...reddit thing (I don't know what they're called) ever "jailbait?" That would have been a great place to rally Catherine if reddit didn't finally grow a brain and ban it.


Jailbait wasn't nearly the most popular subreddit, it just got a bunch of publicity.
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#334 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/27/2013 9:18:38 PM | message detail
So I guess we should've taken Cecil and Celes doing well as a sign of Knuckles's weakness more than an Old FF Revival, huh
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#335 | NewCastlEmperor | Posted 8/27/2013 9:19:06 PM | message detail
creativename posted...
Wasn't the most popular reddit...reddit thing (I don't know what they're called) ever "jailbait?" That would have been a great place to rally Catherine if SomethingAwful didn't pressure Reddit to ban it.

Fixed to a more accurate history of the events.
#336 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/27/2013 9:19:11 PM | message detail
Holy crap, 61%? With that picture? What a god damn crusher. I really doubt this chick loses to Cloud 1v1 now.
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#337 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/27/2013 9:19:12 PM | message detail
As if Wrex wasn't screwed enough.
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#338 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/27/2013 9:19:14 PM | message detail
I'm gonna put this on Samus SFFing Knux because he looks ridiculously bad.

This means Sonic is basically full-blown Nintendo at this point which could mean bad things for Sonic if he overlaps with Bowser more than Mewtwo.
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#339 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/27/2013 9:19:14 PM | message detail
why is Samus still going up
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#340 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/27/2013 9:19:38 PM | message detail
You gotta put most of this on Knuckles. He's getting a piddling 57% on Catherine, someone who he should be expected to double and then some based on Catherine = Neku.

Yeah, against Catherine Samus does not look too great, but that last update is a step in the right direction.
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Points: 101/135 Today's Picks: Samus and Auron
#341 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/27/2013 9:20:16 PM | message detail
so is anyone ready to take Samus > Mario yet
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#342 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/27/2013 9:20:37 PM | message detail
Well obviously there are mitigating circumstances but the point is Knuckles has looked really bad for awhile now. 52% on Cecil in a day match, looking like Celes would have given him a scare without Seifer, and now a severe underperformance here. Unless Samus does something like beat Mario and Charizard I'm not gonna have faith in the guy going forward.
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#343 | xp1337 | Posted 8/27/2013 9:21:30 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
so is anyone ready to take Samus > Mario yet

we were right all along it was just too early
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#344 | Sorozone | Posted 8/27/2013 9:21:33 PM | message detail
Samus is killing this.
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#345 | ZFS | Posted 8/27/2013 9:22:07 PM | message detail
MegatokyoEd posted...
This means Sonic is basically full-blown Nintendo at this point which could mean bad things for Sonic if he overlaps with Bowser more than Mewtwo.


Yeah, no surprise there. 'Sega' isn't really a thing on GameFAQs, and Sonic has serious ties to Nintendo platforms above all others, so it makes sense that he'd share the same fanbase as other Nintendo characters.
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#346 | The Real Truth | Posted 8/27/2013 9:22:08 PM | message detail
Hell yeah Samus
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#347 | ZFS | Posted 8/27/2013 9:22:54 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
so is anyone ready to take Samus > Mario yet


why do that when Mario would crush harder!
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#348 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/27/2013 9:23:20 PM | message detail
#349 | Xuxon | Posted 8/27/2013 9:23:26 PM | message detail
i dunno... i'd take Alucard over Knux and Samus isn't too far behind Snake. actually this match is mirroring that one scarily closely.
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#350 | Greyfeld | Posted 8/27/2013 9:24:44 PM | message detail | (edited)
Ok, so I'm running some numbers for the next match...

According to 2010 xstats, L-block goes 55/45 on Tails. Also according to 2010 xstats, Ezio loses to Tails 45/55.

However, in this year's match, Ezio beat Tails 60/40.

Which means one of three things: Ezio or Tails has screwed up 2010 stats, Ezio or Tails had a massive popularity swing in the last three years, or Bomberman was a giant anchor around Tails' neck in their match.

Which of these seems the most likely?
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