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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1132
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Wow people still following this match? *checks* Why is G&W 18%??? I didn't predict single digits but this is like 5% more than he should have |
Nanis23 posted... Wow people still following this match? Because he's a Smash character. Hell, Sandbag came in over 20%. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
ChenKenichiFan posted... Has anyone brought up how Blue's easy win here makes things look even harder for Wrex? I have a very hard time seeing the krogan taking first now that we're seeing Blue triple G&W with ease. I doubt Red can muster the same kind of SFF-shellacking on a more prominent Nintendo character in Wario, but Red should be stronger than Blue anyway, and who knows if Wrex is stronger than Drake at all. Yeah, Wrex is doomed. While Wario is stronger than G&W, he's shown repeatedly that he'll fold in the face of Nintendo competition and fold hard. --- http://img571.imageshack.us/img571/9919/leonhart.png |
charmander6000 posted... Why not give byes to the stronger seeds until later rounds ala domestic soccer cups. Round one is for new noms and fodder. Winners get to face midcarders in round 2. Winners there face near elites in round 3. Finally have the elites/noble 9 enter in round 4. The "seeding" would be based on strength not nominations. So someone like ryu wouldn't get put into round 1 because of low nominations. He would enter in round 3 because he'd easily beat 90-100% of round 1 and 2 entrants. --- If we smell the roses and sip some Champagne, so be it; if not, thats life. |
Hey,
I'm not convinced Wrex isn't significantly above Drake. Wario will
probably hold up better than G&W, so Wrex has a chance depending how
much he can beat Drake by. ...the more pressing issue is I've never bought Blue > Red or even Blue = Red, so that probably shuts it down right there. --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
I'm thinking Wario may fold worse than G&W to SFF, even if he's naturally stronger. No one actually likes Wario. --- Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick your 7 time champion, Link. |
Trend chart from the night match: Time | Sora | Gilga | Yoshi | Votes 0:05 | 50.72% | 33.52% | 15.76% | 698 1:00 | 52.05% | 30.37% | 17.59% | 4515 2:00 | 50.49% | 31.08% | 18.43% | 2648 3:00 | 49.74% | 30.43% | 19.83% | 1952 4:00 | 46.82% | 31.41% | 21.77% | 1557 5:00 | 44.22% | 33.81% | 21.97% | 1393 6:00 | 45.31% | 33.55% | 21.14% | 1258 7:00 | 46.78% | 31.55% | 21.67% | 1477 8:00 | 48.14% | 32.97% | 18.89% | 1747 9:00 | 50.79% | 31.68% | 17.52% | 2020 10:00 | 48.81% | 32.03% | 19.16% | 2020 11:00 | 51.24% | 31.42% | 17.34% | 2018 12:00 | 49.68% | 30.79% | 19.53% | 1900 Stop me when you've heard this one before: Sora struggles with the night vote. Nobody's looking forward to 24 hour matches more than he is! X-Stats: Sora 50.00% Scorpion 42.78% Gilgamesh 38.95% Booker DeWitt 32.34% Aya Brea 27.98% Yoshimitsu 27.95% Lu Bu 24.23% Groose 20.50% Kaim Argonar 14.19% Sora's prediction percentage was 60.10% --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
KamikazePotato posted... This is a good result for Blue. People underestimate Pac-man's strength - Mewtwo got 'only' 62% on him back in 2008. Blue is currently getting 59% on a slightly stronger character, and that's with MGAW in the poll. That implies Mewtwo had a fair match with Pac-Man, which is deceptive. Are you using the Mewtwo who faced Ness, or the Mewtwo who faced Midna? http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3267 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3287 Mewtwo had handicaps too, and his leeches were stronger than Mr. Game And Watch. This is an fine win for Blue...but this isn't on Mewtwo's level. --- T H E S T A B L E - bring on Epona! http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg |
Hey, Wario *did* beat Captain Falcon in a Nintendo SFF fest. ...I'm utterly shocked that he did and am still kind of confused as to how that result happened, but he did it! --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
Current X-Stats: Pokemon Trainer Blue 50.00% Fox McCloud 47.79% Nathan Drake 41.39% Pac-Man 39.85% Mr. Game & Watch 27.50% Lee Everett 26.57% Steve 26.25% Meat Boy 20.24% Wolf ODonnell 13.86% --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Karma Hunter posted... Hey, Wario *did* beat Captain Falcon in a Nintendo SFF fest. While he was getting doubled by Fox, to boot! --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
Although Wario probably won because Fox sapped Falcon's Smash support. He's a lot more tied to Fox than Wario is. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
red sox 777 posted... I'm thinking Wario may fold worse than G&W to SFF, even if he's naturally stronger. No one actually likes Wario. I like Wario :< As one of Nintendo's very few antiheroes, I find Wario to be an interesting change of pace from other Nintendo heroes. His games are pretty fun too. I always found it a shame Wario did so poorly in these contests. Then again, I also like Vyse, Edgeworth, Laharl, Robotnik, and Ramza, so I'm used to seeing characters I like flop by now. At least Bowser does well. --- And then the car wash cost five dollars. |
Gooper Blooper posted... red sox 777 posted...I'm thinking Wario may fold worse than G&W to SFF, even if he's naturally stronger. No one actually likes Wario. On the subject of Robotnik, I'm kinda shocked he didn't make it in again before this contest. --- "Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
Greyfeld posted... I still think we need an Inanimate Object Contest! Portal Gun Is it sad that I want to see this contest? L-Block, ? Block and Portal Gun would be strong contenders for the title. --- "The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad |
HaRRicH posted... KamikazePotato posted...This is a good result for Blue. People underestimate Pac-man's strength - Mewtwo got 'only' 62% on him back in 2008. Blue is currently getting 59% on a slightly stronger character, and that's with MGAW in the poll. I looked at that, and I think Blue is probably being hurt here more than Mewtwo was there, at least in relation to Pac-man. While Ness is a worse anchor than MGAW, Drake very much stands out in this poll as the only non-Nintendo, non-cutesy option, while Pac-man sorta overlaps with everyone. I don't think it makes a huge difference either way as Pokemon is traditionally just good at avoiding significant overlap period, but yeah. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Hey,Gravity Gun was the biggest thing before the Portal Gun They can be pretty similar in strength...but I believe Portal Gun will SFF Gravity Gun into the ground in a direct match (yeah you heard it guns SFF each other) |
swirIdude posted... Greyfeld posted...I still think we need an Inanimate Object Contest! No matter how many blocks you enter into the contest, Master Sword will always end up winning. Of course, going 55-45 in the finals with Materia :P --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
Catching up on Chester stats Aya and Yoshimitsu are the first two characters not in the same match that needed to be rounded to the fourth decimal. Leon - 4.35’ Gordon - 3.67’ Shadow - 2.94’ Wesker - 2.39’ Simon - 2.05’ Yu - 1.93’ Oliver - 1.76’ Kat - 1.04’ Hades - 1.00’ Pikachu - 9.86’ Crono - 8.47’ Lloyd - 4.40’ Big Daddy - 4.37’ Magus - 2.62’ Missile - 2.59’ Kerrigan - 2.39’ Otacon - 1.86’ Jade - 1.00’ Sora - 7.04’ Scorpion - 5.26’ Gilgamesh - 4.49’ Booker - 3.19’ Aya - 2.73(4)’ Yoshimitsu - 2.73(1)’ Lu Bu - 2.09’ Groose - 1.58’ Kaim - 1.00’ --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0 |
3-ways with a Buster Sword, Masamune, and Master Sword final Master Sword wins via FFVII LFF --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1248835958206.png |
LeonhartFour posted... 3-ways with a Buster Sword, Masamune, and Master Sword final I don't know, Masamune was also Frog's sword in CT. Could get a double fanbase boost! --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
Fayt_Esteed posted... That's true. No matter the bracket size, fodder's bound to worm its way in. We've had Guybrush make his way into 64 character brackets before, so even a 64 character bracket won't keep the fodder out. A 64 character bracket would really punish FF7 characters besides Cloud and Sephiroth. Vincent, Tifa, and Aeris would have a difficult time getting into a 64 character bracket if they are splitting nominations with all the other FF7 characters, while they have an easier time getting into a 128 character bracket. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Whether
it's a 64 or 128-character or game bracket, every entrant who is above
the fodder-line should automatically get in. It should be announced
before the nominations begin who/what is automatically in. The rest
should be determined by nominations. I don't know how seeding would be
determined for automatic entrants, maybe based on previous results
somehow. --- POKEFEAR |
Greyfeld posted... I don't know, Masamune was also Frog's sword in CT. Could get a double fanbase boost! Depends on the match pic! Masamune could get hurt because people saw a picture of Frog's Masamune on the front page and they were like "It looks nothing like Sephiroth's Masamune! Who's responsible for this pic sabotage?!" --- http://img.imgcake.com/leonpngpe.png http://img.imgcake.com/squalloweenpngem.png |
1337gamerpr0 posted... Division Finals and onward are 24 hours, that's 71 days not counting bonus matches I would prefer to start the 24-hour matches in round 4 (the Division Finals) because that's only a 71 day contest. If we started the 24-hour matches in round 3, it results in a 79 day contest, which I think is a little too long. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
I'd rather have them happen sooner than later --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 98/129 Today's Picks: Sora and Fox McCloud |
LeonhartFour posted... Greyfeld posted...I don't know, Masamune was also Frog's sword in CT. Could get a double fanbase boost! lol are you sure that many people would even recognize it? Seems like the name itself would garner the bulk of the votes. I really think this sort of contest could be interesting. There are going to be some power houses (Master Sword is obviously going to be a Link proxy), but there are a lot of items that could shake things up. Phoenix Down vs. 1-Up Mushroom Samus' Power Suit vs. Halo Armor Gold Ring (Sonic) vs. Gold Coin (Mario) Pokeball vs. Blitzball Admittedly, the naming scheme would have to be tweaked a bit for recognizability, since some of the in-game item names are a little generic when pulled out of context. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
Whether
it's a 64 or 128-character or game bracket, every entrant who is above
the fodder-line should automatically get in. It should be announced
before the nominations begin who/what is automatically in. The rest
should be determined by nominations. I don't know how seeding would be
determined for automatic entrants, maybe based on previous results
somehow. In my younger days I always felt that if you can make it to the third round you deserve to return, even if your 4-pack was weak. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 98/129 Today's Picks: Sora and Fox McCloud |
-LusterSoldier- posted... Fayt_Esteed posted...That's true. No matter the bracket size, fodder's bound to worm its way in. The first part is no different from what I'm saying. As to the rest, that only proves that people should focus more nominations on certain characters. --- "Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
Pikachu is worth more Chesters than all others? --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Basing
whether characters return on past performances is idiotic. What about
old Square, for instance? They've gone from stinking up the joint to
dominating! And then there's Pikachu, who was pathetic before 2007 came
around. And that's before we go into weird matches and SFF fests! I mean, X and Ryu certainly don't look like they deserve to return next contest! --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Is it just me, or is Blue dropping? Also, what percent does he currently have on Drake? --- "Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
Yes, Blue is dropping due to normal trends. I'm sure you can work out his percentage on Drake yourself. --- Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick your 7 time champion, Link. |
Seanchan posted... The "seeding" would be based on strength not nominations. So someone like ryu wouldn't get put into round 1 because of low nominations. He would enter in round 3 because he'd easily beat 90-100% of round 1 and 2 entrants. this is incredibly arbitrary, how do we determine "strength" |
1337gamerpr0 posted... Seanchan posted...The "seeding" would be based on strength not nominations. So someone like ryu wouldn't get put into round 1 because of low nominations. He would enter in round 3 because he'd easily beat 90-100% of round 1 and 2 entrants. With X-Stats that are clearly not flawed in any way. --- "The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad |
red sox 777 posted... Yes, Blue is dropping due to normal trends. I'm sure you can work out his percentage on Drake yourself. Isn't it a "day match" currently? I know Pokemon is supposed to drop during the night but this is a day match we are talking about |
Day
matches being at noon, the height of the day vote. Without a real ASV
anymore, day characters tend to drop as a day match progresses. --- Congratulations to SuperNiceDog, Guru Winner, who was smart enough to pick your 7 time champion, Link. |
Looks like Blue won't be looking good coming out of this... --- "Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
Score-Brackets-% Right 116----1------------100.00 115----0------------0.00 114----0------------0.00 113----2------------100.00 112----2------------100.00 111----1------------100.00 110----8------------100.00 109----7------------85.71 108----13----------100.00 107----29----------96.55 106----45----------100.00 105----57----------100.00 104----74----------97.30 103----65----------96.92 102----78----------100.00 101----86----------93.02 100----91----------92.31 99------93----------92.47 98------116--------91.38 97------151--------90.07 96------156--------83.97 95------173--------80.92 94------216--------82.41 93------234--------81.20 92------271--------82.29 91------337--------79.23 90------371--------75.74 89------399--------80.20 88------427--------76.35 87------455--------72.75 86------531--------72.32 85------541--------71.72 84------536--------69.96 83------532--------67.48 82------535--------70.28 81------526--------66.35 80------531--------67.42 79------496--------63.91 78------468--------62.18 77------509--------57.76 76------445--------54.16 75------413--------50.12 74------349--------53.58 73------365--------48.77 72------351--------47.29 71------278--------44.60 70------278--------49.28 69------249--------43.37 68------246--------41.06 67------220--------40.91 66------196--------41.33 65------165--------35.76 64------163--------38.65 63------194--------41.24 62------146--------34.25 61------162--------35.19 60------177--------33.90 59------132--------31.06 58------125--------36.00 57------126--------32.54 56------94----------38.30 55------94----------22.34 54------112--------29.46 53------86----------19.77 52------80----------23.75 51------74----------32.43 50------60----------26.67 49------63----------26.98 48------53----------26.42 47------60----------30.00 46------51----------21.57 45------57----------29.82 44------45----------11.11 43------48----------20.83 42------21----------14.29 41------30----------20.00 40------30----------26.67 39------32----------21.88 38------19----------5.26 37------26----------19.23 36------23----------17.39 35------22----------13.64 34------12----------25.00 33------12----------0.00 32------8------------12.50 31------13----------15.38 30------7------------0.00 29------6------------0.00 28------3------------0.00 27------4------------0.00 26------1------------100.00 25------11----------9.09 24------2------------0.00 23------3------------0.00 22------3------------33.33 21------1------------0.00 20------5------------20.00 19------1------------0.00 18------1------------0.00 17------1------------0.00 16------0------------0.00 15------0------------0.00 14------1------------0.00 13------4------------25.00 Omitted scores got it wrong. Strong support for Sora in the top tiers and still quite good in the middle tiers. More or less as expected. 1 person fell off the Top 49. Tirofog did not have Sora winning. --- Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place Pokemon VGC2013 Worlds LCQ - Top 32 |
Fayt_Esteed posted... Is it just me, or is Blue dropping? Also, what percent does he currently have on Drake? 58 ish. 2k10 Red vs 2k10 Drake is a 61/39 affair. So I guess it depends on how much Drake has boosted (if at all) as to whether this is bad or not. If Drake is static then it puts Blue at aroun the Zidane/Marth/Yuna/Altair 2k10 area. --- Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time |
Missingno > Squall DAT PIC --- Not changing this sig until the Bengals, Bills, 49ers and Lions win the Super Bowl (10/10/10) Professional UotY Mentor to Leo3Leo, McFlubbin and Jeff Zero |
Speaking of no ASV: Gilgamesh was stable with the morning vote and ended very close to his peak percentage. His U.S. percentage was less than 1% behind worldwide, but his Canadian percentage was way above it and he did fairly well in Latin America too. Asia going to sleep would have been good for Gilgamesh and bad for Sora. Sora was gaining a little towards the end but almost all of it was coming out of Yoshimitsu. Without a notable ASV anymore, is there much reason to think Sora would have notably improved with a 24 hour match? Even if he finishes at 62.5% on Gilgamesh instead of 61%, that still sounds really bad. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
Missingno YES --- Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham We'll get 'em next year. |
Kibosh
officially put on the Zelda upset, as if Charizard needed any more
help. And ZSS + blonde ditz LFF! C'mon, Knuckles, you can pull a miracle
out of your spines, right...? --- http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) |
well im sure the ASV is far less then it used to be, it should be noted that not all schools have started yet --- "L-Block 2007 Character Battle Champion"Always remember "L-Block, shaped like a boot to kick your ass" |
Reminder: Drake was behind Link/Luigi SFF in 2010. Same with Amaterasu and The Boss, who both did much better than expected. --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Catherine stands out..not like it matters though L-Block "faceshot" lol Yuna looks like she is from hentai or something Missingno...like L-block,I lold Wrex..I never played ME but he looks bad? don't know if Red picture is good or not..I liked it What the hell is that Zelda picture? I wouldn't call it sabotage but..from what game is this artwork? Charizard looks amazing |
Wait,does Charizard ever say..Charizard? it's random growling from what I remember |
Nanis23 posted... Wait,does Charizard ever say..Charizard? it's random growling from what I remember He doesn't as far as I know. --- Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place Pokemon VGC2013 Worlds LCQ - Top 32 |
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