Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1130

#151 | creativename | Posted 8/25/2013 10:44:48 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
We'll be hearing a lot of laughter from Magus tomorrow, I imagine.

Haha. Took me a second to get this. Well played.
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#152 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2013 10:46:20 PM | message detail
Even if Link pulls the miracle and beats Draven through some kind of ridiculous series of events it's probably still going to backfire on me and the Snake brigade by returning him to his old form as he's hailed the savior of GameFAQs for the rest of the contest. augh dammit Draven
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#153 | Xuxon | Posted 8/25/2013 10:46:29 PM | message detail
From: creativename | Posted: 8/26/2013 1:43:28 AM | #150
And Snake should be the favorite in the final with Mario there. No one cares about poor Snake even in his shining moment of glory though, because people don't really care about much of anything anymore. Welcome to ApathyFAQs.

the fact that he can't actually win will do that
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#154 | xp1337 | Posted 8/25/2013 10:46:56 PM | message detail
That's why Crono/Pikachu/Magus should be even more hyped!

I mean, what else do we have?

At least, that's how I've looked at it since then, but admittedly this was going to be my most hyped match even if X and Ryu beat Draven. I've definitely committed to it more since though!
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#155 | pjbasis | Posted 8/25/2013 10:47:29 PM | message detail
Bad result has a silver lining.

Squirtle - 17.71¢
Dante - 12.67¢
Zidane - 9.79¢
Ramza - 8.36¢
Ridley - 8.22¢
Laharl - 5.40¢
JC - 3.71¢
Raz - 3.02¢
Dancin' - 1.00¢


Extrapolation based on the bonus match coming soon!
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#156 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2013 10:48:06 PM | message detail
I'm willing to call Crono/Pikachu/Magus the contest final if you all are. It's as legitimate as anything else!
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#157 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2013 10:49:06 PM | message detail
And whoa Ramza beating Ridley is kind of... nutso. Is Ramza now honorary Old Square or something?
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#158 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/25/2013 10:49:27 PM | message detail
Cloud/Snake was shaping up to be the contest final after Draven went nuts, but then after Cloud went and laid an egg this round, that's looking to be awfully anticlimactic as well.

Biggest potential match left could be Sephy/Big Boss/Kirby.
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#159 | Xuxon | Posted 8/25/2013 10:49:53 PM | message detail
From: xp1337 | Posted: 8/26/2013 1:46:56 AM | #154
That's why Crono/Pikachu/Magus should be even more hyped!

I mean, what else do we have?

At least, that's how I've looked at it since then, but admittedly this was going to be my most hyped match even if X and Ryu beat Draven. I've definitely committed to it more since though!

a lot of that hype had to do with how the division winner would affect Cloud/Snake. Snake beating Cloud should no longer be in doubt even if Pikachu somehow came out of there.
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#160 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/25/2013 10:50:11 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
And whoa Ramza beating Ridley is kind of... nutso. Is Ramza now honorary Old Square or something?


Could be a red flag...!
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#161 | Xuxon | Posted 8/25/2013 10:50:39 PM | message detail
i still say MM has a chance against Zard... and Mario <_<
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#162 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/25/2013 10:52:08 PM | message detail
Mario might be lucky to get that far...!

Kinda torn on whether I want Wrex to win because it's Wrex or if I want to get my hopes up only to have them dashed with a Squall/Mario/Red match.
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#163 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2013 10:52:22 PM | message detail
Ramza > Ridley seems like a fraudulent result that I wouldn't take, but that's probably from Zidane being minorly LPFed or something. Even if Squirtle roided between rounds and is currently artificially inflated, it's not like he won't do that next round against Cloud.
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#164 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/25/2013 10:53:55 PM | message detail
Well yeah, Squirtle's going to repeat that performance next round (and might even jump it up a notch). Just saying this might not be completely natural Squirtle strength at this point!
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#165 | pjbasis | Posted 8/25/2013 10:54:34 PM | message detail
No guys, Zidane might only 55/45 Ramza come on
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#166 | pjbasis | Posted 8/25/2013 10:54:43 PM | message detail
And maybe with rSFF....
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#167 | creativename | Posted 8/25/2013 10:55:16 PM | message detail
Xuxon posted...
From: creativename | Posted: 8/26/2013 1:43:28 AM | #150
And Snake should be the favorite in the final with Mario there. No one cares about poor Snake even in his shining moment of glory though, because people don't really care about much of anything anymore. Welcome to ApathyFAQs.

the fact that he can't actually win will do that

Well...yes. That's what I'm saying. This should be Snake's time to hog the spotlight, and he's being robbed of it by a character no one ever heard of before. Hence, no one giving a damn about anything.

That Crono/Pikachu is the next match yet this topic is still moving so slowly is amazing.

Karma Hunter posted...
And whoa Ramza beating Ridley is kind of... nutso. Is Ramza now honorary Old Square or something?

A FFT boost would be so cool.

God Tactics was such a great game. I need to replay it one of these days.

Is there anything like a patched translation of Tactics? Are there ways to play a PSX disc on your PC using an emulator or something? I still remember how unbelievably awful the translation for that game was. Square must have gone the cheap route and hired a random intern to do the translation.
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#168 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/25/2013 10:56:00 PM | message detail
Hey, I'm all for Ramza making a big leap in strength as much as anyone here. Just saying going from 50/50 on Laharl to 62% on Laharl and 50/50 on Ridley is a little strange.
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#169 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/25/2013 10:56:48 PM | message detail
creativename posted...
Is there anything like a patched translation of Tactics?


Square put out a new translation for the PSP port.

I hope you like really flowery language!
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#170 | xp1337 | Posted 8/25/2013 10:58:51 PM | message detail
Speaking of the next match.

I assume the Stats Topic can be treated as the unofficial ~Crono Support Base~, right?

we might need it
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#171 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2013 10:59:24 PM | message detail
Gordon is stalling out Leon hard for the last twenty minutes. But I... think he's okay? Leon should have suffered the bulk of any pic impact at this point I imagine.

Ah whateva let's just skip to Crono/Pikachu/Magus
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#172 | Xuxon | Posted 8/25/2013 11:00:21 PM | message detail
From: creativename | Posted: 8/26/2013 1:55:16 AM | #167
Is there anything like a patched translation of Tactics? Are there ways to play a PSX disc on your PC using an emulator or something? I still remember how unbelievably awful the translation for that game was. Square must have gone the cheap route and hired a random intern to do the translation.

PS1 emulation has been around since it was the current console generation. i don't know if there's a patch, but recently a good PSP emulator finally came out if you want to play the updated translation.
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#173 | creativename | Posted 8/25/2013 11:01:07 PM | message detail
Xuxon posted...
a lot of that hype had to do with how the division winner would affect Cloud/Snake. Snake beating Cloud should no longer be in doubt even if Pikachu somehow came out of there.

If Pikachu somehow made it past Sora despite *Blue* being in the match (I'm assuming he makes it past Drake), then Pikachu would definitely be a threat to Snake's ability to beat Cloud. Because that would be one roided to the gills Pikachu.

The rat could very well split Cloud's anti-votes with Snake bad enough to let Cloud eek out a win in a 24 hour match. The rat could also split some of Snake's Nintendo support - which would be a small amount, but with Pikachu there the Cloud/Snake match could be close enough that even a small thing makes the difference.

Snake definitely does not want Pikachu in that match, especially since it would take a roided Pikachu to beat Sora with Blue present.
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#174 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2013 11:01:15 PM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
Speaking of the next match.

I assume the Stats Topic can be treated as the unofficial ~Crono Support Base~, right?

we might need it


Normally I'd be all behind you but now I've got a metaphorical testicle on the line. You don't play around with that s***!

...still might be worth it to see Pikachu go down.
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#175 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2013 11:03:10 PM | message detail
Ugh for someone up 54-46 you are not making me feel good about this Leon
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#176 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/25/2013 11:05:23 PM | message detail
why are you being so paranoid
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#177 | Xuxon | Posted 8/25/2013 11:05:25 PM | message detail
From: creativename | Posted: 8/26/2013 2:01:07 AM | #173
Xuxon posted...
a lot of that hype had to do with how the division winner would affect Cloud/Snake. Snake beating Cloud should no longer be in doubt even if Pikachu somehow came out of there.

If Pikachu somehow made it past Sora despite *Blue* being in the match (I'm assuming he makes it past Drake), then Pikachu would definitely be a threat to Snake's ability to beat Cloud. Because that would be one roided to the gills Pikachu.

The rat could very well split Cloud's anti-votes with Snake bad enough to let Cloud eek out a win in a 24 hour match. The rat could also split some of Snake's Nintendo support - which would be a small amount, but with Pikachu there the Cloud/Snake match could be close enough that even a small thing makes the difference.

Snake definitely does not want Pikachu in that match, especially since it would take a roided Pikachu to beat Sora with Blue present.

i was speaking more hypothetically. like just pretend Blue isn't in that part of the bracket at all and it's some fodder Nathan Drake can beat, to artificially get Pikachu in that match. if Pikachu could actually beat Sora with Blue there then it'd have to be a big rally and it would be a threat to Snake on its own.
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#178 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2013 11:09:39 PM | message detail
Leon's been increasing his lead by an average of 4 votes per update for the past half hour I can't afford to have the momentum shift any more than this!
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#179 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2013 11:10:40 PM | message detail
Dammit Leon that was THREE votes wrong way
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#180 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/25/2013 11:13:08 PM | message detail
FIRST STEAM RALLY SPOTTED

ohohohoh jk KH oh man THE LOOK ON YOUR FACE
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#181 | Xuxon | Posted 8/25/2013 11:14:25 PM | message detail
Captain Falcon had about this big of a lead and these two are certainly no Alucard/Falcon with trends
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#182 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2013 11:14:38 PM | message detail
I better not be the Cassandra of the Stats Topic all of a sudden

I just want Leon to have a good update soon is that TOO much to ask
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#183 | Xuxon | Posted 8/25/2013 11:15:09 PM | message detail
#184 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2013 11:15:24 PM | message detail
AUGH

AUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUGH
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#185 | pjbasis | Posted 8/25/2013 11:15:48 PM | message detail
Pokemon is in for a rude awakening


Sonic - 46.03¢
Barret - 26.22¢
Dracula - 24.01¢
Mewtwo - 23.30¢
Squirtle - 21.96¢
Layton - 16.35¢
Phoenix - 15.74¢
Dante - 15.72¢
Lucina - 14.21¢
Fei - 14.00¢
Vincent - 13.58¢
Marth - 12.82¢
Zidane - 12.14¢
Ramza - 10.37¢
Ridley - 10.19¢
Reimu - 9.85¢
Dan - 9.39¢
KOS-MOS - 9.11¢
Nightmare - 6.97¢
Laharl - 6.70¢
JC - 4.60¢
Zero - 4.19¢
Raz - 3.75¢
Caim - 2.74¢
Dunban - 2.69¢
Dancin' - 1.24¢
Chester - 1.00¢
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#186 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/25/2013 11:17:30 PM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
Sonic - 46.03¢
Barret - 26.22¢
Dracula - 24.01¢
Mewtwo - 23.30¢
Squirtle - 21.96¢


...Barret could be the strongest FFVII character by the time the stats play out
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#187 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/25/2013 11:20:17 PM | message detail
#188 | pjbasis | Posted 8/25/2013 11:20:24 PM | message detail
I think the funniest thing is that Caim looks overrated by the bonus match
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#189 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2013 11:20:46 PM | message detail
HOORAY a good update, the system works

time to not look at this poll again
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#190 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/25/2013 11:21:11 PM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
I think the funniest thing is that Caim looks overrated by the bonus match


That makes sense, actually.
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#191 | vcharon | Posted 8/25/2013 11:21:16 PM | message detail
Too bad Dunban couldn't have got into the bonus match, Xenoblade could have finally won!
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#192 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/25/2013 11:25:41 PM | message detail
#193 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 8/25/2013 11:41:48 PM | message detail
Phoenix over Dante, let's do this!
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#194 | creativename | Posted 8/26/2013 12:16:07 AM | message detail
Alright, so I made a page where you can copy&paste the source code for the leaderboard and it will give you your Expert Challenge Ranking.

If there's any bugs, email me. Here's the link:

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/65
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#195 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/26/2013 12:20:42 AM | message detail
Leon just killing it now.
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#196 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 8/26/2013 12:24:30 AM | message detail
Why are there 21 people with 399 points.

How did that happen to be such a popular score
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#197 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/26/2013 12:27:27 AM | message detail
So I just saw last night's results.

8 years ago, I had a dream. That Crono could beat Sephiroth. Now.....

Samus got 70% on Frog.
Mario got 59% on Samus.
Mario got 54% on Crono.

Cloud got 65% on Frog.

Forget Sephiroth. Cloud, it's on!

Ah, if only there weren't a Snake in the way between Crono and contest glory! Can we replace Samus with Snake? Then we can have Cloud/Crono/Samus and Mario/Snake.
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#198 | red sox 777 | Posted 8/26/2013 12:33:57 AM | message detail
For 8 hours from now:

Do CT voters know how to fall in line like Nintendo voters? They know how to rally like Ninty characters, and they care enough to rally in close matches, so I hope the answer is yes. Unlike the FFVII fanbase which has completed failed in this respect.

As for SFF power, remember Crono got 79% on Kefka in 2003. Magus was a lot stronger than Kefka back then- Magus beat Ganondorf while Kefka barely beat Pac-Man. As late as 2005, Magus was extrapolated to around 40% on Crono through Knuckles, Squall, and Vincent. Now, Magus is probably weaker than Kefka, Crono should have more SFF power against someone from his own game, and it will be a 3 way that everyone knows is Crono vs. Pikachu in reality. I can see Crono breaking 80% on Magus.
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#199 | creativename | Posted 8/26/2013 12:34:35 AM | message detail
Then00bAvenger posted...
Why are there 21 people with 399 points.

How did that happen to be such a popular score

The most popular score is 3 points, which has 485 people.

What's amazing about that is that a measly 3 points puts you at almost the 21st percentile!!

And it only takes 25 points to be above half the people.

By my guess, of the 7415 people that seem to have filled out an Expert bracket, less than 10% are actively still filling it out. Probably more like 5% - 5% of the people have 300 or more points, and I would think you'd need at least that many to be a serious Expert competitor who has filled out each match. (or else you really really suck)
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#200 | creativename | Posted 8/26/2013 12:39:31 AM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
Unlike the FFVII fanbase which has completed failed in this respect.

Yes that's the strange thing, it would seem all FF7 fans are "casual" types who don't care enough about their characters winning to actually do something about it. The notion of a FF7 rally of any significance is almost comical. (and any FF7 rallies that may occur are probably more due to brackets than fandom)

Which makes it even more impressive - FF7 fans don't give much of a crap whether they actually win or not, yet they still "always win"!

I mean even Link gets some strength from rallying...FF7 relies on pure brute force alone.
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