Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1130

#1 | LeonhartFour | Posted 8/25/2013 8:42:03 PM | message detail
I am a Shadow, the true self. You're not even good enough to be my fa--

http://24.media.tumblr.com/d9f7e6db4642262b6081f39f60adaa5f/tumblr_mqdn4mIBm21swdxsyo1_400.gif

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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#2 | The Real Truth | Posted 8/25/2013 8:42:40 PM | message detail
I'm really worried about this picture Leon received.
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Tornadoman78:
tornadoman and tornadogirl like to kick box each other in my tornaolayzers and she dosent even mind getting hit
#3 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/25/2013 8:43:19 PM | message detail
I've received no picture.

I did receive a threatening letter though.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1248835958206.png
#4 | raginbull911 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:00:49 PM | message detail
Shadow the Hedgehog
27.27%
6 Votes

Leon Kennedy
36.36%
8 Votes

Gordon Freeman
36.36%
8 Votes
Your Pick

GFAW?
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I pwn you all!
#5 | hylianknight3 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:01:14 PM | message detail
Ultimate Life Form?

Shadow the Hedgehog
34.65%
35 Votes
Your Pick

Leon Kennedy
33.66%
34 Votes

Gordon Freeman
31.68%
32 Votes
#6 | paulg235 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:01:17 PM | message detail
lol Gordon
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Allen didn't screw VV, Phoenix Wright didn't screw VV, Mewtwo certainly did not screw VV,
nor did paulg screw VV. Vincent Valentine screwed Vincent Valentine.
#7 | Qwaar | Posted 8/25/2013 9:01:20 PM | message detail
This is gonna be a close one. Many brackets may suffer today.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#8 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:01:33 PM | message detail
Damn it, knew Freeman would somehow out-choke Shadow
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 92/117 Today's Picks: Leon Kennedy and Crono
#9 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/25/2013 9:01:40 PM | message detail
Gordon refusing to face himself.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
#10 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:01:40 PM | message detail
Screw it.

GO SHADOW
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RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
#11 | LOLContests | Posted 8/25/2013 9:01:43 PM | message detail
Go go Shadow.

This year really is Redemption of the Chokers isn't it?
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"What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!"
This is Yesmar.
#12 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/25/2013 9:01:51 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted


Shadow the Hedgehog
33.58%
90 Votes
Your Pick

Leon Kennedy
35.82%
96 Votes

Gordon Freeman
30.6%
82 Votes
Total Votes: 268
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#13 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2013 9:02:00 PM | message detail
Ohhhhhhh Shadow is going to beat Leon Kennedy isn't he

...Cloud is saved
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http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#14 | raytan7585 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:02:03 PM | message detail
Shadow the Hedgehog
27.27%
3 Votes

Leon Kennedy
36.36%
4 Votes
Your Pick

Gordon Freeman
36.36%
4 Votes
Total Votes: 11
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=baUY9LFlYh0 - KokorokokoroKOKOROkokoROKokoro-chan iu na
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/raytan7585
#15 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/25/2013 9:02:07 PM | message detail
2003 Shadow is back!
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Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
#16 | swordz9 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:02:08 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted

Shadow the Hedgehog
33.33%
5 Votes
Your Pick

Leon Kennedy
33.33%
5 Votes

Gordon Freeman
33.33%
5 Votes
Total Votes: 15
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http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9
#17 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/25/2013 9:02:15 PM | message detail
Current result is good one for Tidus, stats topic regular says
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http://i.imgur.com/kCpvD.gif
#18 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 8/25/2013 9:02:19 PM | message detail
LOLContests posted...
Go go Shadow.

This year really is Redemption of the Chokers isn't it?


Dante JUST got blown up by Squirttle
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Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (is also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
#19 | ninkendo | Posted 8/25/2013 9:02:43 PM | message detail
#20 | The Real Truth | Posted 8/25/2013 9:02:48 PM | message detail
**** you Shadow stay ahead of Gordon
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Tornadoman78:
tornadoman and tornadogirl like to kick box each other in my tornaolayzers and she dosent even mind getting hit
#21 | Qwaar | Posted 8/25/2013 9:03:01 PM | message detail
Gordon should have Shadow shortly.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#22 | CrushDavis | Posted 8/25/2013 9:03:09 PM | message detail
#23 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 8/25/2013 9:03:10 PM | message detail
Leon taking off now.
#24 | sonicgamer262 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:03:15 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted


Shadow the Hedgehog
34.07%
31 Votes
Your Pick

Leon Kennedy
32.97%
30 Votes

Gordon Freeman
32.97%
30 Votes
Total Votes: 91

Yay for temporary winning Shadow!
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"Do you know who I am!?" - Sonic The Hedgehog
#25 | creativename | Posted 8/25/2013 9:03:28 PM | message detail
Blah, I was nervous about Shadow taking 2nd here. Hopefully Gordon just had a bad board vote.

Nope, BioWare said no more Shep.

And another Western character bites the dust.
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#26 | superange128 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:03:30 PM | message detail
I think Sonic characters in general are doing pretty well this year

Tails aside I guess
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#27 | Fayt_Esteed | Posted 8/25/2013 9:03:32 PM | message detail
Shadow the Hedgehog
32.59%
131 Votes
Vote Shadow!


Leon Kennedy
36.82%
148 Votes
Vote Leon!


Gordon Freeman
30.6%
123 Votes
Vote Freeman!

Welp, looks like when it comes to getting out of the second round, GFNW.
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"Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
#28 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:03:33 PM | message detail
Think Gordon will be okay in the end.
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We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
#29 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/25/2013 9:03:38 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Current result is good one for Tidus, stats topic regular says


A good result for Tidus is a good result for Missingno!
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#30 | charmander6000 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:03:40 PM | message detail
Freeman going even now
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 92/117 Today's Picks: Leon Kennedy and Crono
#31 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/25/2013 9:03:52 PM | message detail
Leon pulling away.
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http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg
#32 | superange128 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:04:04 PM | message detail
creativename posted...
Blah, I was nervous about Shadow taking 2nd here. Hopefully Gordon just had a bad board vote.

Nope, BioWare said no more Shep.

And another Western character bites the dust.


eh Shepard seems like one of those character memorable enough to stay consistent for at least 3 more years to me
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#33 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2013 9:04:11 PM | message detail
No clue on who should have the board vote. This should be interesting.
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http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#34 | Qwaar | Posted 8/25/2013 9:04:16 PM | message detail
Gordon leads.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#35 | Sorozone | Posted 8/25/2013 9:04:37 PM | message detail
#36 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/25/2013 9:04:40 PM | message detail
Shadow the Hedgehog
31.51%
144 Votes
Your Pick

Leon Kennedy
37.86%
173 Votes

Gordon Freeman
30.63%
140 Votes
Total Votes: 457
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Shadow the Hedgehog
29.94%
194 Votes
Your Pick

Leon Kennedy
39.97%
259 Votes

Gordon Freeman
30.09%
195 Votes
Total Votes: 648
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Shadow the Hedgehog
30.06%
208 Votes
Your Pick

Leon Kennedy
40.03%
277 Votes

Gordon Freeman
29.91%
207 Votes
Total Votes: 692

Wow, seriously still no freeze?
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#37 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/25/2013 9:04:43 PM | message detail
I can't believe this. Does Board 8 have such awful taste these days that Shadow the Hedgehog wins the board vote? What happened here?
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#38 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 8/25/2013 9:05:08 PM | message detail
Given the picture, I'd consider this a great job from Leon if he manages to win easily. He just looks so bad on the front page.
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Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/a4GuDV3.gif
#39 | Karma Hunter | Posted 8/25/2013 9:05:18 PM | message detail
Also if you people made Shadow the Hedgehog win the board vote I'm going to die laughing
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http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
Proud to share the same sig as Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
#40 | pjbasis | Posted 8/25/2013 9:05:30 PM | message detail
Shadow's done if he can't lead here.
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SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#41 | The Real Truth | Posted 8/25/2013 9:05:38 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
I can't believe this. Does Board 8 have such awful taste these days that Shadow the Hedgehog wins the board vote? What happened here?


I really doubt Shadow won the board vote over Leon Mr. Scott Kennedy.
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Tornadoman78:
tornadoman and tornadogirl like to kick box each other in my tornaolayzers and she dosent even mind getting hit
#42 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 8/25/2013 9:06:02 PM | message detail
Still no freeze.

These are our freeze totals.

Shadow the Hedgehog
29.99%
221 Votes
Your Pick

Leon Kennedy
39.62%
292 Votes

Gordon Freeman
30.39%
224 Votes
Total Votes: 737
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RIP GrapefruitKing and Emporer_Kazbar. You will be missed.
#43 | -hotdogturtle-- | Posted 8/25/2013 9:06:05 PM | message detail
Wow, that was an intense 5 minutes. I was refreshing the whole time. Shadow was leading by ~10 for a while, but Gordon slowly caught up, and then they were within 1-2 votes of each other for a while, including several ties.
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#44 | KamikazePotato | Posted 8/25/2013 9:06:14 PM | message detail
I think you guys are overstating Leon's pic a bit. His only really distinguishing feature in his character design is his emo haircut, and that's clearly visible.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#45 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 8/25/2013 9:06:33 PM | message detail
Leon was struggling to pull away at the start but he's roaring now. B8 abandoned him.
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We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
#46 | CrushDavis | Posted 8/25/2013 9:06:38 PM | message detail
#47 | Qwaar | Posted 8/25/2013 9:06:53 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
I think you guys are overstating Leon's pic a bit. His only really distinguishing feature in his character design is his emo haircut, and that's clearly visible.


Was thinking that. He looks fine.
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XBL Gamertag - Tiirshak
#48 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 8/25/2013 9:06:55 PM | message detail
Awww yeah, back on the bracket leaderboard, and I somehow managed the Expert leaderboard.

Yay Squirtle!
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The artist formerly known as greatone10.
#49 | LOLContests | Posted 8/25/2013 9:06:58 PM | message detail
I just like to support Shadow cause he gets **** on so much. I mean, I never grew up with Sonic, so his "too cool for school" attitude has never really struck me as any different than any of the other Sonic characters.
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"What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!"
This is Yesmar.
#50 | LeonhartFour (Topic Creator) | Posted 8/25/2013 9:07:17 PM | message detail
Yeah, Leon Kennedy doesn't exactly have a stellar design to begin with. He doesn't get a lot of votes from it, I'd wager.
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http://i.imgur.com/M7vKB.gif